A comment on metformin and COVID-19 with regard to "Metformin use is associated with a decrease in the risk of hospitalization and mortality in COVID-19 patients with diabetes: A population-based study in Lombardy".
Dear Editor, We congratulate Ojeda-Fernández et al1 on their study of the association between metformin use and lower risks of hospitalization and mortality in COVID-19 patients with diabetes. The study, one of the largest yet published, emphasizes the consistency of the association between metformin use and improved COVID-19 outcomes after hospital admission and in the medium term. However, we believe the published data on this topic should be interpreted with caution. In Table 1, we present an up-to-date summary of studies on the relationship between metformin use and COVID-19 that (i) were published in peer-reviewed medical journals and (ii) included more than 100 patients overall and more than 50 metformin users in particular. Duplicate studies and studies published in languages other than English, French or Italian were excluded. Overall, almost all the studies found that the short- and/or medium-term survival outcomes for metformin users were generally favourable. Ojeda-Fernández et al attributed the favourable association between metformin use and survival to a confounding effect of the indication; metformin is used early in the care trajectory for type 2 diabetes and is discontinued in long-term diabetes with cardiorenal comorbidities, whereas insulin is usually started later—typically when metformin is no longer indicated. Only few studies reported on the duration of diabetes in metformin users and non-users; this lack of data prevents meaningful conclusions from being drawn. However, 15 studies reported the proportion of participants who were being treated with insulin. Of these, 14 estimated the relative risk in the metformin group versus the non-metformin group. We performed a meta-regression analysis of the 14 datasets in order to determine whether or not the proportion of insulin-treated patients could account for the observed between-study heterogeneity. The analysis revealed a significant, inverse association between relative risk reduction and the proportion of insulin-treated patients (P = 0.0247). However, inclusion of the proportion of insulin-treated patients only reduced the I2 value very slightly (from 69.3% to 68.83%)—meaning there was still a substantial amount of residual between-study variance. In conclusion, although the findings by Ojeda-Fernández et al reinforce the conclusion that metformin is associated with a lower rate of mortality in type 2 diabetes patients with COVID-19, the assessment of this association is still strewn with pitfalls. Therefore, more studies are needed. Design and data collection: Abdallah Al-Salameh and Jean-Daniel Lalau. Analysis: Abdallah Al-Salameh, Nicolas Wiernsperger, Bertrand Cariou and Jean-Daniel Lalau. Writing manuscript: Abdallah Al-Salameh, Nicolas Wiernsperger, Bertrand Cariou and Jean-Daniel Lalau. This study did not receive any specific funding from agencies or organizations in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors. Abdallah Al-Salameh reports personal fees from AstraZeneca, Lilly, and Novo Nordisk, none of which related to the subject discussed in this manuscript. Nicolas Wiernsperger declares no conflicts of interest that could be perceived as prejudicing the impartiality of the research reported. Bertrand Cariou reports grants and personal fees from Amgen, personal fees from AstraZeneca, personal fees from Akcea, personal fees from Genfit, personal fees from Gilead, personal fees from Eli Lilly, personal fees from Novo Nordisk, personal fees from MSD, grants and personal fees from Sanofi, and grants and personal fees from Regeneron. Jean-Daniel Lalau reports personal fees from AstraZeneca, Brothier, Lilly, MSD, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, and Sanofi. The peer review history for this article is available at https://publons.com/publon/10.1111/dom.14746. Data sharing not applicable to this article as no datasets were generated The peer review history for this article is available at https://publons.com/publon/10.1111/dom.14746. Data sharing not applicable to this article as no datasets were generated
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