Analysis of structural reliability from time response using fully probabilistic

Surrogate modeling immersed probability density evolution method for structural reliability analysis in high dimensions

Comparison of PDEM and MCS: Accuracy and efficiency

Reliability assessment of stochastic dynamical systems using physics informed neural network based PDEM

Physics guided wavelet convolutional neural network for wind-induced vibration modeling with application to structural dynamic reliability analysis

Probability density evolution method for seismic displacement-based assessment of earth retaining structures

A novel method is proposed in this work for the assessment of the remaining fatigue life and fatigue reliability of concrete bridges subjected to random loads. The fatigue reliability of a bridge is a function of the fatigue damage accumulation; a stochastic fatigue damage model (SFDM) with physical mechanism is introduced for deriving the fatigue damage process. In order to implement the probabilistic analysis, based on the probability density evolution method (PDEM), the generalised density evolution equation (GDEE) for the remaining fatigue life is developed. Finally, a prestressed concrete continuous beam bridge located in China is illustrated. The random fatigue load acting on the bridge is modelled as the compound Poisson process, and the simulation of the random load uses the stochastic harmonic function (SHF) method. To simplify the reliability analysis, an equivalent constant-amplitude (ECA) load process is introduced based on energy equivalence. By employing SFDM, the finite element analysis of the bridge under the fatigue loading is performed. Then, the fatigue damage accumulation process of the bridge under the fatigue loading is obtained. Through solving the probability density evolution equation for the remaining fatigue life, the probability density functions (PDFs) of the remaining fatigue life evolving with time is obtained. The fatigue reliability is then calculated by integrating the PDF of the corresponding remaining life.

Running trains on a long-span bridge under earthquake is an inevitable problem for the high-speed railway in seismic regions. This paper aims to investigate the seismically random dynamic behavior of train–cable stayed bridges interaction system using the probability density evolution method (PDEM). The system simultaneously involves the multi-effect of random multi-point earthquake excitations with traveling waves and random track irregularity. The multi-point earthquake excitations, composed of lateral and vertical positions, are generated by stochastic harmful functions (SHFs) and uniformly modulated into nonstationary random processes. The motion equation of such a system is established by coupling the 38-degree vehicles and bridges through the refined random wheel/rail contact relationship and accounting for the phase-lags of seismic travelling waves between pier excitations. PDEM is proven to be applicable to such time-dependent systems and is then used to transform the random excitations into a series of deterministic representative excitations with initial probability. By solving for the corresponding deterministic probability responses, various nonstationary random responses, including the time-dependent probability density evolution functions of random responses, mean values curves and standard deviations, can be obtained easily. A case study based on the cable-stayed bridge is then presented, and the results show the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed method by comparison with Monte Carlo Simulation. Additionally, the influence of train speed and seismic intensity on the safety and reliability of trains is discussed.

Uncertainty propagation of flutter analysis for long-span bridges using probability density evolution method

Seismic assessment is essential to maintain pile-supported wharves (PSW) functionality and limit earthquake losses. However, existing studies have not fully addressed the stochastic dynamic response of PSW systems and the evolution of their time-dependent seismic reliability. To address this, a Probability Density Evolution Method (PDEM)-based framework is developed to quantify reliability degradation under stochastic excitation. The results indicate pronounced non-Gaussian evolution of the response probability density over time, including broadening, peak reduction, skewness, and multimodality. Consistently, the system reliability exhibits a non-smooth, stepwise decline, implying that the underlying response process deviates from conventional Poisson or Markovian assumptions.

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to briefly summarize and review the theories and methods of complex structures’ dynamic reliability. Complex structures are usually assembled from multiple components and subjected to time-varying loads of aerodynamic, structural, thermal and other physical fields; its reliability analysis is of great significance to ensure the safe operation of large-scale equipment such as aviation and machinery.Design/methodology/approachIn this paper for the single-objective dynamic reliability analysis of complex structures, the calculation can be categorized into Monte Carlo (MC), outcrossing rate, envelope functions and extreme value methods. The series-parallel and expansion methods, multi-extremum surrogate models and decomposed-coordinated surrogate models are summarized for the multiobjective dynamic reliability analysis of complex structures.FindingsThe numerical complex compound function and turbine blisk are used as examples to illustrate the performance of single-objective and multiobjective dynamic reliability analysis methods. Then the future development direction of dynamic reliability analysis of complex structures is prospected.Originality/valueThe paper provides a useful reference for further theoretical research and engineering application.

A PDEM based new methodology for stochastic dynamic stability control of nonlinear structures with fractional-type viscoelastic dampers

In the present paper, a framework of dimension-reduction modeling method is developed for a dual stochastic dynamic structural system of spectrum-compatible non-stationary stochastic ground motion processes and stochastic structures. With the aid of the proposed method, the random variables used to describe the stochastic characteristics of the non-stationary ground motion processes and the structural parameters are respectively represented by the one-elementary-random-variable functions, contributing to an entire stochastic dynamic structural system readily described by merely two elementary random variables. Owing to the fact that the number of the elementary random variables needed is extremely small, the set of the representative points associated with the elementary random variables can thus be selected by the widely-used number theoretical method, and then the probability density evolution method can be conveniently combined to conduct the dynamic response analysis and dynamic reliability evaluation of nonlinear stochastic structures. In the numerical examples, the probability density evolution analysis of an eight-storey reinforced concrete frame structure with random parameters subjected to spectrum-compatible non-stationary stochastic ground motion processes is investigated as a case study. Numerical results fully demonstrated the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method.

Limit analysis of stochastic structures in the framework of the Probability Density Evolution Method

Reliability assessment and performance improvement of long-span roof structure subjected to coupled wind-snow multi-hazard

Probability density evolution method based stochastic simulation of near-fault pulse-like ground motions