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  • Computational Fluid Dynamics Modelling for Discharge Rate Optimization in the Muda River Basin: A Case Study of Monsoon-Driven Flood Events
  • https://doi.org/10.37934/cfdl.18.3.219230Copy DOI Icon

Computational Fluid Dynamics Modelling for Discharge Rate Optimization in the Muda River Basin: A Case Study of Monsoon-Driven Flood Events

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Abstract

Monsoon floods in northern Malaysia pose severe risks to communities and infrastructure. Conventional runoff models often rely on empirical assumptions and fail to capture complex three-dimensional flow dynamics. This study aims to develop a more accurate predictive tool by combining physics-based simulation with data-driven learning. Using measured water levels and velocities, we applied a three-dimensional fluid flow model (governed by Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes equations) to simulate flood events at two river crossings (Sidam and Jeniang). A calibration factor was computed to align simulated and observed discharges. A neural network (long short-term memory, LSTM) was then trained on historical flow data to improve the prediction of discharge rates. Results show that the calibrated CFD model matched observations closely (coefficient of determination > 0.97) and reduced mean absolute error by 43%. Integrating the LSTM further improved accuracy, outperforming standard regression models. These findings demonstrate that coupled CFD machine learning models can robustly predict river discharge and support adaptive flood management in tropical basins.

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