Calibration and Validation Methodology for Simulation Models of Intelligent Work Zones

The Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) reported between 2016 and 2017, fatal crashes in work zones increased by 3%, while fatal crashes outside of work zones decreased by 1.5%. The FHWA also reported that work zones account for approximately 10% of the nation’s overall congestion and 24% of unexpected interstate delays. This paper reports on a study of 23 construction work zones that covered approximately 150 centerline miles of Indiana interstate roadway in the summer of 2019. Approximately 50% of all interstate crashes for the period of May to September 2019 occurred within or in an approach upstream or downstream of one of these work zones. Commercially available vehicle hard-braking event data is used for the study and geofenced to the work zone approaches and limits. This research examined 196,215 hard-braking events over a 2-month period in the summer of 2019 and 3132 crashes over the same 2-month period in 2018 and 2019 for the 23 interstate work zones. The study found there were approximately 1 crash/mile for every 147 hard-braking events in and around a construction site. The R2 was approximately 0.85. The paper concludes by recommending that hard-braking event data be used by agencies to quickly identify emerging work zone locations that show relatively large number of hard-braking events for further evaluation.

This article discusses the state of the art in work zone safety in the United States (US). It describes how work zones are places where, perhaps more than anywhere else on the road network, mobility and safety are strongly linked. Historically, field crews and contractors wanted vehicles in work zones to move as slowly as possible. The article shows how the industry is starting to see a shift in such thinking with the realization that excessive delays or slow-downs not only affect traveler mobility but also gives rise to more instances of road rage and other undesirable behavior. Back in the early 2000s, the USDOT’s Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) decided that it was essential that state and highway agencies design and implement work zones which give adequate consideration to the traveler. As a result, the Work Zone Safety and Mobility Rule (Subpart J) was established. Subpart J decrees that state transportation agencies have a policy in place to consider and mitigate the safety and mobility impacts of work zones. Subpart J decrees that state transportation agencies have a policy in place to consider and mitigate the safety and mobility impacts of work zones. If there are to be significant delays as a result of work zone activity, a transportation management plan needs to be developed that encompasses the work zone itself, public information, diversions to other routes and modal shifts as appropriate. Since implementation of the Rule in 2004, state transportation agencies have worked steadily to comply, which has led to an overall improvement in the mindsets of both the public and private sectors.

Advancing safety in short-term utility work zones: Assessing the role of work zone intrusion alert technologies (WZIATs)

Work zones pose mobility issues to the traveling public and safety challenges to travelers and road maintenance workers. These safety and mobility issues may be exacerbated by the presence of heavy vehicles. Connected and automated vehicle (CAV) technologies have been identified as a potential solution for these issues. This paper investigates the operational impacts of connected and automated heavy vehicles (CAHV) on freeway work zone operations on interstate highways. A microsimulation model, calibrated to empirical work zone field data, was used to study the operational impacts of CAHV platoons under various work zone and traffic conditions. It was found that, as the CAHV market penetration rate increases, the average work zone delay and queue length decreases. In addition, as the demand and heavy vehicle percentage increases, so do the benefits of using CAHV technology. For example, it was found that, when all heavy vehicles are classified as CAHV, the average flow rate is approximately 67% higher, and the maximum queue size and average delay decrease by approximately 97%. The methodology used in this paper will help transportation agencies as they design work zones to accommodate heavy vehicles equipped with CAV technologies.

The traditional calculation method can only determine the minimum length of the warning zone. In this paper, it proposes a method to determine the length of freeway warning zone using VISSIM simulation model and surrogate safety assessment model (SSAM). The simulation model of freeway maintenance work zones is constructed based on VISSIM, and calibrates the VISSIM simulation model. Through improving the time to collision (TTC) model, the traffic conflict discrimination threshold of the freeway maintenance work zone was determined. Based on the average absolute percentage error (MAPE) of traffic conflict, the validity of VISSIM simulation model and threshold are verified. Meanwhile, the SSAM is used to determine the changing trend of the number of traffic conflicts; a linear regression model is established to analyze the relationship between simulated and observed traffic conflicts. In addition, under different traffic conditions, the relationship between travel time, delay, traffic conflict and the warning zone length is analyzed. Based on traffic conflict number and safety evaluation index, the optimal length of warning zone is determined, and the relationship between warning zone length and safety evaluation index is studied. The results show that the simulated traffic conflict is reasonable consistent with the observed traffic conflict; under different traffic conditions, travel time and delay increase slowly with the increase of warning zone length; traffic conflicts decrease with the increase of warning zone length, when the warning zone length is more than 2200 m, traffic conflicts show a certain convergence state; When the warning zone length is 2200m, the number of traffic conflicts, delay and safety evaluation index are the minimum, and the safety is the best. Therefore, the method can determine the optimal length of the warning area and improve the safety of the warning zone.

The higher contribution of traffic delay to environmental impacts is urging the highway agencies to take work zone management into the maintenance schemes decision-making. Aiming to understand the role of work zone management in user CO2 emissions reduction, this paper firstly developed a practical methodological framework of traffic delay-related CO2 emissions caused by highway maintenance based on a popular life cycle user cost analysis approach in regard of the microscopic vehicle operation analysis. The method was applied in an actual freeway flexible pavement with 15-year design life in Shaanxi Province, China, covering three types of preventive maintenance, correction maintenance, and rehabilitation. In addition, the impacts of key inputs of proposed method on work zone user CO2 emissions results were checked. The results show that traffic delay attributes to 29.4% of total CO2 emissions of the life cycle of highway pavement maintenance, and 51.8% of work zone user CO2 emissions result from preventive maintenance, especially from micro vehicle operations including speed change and queue near work zone (62% of total work zone user CO2 emissions). The work zone management alternative strategies related to less traffic volume or higher highway capacity including vehicle type limitation and the limited work zone speed have an advantage in reducing the work zone CO2 emissions over changing work zone length or work zone timing. The findings in this paper may present a useful tool and reference for robustly supporting the decision-making on highway maintenance carbon mitigation in work zone traffic.

Evaluation of emission level increment in urban and sub urban highway work zones

On two-lane, two-way highways, pavement resurfacing is usually done by closing one lane at a time. Then, vehicles travel in the remaining lane along the work zone, alternating directions within each control cycle. Such a work zone can be analyzed as a one-way traffic-control system in which queuing and delay processes are analogous to those at a two-phase signalized intersection. Efficient scheduling and traffic control through work zones may significantly reduce the total cost. A model is presented for optimizing work plans, including zone lengths, work durations, starting times, pausing times (if any), and control-cycle times, for work zones on two-lane highways. This is done by minimizing total cost, including agency cost (maintenance cost and idling cost) and user cost (user delay cost and accident cost), while taking into account traffic-demand variations over time. Two optimization methods, Powell's and simulated annealing, are adapted for this problem and compared. In numerical tests, the simulated annealing algorithm yields better solutions using less computer time than Powell's method.

Inferring heterogeneous treatment effects of work zones on crashes

Pakistan has a population of over 199 million and total road network of approximately 264,400 kilometers that serve about 16.2 million vehicles of all types. According to WHO estimates, there were approximately 30,000 annual Road Crash Fatalities (RCF) in Pakistan in year 2010. Work zone crashes account for significant proportion of all traffic crashes in Pakistan due to higher crash rate as compared to other parts of the highway network. Highway work zone is referred to road area where highway construction, maintenance or activity related to utility maintenance takes place. Workers in highway work zone are exposed to a variety of hazards and face risk of injury and death from construction equipment as well as passing motor vehicles. Safety measures and better understanding of risks involved while moving through the work zone have significant effects on the overall safety climate at work zones. Mismanaged work zone traffic increases the travel time delays, safety issues, vehicle operating costs (VOC) and other associated costs. Performance measures for the work zone traffic management includes user costs (travel time delay, crash cost, VOC), incident response and clearance time, queue length and community complaint. Different work Zone Traffic Management methodologies are being practiced worldwide and extensive research has been carried out at international level on country specific highway work zone safety but in Pakistan very few studies have been carried out on highway work zones. This research aims to critically analyze the impacts of the different Work Zone Traffic Management methods and recommend the best option for Expressways / Motorways in Pakistan. For the purpose of research, the author has selected a section of Motorway (M-2). Two different work zone traffic management methods are being followed in rehabilitation of M-2 .i.e. Parallel / Adjacent Method and Median Cross-Over Method. Performance measures selected for purpose of analysis are Travel Time Delay, Crash Cost (Safety) and VOC and data collected on section of M-2. After critical analysis, it is concluded that Parallel/ Adjacent Method results in lesser Travel Time delay and lesser VOC due to higher operating speeds and thus has higher savings, whereas Median Cross over Methods yield more Crash Cost savings. Keeping in view the driving habits / skills, poor maintenance of vehicles in Pakistan and risk of fatal accidents involved in parallel /adjacent method, median cross over method is preferred.

This study proposes a methodology for deriving the optimal work zone schedule for the annual routine maintenance planning in an infrastructure asset management system considering the (i) economies of scale in work zone costs due to work zone synchronization and (ii) user costs across the road network with traffic assignments. A key aspect of the proposed methodology is the ability to derive in detail optimal work zone schedules of realistic‐scale road networks in 100 m sections for 365 days, which is beneficial in practice. To this end, an optimization model of the work zone schedule is newly formulated as a mixed‐integer programming (MIP) problem, and a novel bilevel solution method for the model utilizing the conventional solver Gurobi Optimizer with MIP algorithms such as root relaxation, dual simplex, barrier methods, and cutting planes is proposed. In application examples, the proposed methodology is applied to two real‐world road networks, which confirms that the optimal work zone schedule can be obtained in 313.7 s for a network with 2640, 100 m, sections and in 168,180 s (46 h and 43 min) for a network with 5038, 100 m, sections.

This paper presents an approach to estimating the operational impacts of freeway work zones. The focus is on significant work zones on freeway corridors as defined by FHWA. The methodology is based on deterministic freeway capacity concepts described in the Highway Capacity Manual and allows the analyst to test impacts of a range of work zone configurations in an extended time–space domain. The focus on extended facilities refers to the analysis of multiple segments of various types, including basic freeway, ramp, and weaving segments. The cost-effective and time-efficient analysis approach can model effects of work zones such as lane closures, lower speed limits, capacity reduction, and the implicit effects of traffic diversion, peak reduction, and other intelligent transportation system strategies. Performance measures include total delay, queuing impacts, average running speed, and the potential to estimate user cost. The methodology focuses on a corridor-based analysis of work zones on freeways. It is not appropriate for network analysis, for long corridors, for signalized arterials, or for cases in which congestion on the arterial network significantly affects freeway operations. In these applications, a simulation-based analysis is more appropriate. However, the methodology presented in this paper is more cost-effective and less data intensive than simulation analysis and can readily be calibrated with local or regional data. This is a key advantage in challenging economic times, when agencies struggle to balance a constrained budget with the need to analyze multiple construction projects within their jurisdiction.

Speeding in highway work zone: An Evaluation of methods of speed control

Construction sites or work zones create serious disruptions in the normal flow of traffic, resulting in major inconveniences for the traveling public. Furthermore, these work zones create safety hazards that require special consideration. Current legislation and programs, at both state and national levels, emphasize the need for a better understanding of work zone problems to address work zone safety. This reality—coupled with the temporary closure of more miles of highway every year for rehabilitation and maintenance—makes the analysis of safety at construction sites a serious matter. A summary of a comprehensive study associated with the development of a new practical approach to address highway safety in construction zones is presented. Because empirical models require sample sizes that are not attainable due to the intrinsic scarcity of construction zone accident data, the problem was studied from the point of view of risk analysis. Monte Carlo simulations were used to develop risk factors. These factors are meant to be included in the calculations of additional user costs for work zones, or simply applied as risk measurements, to optimize the length and duration of closures for highway reconstruction and rehabilitation projects. In this way, it will be possible to assess the danger of work zones to the traveling public and minimize adverse effect of work zones on highway safety.

Highway work zones are associated with significant adverse impacts on safety. Mitigating these impacts can be achieved by implementing several countermeasures. This paper uses controlled experiments in a driving simulator to investigate the effects of physical and digital temporary traffic control countermeasures on work zone safety. These include variable message signs, dynamic speed displays, rumble strips, and lane widths. 116 participants were recruited for the experiment. A linear mixed-effects model was developed to capture the effects of these countermeasures on average travel speed and standard deviation of speeds in the advanced warning area and within the work zone itself. The results reveal that rumble strips installed within the work zone cause the strongest reduction in speeds. Narrower lanes cause smaller speed reductions. In general, the effects of temporary traffic control countermeasures on speeds were local and were not retained beyond their proximity.