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  • https://doi.org/10.22215/etd/2025-16405Copy DOI Icon

Comparing Parameter Estimation and State Prediction Performance of Physics Informed Neural Networks in Relation to Bayesian Inference

  • Jan 1, 2025
  • Michael Francesco Pantano
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Abstract

This thesis investigates two physics informed neural network (PINN) approaches for two mechanistic problems via the performance metrics of model parameter estimation and system state prediction. The PINNs are compared to Bayesian inference (BI) tested under similar conditions. The first PINN studied is the loss-based PINN, which embeds physics into a standard feedforward neural network within the loss function of this network. The second PINN investigated is the hybrid-recurrent physics informed neural network, which uses a recurrent neural network (RNN) that embeds physics in RNN architecture. The BI used as a point of comparison uses a Transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithm to estimate the posterior distributions. The applications studied are a compartmental model for an infectious disease, and a mass-spring-damper model. It is found that BI performs better in ideal data conditions and the PINNs perform better in weak data conditions.

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