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Accurate Prediction of Casing Collapse Resistance by 3D Finite Element Modeling

  • Mar 1, 2022
  • Bisen Lin +3 more
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Abstract

Abstract Three-dimensional (3D) outside diameter (OD) and wall thickness mapping of a casing joint include synchronized OD laser scanning and wall UT (ultrasonic testing) measurement at a resolution of every 1-inch along the length and every 1 or 2 degrees around the circumference. This full-length mapping data can then be used to construct a 3D finite element analysis (FEA) model that captures the geometric attributes, including OD, wall thickness, OD ovality, and wall eccentricity of a casing joint. Together with the actual nonlinear material plasticity model and the measured residual stress, the 3D FEA model can accurately predict the casing collapse strength. Also, the Klever-Tamano ultimate limit-state (KT ULS) collapse equation per API TR 5C3 [1] together with a calibrated moving-average scheme was used to calculate the joint's collapse strength. Results predicted by 3D FEA and KT ULS collapse models were then compared to the actual full-scale collapse test results. A 3D FEA model generally produces more accurate results than the KT collapse equation. In addition, both 3D FEA and KT collapse models predict slightly lower than actual collapse pressure, which therefore is on the conservative side. The accurate prediction of casing collapse strength can be beneficial to the end user in sorting and ranking the casing joints by collapse resistance, and therefore provides valuable information that can be used in the end user's risk assessment with the consideration of the worst-case discharge scenario. Furthermore, the end user may potentially select the joints with the highest predicted collapse strength for the bottom portion of the casing string where the highest collapse resistance is desired. In addition, the OD and wall mapping data together with the actual material tensile properties (yield strength, ultimate tensile strength, and strain hardening parameters) can be used in estimating the internal yield and ductile rupture pressures and other performance properties. This is outside the scope of this paper and can be pursued in future work. These predicted casing performance properties may then be used in sorting and ranking the joints based on a specific performance property of interest or combination of performance properties.

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