Battery health prognosis using improved temporal convolutional network modeling

An open-set fault diagnosis framework for MMCs based on optimized temporal convolutional network

Accurate state of health (SOH) estimation of Li‐ion batteries is essential for ensuring safety, reliability, and prolonging battery lifespan in energy storage systems and electric vehicles. This study proposes a hybrid temporal convolutional network (TCN)–transformer framework that effectively captures both short‐term temporal dynamics and long‐term degradation trends in battery degradation. To enhance model interpretability, SHAP (SHAPley Additive exPlanations) analysis is incorporated, allowing a detailed quantification of each input feature's contribution, such as internal resistance, capacity, Constant current charge time, and constant voltage charge time, to SOH estimation. Experimental validation using the dataset from University of Maryland demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms traditional methods, including long short‐term memory, recurrent neural network, gated recurrent units, transformer, and TCN, across various evaluation metrics (mean absolute error, mean squared error, root mean squared error, R ). Beyond improved predictive accuracy, SHAP analysis offers valuable insights into battery degradation mechanisms by highlighting nonlinear relationships between key features and SOH estimation results. It reveals critical factors, including electrochemical aging, capacity fading, and voltage instability, that influence battery health. This interpretable and robust framework not only enhances SOH estimation performance but also supports the development of more reliable battery management systems by providing actionable insights into degradation patterns and health indicators.

Accurate load forecasting is essential for ensuring safe, stable, and economical operation of energy internet. Temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) have demonstrated superior performance, when compared to recurrent neural network models, since their introduction in electrical load forecasting. However, the current TCN‐based models are unable to obtain a large receptive field and strong long‐time feature extraction capability owing to the specific kernel size of the 1D convolution structure. This paper proposes a temporal inception convolutional network based on multi‐head attention (TICN‐Att) for ultra‐short‐term load prediction. By introducing an inception structure into the TCN, the proposed model can extract multi‐dimensional information from the input features, through the multiple hidden convolutional kernels of different scales, without stacking layers depth‐wise. Simultaneously, by introducing a multi‐head attention mechanism, the TICN‐Att model has a long time‐dependent extraction capability, similar to that of the long short‐term memory network models. The generalization and validity of the model are tested using the global energy forecasting competition (GEFCOM2014) dataset, electrical load data of a city in Jiangsu (China), and PJM power system dataset. The experimental results demonstrated that the proposed model has the best prediction effect, compared to the other state‐of‐the‐art models.

Veg-W2TCN: A parallel hybrid forecasting framework for non-stationary time series using wavelet and temporal convolution network model

Abstract. The present work proposes a prediction model of significant wave height (SWH) and average wave period (APD) based on variational mode decomposition (VMD), temporal convolutional networks (TCNs), and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. The wave sequence features were obtained using VMD technology based on the wave data from the National Data Buoy Center. Then the SWH and APD prediction models were established using TCNs, LSTM, and Bayesian hyperparameter optimization. The VMD–TCN–LSTM model was compared with the VMD–LSTM (without TCN cells) and LSTM (without VMD and TCN cells) models. The VMD–TCN–LSTM model has significant superiority and shows robustness and generality in different buoy prediction experiments. In the 3 h wave forecasts, VMD primarily improved the model performance, while the TCN had less of an influence. In the 12, 24, and 48 h wave forecasts, both VMD and TCNs improved the model performance. The contribution of the TCN to the improvement of the prediction result determination coefficient gradually increased as the forecasting length increased. In the 48 h SWH forecasts, the VMD and TCN improved the determination coefficient by 132.5 % and 36.8 %, respectively. In the 48 h APD forecasts, the VMD and TCN improved the determination coefficient by 119.7 % and 40.9 %, respectively.

Multivariate time-series forecasting is one of the crucial and persistent challenges in time-series forecasting tasks. As a kind of data with multivariate correlation and volatility, multivariate time series impose highly nonlinear time characteristics on the forecasting model. In this paper, a new multivariate time-series forecasting model, multivariate temporal convolutional attention network (MTCAN), based on a self-attentive mechanism is proposed. MTCAN is based on the Convolution Neural Network (CNN) model, using 1D dilated convolution as the basic unit to construct asymmetric blocks, and then, the feature extraction is performed by the self-attention mechanism to finally obtain the prediction results. The input and output lengths of this network can be determined flexibly. The validation of the method is carried out with three different multivariate time-series datasets. The reliability and accuracy of the prediction results are compared with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU), Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (ConvLSTM), and Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN). The prediction results show that the model proposed in this paper has significantly improved prediction accuracy and generalization.

Research on smartphone-based human activity recognition (HAR) is prevalent in the field of healthcare, especially for elderly activity monitoring. Researchers usually propose to use of accelerometers, gyroscopes or magnetometers that are equipped in smartphones as an individual sensing modality for human activity recognition. However, any of these alone is limited in capturing comprehensive movement information for accurate human activity analysis. Thus, we propose a smartphone-based HAR approach by leveraging the inertial signals captured by these three sensors to classify human activities. These heterogeneous sensors deliver information on various aspects of nature, motion and orientation, offering a richer set of features for more accurate representations of the activities. Hence, a deep learning approach that amalgamates long short-term memory (LSTM) in temporal convolutional network (TCN) is proposed. We use independent temporal convolutional networks, coined as temporal convolutional streams, to independently analyse the temporal data of each sensing modality. We name this architecture multi-stream TC-LSTM. The performance of multi-stream TC-LSTM is assessed on the self-collected elderly activity database. Empirical results exhibit that multi-stream TC-LSTM outperforms the existing machine learning and deep learning models, with an F1 score of 98.3 %

The accuracy of short-term electricity price forecasting has profound influence on the business decisions made by the participants in the electricity market. Thus, we propose a short-term electricity price combination prediction model based on Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition(CEEMD) as well as Temporal Convolutional Attention-based Network(TCAN). First, we defined the correlations among the features according to the Pearson Correlation Analysis and selected the desired features for our model. We then defined the single prediction period to be 24 hours based on the Unit Root test. In addition, we decomposed and denoised the data based on CEEMD and built the attention mechanism into the temporal convolution network. Using the expansion cascade network to extract the relationship between the inputs, combined with the self-attention mechanism to extract the internal information and learn the position dependence, effectively improve the model training speed and prediction accuracy. In order to verify the validity of the model, the actual electricity price data of DK1 in the Nordic electricity market from April to May 2020 were forecasted. The results show that the proposed method can effectively improve the accuracy and reliability of electricity price forecasting, and can provide reliable decision-making basis.

Data in time series format, such as biological signals from medical sensors or machine signals from sensors in industrial environments are rich sources of information that can give crucial insights on the present and future condition of a person or machine. The task of predicting future values of time series has been initially approached with simple machine learning methods, and lately with deep learning. Two models that have shown good performance in this task are the temporal convolutional network and the attention module. However, despite the promising results of deep learning methods, their black-box nature makes them unsuitable for real-world applications where the predictions need to be explainable in order to be trusted. In this paper we propose an architecture comprised of a temporal convolutional network with an attention mechanism that makes predictions while presenting the timesteps of the input that were most influential for future outputs. We apply it on two datasets and we show that we gain interpretability without degrading the accuracy compared to the original temporal convolutional models. We then go one step further and we combine our configuration with various machine learning methods on top, creating a pipeline that achieves interpretability both across timesteps and input features. We use it to forecast a different variable from one of the above datasets and we study how the accuracy is affected compared to the original black-box approach.

Locomotion mode recognition has been shown to substantially contribute to the precise control of robotic lower-limb prostheses under different walking conditions. In this study, we proposed a temporal convolutional capsule network (TCCN) which integrates the spatial-temporal-based, dilation-convolution-based, dyna- mic routing and vector-based features for recognizing locomotion mode recognition with small data rather than big-data-based neural networks for robotic prostheses. TCCN proposed in this study has four characteristics, which extracts the (1) spatial-temporal information in the data and then makes (2) dilated convolution to deal with small data, and uses (3) dynamic routing, which produces some similarities to the human brain to process the data as a (4) vector, which is different from other scalar-based networks, such as convolutional neural network (CNN). By comparison with a traditional machine learning, e.g., support vector machine(SVM) and big-data-driven neural networks, e.g., CNN, recurrent neural network(RNN), temporal convolutional network(TCN) and capsule network(CN). The accuracy of TCCN is 4.1% higher than CNN under 5-fold cross-validation of three-locomotion-mode and 5.2% higher under the 5-fold cross-validation of five-locomotion modes. The main confusion we found appears in the transition state. The results indicate that TCCN may handle small data balancing global and local information which is closer to the way how the human brain works, and the capsule layer allows for better processing vector information and retains not only magnitude information, but also direction information.

Hybrid solar radiation forecasting model with temporal convolutional network using data decomposition and improved artificial ecosystem-based optimization algorithm

Maritime vessel movement prediction: A temporal convolutional network model with optimal look-back window size determination

Wave runup prediction is necessary for offshore structure designs and early warnings. Data-driven methods based on machine learning have inspired reduced-order solutions for wave–structure interaction problems. This study provides the quantification of deep learning algorithms’ potential for wave runup prediction. Two prominent deep learning models were utilized to predict the wave runups along the fore column of semisubmersible under head seas. The long short-term memory (LSTM) and the temporal convolutional networks (TCNs) were comprehensively compared based on the datasets from a model test carried out in the deep ocean basin. The LSTM and TCN model structures were optimized to compare prediction accuracy and computational complexity reasonably. The results reveal that (1) both developed TCN and LSTM models had a satisfied prediction accuracy of over 90%. Their predictions were extended to 10 s into the future with accuracies over 80% and 45%, respectively. (2) With the noise-extended datasets, the LSTM model was robust to noises, while the TCN model showed better prediction performance on the extreme wave runup events. (3) The incident wave and dominant rotation provided the major information for wave runup prediction. TCN and LSTM models’ prediction accuracies were 91.5% and 89.3% based on the simplified input tensors composed of incident wave and pitch. The comparison showed the great potential of the TCN model to predict the nonlinear wave runup with less time and memory costs. The input tensors’ design and optimization based on physical understanding also play a significant role in the prediction performance.

In this study, we introduce a novel approach to speech enhancement through the design of a complex temporal convolutional network (Complex-TCN). This model leverages the power of complex networks, enabling the simultaneous capture of both magnitude and phase information inherent in speech signals. By employing a temporal convolutional network, the Complex-TCN excels at extracting contextual information within the time domain of speech. Our findings underscore the substantial performance improvements achieved through the synergistic use of the temporal convolutional network and the incorporation of complex representations.

Power spectral density (PSD) prediction is an important aspect of spectrum management. Due to the high complexity, non-linearity and uncertainty of PSD, it is difficult to ensure the accuracy and efficiency of prediction with a single feature prediction model. To overcome the shortcomings of single feature prediction methods, a hybrid machine learning model combining a clustering network with a Temporal Convolutional Networks(TCN) was proposed to predict the power spectral density of a signal. A k-means clustering network was used to cluster the original set of samples with similar manual characteristics into clusters; each cluster was fed into the TCN as a feature channel to predict the power spectral density; finally, experiments were conducted using data from RWTH Aachen University. The results show that the root-mean-square error(RMSE) of the prediction results is 0.799 better than existing methods, demonstrating that the hybrid model has high prediction accuracy and good generalization capability.