Comment on amt-2022-12

The accuracy and precision are determined of cloud liquid water path (LWP) retrievals from the Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager (SEVIRI) on board Meteosat-8 using 1 yr of LWP retrievals from microwave radiometer (MWR) measurements of two CloudNET stations in northern Europe. The MWR retrievals of LWP have a precision that is superior to current satellite remote sensing techniques, which justifies their use as validation data. The Cloud Physical Properties (CPP) algorithm of the Satellite Application Facility on Climate Monitoring (CM-SAF) is used to retrieve LWP from SEVIRI reflectances at 0.6 and 1.6 μm. The results show large differences in the accuracy and precision of LWP retrievals from SEVIRI between summer and winter. During summer, the instantaneous LWP retrievals from SEVIRI agree well with those from the MWRs. The accuracy is better than 5 g m−2 and the precision is better than 30 g m−2, which is similar to the precision of LWP retrievals from MWR. The added value of the 15-min sampling frequency of Meteosat-8 becomes evident in the validation of the daily median and diurnal variations in LWP retrievals from SEVIRI. The daily median LWP values from SEVIRI and MWR are highly correlated (correlation > 0.95) and have a precision better than 15 g m−2. In addition, SEVIRI and MWR reveal similar diurnal variations in retrieved LWP values. The peak LWP values occur around noon. During winter, SEVIRI generally overestimates the instantaneous LWP values from MWR, the accuracy drops to about 10 g m2, and the precision to about 30 g m−2. The most likely reason for these lower accuracies is the shortcoming of CPP, and similar one-dimensional retrieval algorithms, to model inhomogeneous clouds. It is suggested that neglecting cloud inhomogeneities leads to a significant overestimation of LWP retrievals from SEVIRI over northern Europe during winter.

Abstract. This paper investigates the potential benefit of ground-based microwave radiometers (MWRs) to improve the initial state (analysis) of current numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems during fog conditions. To this end, temperature, humidity and liquid water path (LWP) retrievals have been performed by directly assimilating brightness temperatures using a one-dimensional variational technique (1D-Var). This study focuses on a fog-dedicated field-experiment performed over winter 2016–2017 in France. In situ measurements from a 120 m tower and radiosoundings are used to assess the improvement brought by the 1D-Var analysis to the background. A sensitivity study demonstrates the importance of the cross-correlations between temperature and specific humidity in the background-error-covariance matrix as well as the bias correction applied on MWR raw measurements. With the optimal 1D-Var configuration, root-mean-square errors smaller than 1.5 K (respectively 0.8 K) for temperature and 1 g kg−1 (respectively 0.5 g kg−1) for humidity are obtained up to 6 km altitude (respectively within the fog layer up to 250 m). A thin radiative fog case study has shown that the assimilation of MWR observations was able to correct large temperature errors of the AROME (Application of Research to Operations at MEsoscale) model as well as vertical and temporal errors observed in the fog life cycle. A statistical evaluation through the whole period has demonstrated that the largest impact when assimilating MWR observations is obtained on the temperature and LWP fields, while it is neutral to slightly positive for the specific humidity. Most of the temperature improvement is observed during false alarms when the AROME forecasts tend to significantly overestimate the temperature cooling. During missed fog profiles, 1D-Var analyses were found to increase the atmospheric stability within the first 100 m above the surface compared to the initial background profile. Concerning the LWP, the RMSE with respect to MWR statistical regressions is decreased from 101 g m−2 in the background to 27 g m−2 in the 1D-Var analysis. These encouraging results led to the deployment of eight MWRs during the international SOFOG3D (SOuth FOGs 3D experiment for fog processes study) experiment conducted by Météo-France.

Cold-air outbreaks over high-latitude oceans typically include mixed-phase clouds and precipitation, in particular supercooled liquid clouds that support snow and graupel through ice growth processes. The partitioning of the total water into the liquid and ice phases impacts both weather and climate prediction, but accurate measurements on the phase partitioning remain difficult to acquire, especially near–real time. Here, we present a machine learning approach to retrieve liquid water path (LWP) using passive microwave measurements combined with vertically integrated radar reflectivities. The approach is an extension of Cadeddu et al. (2009), with the novel addition of radar reflectivity. The machine learning models are trained using the Passive and Active Microwave Radiative Transfer (PAMTRA) code applied to output from numerical simulations of three independent cold-air outbreaks sampled during the Cold-Air Outbreaks in the Marine Boundary Layer Experiment (COMBLE) campaign. Brightness temperatures corresponding to the four sidebands of an upward-looking G-band (183 GHz) vapor radiometer, along with the vertically integrated reflectivity from a zenith-pointing 95-GHz Wyoming Cloud Radar, are simulated from the perspective of a near-surface aircraft track. The radar reflectivity helps discriminate the snow contribution to the brightness temperatures. The machine learning models are thereafter tested on a simulation of an independent cold-air outbreak during COMBLE and against measurements from the U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement North Slope of Alaska observatory. This machine learning approach is shown to provide robust, computationally efficient, near-real-time measurements of LWP and water vapor path during the Cold-Air Outbreak Experiment in the Sub-Arctic Region (CAESAR) campaign in February–April 2024. Significance Statement Precipitation from mixed-phase clouds over the high-latitude open waters impacts shipping, fishing, and coastal communities. Mixed-phase clouds are also a modeling challenge, inhibiting weather and climate prediction skill. More comprehensive measurements of the cloud liquid and ice water path occupying the same vertical column improve our understanding and ability to represent this challenging cloud type. Here, we propose a new retrieval to determine the liquid water path within air columns that also contain ice.

Two methods for retrieving cloud droplet effective radius re from ground‐based near‐infrared spectral measurements of path‐integrated liquid water paths (PLWPs) are described. In one method the PLWP is compared with column measurements of liquid water path (LWP) from a dual channel microwave radiometer (MWR) to estimate the cloud path enhancement, which is then used to derive the cloud droplet effective radius. In the second method, PLWP is combined with absolutely calibrated zenith radiances at 500 nm to retrieve re and LWP simultaneously. Both techniques are used in a case study of marine stratocumulus at the Barrow, Alaska (71.32°N, 156.62°W) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Program (ARM) site on 17 September 2004. The first method performed best for moderately thick clouds (LWP ≥ 100 g m−2), but the accuracy is limited by uncertainties in the MWR LWP on which it relies. The second method performed well over a wider range of values with 1σ retrieval errors of <4 g m−2 (∼4%) and ∼3 μm (∼7%) for 15 ≤ LWP ≤ 170 g m−2. The LWPs retrieved using the radiance‐PLWP method were highly correlated (r2 = 0.96) with LWPs from the MWR (with a bias subtracted) derived using the ARM statistical method. A limited comparison (LWP < 100 g m−2) to millimeter wave cloud radar showed that values of re retrieved using the radiance‐PLWP method were consistently higher (by ∼3 μm) than the LWC‐weighted mean re from the radar. Additional field studies are needed to resolve this discrepancy, although this first comparison is promising.

The database presented in this study has been acquired during the SOuth west FOGs 3D (SOFOG3D) experiment for processes study. This international campaign led by Météo-France during the winter 2019–2020 aimed at deploying a unique network of both in situ and remote sensing measurements in order to document spatial and temporal variabilities of fog events. To support this scientific objective but also to conduct first data assimilation experiments within the French convective scale model AROME, an un-precedented network of 8 ground-based microwave radiometers (MWR) has been deployed in 7 different locations known to be prone to fog occurrences. The database gives access to vertical profiles of temperature and humidity (both absolute and relative) from the surface up to 10 km altitude as well as integrated water vapor and liquid water path estimates. The retrieved profiles offer a very large database that can be exploited for several scientific purposes: fog process studies at specific location, documentation on the variability of fog properties at the regional scale, better understanding of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) height and dynamics during wintertime conditions, development of nowcasting products dedicated to fog alerts, data assimilation experiments to improve fog forecasts, development of synergetical advanced products, and evaluation of new model configurations with advanced parameterization or resolutions.

A new generation of cloud radars, with the ability to make observations close to the surface, presents the possibility of observing fog properties with better insight than was previously possible. The use of these instruments as part of an operational observation network could improve the prediction of fog events, something which is still a problem for even high-resolution Numerical Weather Prediction models. However, the retrieval of liquid water content (LWC) profiles from radar reflectivity alone is an under-determined problem, something which ground-based microwave radiometer observations can help to constrain. In fact, microwave radiometers are not only sensitive to temperature and humidity profiles but also known to be instruments of reference for the liquid water path. By providing the thermodynamic state of the atmosphere, to which the formation and evolution of fog events are highly sensitive, in addition to accurate liquid water path, which can be used to constrain the LWC retrieval from the cloud radar alone, combining microwave radiometers with cloud radars seems a natural next step to better understand and forecast fog events. To that end, a newly developed one dimensional variational (1D-Var) algorithm designed for the retrieval of temperature, specific humidity and liquid water content profiles with both cloud radar and microwave radiometer (MWR) observations is presented in this study. The algorithm was developed to evaluate the capability of cloud radar and MWR to provide accurate LWC profiles in addition to temperature and humidity in view of assimilating the retrieved profiles into a 3D/4D-Var operational assimilation system. The algorithm is firstly tested on a synthetic dataset, which allows the evaluation of the developed algorithm in idealised conditions. It is then tested with real data from the recent field campaign SOFOG-3D, carried out with the use of LWC measurements made from a tethered balloon platform. As expected, results from the synthetic dataset study were found to contain lower errors than that found from the retrievals on the dataset of real observations. It was found that retrieval of LWC can be obtained on idealised conditions with an uncertainty of less than 0.04 gm−3. With real data, as expected, retrievals with a good correlation (0.7) to in-situ measurements, but with a higher uncertainty than the synthetic dataset, of around 0.6 gm−3, was found. This was reduced to 0.5 gm−3 when an accurate droplet number concentration could be prescribed to the algorithm. A sensitivity study was conducted to discuss the impact of different settings used in the 1D-Var algorithm and the forward operator. Additionally, retrievals of LWC from a real fog event observed during the SOFOG-3D field campaign were found to significantly improve the operational background profiles of the AROME model (Application of Research to Operations at MEsoscale) showing encouraging results for future improvement of the AROME model initial state during fog conditions.

Abstract. A new generation of cloud radars, with the ability to make observations close to the surface, presents the possibility of observing fog properties with better insight than was previously possible. The use of these instruments as part of an operational observation network could improve the prediction of fog events, something which is still a problem for even high-resolution numerical weather prediction models. However, the retrieval of liquid water content (LWC) profiles from radar reflectivity alone is an under-determined problem, something which ground-based microwave radiometer observations can help to constrain. In fact, microwave radiometers are not only sensitive to temperature and humidity profiles but are also known to be instruments of reference for the liquid water path. By providing the thermodynamic state of the atmosphere, to which the formation and evolution of fog events are highly sensitive, in addition to accurate liquid water path, which can be used to constrain the LWC retrieval from the cloud radar alone, combining microwave radiometers with cloud radars seems a natural next step to better understand and forecast fog events. To that end, a newly developed one-dimensional variational (1D-Var) algorithm designed for the retrieval of temperature, specific humidity and liquid water content profiles with both cloud radar and microwave radiometer (MWR) observations is presented in this study. The algorithm was developed to evaluate the capability of cloud radar and MWR to provide accurate LWC profiles in addition to temperature and humidity in view of assimilating the retrieved profiles into a 3D- and 4D-Var operational assimilation system. The algorithm is firstly tested on a synthetic dataset, which allows the evaluation of the developed algorithm in idealised conditions. This dataset was constructed by perturbing a high-resolution forecast dataset of fog and low-cloud cases by its expected errors. The algorithm is then tested with real data from the recent field campaign SOFOG-3D, carried out with the use of LWC measurements made from a tethered balloon platform. As expected, results from the synthetic dataset study were found to contain lower errors than those found from the retrievals on the dataset of real observations. It was found that LWC can be retrieved in idealised conditions with an uncertainty of less than 0.04 g m−3. With real data, as expected, retrievals with a good correlation (0.7) to in situ measurements were found but with a higher uncertainty than the synthetic dataset of around 0.06 g m−3 (41 %). This was reduced to 0.05 g m−3 (35 %) when an accurate droplet number concentration could be prescribed to the algorithm. A sensitivity study was conducted to discuss the impact of different settings used in the 1D-Var algorithm and the forward operator. Additionally, retrievals of LWC from a real fog event observed during the SOFOG-3D field campaign were found to significantly improve the operational background profiles of the AROME (Application of Research to Operations at MEsoscale) model, showing encouraging results for future improvement of the AROME model initial state during fog conditions.

Abstract. Observed and projected trends in large-scale wind speed over the oceans prompt the question: how do marine stratocumulus clouds and their radiative properties respond to changes in large-scale wind speed? Wind speed drives the surface fluxes of sensible heat, moisture, and momentum and thereby acts on cloud liquid water path (LWP) and cloud radiative properties. We present an investigation of the dynamical response of non-precipitating, overcast marine stratocumulus clouds to different wind speeds over the course of a diurnal cycle, all else equal. In cloud-system resolving simulations, we find that higher wind speed leads to faster boundary layer growth and stronger entrainment. The dynamical driver is enhanced buoyant production of turbulence kinetic energy (TKE) from latent heat release in cloud updrafts. LWP is enhanced during the night and in the morning at higher wind speed, and more strongly suppressed later in the day. Wind speed hence accentuates the diurnal LWP cycle by expanding the morning–afternoon contrast. The higher LWP at higher wind speed does not, however, enhance cloud top cooling because in clouds with LWP ⪆ 50 g m−2, longwave emissions are insensitive to LWP. This leads to the general conclusion that in sufficiently thick stratocumulus clouds, additional boundary layer growth and entrainment due to a boundary layer moistening arises by stronger production of TKE from latent heat release in cloud updrafts, rather than from enhanced longwave cooling. We find that large-scale wind modulates boundary layer decoupling. At nighttime and at low wind speed during daytime, it enhances decoupling in part by faster boundary layer growth and stronger entrainment and in part because shear from large-scale wind in the sub-cloud layer hinders vertical moisture transport between the surface and cloud base. With increasing wind speed, however, in decoupled daytime conditions, shear-driven circulation due to large-scale wind takes over from buoyancy-driven circulation in transporting moisture from the surface to cloud base and thereby reduces decoupling and helps maintain LWP. The total (shortwave + longwave) cloud radiative effect (CRE) responds to changes in LWP and cloud fraction, and higher wind speed translates to a stronger diurnally averaged total CRE. However, the sensitivity of the diurnally averaged total CRE to wind speed decreases with increasing wind speed.

Precipitable water vapor (PWV) and liquid water path (LWP) retrievals using zenith view passive microwave observations near the 22.235 GHz water vapor line are known to be of high accuracy for most mid-latitude profiles. However in very dry atmospheres (PWV<10 mm), such as those experienced in the Arctic winter, the percentage accuracy of these retrievals becomes poor due to the weakness of the 22 GHz feature. The authors describe an adaptable physical retrieval algorithm which uses any number of channels in the range 10-300 GHz to retrieve PWV and LWP. Using a database of model high latitude profiles, the authors investigate the performance of various channel combinations in the range 23 to 183 GHz for retrieving PWV and LWP. The authors demonstrate that the best retrieval performance over the expected range of PWV and LWP in high-latitude climates is made with combinations that include channels near the 22 GHz absorption line and the much stronger 183.31 GHz line. This analysis is applicable to optimizing the measurement strategy for studying the influence of water vapor on the Earth's radiation budget in Arctic areas.

Passive microwave radiometers (MWRs) are the most commonly used and accurate instruments the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Research Facility has to retrieve cloud liquid water path (LWP). The MWR measurements (microwave radiances or brightness temperatures) are often used to derive LWP using climatological constraints, but are frequently also combined with measurements from radar and other instruments for cloud microphysical retrievals. Nominally this latter approach improves the retrieval of LWP and other cloud microphysical quantities (such as effective radius or number concentration), but this also means that when MWR data are poor, other cloud microphysical quantities are also negatively affected. Unfortunately, current MWR data is often contaminated by water on the MWR radome. This water makes a substantial contribution to the measured radiance and typically results in retrievals of cloud liquid water and column water vapor that are biased high. While it is obvious when the contamination by standing water is large (and retrieval biases are large), much of the time it is difficult to know with confidence that there is no contamination. At present there is no attempt to estimate or correct for this source of error, and identification of problems is largely left to users. Typically users are advised to simply throw out all data when the MWR “wet-window” resistance-based sensor indicates water is present, but this sensor is adjusted by hand and is known to be temperamental. In order to address this problem, a pair of ARM microwave radiometers was deployed to the University of Washington (UW) in Seattle, Washington, USA. The radiometers were operated such that one radiometer was scanned under a cover that (nominally) prevents this radiometer radome from gathering water and permits measurements away from zenith; while the other radiometer is operated normally – open or uncovered - with the radome exposed to the sky. The idea is that (1) the covered radiometer data can provide LWP (and water vapor) along the off-zenith slant path and (2) the two sets of measurements can be compared to identify when wet-radome contamination is occurring.

Author(s): Dong, X; Xi, B; Qiu, S; Minnis, P; Sun-Mack, S; Rose, F | Abstract: Retrievals of cloud microphysical properties based on passive satellite imagery are especially difficult over snow-covered surfaces because of the bright and cold surface. To help quantify their uncertainties, single-layered overcast liquid-phase Arctic stratus cloud microphysical properties retrieved by using the Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System Edition 2 and Edition 4 (CERES Ed2 and Ed4) algorithms are compared with ground-based retrievals at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement North Slope of Alaska (ARM NSA) site at Barrow, AK, during the period from March 2000 to December 2006. A total of 206 and 140 snow-free cases (Rsfc ≤ 0.3), and 108 and 106 snow cases (Rsfcg0.3), respectively, were selected from Terra and Aqua satellite passes over the ARM NSA site. The CERES Ed4 and Ed2 optical depth (t) and liquid water path (LWP) retrievals from both Terra and Aqua are almost identical and have excellent agreement with ARM retrievals under snow-free and snow conditions. In order to reach a radiation closure study for both the surface and top of atmosphere (TOA) radiation budgets, the ARM precision spectral pyranometer-measured surface albedos were adjusted (63.6% and 80% of the ARM surface albedos for snow-free and snow cases, respectively) to account for the water and land components of the domain of 30 km × 30 km. Most of the radiative transfer model calculated SW↓sfc and SW↑TOA fluxes by using ARM and CERES cloud retrievals and the domain mean albedos as input agree with the ARM and CERES flux observations within 10Wm-2 for both snow-free and snow conditions. Sensitivity studies show that the ARM LWP and re retrievals are less dependent on solar zenith angle (SZA), but all retrieved optical depths increase with SZA.

Changes in marine boundary layer cloud (MBLC) radiative properties in response to aerosol perturbations are largely responsible for uncertainties in future climate predictions. In particular, the relationship between the cloud droplet number concentration (Nd, a proxy for aerosol) and the cloud liquid water path (LWP) remains challenging to quantify from observations. In this study, satellite observations from multiple polar-orbiting platforms for 2006–2011 are used in combination with atmospheric reanalysis data in a regional machine learning model to predict changes in LWP in MBLCs in the Southeast Atlantic. The impact of predictor variables on the model output is analysed using Shapley values as a technique of explainable machine learning. Within the machine learning model, precipitation fraction, cloud top height, and Nd are identified as important cloud state predictors for LWP, with dynamical proxies and sea surface temperature (SST) being the most important environmental predictors. A positive nonlinear relationship between LWP and Nd is found, with a weaker sensitivity at high cloud droplet concentrations. This relationship is found to be dependent on other predictors in the model: Nd–LWP sensitivity is higher in precipitating clouds and decreases with increasing SSTs.

Cloud liquid water path (LWP) retrievals from the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) and surface microwave radiometers are compared over land to assess the errors in selected satellite methods. These techniques require surface emissivity composites created from SSM/I and infrared (IR) data. Two different physical methods are tested: a single-channel (SC) approach (either 85.5-GHz channel); and a normalized polarization difference (NPD) approach (37 or 85.5 GHz). Comparisons were made at four sites in Oklahoma and Kansas over an 11-month period. The 85.5-GHz NPD method was the most accurate and robust under most conditions. An error analysis shows that the method's random errors are dominated by uncertainties in the surface emissivity and instrument noise. Since the SC method is more prone to systematic errors (such as surface emissivity errors caused by rain events), it initially compared poorly to the ground observations. After filtering for rain events, the comparisons improved. Overall, the root mean square (rms) errors ranged from 0.12 to 0.14 kg m/sup -2/, suggesting these methods can provide, at best, three categories of cloud LWP. It is anticipated that the techniques and strategies developed in this study, and prior related studies, to analyze passive microwave data will be requisite for maximizing the information content of future instruments.

Aerosol indirect effects are the most uncertain of the climate forcing mechanisms that have operated through the industrial period. Several studies have demonstrated modifications of cloud properties due to aerosols and corresponding changes in shortwave and longwave radiative fluxes under specific cloud conditions, but some recent studies have indicated that cloud dynamical processes such as entrainment‐mixing may be the primary modulator of cloud optical properties in certain situations. For example, day‐to‐day variations of the cloud drop effective radius (re) determined from the ground‐based remote sensing at the Southern Great Plains were found to be weakly associated with the variations in aerosol loading as characterized by its light‐scattering coefficient at the surface, implying that other processes were impacting the cloud radiative properties. To study these other impacts, we extend a previous study to investigate the role of changes in liquid water path (LWP) and re in single layer stratiform clouds that are induced by entrainment‐mixing processes and their effects on cloud radiative properties. We quantify the degree of entrainment‐mixing in terms of the adiabaticity defined as the ratio of the observed cloud liquid water path to the corresponding adiabatic value. The cloud optical depth is, as expected, governed primarily by LWP, but that adiabaticity is the next most influential factor. In contrast, re is found to be equally sensitive to adiabaticity and LWP. In adiabatic clouds the aerosol first indirect effect is clearly observed and related to independent measures of aerosol loading. In sub‐adiabatic clouds the aerosol first indirect effect is not readily observed; this may in some circumstances be due to interference from heterogeneous mixing processes that change the droplet number density in a manner that attenuates the effect.

Time and intensity-specific very short-term forecasting or nowcasting is the biggest challenge faced by an aviation meteorologist. Ground-based microwave radiometer (MWR) has been used for nowcasting convective activity and it was established that there is a good comparison between thermodynamic parameters derived from MWR and GPS radiosonde observations, indicating that MWR observations can be used to develop techniques for nowcasting severe convective activity. In this study, efforts have been made to bring out the efficacy of MWR in nowcasting thunderstorms and fog. Firstly, the observations of MWR located at Palam, New Delhi, India have been compared with the nearest radiosonde data to ascertain the variation in respective profiles. Large differences were found in relative humidity (RH), whereas temperatures from MWR were found to be close to radiosonde observed temperature up to 3.5 km. Subsequently, the scatter plots and correlation coefficients of thermodynamic indices/parameters indicated that most of the parameters are either not correlated or have moderate correlation only for 12:00 UTC profiles. The superepoch technique of lagged composite for various thermodynamic indices/parameters to obtain a combined picture of all the thunderstorm and dense fog cases on the time series could not determine any pattern to predict thunderstorm and dense fog with lead time of 2-4 hours. MWR profile for a case of occurrence of thunderstorm was analyzed. No significant variation was observed in most of the indices (as calculated from MWR observed parameters) prior to the occurrence of thunderstorm. RH at freezing level and between 950 and 700 hPa levels were the only parameters, which increased four hours prior to the occurrence.