- Conference Article
- 10.1183/13993003.congress-2025.pa1460
Diagnostic classification of COPD using capnography-based machine learning models
- Sep 27, 2025
- Rui Hen Lim + 11 more +11
<bold>BACKGROUND:</bold> Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is a global health concern, and accurate diagnosis is crucial for early intervention and improving patient quality of life, while also reducing the risk of exacerbations and healthcare costs. <bold>OBJECTIVE:</bold> To quantify diagnostic performance of N-Tidal Diagnose (NTD) machine learning models in a cohort of known COPD patients and healthy controls. <bold>METHODS:</bold> Capnography data was collected using 75 seconds of tidal breathing through TidalSense’s N-Tidal capnometer from a cross-sectional observational data set, which included 51 COPD subjects and 51 healthy controls. The performance of NTD 1 v1.0 software’s machine learning models, which perform diagnostic classification using 25 geometric capnography features, was measured. <bold>RESULTS:</bold> <fig><object-id>erj;66/suppl_69/PA1460/F1</object-id><object-id>F1</object-id><object-id>F1</object-id><caption> <italic>Figure 1.</italic> Confusion matrix evaluating the diagnostic performance of the NTD models. </caption><graphic></graphic></fig> The models were unable to diagnose eight patients who fell within the ‘indeterminate’ category with prediction probability close to 0.5. For all other participants, the NTD software yielded the following performance metrics: sensitivity 0.960, specificity 0.932, positive predictive value 0.953, and negative predictive value 0.941. <bold>CONCLUSIONS:</bold> The N-Tidal Diagnose ML models were able to accurately distinguish COPD subjects from healthy controls. This suggests that NTD could be used as a rapid and accessible alternative to spirometry for rapid point-of-care testing of COPD.
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