Ministry of Health, Labour and Social Protection

Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale. We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators. The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 °C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 °C) to continental (19.3 °C), temperate (21.7 °C), arid (24.5 °C), and tropical (26.5 °C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 °C for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 °C for a 1 °C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 °C rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 °C rise in its SD. The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation.

The aim of this study is to determine the feasibility of implementing and evaluating the World Health Organization Package of Essential Non-communicable Disease Interventions (WHO PEN) approach in primary healthcare in the Republic of Moldova. According to our published a priori methods, 20 primary care clinics were randomized to 10 intervention and 10 control clinics. The intervention consisted of implementation of adapted WHO PEN guidelines and structured training for health workers; the control clinics continued with usual care. Data were gathered from paper-based patient records in July 2017 and August 2018 resulting in a total of 1174 and 995 patients in intervention and control clinics at baseline and 1329 and 1256 at follow-up. Pre-defined indicators describing assessment of risk factors and total cardiovascular risk, prescribing medications and treatment outcomes were calculated. Differences between baseline and follow-up as well as between intervention and control clinics were calculated using logistic and linear regression models and by assessing interaction effects. Improvements were seen in recording smoking status, activity to measure HbA1c among diabetes patients and achieving control in hypertension treatment. Improvement was also seen in identification of patients with hypertension or diabetes. Less improvement or even deterioration was seen in assessing total risk or prescribing statins for high-risk patients. It is feasible to evaluate the quality and management of patients with non-communicable diseases in low-resource settings from routine data. Modest improvements in risk factor identification and management can be achieved in a relatively short period of time.