A method to develop the input parameter database for site-specific debris flow hazard prediction under extreme rainfall

Linking rainfall-induced landslides with debris flows runout patterns towards catchment scale hazard assessment

Debris flows are frequently occurring natural processes in geologically complex terrains of the Indian Himalayas. Debris flow runout modelling leading to hazard assessment is essential for planning, designing, and execution of mitigation measures. In the present context, debris flow hazard assessment has been carried out for the Tangni debris flow in Garhwal Himalayas, India. Runout modelling was carried out using a Voellmy model-based 3D numerical simulation for estimation of flow intensity parameters such as runout distance, flow velocity, height and pressure along the propagation path. For calibration of the model inputs, back analysis of Tangni debris flow event that occurred in 2013, with its known runout length and deposition volume as the criteria, has been conducted. The best calibrated values of frictional parameters are obtained at μ = 0.10 and ξ = 400 m/s2. Using the best calibrated values of frictional parameters, hazard assessment was carried out for two potential release areas separately, with different initial volumes, and in combination to derive the probable runout distance along with other flow intensity parameters for different scenarios that may happen in the future. It has been observed that this debris flow scenario including the combination of two potential release areas will block the Alaknanda River, forming a landslide dam with a probable height of 6 m. Debris flow runout modelling-based hazard assessment will be helpful in determining quantitative information on flow intensity parameters, where complete data on past events are generally not available or were not possible to capture for the Indian Himalayan region.

Predicting debris flow runout is of major importance for hazard mitigation. Apart from topography and volume, runout distance and area depends on debris flow composition and rheology, but how is poorly understood. We experimentally investigated effects of composition on debris flow runout, depositional mechanisms, and deposit geometry. The small‐scale experimental debris flows were largely similar to natural debris flows in terms of flow behavior, deposit morphology, grain size sorting, channel width‐depth ratio, and runout. Deposit geometry (lobe thickness and width) in our experimental debris flows is largely determined by composition, while the effects of initial conditions of topography (i.e., outflow plain slope and channel slope and width) and volume are negligible. We find a clear optimum in the relations of runout with coarse‐material fraction and clay fraction. Increasing coarse‐material concentration leads to larger runout. However, excess coarse material results in a large accumulation of coarse debris at the flow front and enhances diffusivity, increasing frontal friction and decreasing runout. Increasing clay content initially enhances runout, but too much clay leads to very viscous flows, reducing runout. Runout increases with channel slope and width, outflow plain slope, debris flow volume, and water fraction. These results imply that debris flow runout depends at least as much on composition as on topography. This study improves understanding of the effects of debris flow composition on runout and may aid future debris flow hazard assessments.

Abstract. The occurrence of debris flows has been recorded for more than a century in the European Alps, accounting for the risk to settlements and other human infrastructure that have led to death, building damage and traffic disruptions. One of the difficulties in the quantitative hazard assessment of debris flows is estimating the run-out behavior, which includes the run-out distance and the related hazard intensities like the height and velocity of a debris flow. In addition, as observed in the French Alps, the process of entrainment of material during the run-out can be 10–50 times in volume with respect to the initially mobilized mass triggered at the source area. The entrainment process is evidently an important factor that can further determine the magnitude and intensity of debris flows. Research on numerical modeling of debris flow entrainment is still ongoing and involves some difficulties. This is partly due to our lack of knowledge of the actual process of the uptake and incorporation of material and due the effect of entrainment on the final behavior of a debris flow. Therefore, it is important to model the effects of this key erosional process on the formation of run-outs and related intensities. In this study we analyzed a debris flow with high entrainment rates that occurred in 2003 at the Faucon catchment in the Barcelonnette Basin (Southern French Alps). The historic event was back-analyzed using the Voellmy rheology and an entrainment model imbedded in the RAMMS 2-D numerical modeling software. A sensitivity analysis of the rheological and entrainment parameters was carried out and the effects of modeling with entrainment on the debris flow run-out, height and velocity were assessed.

The authors predicted mudflow and debris flow velocities with 350 field and laboratory measurements and obtained a slight trend for V=u to increase with h=d50, and the ratio of V=u is approximately 10 and rarely exceeds 30. The logarithmic relationship of turbulent resistance agrees reasonably well with the measurements. Good results also are obtained with the Manning-Strickler approach. The dispersive stress equation also compares well with the measurements, but only when h=d50 < 50. For individual series data such as Hashimoto and Puerco, there is a trend for V=u to increase with h=d50. But for other individual series data, such as Davies, Rickenmann, Paris, St. Helens, Nevado del Ruiz, Wanglin, Wang, and Wenhai, there is a trend for V=u to decrease with h=d50 (Fig. 1 of the original paper). The discussers have some field data that also show the same phenomena, which are presented in Fig. 1. The database includes a total of 119 flow velocity measurements, in which each point includes flow depth, density (volume concentration), median grain diameter d50, grain size of less than 10% d10, and slope. The data of Jiangjia were obtained from the field measurements in Jiangjia Ravine, Yunnan, China, in 1999; the data of Hunshui were obtained from the field measurements in Hunshui Ravine, Yunnan, China, in 1976–1978; and the data of Liuwan were obtained from the field measurements in Liuwan Ravine, Gansu, China, in 1963–1964. Debris flow is a gravity flow, and the gravity force plays an important role in the movement of debris flow. So debris flow moves on a large slope and deposits on a small slope. Fei and Su (2004) showed that the main driving force of debris flow is provided by particles, not by water. When the volume concentration C 1⁄4 0:27 (or density ρ 1⁄4 1:46 g=cm3), the particle driving force is equal to the water driving force in debris flow. They defined that the minimum density of debris flow is 1:46 g=cm3, and 1:46–1:80 g=cm3 is the range of less viscous debris flow. Therefore, the minimum density of viscous debris flow is 1:80 g=cm3 (C 1⁄4 0:47) (Fei and Su 2004; Yu 2008a). Two types of shear stresses describe these two kinds of debris flows: (1) the viscous stress for viscous debris flow, and (2) the turbulent stress for less viscous debris flow (Fei and Su 2004). As the driving force of debris flow is provided primarily by particles, the coarse particle plays an important role in the movement of debris flow, especially for viscous debris flow with a large volume concentration. So the larger particle diameter, the larger is the velocity. There is a trend for V to increase with d50, and there is a trend for V=u to increase with d50=h. Two empirical equations of mean velocity of viscous debris flow described this relationship (Wu et al. 1993; Yu 2001): V u 1⁄4 27:57 d50 h 0:245 ð1Þ

Debris flow susceptibility mapping using frequency ratio and seed cells, in a portion of a mountain international route, Dry Central Andes of Argentina

Due to their potentially long runout, debris flows are a major hazard and an important geomorphic process in mountainous environments. Understanding runout is therefore essential to minimize risk in the near‐term and interpret the pace and pattern of debris flow erosion and deposition over geomorphic timescales. Many debris flows occur in forested landscapes where they mobilize large volumes of large woody debris (LWD) in addition to sediment, but few studies have quantitatively documented the effects of LWD on runout. Here, we analyze recent and historic debris flows in southeast Alaska, a mountainous, forested system with minimal human alteration. Sixteen debris flows near Sitka triggered on August 18, 2015 or more recently had volumes of 80 to 25 000 m3 and limited mobility compared to a global compilation of similarly‐sized debris flows. Their deposits inundated 31% of the planimetric area, and their runout lengths were 48% of that predicted by the global dataset. Depositional slopes were 6°–26°, and mobility index, defined as the ratio of horizontal runout to vertical elevation change, ranged from 1.2 to 3, further indicating low mobility. In the broader southeast Alaskan region consisting of Chichagof and Baranof Islands, remote sensing‐based analysis of 1061 historic debris flows showed that mobility index decreased from 2.3–2.5 to 1.4–1.8 as average forest age increased from 0 to 416 years. We therefore interpret that the presence of LWD within a debris flow and standing trees, stumps, and logs in the deposition zone inhibit runout, primarily through granular phenomena such as jamming due to force chains. Calibration of debris flow runout models should therefore incorporate the ecologic as well as geologic setting, and feedbacks between debris flows and vegetation likely control the transport of sediment and organic material through steep, forested catchments over geomorphic time. © 2020 John Wiley &amp; Sons, Ltd.

Epiclastic volcanic debrites-evidence of flow transformations between avalanche and debris flow processes, Middle Ordovician, Baie Verte Peninsula, Newfoundland, Canada

Our aim is to determine the run-out distance of the debris flow that is crucial in the assessment, prevention and control of the debris flow hazard. Based on the variation characteristic of debris flow velocity in the alluvial fan, this paper proposes the calculation method of the velocity attenuation coefficient of the debris flow. By defining the velocity attenuation coefficient and deducing its calculating formula, this paper puts forward a new method to determine the run-out distance of the debris flow based on the velocity attenuation coefficient, and Gangou debris flow in Luding County, Sichuan Province is selected as a case for calculation and verification. Having 10 m as its measuring spacing, this paper measured 19 sections at the alluvial fan of the Gangou debris flow (among them, 11 sets of data are valid). And based on the measurement, this paper analyzes the characteristic of the velocity attenuation and calculates its velocity attenuation coefficient after the 2005 debris flow. The study indicates that when the velocity of Gangou debris flow at the alluvial fan is greater than 12 % of the initial velocity (at the mouth of gully), the attenuation is quite remarkable. But when the velocity at the alluvial fan is less than 12 % of the initial velocity, the attenuation is quite slow. Besides, when Gangou debris flow rushes out of the gully mouth (the initial velocity is 10 m/s) and when it attenuates to the 32 time, its velocity is less than 0.1 m/s, the debris flow is considered to stop flowing, and the run-out distance of Gangou debris flow is calculated to be 320 m. But the present alluvial fan of Gangou debris flow is measured to be 285 m in length, and the calculated run-out distance is 320 m, which is 35 m longer than its present length. This means when the debris flow runs out in 2005, it blocked up the main river (Dadu River) in some extent. And this finding is generally in accordance with that from the field survey. The findings can be of theoretical and practical significance in the debris flow hazard assessment, as well as its prevention and mitigation.

Gravitational mass movements, such as debris and mud flows, are among the most destructive natural hazards, leading to substantial fatalities and extensive economic damage worldwide. Improving our understanding and modeling of these processes is essential for developing effective risk management and early warning strategies. When debris and mud flows pass through a curved channel, centrifugal forces may cause a difference in flow height between the inner and outer banks of the channel. This height difference, known as superelevation, can be described using analytical models that establish a relationship between the superelevation height and the flow velocity.Analytical models often employ a forced vortex approach, incorporating parameters such as the cross-sectional slope of the flow surface, flow width, and bend radius. These models, however, rely on assumptions such as a linear flow surface between mud deposits on the banks, a rectangular cross-section, and neglect both complex rheological behaviors and solid-fluid interactions. As a result, an empirically determined correction factor is required within the formula. The absence of a clear mechanical rationale for this correction factor presents challenges, as it is currently derived only through field investigations and laboratory experiments.This study presents an enhancement to the existing forced vortex approach by incorporating insights from numerical modeling. A coupled SPH-DEM numerical model is employed, where DEM particles represent coarse solid particles, and SPH accounts for the fluid phase, comprising fines and water. The SPH-DEM coupling is based on the no-slip interaction model, with simulations performed using a GPU-based solver to ensure enhanced computational efficiency. To validate the approach, a parametric test is conducted, initially back-calculating laboratory-scale experiments. The study further involves varying the water content in debris and mud flows to examine its impact on flow behavior and superelevation. Larger water contents lead to an increased superelevation angle. Results from the parametric test reveal a clear correlation between water content and the flow surface shape in curved channels. Specifically, mud flows are characterized by convex upward surface shapes, whereas more granular debris flows typically exhibit concave downward shapes.The distribution of material within the cross-section of the flow is governed by the equilibrium between boundary forces and centrifugal forces acting on the flow, which directly influences the superelevation. Numerical investigations are conducted to determine a correction factor and assess the extent to which inertial effects contribute to this correction factor for different material mixtures. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the effect of the flow surface shape is significant and is currently only accounted for by the empirical correction factor. This study offers new physical insights for the back-calculation of debris flow velocities in curved sections marked by mud deposits. Large-scale SPH-DEM simulations of a real debris flow event at Illgraben (Switzerland) are performed, showing good agreement with field data and its potential for further real-scale modeling.

A kinematic model is developed to estimate the velocity and runout distance of a gravitative debris flow. The characteristics and the different stages of development of a gravitative flow are first described. The equations governing the motion during the flow are then derived based on the Newtonian translation motion with some simplified assumptions on the erosion process along the flow path. After the motion is initiated, the debris is considered to behave as a frictional material with the friction angle during motion being a function of the distance travelled measured from the initiation point. The equations derived are applied to two well-documented case records to assess their applicability. The application shows that the computed runout distances are slightly higher than the measured values. This slight error on the safe side is consistent with the simplified assumptions used in deriving the equations. The small error is acceptable for engineering designs in areas vulnerable to debris flows. © 2011 Casa Editrice Università La Sapienza.

In order to effectively prevent and control debris flow disasters, it is one of the most effective engineering measures to construct a blocking project in the valley section of the circulation section to actively reduce the flow and velocity of debris flow. The check dams is taken as a control structure to intercept the solid materials of flush flood and debris flow in the channel, which play an important role in debris flow prevention and control project. However, the huge impact force of debris flow often causes the check dam to be destroyed. Based on the theory of fluid–solid coupling, by means of structural dynamics simulation software, fluid dynamics simulation software and coupling plane data transfer software, numerical simulation of the interaction between debris flow and the check dam has been carried out. Research results indicate that (1) the overflow section is subjected to the impact of the debris flow greater than the abutment; (2) debris flow impact only has a greater impact on a certain depth of the check dam, and the impact beyond this range is less. The numerical simulation results can provide data support for the design and optimization of the check dam.

<strong class="journal-contentHeaderColor">Abstract.</strong> Debris flows transport large quantities of water and granular material, such as sediment and wood, and this mixture can have devastating effects on life and infrastructure. The proportion of large woody debris (LWD) incorporated into debris flows can be enhanced in forested areas recently burned by wildfire because wood recruitment into channels accelerates in burned forests. In this study, using four small watersheds in the Gila National Forest, New Mexico, that burned in the 2020 Tadpole Fire, we explored new approaches to estimate debris flow velocity based on LWD characteristics and the role of LWD on debris flow volume retention. To understand debris flow volume model predictions, we examined two models for debris flow volume estimation: (1) the current volume prediction model used in U.S. Geological Survey debris flow hazard assessments, and (2) a regional model developed to predict the sediment yield associated with debris-laden flows. We found that the regional model better matched the magnitude of the observed sediment at the terminal fan, indicating the utility of regionally calibrated parameters for debris flow volume prediction. However, large wood created sediment storage upstream from the terminal fan, and this volume was of the same magnitude as the total volume at the terminal fans. Using field and lidar data we found that sediment retention by LWD is largely controlled by channel reach slope and a ratio of LWD length to channel width between 0.25 and 1. Finally, we demonstrated a method for estimating debris flow velocity based on estimates of the critical velocity required to break wood, which can be used in future field studies to estimate minimum debris flow velocity values.

BackgroundUncertainties exist in the magnitude and outbreak of debris flow disasters, resulting in significant loss of lives and property to human society. Improved identification of debris flow susceptibility areas can help to predict the location and sphere of influence of debris flow disaster, thus accurately assessing the risk of debris flow disaster and reducing losses caused by such a disaster. The dry-hot valleys of Basu County in the Eastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau are typical areas of high debris flow incidence, mapping of debris flow susceptibility identification and regional risk assessment is needed in this area.ResultsThe parameters improved Flow-R model was first applied to identify debris flow susceptibility areas in Basu county using the digital elevation model, flow accumulation, slope, plan curvature, and land use data, followed by debris flow risk assessment. The Flow-R model can output high result accuracy of high-resolution susceptibility to debris flow identification on a regional scale with less data, and its accuracy value is 87.6%, indicating that the susceptibility to regional debris flow disaster is credible. This study provides a useful basis for effective prevention of regional debris flow disasters in the future, and provides a useful method for effectively identifying the debris flow susceptibility areas and assessing the related risk in large-scale areas.Conclusions(1) The debris flow susceptibility areas in Basu County covered 97.04 km2 (0.79% of the study area), distributed mainly in the Nujiang River Valley, Lengqu tributaries, and both sides of National Highway 318. (2) The debris flow susceptibility areas were dominant in zones characterized by an altitude range of 3000–4000 m, a plane curvature of − 2/100 m−1 to 1/100 m−1, and a low slope of 20°–40°. In addition, the susceptibility areas were dominant in the unused land and less prevalent in the water area. The highest and lowest susceptibility values were observed for cultivated and unused lands, respectively. (3) The debris flow risk in the study areas accounted for 0.82 km2 and revealed a distribution of high-risk debris flow along roads. The areas with a high debris flow risk were mainly distributed along the mainstream of the Nujiang River, which is the main future protected area.

Debris flows are one of the perilous landslide-related hazards due to their fast flow velocity, large impact force, and long runout, in association with poor predictability. Debris-flow barriers that can minimize the energy of debris flows have been widely constructed to mitigate potential damages. However, the interactions between debris flows and barriers remain poorly understood, which hampers the optimal barrier installation against debris flows. Therefore, this study examined the effect of barrier locations, in particular source-to-barrier distance, on velocity and volume of debris flows via the numerical approach based on smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH). A debris-flow event was simulated on a 3D terrain, in which a closed-type barrier was numerically created at predetermined locations along a debris-flow channel, varying the source-to-barrier distance from the initiation point. In all cases, the closed-type barrier significantly reduced the velocity and volume of the debris flows, compared to the cases without a barrier. When the initial volume of source debris was small, or when the flow path was short, the barriers effectively blocked the debris flow regardless of the source-to-barrier distance. However, with a long flow path, installation of the barrier closer to the initiation location appeared more effective by preventing the debris volume from growing by entrainment. Our results contribute to a better understanding of how source-to-barrier distance influences debris-flow behavior, and show that the methodology presented herein can be further used to determine optimum and efficient designs for debris-flow barriers.