Bagging-gradient boosting decision tree based milling cutter wear status prediction modelling

During the long-term operation of wind turbines, due to environmental factors and equipment aging, the health and reliability of each component will gradually decline, leading to failure. To assess the health status of wind turbines, timely grasp the subsequent changes and development trends, it is necessary to extract degradation characteristics, including time domain, frequency domain, and time-frequency domain characteristics. These degradation characteristics can reflect the operating status of the equipment, help build health indicator curves, and evaluate the health status of high-speed shaft bearings of wind turbines. Selecting reasonable degradation characteristics is an important prerequisite for constructing a health index curve, and using evaluation indicators to construct a comprehensive evaluation function to screen degradation characteristics. The feature fusion method based on a self-organizing feature mapping network is used to fuse multiple selected degradation features and fuse the selected multiple degradation features into a curve that can reflect the bearing degradation process. Finally, a quantitative analysis is performed on the health index curve to scientifically assess the health status of bearings. Bearings are one of the key components of wind turbines. Based on the health index curve constructed in this article, an appropriate prediction model is selected to predict the health index trend of bearings. A timely and effective grasp of the health trends of wind turbine bearings is of great practical significance for formulating scientific and reasonable maintenance measures for wind farms. The work of this article will be divided into the following four parts: (1) Extracting the time domain, frequency domain, and time-frequency domain degradation characteristics of high-speed shaft bearing vibration signals of wind turbines; (2) Comprehensive evaluation using monotonicity, correlation, and robustness constructs function to screen degenerate features; (3) Use self-organizing feature mapping network. The network integrates the selected degradation features and constructs a health index curve; (4) Based on the constructed health index curve, optimize the BiLSTM network hyperparameters through Bayesian and establish a BO-BiLSTM network model to achieve a more accurate and scientific prediction of the health index trend.

In this paper, we propose a novel method for the detection of road accidents by analyzing audio streams for road surveillance application. In the last decade, due to the increase in a number of people and transportation vehicles, traffic accidents have become one of a major public issue worldwide. The vast number of injuries and death due to road traffic accident reveals the story of a global crisis of road safety. A total of 52,160 road traffic accidents (RTA), 1130 injuries and 85 fatalities were registered during the year 2000, in the state of Qatar. An increase in the number of transportation vehicles around cities has risen the need for more security and safety in public environments. The most obvious reason for a person's death during accidents is the absence or prolong response time of the first aid facility, which is due to the delay in the information of the accident being reached to the police, hospital or ambulance team. In the last couple of years, several surveillance systems have been proposed based on image and video processing for automatically detecting road accidents and car crashes to ensure a quick response by emergency teams. However, in some situations such as adverse weather conditions or cluttered environments, the visual information is not sufficient enough, whereas analyzing the audio tracks can significantly improve the overall reliability of surveillance systems. In this paper we propose a novel method that automatically identifies hazardous situations such as tire skidding and car crashes in presence of background noises, by analyzing the audio streams. Previous studies show that methods for the detection, estimation, and classification of nonstationary signals can be enhanced by utilizing the time-frequency (TF) characteristics of such signals. The TF-based techniques have been proved to outperform classical techniques based on either time or frequency domains, in analyzing real-life nonstationary signals. Time-frequency distributions (TFDs) give additional information about signals that cannot be extracted from either the time domain or frequency domain representations, i.e. the instantaneous frequency of the components of a signal. In order to utilize this extra information provided by TF domain representation, the proposed approach extracts TF image features from quadratic time-frequency distributions (QTFDs), for the detection of audio anomalies. The extended modified-B distribution (EMBD) is utilized to transform a 1-dimensional audio signal into 2-dimensional TF representation which is interpreted as an image. The image descriptors based features are then extracted from the TF representation to classify visually the audio signals into background or abnormal activity patterns in the TF domain. The proposed features are based on Haralick's texture features extracted from the TF representation of audio signals considered and processed as a textured image. These features are used to characterize and hence classify audio signals into M classes. This research study demonstrates that a TF image pattern recognition approach offers significant advantages over standard signal classification methods that utilize either t-domain only or f-domain only features. The proposed method has been experimentally validated on a large open source database of sounds, including several kinds of background noise. The events to be recognized are superimposed on different background sounds of roads and traffic jam. The obtained results are compared with a recent study, utilizing the same large and complex data set of audio signals, and the same experimental setup. The overall classification results confirm the superior performance of the proposed approach with accuracy improvement up to 6%.

BackgroundEmergency department boarding and hospital exit block are primary causes of emergency department crowding and have been conclusively associated with poor patient outcomes and major threats to patient safety. Boarding occurs when a patient is delayed or blocked from transitioning out of the emergency department because of dysfunctional transition or bed assignment processes. Predictive models for estimating the probability of an occurrence of this type could be useful in reducing or preventing emergency department boarding and hospital exit block, to reduce emergency department crowding.ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to identify and appraise the predictive performance, predictor utility, model application, and model utility of hospital admission prediction models that utilized prehospital, adult patient data and aimed to address emergency department crowding.MethodsWe searched multiple databases for studies, from inception to September 30, 2019, that evaluated models predicting adult patients’ imminent hospital admission, with prehospital patient data and regression analysis. We used PROBAST (Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool) and CHARMS (Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modeling Studies) to critically assess studies.ResultsPotential biases were found in most studies, which suggested that each model’s predictive performance required further investigation. We found that select prehospital patient data contribute to the identification of patients requiring hospital admission. Biomarker predictors may add superior value and advantages to models. It is, however, important to note that no models had been integrated with an information system or workflow, operated independently as electronic devices, or operated in real time within the care environment. Several models could be used at the site-of-care in real time without digital devices, which would make them suitable for low-technology or no-electricity environments.ConclusionsThere is incredible potential for prehospital admission prediction models to improve patient care and hospital operations. Patient data can be utilized to act as predictors and as data-driven, actionable tools to identify patients likely to require imminent hospital admission and reduce patient boarding and crowding in emergency departments. Prediction models can be used to justify earlier patient admission and care, to lower morbidity and mortality, and models that utilize biomarker predictors offer additional advantages.

A fundamental part of medical research is the development and validation of diagnostic and prognostic prediction models [1,2]. These prediction models aim to predict the absolute probability that a certain disease or condition is currently present (diagnostic models) or that an outcome will occur within a specific follow-up period (prognostic models) for an individual subject. Prediction models typically rely on multiple predictors, which can include demographic characteristics, medical history and physical examination items, or more complex measurements from, for example, medical imaging, electrophysiology, pathology, and biomarkers. Also for diagnostic models, estimates of probabilities are rarely based on a single test, and doctors naturally integrate several patient characteristics and symptoms [3]. A broad range of prediction modeling techniques exist, like regression approaches, neural network models, decision tree models, genetic programming models, and support vector machine learning models, although prediction models developed by a multivariable regression approach are by far prevailing. It is widely recommended that a developed prediction model should not be used in practice before being externally validated—at least once—in other individuals than those used for model development [4–7]. Unfortunately, most prediction models are poorly or not at all validated, rendering interpretation of their generalizability difficult. In addition, many systematic reviews showed that for the same outcome or same target population, numerous competing models exist [8–10]. Generally speaking, researchers often ignore existing prediction models and develop yet another prediction model from their own data [2]. This practice sustains a cycle of underpowered prediction model development studies and poor knowledge about the generalizability and applicability of developed prediction models. Evidence synthesis and meta-analysis of individual participant data (IPD) from multiple studies seems to be a unique opportunity to address these problems, as it allows researchers to develop and directly validate models on large datasets and across a wide range of populations and settings, to directly test a model’s generalizability (Fig 1) [11–13]. Fig 1 Trends in publications of IPD-MA studies focusing on the development and/or validation of diagnostic or prognostic prediction models. There is currently little guidance on how to conduct an IPD meta-analysis (IPD-MA) for developing and/or validating diagnostic or prognostic prediction models [15]. To date, most IPD-MA articles focus on estimating relative quantities, like a risk ratio, hazard ratio, or odds ratio for a specific treatment or a specific etiologic factor. In contrast, prediction modeling research is focused on developing and validating multivariable models aimed at calculating an absolute risk estimate of the combined variables, rather than estimating the relative effect of a specific treatment or etiologic factor. Furthermore, prediction modeling studies focus entirely on the role and joint contribution of multiple covariates, whereas intervention studies in principle rely on randomization to reduce the role of covariates (Table 1). Hence, IPD-MAs of randomized intervention and etiological studies, which are beyond the scope of this paper and are instead addressed in the accompanying paper [16], differ from IPD-MAs of multivariable prediction models, which are the focus of this paper. Table 1 The main differences between IPD-MA of treatment intervention studies and of multivariable prediction modeling studies. We provide an overview of the advantages and limitations of IPD-MAs aiming to develop a novel prediction model or to validate one or more existing models across multiple datasets. This overview is based on published guidelines and existing recommendations for the conduct of prediction modeling studies and of IPD-MA research. We illustrate this overview with examples of recently published IPD-MAs of prediction models across various medical domains. Our aim is to help researchers, readers, reviewers, and editors to identify and understand the key issues involved with such IPD-MA projects.

Existing expert systems have not improved the diagnostic accuracy of ventilator-associated pneumonia (VAP). The aim of this systematic literature review was to review and summarize state-of-the-art prediction models detecting or predicting VAP from exhaled breath, patient reports and demographic and clinical characteristics. Both diagnostic and prognostic prediction models were searched from a representative list of multidisciplinary databases. An extensive list of validated search terms was added to the search to cover papers failing to mention predictive research in their title or abstract. Two authors independently selected studies, while three authors extracted data using predefined criteria and data extraction forms. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool was used to assess both the risk of bias and the applicability of the prediction modelling studies. Technology readiness was also assessed. Out of 2052 identified studies, 20 were included. Fourteen (70%) studies reported the predictive performance of diagnostic models to detect VAP from exhaled human breath with a high degree of sensitivity and a moderate specificity. In addition, the majority of them were validated on a realistic dataset. The rest of the studies reported the predictive performance of diagnostic and prognostic prediction models to detect VAP from unstructured narratives [2 (10%)] as well as baseline demographics and clinical characteristics [4 (20%)]. All studies, however, had either a high or unclear risk of bias without significant improvements in applicability. The development and deployment of prediction modelling studies are limited in VAP and related outcomes. More computational, translational, and clinical research is needed to bring these tools from the bench to the bedside. PROSPERO CRD42020180218, registered on 05-07-2020.

In this paper, three different classification methods, including the support vector machine (SVM), the deep learning method based on multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and multichannel convolutional neural network (multi-channel CNN), were used to classify 13 hand gestures. The surface electromyography (sEMG) were extracted from six muscles of hand and forearm. For the SVM and MLP, six features in the time domain, frequency domain and time-frequency domain were extracted. For the multi-channel CNN, a sliding window segment of the original sEMG image was used as the input. Hand gesture recognition based on deep learning had similar performance to traditional machine learning in off-line classification. Considering the high robustness and generalization ability, deep learning is likely a more robust alternative to traditional machine learning in the field of sEMG hand gesture recognition.

Wind turbines usually operate in harsh environments and in working conditions of variable speed, which easily causes their key components such as gearboxes to fail. The gearbox vibration signal of a wind turbine has nonstationary characteristics, and the existing time-frequency (TF) analysis (TFA) methods have some problems such as insufficient concentration of TF energy. In order to obtain a more apparent and more congregated time-frequency representation (TFR), this paper proposes a new TFA method, namely adaptive multiple second-order synchrosqueezing wavelet transform (AMWSST2). Firstly, a short-time window is innovatively introduced on the foundation of classical continuous wavelet transform, and the window width is adaptively optimized by using the center frequency and scale factor. After that, a smoothing process is carried out between different segments to eliminate the discontinuity and thus adaptive wavelet transform is generated. Then, on the basis of the theoretical framework of synchrosqueezing transform and accurate instantaneous frequency estimation by the utilization of second-order local demodulation operator, adaptive second-order synchrosqueezing wavelet transform (AWSST2) is formed. Considering that the quality of actual TFA is greatly disturbed by noise components, through performing multiple synchrosqueezing operations, the congregation of TFR energy is further improved, and finally, the AMWSST2 algorithm studied in this paper is proposed. Since synchrosqueezing operations are performed only in the frequency direction, this method AMWSST2 allows the signal to be perfectly reconstructed. For the verification of its effectiveness, this paper applies it to the processing of the vibration signal of the gearbox of a 750 kW wind turbine.

IntroductionPrediction models for gestational hypertension and preeclampsia have been developed with data and assumptions from developed countries. Their suitability and application for low resource settings have not been tested. This review aimed to identify and assess the methodological quality of prediction models for gestational hypertension and pre-eclampsia with reference to their application in low resource settings.MethodsUsing combinations of keywords for gestational hypertension, preeclampsia and prediction models seven databases were searched to identify prediction models developed with maternal data obtained before 20 weeks of pregnancy and including at least three predictors (Prospero registration CRD 42017078786). Prediction model characteristics and performance measures were extracted using the CHARMS, STROBE and TRIPOD checklists. The National Institute of Health quality assessment tools for observational cohort and cross-sectional studies were used for study quality appraisal.ResultsWe retrieved 8,309 articles out of which 40 articles were eligible for review. Seventy-seven percent of all the prediction models combined biomarkers with maternal clinical characteristics. Biomarkers used as predictors in most models were pregnancy associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) and placental growth factor (PlGF). Only five studies were conducted in a low-and middle income country.ConclusionsMost of the studies evaluated did not completely follow the CHARMS, TRIPOD and STROBE guidelines in prediction model development and reporting. Adherence to these guidelines will improve prediction modelling studies and subsequent application of prediction models in clinical practice. Prediction models using maternal characteristics, with good discrimination and calibration, should be externally validated for use in low and middle income countries where biomarker assays are not routinely available.

Time-frequency (TF) analysis (TFA) to nonstationary signals can reveal the nonlinearly changing instantaneous frequencies (IFs) of signals; it is, therefore, widely used for rotating machinery fault diagnosis under time-varying speed conditions. However, the traditional TFA methods may only reveal the outline of IFs due to the extra TF diffusion caused by limited TF resolution, hindering the fault diagnosis of rotating machinery. To enhance the readability of the time-frequency representation (TFR) of the signals with IF trajectories linearly time-varying, linear chirplet transform has been proved effective. To effectively tackle the signal with nonlinearly changing IFs, a string of chirp-rates is preferred, where the final TFR is obtained by superposition of each corresponding sub-TFR at each TF point. However, the extra cross-term interferences resulted from a string of chirp-rates cannot be neglected on TFRs. Aiming at alleviating the cross-terms from the TFR, matching and reassignment based TF enhancement strategy is proposed, where only the appropriate chirp-rate and its corresponding TFR slice is retained at each time instant. The appropriate chirp-rate is adaptively selected by the index—spectral kurtosis. To further increase the readability of the resulting TFR, a reassignment technique synchrosqueezing transform is integrated with the proposed matching strategy. By iteratively employing reassignments, TFR with the enhanced energy and sharp IF ridges can be generated. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated by both simulated and experimental analyses. It is shown that the proposed method is effective in processing time-varying signals and can provide more accurate IF estimation, which paves the way for rotating machinery fault diagnosis under nonstationary speed conditions.

This paper considers the blind separation of nonstationary sources in the underdetermined case, when there are more sources than sensors. A general framework for this problem is to work on sources that are sparse in some signal representation domain. Recently, two methods have been proposed with respect to the time-frequency (TF) domain. The first uses quadratic time-frequency distributions (TFDs) and a clustering approach, and the second uses a linear TFD. Both of these methods assume that the sources are disjoint in the TF domain; i.e., there is, at most, one source present at a point in the TF domain. In this paper, we relax this assumption by allowing the sources to be TF-nondisjoint to a certain extent. In particular, the number of sources present at a point is strictly less than the number of sensors. The separation can still be achieved due to subspace projection that allows us to identify the sources present and to estimate their corresponding TFD values. In particular, we propose two subspace-based algorithms for TF-nondisjoint sources: one uses quadratic TFDs and the other a linear TFD. Another contribution of this paper is a new estimation procedure for the mixing matrix. Finally, then numerical performance of the proposed methods are provided highlighting their performance gain compared to existing ones

The combination of recently developed methods for electroencephalographic (EEG) space-time-frequency analysis can provide noninvasive functional neuroimages necessary for obtaining an accurate localization of the epileptogenic zone. The aim of this study was to determine if time-frequency (TF) analysis, followed by EEG source localization, would improve the detection and identification of epileptogenic and related activity. Seventeen patients with refractory frontal lobe epilepsy (FLE) were studied using video EEG recording. TF analysis identified the first epileptogenic EEG changes. Using the Bayesian model averaging (BMA) approach, we compared brain electromagnetic tomographic (BET) images, constructed from the TF domain, with BET images constructed from the time domain only. We determined if the localization identified by BET images was concordant with the localization from medical history and video EEG recording. TF analysis provided a clear display of subtle EEG features, including EEG lateralization, and more concordant and delimited epileptogenic zones, compared with time-domain source analysis. In conclusion, EEG TF analysis improves source localization. After a thorough validation, this methodology could become a useful noninvasive tool for localizing the epileptogenic zone in clinical practice.

Traditional signal postprocessing methods suffer from the repeated assignment problem (RAP), which can result in inaccurate instantaneous frequency (IF) estimation and signal recovery. In this article, to solve this problem, a novel time-frequency (TF) analysis (TFA) method called the synchro-reassigning transform (SRT) is proposed. This method aims to obtain the ideal TF representation (TFR) by utilizing derivatives of the constructed amplitude function and a three-step selection rule to adaptively extract the TF coefficients on the IF trajectories in the TF plane, and reassigning these TF coefficients into a new TFR. In this way, SRT can eliminate the RAP, thus obtaining an approximately ideal TFR that helps to realize more accurate IF estimation and signal reconstruction. Furthermore, SRT shows satisfactory performance on signals with high nonlinear IFs or relatively close IFs, even under strong noise conditions. Two simulated signal and three real-life signals were used to demonstrate the performance of SRT.

This paper devoted to the optimization of surface electromyography (sEMG) based hand gesture recognition classifier model. Twenty-two features in time domain, frequency domain and time-frequency domain were extracted from sEMG of 6 muscles to classify 13 hand gestures. Correlation analysis was used to screen the features. Random forest (RF) and principal component analysis (PCA) feature selection were used to further reduce the feature dimensions. Finally, mean absolute value (MAV), root mean square (RMS), slope sign change (SSC), mean frequency (MNF), Willison amplitude (WAMP) and autoregressive coefficients (AR1), totally 6 features were selected. LDA (Linear Discriminant Analysis), SVM (Support Vector Machine), KNN (k-Nearest Neighbor), DT (Decision Tree) and NN (Neural Network), in total of five classification methods were applied. The accuracy of the classifier had no significant reduction, but the dimension of the feature set was reduced from 132 to 36, and the training time was greatly reduced. The result indicated that the combination of correlation analysis and random forest feature selection can optimize the classifier model and greatly reduce the training time of the classifier.

CT-DERIVED BODY COMPOSITION AND MACHINE LEARNING FOR PROGNOSTIC IMPROVEMENT IN COLORECTAL CANCER

This paper presents a novel time-frequency (TF) domain nonparametric density estimation independent component analysis (ICA) combined with preprocessing by time-frequency plane Wiener (TFPW) filtering algorithm. It achieves blind separation of over-determined instantaneous linear mixtures of non-stationary sources. The algorithm simultaneously estimates the demixing matrix and the unknown probability density functions of the source signals in TF domain. The proposed method does not require the selection of TF points or TF plane's partition, as the latter is more restrictive to real signals. The TFPW preprocessing improves the algorithm separating effect in noisy data. As simulation shows, it works better than some TF blind separation algorithms