Algorithm design for wind prediction in Berakit Bay, Bintan Island using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method

The electrical equipment of offshore oil support ships operates in harsh marine environments with high failure rates, posing challenges to the development of preventive maintenance strategies. To address this issue, this article proposes an intelligent platform based on Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm to optimize preventive maintenance strategies for electrical equipment. Firstly, operational data of ship electrical equipment is collected, and data preprocessing and key feature extraction are carried out; subsequently, a prediction model based on LSTM is constructed to make real-time predictions on the health status of the equipment; then, the predictive model is integrated into the intelligent platform to achieve real-time monitoring of device status and dynamic optimization of maintenance strategies. The experimental results show that the LSTM based prediction model outperforms support vector regression (SVR) and random forest methods in terms of prediction accuracy and robustness. The average monthly failure rate of the equipment is 0.67 times, and the maintenance cost for 12 months is only $4750. In the above data conclusions, the intelligent platform based on LSTM algorithm can significantly improve the effectiveness of preventive maintenance strategies for marine oil support ship electrical equipment, highlighting the advantages of the proposed method.

Accurate prediction of liquid transportation distance in LNG long-distance pipelines is critical for optimizing energy transportation efficiency and ensuring operational safety. However, traditional methods often struggle to capture the nonlinear temporal dependencies and complex flow dynamics inherent in pipeline systems. This paper proposes a novel prediction method based on the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm to address these challenges. By leveraging historical operational data, including pressure, temperature, flow rate, and pipeline terrain characteristics, the LSTM model is trained to learn spatiotemporal patterns and predict transportation distances under varying conditions. The proposed framework incorporates data preprocessing, feature selection, and hyperparameter optimization to enhance model robustness. Experimental results demonstrate that the LSTM-based method outperforms conventional models in terms of prediction accuracy, achieving a mean absolute error of 0.82 km and a root mean square error of 1.15 km over a 200 km test pipeline segment. The model’s ability to handle long-term dependencies and noisy data highlights its practical applicability for real-time monitoring and decision-making in LNG pipeline management. This study contributes to advancing intelligent solutions for energy infrastructure optimization.

Software effort estimation (SEE) is an important process for predicting the effort required to develop or maintain software projects. It is considered one of the difficult challenges for software engineering because the more accurate the estimation, the greater the chances of success in developing software projects to complete and deliver them within the specified scheduling and budget. The diversity in software projects led to the use of many techniques to estimate the effort. The main objective of the research is to find the best technique to get the estimated effort as close to the real effort, using Machine learning Algorithms, artificial neural network Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) and the artificial neural network Stacked Long Short-Term Memory (Stacked_LSTM), with six data sets are China, Kitchenham, Kemerer, Cocomo 81, Albrecht, Decharnais, and comparing the performance of the two machine learning algorithms performance, Neuralnet and Lasso from previous research, used the same data sets and using the same evaluation metrics, which are: the root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and R_Squared. The results demonstrated the superiority of the Stacked _LSTM algorithm by all metrics with the dataset of China, Kemerer and Albrecht, while in the data sets, Descharnais and Kitchenham, the LSTM algorithm outperformed the rest of the methods. While in the Cocomo 81 dataset, Neuralnet algorithm outperformed the rest of the techniques used, but the best rating was obtained. It is for Stacked _LSTM algorithm with China data.

Wind waves are natural phenomena primarily generated by the wind. Information about wave height and period is highly crucial in various marine fields such as coastal engineering, fisheries, and maritime transportation. However, accurately predicting wave height remains a challenge due to the stochastic nature of ocean waves themselves. Several approaches to predicting wave height have been developed, including numerical models and machine learning methods, such as the Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm, which has currently garnered significant attention from researchers. The objective of this research is to develop a forecast model for wind wave height using the LSTM algorithm in Seibu Island Waters, DKI Jakarta. The ERA5 dataset comprises zonal and meridional wind components and significant wave height, along with wind measurement data using the Automatic Weather System (AWS) instrument, are used to train and test to train and test the LSTM model. The research results show that the LSTM model can predict significant wave height effectively. Predictions using the ERA5 significant height dataset are observed to be closer to field data, with RMSE, MAE, and MAPE values of 0.1535 m, 0.1181 m, and 37.11% respectively. Thus, the model evaluation results indicate good performance, with relatively low RMSE and MAE values, and a good MAPE value. The highest accuracy in significant wave height prediction is found for forecasts one week (7 days) ahead

Arctic sea ice and snow affect the energy balance of the global climate system through the radiation budget. Accurate determination of the snow cover over Arctic sea ice is significant for the retrieval of the sea ice thickness (SIT). In this study, we developed a new snow depth retrieval method over Arctic sea ice with a long short-term memory (LSTM) deep learning algorithm based on Operation IceBridge (OIB) snow depth data and brightness temperature data of AMSR-2 passive microwave radiometers. We compared climatology products (modified W99 and AWI), altimeter products (Kwok) and microwave radiometer products (Bremen, Neural Network and LSTM). The climatology products and altimeter products are completely independent of the OIB data used for training, while microwave radiometer products are not completely independent of the OIB data. We also compared the SITs retrieved from the above different snow depth products based on Cryosat-2 radar altimeter data. First, the snow depth spatial patterns for all products are in broad agreement, but the temporal evolution patterns are distinct. Snow products of microwave radiometers, such as Bremen, Neural Network and LSTM snow depth products, show thicker snow in early winter with respect to the climatology snow depth products and the altimeter snow depth product, especially in the multiyear ice (MYI) region. In addition, the differences in all snow depth products are relatively large in the early winter and relatively small in spring. Compared with the OIB and IceBird observation data (April 2019), the snow depth retrieved by the LSTM algorithm is better than that retrieved by the other algorithms in terms of accuracy, with a correlation of 0.55 (0.90), a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.06 m (0.05 m) and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.05 m (0.04 m). The spatial pattern and seasonal variation of the SITs retrieved from different snow depths are basically consistent. The total sea ice decreases first and then thickens as the seasons change. Compared with the OIB SIT in April 2019, the SIT retrieved by the LSTM snow depth is superior to that retrieved by the other SIT products in terms of accuracy, with the highest correlation of 0.46, the lowest RMSE of 0.59 m and the lowest MAE of 0.44 m. In general, it is promising to retrieve Arctic snow depth using the LSTM algorithm, but the retrieval of snow depth over MYI still needs to be verified with more measured data, especially in early winter.

Simple SummaryForecasting dengue cases often face challenges from (1) time-effectiveness due to time-consuming satellite data downloading and processing, (2) weak spatial representation due to data dependence on administrative unit-based statistics or weather station-based observations, and (3) stagnant accuracy without historical dengue cases. With the advance of the geospatial big data cloud computing in Google Earth Engine and deep learning, this study proposed an efficient framework of dengue prediction at an epidemiological week basis using geospatial big data analysis in Google Earth Engine and Long Short Term Memory modeling. We focused on the dengue epidemics in the Federal District of Brazil during 2007–2019. Based on Google Earth Engine and epidemiological calendar, we computed the weekly composite for each dengue driving factor, and spatially aggregated the pixel values into dengue transmission areas to generate the time series of driving factors. A multi-step-ahead Long Short Term Memory modeling was used, and the time-differenced natural log-transformed dengue cases and the time series of driving factors were considered as outcomes and explantary factors, respectively, with two modeling scenarios (with and without historical cases). The performance is better when historical cases were used, and the 5-weeks-ahead forecast has the best performance.Timely and accurate forecasts of dengue cases are of great importance for guiding disease prevention strategies, but still face challenges from (1) time-effectiveness due to time-consuming satellite data downloading and processing, (2) weak spatial representation capability due to data dependence on administrative unit-based statistics or weather station-based observations, and (3) stagnant accuracy without the application of historical case information. Geospatial big data, cloud computing platforms (e.g., Google Earth Engine, GEE), and emerging deep learning algorithms (e.g., long short term memory, LSTM) provide new opportunities for advancing these efforts. Here, we focused on the dengue epidemics in the urban agglomeration of the Federal District of Brazil (FDB) during 2007–2019. A new framework was proposed using geospatial big data analysis in the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform and long short term memory (LSTM) modeling for dengue case forecasts over an epidemiological week basis. We first defined a buffer zone around an impervious area as the main area of dengue transmission by considering the impervious area as a human-dominated area and used the maximum distance of the flight range of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus as a buffer distance. Those zones were used as units for further attribution analyses of dengue epidemics by aggregating the pixel values into the zones. The near weekly composite of potential driving factors was generated in GEE using the epidemiological weeks during 2007–2019, from the relevant geospatial data with daily or sub-daily temporal resolution. A multi-step-ahead LSTM model was used, and the time-differenced natural log-transformed dengue cases were used as outcomes. Two modeling scenarios (with and without historical dengue cases) were set to examine the potential of historical information on dengue forecasts. The results indicate that the performance was better when historical dengue cases were used and the 5-weeks-ahead forecast had the best performance, and the peak of a large outbreak in 2019 was accurately forecasted. The proposed framework in this study suggests the potential of the GEE platform, the LSTM algorithm, as well as historical information for dengue risk forecasting, which can easily be extensively applied to other regions or globally for timely and practical dengue forecasts.

Time series analysis plays an important role in many fields. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) methods are the most common tools to forecast sequential and time series data. However, both of them have obvious defects. The ARIMA model cannot capture non-linear information in sequences. Although the LSTM network is good at learning dynamic variations, it is prone to overfitting and requires a mass of long-term data. In this study, a hybrid technology blending the ARIMA and the LSTM algorithms was utilized to forecast the number of cases of influenza in China. This hybrid method leveraged the advantages of the ARIMA model and the LSTM network. Firstly, the ARIMA model was used to analyze the linear relationship within the time series. Then, the residuals of the ARIMA were taken as the input values to train the LSTM networks. A new hybrid ARIMA-LSTM model obtained, combining a SARIMA (0,1,0) (1,0,0)52 model and a LSTM model with 50 epochs and 32 batch size. This model successfully addressed the previously mentioned issues and enhanced the precision of the predictions. It managed to reduce 4.6% of RMSE, 8.9% of MSE, and 13.9% of MAE. In addition, this new algorithm was found that it didn’t have a high requirement like the individual LSTM model. Since there were not very many observations in the dataset, the performance of the individual LSTM model was not good. However, the integrated model improved this problem and obtained a more precise prediction. Even though the hybrid model had a better performance on prediction, it still has the risk of overfitting the data. The future work will be to improve the hybrid model to decrease this risk by adding more variables and modifying the structure of the LSTM model. Meanwhile, applying this method to another field further proves its feasibility and provides more effective prediction models.

Breast cancer is one of the most common malignancies among women in the world. Early detection and reliable monitoring are important factors in improving the survival rate and quality of life of cancer patients. The machine learning-based microwave tumor detection has received widespread attention because of its safety and cheapness. In current microwave breast cancer detection, most of the research is to determine the presence of tumors and few studies focus on monitoring the tumor development and estimate the size of breast cancer tumors. In this paper, by setting up an ultrawideband microwave detection system and collected sequence of microwave scattering signals of breast tissue, we estimate and monitor the tumor size by using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method. According to the Gompertz tumor growth model, we established 3D breast electromagnetic models to simulate the tumor growth process in Computer Simulation Technology (CST) electromagnetic simulation platform. The experimental results finally indicate that the LSTM algorithm can predict the size and growth trend of the tumor well and realize the monitoring of breast tumors.

System or equipment prognosis and health management (PHM) has become more important than ever as modern industry develop. Normally PHM requires abundant prior information or statistic features to predict future system states, however an expert or accurate physical model is usually unavailable in practice. As an important trend of deep neural network algorithms, long short term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network (RNN) has been proven significantly practical and accurate in machine learning problems such as natural language processing (NLP) and time serial prediction. In this paper a novel fault prognosis approach using LSTM based on vibration signal of rotating machinery is presented. It is proven that the capacity of machinery performance prediction with LSTM algorithm is improved with limited data available in a relatively short time period. The proposed LSTM approach, compared with other prognosis methods, gives a successful outcomes that may enhance the ability of health management and machine condition monitoring. It is proven that the proposed approach is superior and more practical for machine prognosis in complex bearing systems.

Recurring wildfires pose a critical global issue as they undermine social and economic stability and jeopardize human lives. To effectively manage disasters and bolster community resilience, the development of wildfire susceptibility maps (WFSMs) has emerged as a crucial undertaking in recent years. In this research endeavor, two deep learning algorithms were leveraged to generate WFSMs using two distinct remote sensing datasets. Specifically, the Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Landsat-8 images were utilized to monitor wildfires that transpired during the year 2021. To develop an effective WFSM, two datasets were created by incorporating 599 wildfire locations with Landsat-8 images and 232 sites with MODIS images, as well as twelve factors influencing wildfires. Deep learning algorithms, namely the long short-term memory (LSTM) and recurrent neural network (RNN), were utilized to model wildfire susceptibility using the two datasets. Subsequently, four WFSMs were generated using the LSTM (MODIS), LSTM (Landsat-8), RNN (MODIS), and RNN (Landsat-8) algorithms. The evaluation of the WFSMs was performed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) index. The results revealed that the RNN (MODIS) (AUC = 0.971), RNN (Landsat-8) (AUC = 0.966), LSTM (MODIS) (AUC = 0.964), and LSTM (Landsat-8) (AUC = 0.941) algorithms demonstrated the highest modeling accuracy, respectively. Moreover, the Gini index was employed to assess the impact of the twelve factors on wildfires in the study area. The results of the random forest (RF) algorithm indicated that temperature, wind speed, slope, and topographic wetness index (TWI) parameters had a significant effect on wildfires in the study region. These findings are instrumental in facilitating efficient wildfire management and enhancing community resilience against the detrimental effects of wildfires.

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk merancang arsitektur model sistem pemantauan kualitas udara di Kota Bandung menggunakan empat parameter polutan utama: PM1.0, PM2.5, PM10, dan CO. Sistem ini dirancang dengan memanfaatkan algoritma Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) untuk memprediksi kualitas udara harian berdasarkan data historis. Fokus penelitian meliputi perancangan desain arsitektur sistem, model data, dan metode prediksi, yang disusun berdasarkan analisis arsitektur sebelumnya serta kajian literatur. Salah satu elemen penting dan kebaruan dalam penelitian ini adalah penggunaan sensor ZH03B untuk pemantauan kualitas udara secara real-time yang memberikan solusi hemat biaya dan dapat diandalkan. Kombinasi antara sensor real-time dan algoritma LSTM menghasilkan tingkat akurasi prediksi kualitas udara sebesar 88%. Hasil evaluasi model menunjukkan nilai Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) sebesar 2,68 yang mencerminkan kinerja prediksi yang baik. Selain itu, pendekatan ini memberikan peningkatan signifikan dibandingkan metode konvensional yang sering kali kurang responsif terhadap perubahan kualitas udara secara dinamis. Penelitian ini memberikan dasar yang kuat untuk pengembangan sistem monitoring kualitas udara yang lebih akurat dan adaptif. Arsitektur yang diusulkan dapat menjadi acuan untuk pengembangan sistem monitoring kualitas udara di masa depan. Abstract This research aims to design the architecture of an air quality monitoring system model in Bandung City using four main pollutant parameters: PM1.0, PM2.5, PM10, and CO. The system is designed by utilising the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm to predict daily air quality based on historical data. The focus of the research includes the design of the system architecture, data model, and prediction method, which were developed based on previous architecture analysis and literature review. One important element and novelty in this research is the use of the ZH03B sensor for real-time air quality monitoring which provides a cost-effective and reliable solution. The combination of the real-time sensor and the LSTM algorithm resulted in an air quality prediction accuracy rate of 88%. The model evaluation results show a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value of 2.68 which reflects good prediction performance. In addition, this approach provides a significant improvement over conventional methods that are often less responsive to dynamic changes in air quality. This research provides a solid foundation for the development of a more accurate and adaptive air quality monitoring system. The proposed architecture can serve as a reference for the development of future air quality monitoring systems.

COVID-19 pandemic has indeed plunged the global community especially African countries into an alarming difficult situationculminating into a great deal amounts of catastrophes such as economic recession, political instability and loss of jobs. Thepandemic spreads exponentially and causes loss of lives. Following the outbreak of the omicron new variant of concern,forecasting and identification of the COVID-19 infection cases is very vital for government at various levels. Hence, havingknowledge of the spread at a particular point in time, swift actions can be taken by government at various levels with a view toaccordingly formulate new policies and modalities towards minimizing the trajectory of the consequences of COVID-19 pandemicto both public health and economic sectors. Here, a potent combination of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) learning algorithm along with Long Short Term Memory(LSTM) learning algorithm has been proposed in this work in order to produce a hybrid of a deep learning algorithm ConvolutionalNeural Network - Long Short Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) for forecasting COVID-19 infection cases particularly in Nigeria, SouthAfrica and Botswana. Forecasting models for COVID-19 infection cases in Nigeria, South Africa and Botswana, were developedfor 10 days using deep learning-based approaches namely CNN, LSTM and CNN-LSTM deep learning algorithm respectively. The models were evaluated on the basis of four standard performance evaluation metrics which include accuracy, MSE, MAEand RMSE respectively. However, the CNN-LSTM deep learning-based forecasting model achieved the best accuracy of98.30%, 97.60%, and 97.74% for Nigeria, South Africa and Botswana respectively; and in the same manner, achieved lesserMSE, MAE and RMSE values compared to models developed with CNN and LSTM respectively. Taken together, the CNN-LSTM deep learning-based forecasting model for COVID-19 infection cases in Nigeria, South Africaand Botswana dramatically surpasses the two other DL based forecasting models (CNN and LSTM) for COVID-19 infectioncases in Nigeria, South Africa and Botswana in terms of not only the best accuracy of with 98.30%, 97.60%, and 97.74% but alsoin terms of lesser MSE, MAE and RMSE.

Stock market are broadly referring to the collection of exchanges and venues where buyers and sellers meet to exchange equity shares of public corporations. Stock market are components of free-market economy because they enable democratized to access to trading and exchange of capital for investors of all kinds. In stock market, there could be lose your entire investment. If a company does poorly, investors will sell, sending the stock price plummeting. When you sell, will lose the initial investment. To overcome this, with the comparison and analyzed a variety of Neural Network prediction methods and algorithms, the pipeline works with LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) algorithm are more efficient and help to give more accuracy of prediction. The goal of this project is to predict the Stock price moment in the various time frame and the factor that market price will show the additional accurate and efficiency.

Accurate weather forecasts play an important role in today's world as various sectors such as marine, navigation, agriculture and industry are basically dependent on weather conditions. Weather forecasts are also used to predict the occurrence of natural disasters. Weather forecasting determines the exact value of weather parameters and then predicts future weather conditions. In this study the parameters used are. Different weather parameters were collected from the Serang Maritime Meteorological Station and then analyzed using a neural network-based algorithm, namely Long-short term memory (LSTM). In predicting future weather conditions using LSTM neural networks are trained using a combination of different weather parameters, the weather parameters used are temperature, humidity, rainfall, and wind speed. After training the LSTM model using these parameters, future weather predictions are performed. The prediction results are then evaluated using RMSE. Prediction results show that the model is more accurate when predicting temperature data with RMSE 0.37, then RMSE wind speed 0.72, RMSE sunlight 2.79, and RMSE humidity 5.05. This means that the model is very good at studying weather data, inversely proportional to humidity data.

To achieve global sustainability goals and meet the urgent demands of carbon neutrality, China is continuously transforming its energy structure. In this process, electric vehicles (EVs) are playing an increasingly important role in energy transition and have become one of the primary user groups in the electricity market. Traditional load prediction algorithms have difficulty in constructing mathematical models for predicting the charging load of electric vehicles, which is characterized by high randomness, high volatility, and high spatial heterogeneity. Moreover, the predicted results often exhibit a certain degree of lag. Therefore, this study approaches the analysis from two perspectives: the overall industrial park and individual charging stations. By analyzing specific load data, the overall framework for the training dataset was established. Additionally, based on the evaluation system proposed in this study and utilizing both Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithms, a framework for machine learning-based load prediction methods was constructed to forecast electric vehicle charging loads in industrial parks. Through a case analysis, it was found that the proposed solution for the short-term prediction of the charging load in industrial park electric vehicles can achieve accurate and stable forecasting results. Specifically, in terms of data prediction for normal working days and statutory holidays, the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) algorithm demonstrated high accuracy, with R2 coefficients of 0.9283 and 0.9154, respectively, indicating the good interpretability of the model. In terms of weekend holiday data prediction, the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) algorithm achieved an R2 coefficient of as high as 0.9586, significantly surpassing the LSTM algorithm’s value of 0.9415, demonstrating superior performance.