An Enriched Performance Measure Approach (PMA+) for Reliability-Based Design Optimization Process

An enriched performance measure approach is presented for reliability-based design optimization to substantially improve computational efficiency when applied to large-scale applications. In the enriched performance measure approach, four improvements are made over the original performance measure approach: as a way to launch reliability-based design optimization at a deterministic optimum design, as a new enhanced hybrid-mean value method, as an efficient probabilistic feasibility check, and as a fast reliability analysis under the condition of design closeness. It is found that deterministic design optimization helps improve numerical efficiency by reducing some reliability-based design optimization iterations. In reliability-based design optimization, a computational burden on the feasibility check of constraints can be significantly reduced by using a mean value first-order method and by carrying out the refined reliability analysis using the enhanced hybrid-mean value method for e-active and violated constraints. The enhanced hybrid-mean value method is developed to handle nonlinear and/or nonmonotonic constraints in reliability analysis. The fast reliability analysis method is proposed to efficiently evaluate probabilistic constraints under the condition of design closeness. Moreover, two numerical examples are provided to compare the enriched performance measure approach to existing reliability-based design optimization methods from a numerical efficiency and stability point of view.

Because deterministic optimum designs obtained without taking uncertainty into account could lead to unreliable designs, a reliability-based approach to design optimization is preferable using a Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO) method. A typical RBDO process iteratively carries out a design optimization in an original random space (X-space) and a reliability analysis in an independent and standard normal random space (U-space). This process requires numerous nonlinear mappings between X- and U-spaces for various probability distributions. Therefore, the nonlinearity of the RBDO problem will depend on the type of distribution of random parameters, since a transformation between X- and U-spaces introduces additional nonlinearity into the reliability-based performance measures evaluated during the RBDO process. The evaluation of probabilistic constraints in RBDO can be carried out in two ways: using either the Reliability Index Approach (RIA), or the Performance Measure Approach (PMA). Different reliability analysis approaches employed in RIA and PMA result in different behaviors of nonlinearity for RIA and PMA in the RBDO process. In this paper, it is shown that RIA becomes much more difficult to solve for non-normally distributed random parameters because of the highly nonlinear transformations that are involved. However, PMA is rather independent of probability distributions because it only has a small involvement with a nonlinear transformation.

The design of reinforced concrete (RC) structures involves several kinds of uncertainties, which are usually considered through the partial safety factors prescribed in the codes of practice. The traditional design optimization of RC structures uses deterministic information of the problem. The partial safety factors are used to consider loading fluctuation and the variability of material properties. The use of these safety factors in deterministic optimization usually leads to over-designing structures, as these safety factors are calibrated for a large class of structures. In the deterministic optimization procedure the reliability cannot be controlled. For this reason, the Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO) is devoted to design economical and reliable structures. However, the RBDO problem involves the evaluation of probabilistic constraints performed by the reliability analysis. The most common RBDO formulations are based on a nested optimization problem, with an outer loop for the design optimization and an inner loop for the reliability analysis. Therefore, an expensive computation effort is required to solve the RBDO problem. In this paper, a new RBDO method of RC structures is proposed. The RBDO problem is decomposed to several cycles of deterministic design optimization (DDO) based on new safety factors called Optimal System Safety Factors (OSSF). At each cycle of the DDO, the system reliability analysis is performed to verify the reliability of the optimal design, the OSSF are computed by a probabilistic method on the basis of the previous system reliability analysis, then the updated OSSF are provided for the next cycle of the DDO. The application to the design of an RC structure shows the interest and the efficiency of the proposed method.

Using Kriging model in the reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) process can reduce the computational cost effectively. However, the constraints in practical problems are often highly nonlinear and black box functions, and the cost of evaluations at design points is very high, such as the finite element analysis (FEA). So building accurate Kriging models will consume a huge amount of computing resources. Moreover, complex constraint functions will lead to the local minimum in the design space, which makes it difficult to get the global optimum. To cope with this problem, an adaptive sampling method based RBDO process (AS-RBDO) is proposed by introducing two new sampling criterions. The first criterion is built based on the support vector machine (SVM) and the sigmoid function. And the second criterion is built based on the improvement of the constraint boundary sampling (CBS) method. With the use of new strategies, AS-RBDO can not only guide the optimization to the global optimal direction, but also update the Kriging model only in the local range that has the greatest impact on the results of RBDO. Thus the unnecessary sampling and evaluations can be avoided effectively. Several examples are selected to test the computation capability of the proposed method. The results show that AS-RBDO can effectively improve the efficiency of the RBDO process.

To obtain reliable designs, aleatory and epistemic uncertainties are considered recently in the structural analysis and design optimization. The reliability based de-sign optimization (RBDO) method [1] is used when the amount of input data is sufficient enough to create accurate statistical distribution. On the other hand, when the sufficient input data are not available due to limitations in time, human, and facility resources, the optimum design may not be reliable if RBDO method is used. To deal with the situation that input uncertainties have insufficient information, a possibility (or fuzzy set) method can be used for structural analysis and possibility based design optimization (PBDO) [2]. However, in many industry design problems, we may have to deal with design problems that involve with the mixed input statistical random and fuzzy variables simultaneously. For these problems, RBDO may yield unreliable optimum designs because of insufficient data. On the other hand, treating the random variables as fuzzy variables and invoking PBDO to solve the mixed design variable problem may yield too conservative designs with higher optimum costs. This paper proposes a new mixed variable design optimization (MVDO) problem based on the performance measure approach (PMA) [1]. To evaluate the possibilistic constraint in MVDO, a sub-optimization problem for inverse analysis is carried out using a hyper-cylinder domain. To solve this sub-problem efficiently and effectively, a new numerical algorithm, maximum failure search (MFS) method, is proposed in this paper by combining the enhanced hybrid mean value (HMV+) method [3] for the inverse reliability analysis in RBDO and the maximal possibility search (MPS) method [2] for the inverse possibility analysis in PBDO. Some mathematical examples are used to demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of the proposed numerical MFS method. Some physical design examples are used to compare the proposed MVDO results with RBDO and PBDO results.

<p>The primary objective of this study is to develop new computational methods for robust design optimization (RDO) and reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) of high-dimensional, complex engineering systems. Four major research directions, all anchored in polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), have been defined to meet the objective. They involve: (1) development of new sensitivity analysis methods for RDO and RBDO; (2) development of novel optimization methods for solving RDO problems; (3) development of novel optimization methods for solving RBDO problems; and (4) development of a novel scheme and formulation to solve stochastic design optimization problems with both distributional and structural design parameters.</p> <p>The major achievements are as follows. Firstly, three new computational methods were developed for calculating design sensitivities of statistical moments and reliability of high-dimensional complex systems subject to random inputs. The first method represents a novel integration of PDD of a multivariate stochastic response function and score functions, leading to analytical expressions of design sensitivities of the first two moments. The second and third methods, relevant to probability distribution or reliability analysis, exploit two distinct combinations built on PDD: the PDD-SPA method, entailing the saddlepoint approximation (SPA) and score functions; and the PDD-MCS method, utilizing the embedded Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) of the PDD approximation and score functions. For all three methods developed, both the statistical moments or failure probabilities and their design sensitivities are both determined concurrently from a single stochastic analysis or simulation. Secondly, four new methods were developed for RDO of complex engineering systems. The methods involve PDD of a high-dimensional stochastic response for statistical moment analysis, a novel integration of PDD and score functions for calculating the second-moment sensitivities with respect to the design variables, and standard gradient-based optimization algorithms. The methods, depending on how statistical moment and sensitivity analyses are dovetailed with an optimization algorithm, encompass direct, single-step, sequential, and multi-point single-step design processes. Thirdly, two new methods were developed for RBDO of complex engineering systems. The methods involve an adaptive-sparse polynomial dimensional decomposition (AS-PDD) of a high-dimensional stochastic response for reliability analysis, a novel integration of AS-PDD and score functions for calculating the sensitivities of the failure probability with respect to design variables, and standard gradient-based optimization algorithms, resulting in a multi-point, single-step design process. The two methods, depending on how the failure probability and its design sensitivities are evaluated, exploit two distinct combinations built on AS-PDD: the AS-PDD-SPA method, entailing SPA and score functions; and the AS-PDD-MCS method, utilizing the embedded MCS of the AS-PDD approximation and score functions. In addition, a new method, named as the augmented PDD method, was developed for RDO and RBDO subject to mixed design variables, comprising both distributional and structural design variables. The method comprises a new augmented PDD of a high-dimensional stochastic response for statistical moment and reliability analyses; an integration of the augmented PDD, score functions, and finite-difference approximation for calculating the sensitivities of the first two moments and the failure probability with respect to distributional and structural design variables; and standard gradient-based optimization algorithms, leading to a multi-point, single-step design process.</p> <p>The innovative formulations of statistical moment and reliability analysis, design sensitivity analysis, and optimization algorithms have achieved not only highly accurate but also computationally efficient design solutions. Therefore, these new methods are capable of performing industrial-scale design optimization with numerous design variables.</p>

This study performed reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) of stator and rotor shape of the IPM type electric motor to reduce the torque ripple considering uncertainties. A metamodel based on the design of experiments results, which was calculated by using 2-D electromagnetic finite element analysis, was used to calculate manufacturing uncertainties and material property distribution. As a result, the mean torque ripple of the optimum electric motor design was reduced by 56.4 % and the robustness was increased by 61.8 % compared with the initial design. The RBRDO design was compared with the designs of deterministic design optimization and reliability-based design optimization, and it was shown that, by using the RBRDO method, the optimum IPMSM can be designed to satisfying not only the minimum torque ripple but also the robustness and the reliability of output torque and torque ripple.

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to study the consideration of uncertainty from analysis modules for aircraft conceptual design by implementing uncertainty-based design optimization methods. Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO), Possibility-Based Design Optimization (PBDO) and Robust Design Optimization (RDO) methods were developed to handle uncertainties of design optimization. The RBDO method is found suitable for uncertain parameters when sufficient information is available. On the other hand, the PBDO method is proposed when uncertain parameters have insufficient information. The RDO method can apply to both cases. The RBDO, PBDO and RDO methods were considered with the Multidisciplinary Design Optimization (MDO) method to generate conservative design results when low fidelity analysis tools are used. Design/methodology/approach – Methods combining MDO with RBDO, PBDO and RDO were developed and have been applied to a numerical analysis and an aircraft conceptual design. This research eva...

<div class="section abstract"><div class="htmlview paragraph">Automotive wheel bearings have the primary function of translating the rotating motion of the wheels into linear vehicle motion while supporting the vehicle weight. As vehicle lives continue to increase, there is a need for longer service lives than those of existing products. There is an even greater need for performance-related reliability during usage. Lateral stiffness, one of the main parameters of wheel bearing design, has a significant influence on ride comfort and steering feel. In this study, reliability-based weight optimization considering geometric uncertainty for automotive wheel bearings was investigated. Deterministic design optimization (DDO) and reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) were performed. For optimization, the following three key relationships were chosen: wheel bearing specification and geometry for design variables, weight for cost function, and stiffness for constraint. A Monte Carlo simulation considering the probability distribution of the geometric uncertainties was performed to identify the effect of variations in dimensions. Since Monte Carlo simulation to analyze the stiffness of the bearings takes a very high computational cost, a regression analysis was performed, followed by running Monte Carlo simulation based on this regression. Based on the simulation results, the design variations for the automotive wheel bearings were evaluated using the results of the Monte Carlo simulation. The results showed that the DDO and RBDO reduced weight by about 36% and 17% respectively, compared with their initial weight.</div></div>

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) is a technique used for engineering design when uncertainty is being considered. A typical RBDO problem can be formulated as a stochastic optimization model where the performance of a system is optimized and the reliability requirements are treated as constraints. One major challenge of RBDO research has been the prohibitive computational expenses. In this research, a new approximation approach, termed the single-loop deterministic method for RBDO (SLDM_RBDO), is proposed to reduce the computational effort of RBDO without sacrificing much accuracy. Based on the first order reliability method, the SLDM_RBDO method converts the probabilistic constraints to approximate deterministic constraints so that the RBDO problems can be transformed to deterministic optimization problems in one step. Three comparison experiments are conducted to show the performance of the SLDM_RBDO. In addition, a reliable forearm crutch design is studied to demonstrate the applicability of SLDM_RBDO to a real industry case.

Multi-level Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO) study for electronic cooling: Application of heat sink based on multiple phase change materials enhanced with carbon nanoparticles

A novel reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) method using simulation-based techniques for reliability assessments and efficient optimization approach is presented in this paper. In RBDO, model-based reliability analysis needs to be performed to calculate the probability of not satisfying a reliability constraint and the gradient of this probability with respect to each design variable. Among model-based methods, the most widely used in RBDO is the first-order reliability method (FORM). However, FORM could be inaccurate for nonlinear problems and is not applicable for system reliability problems. This paper develops an efficient optimization methodology to perform RBDO using simulation-based techniques. By combining analytical and simulation-based reliability methods, accurate probability of failure and sensitivity information is obtained. The use of simulation also enables both component and system-level reliabilities to be included in RBDO formulation. Instead of using a traditional RBDO formulation in which optimization and reliability computations are nested, a sequential approach is developed to greatly reduce the computational cost. The efficiency of the proposed RBDO approach is enhanced by using a multi-modal adaptive importance sampling technique for simulation-based reliability assessment; and by treating the inactive reliability constraints properly in optimization. A vehicle side impact problem is used to demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed method.

Optimization is the act of obtaining the best possible result under established conditions. Usually, the optimization of a structural design is done considering the structure's dimensions, the materials' properties, and the loads as deterministic values. This way, the optimization process can lead to a more economical design without guaranteeing that this structure is safe. In practice, there are always uncertainties about the final dimensions of the built structure, material properties, and loads. Then, the need arises to use design optimization techniques based on reliability to guarantee a project that is both economical and safe. This objective is achieved by including uncertainties in the optimization process. This article evaluates the parameters that determine the global minimum of the optimization methods DDO (Deterministic Design Optimization) and RBDO (Reliability-Based Design Optimization). This work aims to compare the structural optimization methods of DDO and RBDO through an example. The results are obtained through the codes of the methods implemented in the Python language and show that when comparing the two optimization methods, the presence of uncertainties alters the optimal solution.

To reduce the cost of prototype and physical test, CAE analysis has been widely used to evaluate the vehicle performance during product development process. Combining CAE analysis and optimization approach, vehicle design process can be implemented more efficiently with affordable cost. Reliability based design optimization (RBDO) formulation considers variations of input variables, such as component gauges and material properties. As a result, the design obtained by using RBDO is more reliable and robust compared to those by deterministic optimization. The RBDO process starts from running simulation at DOE sampling data points, generating surrogate models (response surface) and performing robust and reliability based design optimization on the surrogate models by using Monte Carlo simulation. This paper presents a RBDO framework in Excel enviroment. Within this framework, the engineer can perform DOE sampling, surrogate modeling, robustness assessment, Monte Carlo simulation, robust design and reliability-based optimization with any type of distribution.

ABSTRACTThe evaluation of the probabilistic constraints in reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problems has always been significant and challenging work, which strongly affects the performance of RBDO methods. This article deals with RBDO problems using a recently developed generalized subset simulation (GSS) method and a posterior approximation approach. The posterior approximation approach is used to transform all the probabilistic constraints into ordinary constraints as in deterministic optimization. The assessment of multiple failure probabilities required by the posterior approximation approach is achieved by GSS in a single run at all supporting points, which are selected by a proper experimental design scheme combining Sobol’ sequences and Bucher’s design. Sequentially, the transformed deterministic design optimization problem can be solved by optimization algorithms, for example, the sequential quadratic programming method. Three optimization problems are used to demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method.