• Home
  • Search
  • Correctness Coverage Evaluation for Medical Multiple-Choice Question Answering Based on the Enhanced Conformal Prediction Framework
  • https://doi.org/10.3390/math13091538Copy DOI Icon

Correctness Coverage Evaluation for Medical Multiple-Choice Question Answering Based on the Enhanced Conformal Prediction Framework

Show More
  • Abstract
  • Literature Map
  • References
  • Similar Papers
Abstract

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly adopted in medical question answering (QA) scenarios. However, LLMs have been proven to generate hallucinations and nonfactual information, undermining their trustworthiness in high-stakes medical tasks. Conformal Prediction (CP) is now recognized as a robust framework within the broader domain of machine learning, offering statistically rigorous guarantees of marginal (average) coverage for prediction sets. However, the applicability of CP in medical QA remains to be explored. To address this limitation, this study proposes an enhanced CP framework for medical multiple-choice question answering (MCQA) tasks. The enhanced CP framework associates the non-conformance score with the frequency score of the correct option. The framework generates multiple outputs for the same medical query by leveraging self-consistency theory. The proposed framework calculates the frequency score of each option to address the issue of limited access to the model’s internal information. Furthermore, a risk control framework is incorporated into the enhanced CP framework to manage task-specific metrics through a monotonically decreasing loss function. The enhanced CP framework is evaluated on three popular MCQA datasets using off-the-shelf LLMs. Empirical results demonstrate that the enhanced CP framework achieves user-specified average (or marginal) error rates on the test set. Moreover, the results show that the test set’s average prediction set size (APSS) decreases as the risk level increases. It is concluded that it is a promising evaluation metric for the uncertainty of LLMs.

Similar Papers
  • Research Article

Evaluating large language models for clinical note processing: local fine-tuning and internal-external validation using electronic health records from South Asia.

  • Feb 25, 2026
  • BMC medical informatics and decision making
  • Seyed Alireza Hasheminasab +18
  • Research Article
  • Citations39

MedExpQA: Multilingual benchmarking of Large Language Models for Medical Question Answering

  • Jul 31, 2024
  • Artificial Intelligence In Medicine
  • Iñigo Alonso +2
  • Research Article

BEnchmarking Large Language Models for Ophthalmology (BELO): An Expert-Curated Data Set and Evaluation Framework for Knowledge and Reasoning

  • Dec 26, 2025
  • Ophthalmology Science
  • Sahana Srinivasan +31
  • Research Article
  • Citations22

Large Language Models in Medical Diagnostics: Scoping Review With Bibliometric Analysis.

  • Jun 09, 2025
  • Journal of medical Internet research
  • Hankun Su +14
  • PDF
  • Research Article
  • Citations104

Benchmarking large language models for biomedical natural language processing applications and recommendations

  • Apr 06, 2025
  • Nature Communications
  • Qingyu Chen +20
  • Research Article

Retrieval-augmented generation in healthcare: A narrative review of methods, contributions, and future directions

  • Feb 24, 2026
  • Digital Medicine
  • Hao Kechun +1
  • Conference Article

ExplainMed++: Generating Human-Centered Medical QA Summaries with Explanations

  • Dec 19, 2025
  • Shubham Dubey +5
  • Research Article
  • Citations9

A survey for large language models in biomedicine.

  • Dec 01, 2025
  • Artificial intelligence in medicine
  • Chong Wang +16
  • Research Article

Large language models in healthcare and biomedical informatics: A comprehensive review

  • Jan 01, 2026
  • Innovation and Emerging Technologies
  • Andrew Hornback +8
  • Research Article
  • Citations3

MedSumGraph: enhancing GraphRAG for medical QA with summarization and optimized prompts.

  • Feb 01, 2026
  • Artificial intelligence in medicine
  • Daeho Kim +2
  • Research Article
  • Citations2

LEAF: Learning and Evaluation Augmented by Fact-Checking to Improve Factualness in Large Language Models.

  • Jan 01, 2025
  • Proceedings of the Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing. Conference on Empirical Methods in Natural Language Processing
  • Hieu Tran +5
  • Research Article
  • Citations1

Conformal Prediction and Large Language Models for Medical Coding

  • Oct 15, 2024
  • American Journal of Clinical Pathology
  • Christopher Snyder +1
  • Research Article

Comparative Analysis of Denoising Methods to Improve Image Quality for Medical Visual Question Answering

  • Dec 17, 2024
  • International Journal of Next-Generation Computing
  • Rikita D Parekh +1
  • Conference Article

Enhancing Medical Question Answering via a Multi-Agent Debate Framework

  • Jan 05, 2026
  • Daze Lu +4
  • Supplementary Content

The Economics of Accuracy for Medical Reasoning with Large Language Models

  • Dec 27, 2025
  • medRxiv
  • Kiran Bhattacharyya
Cactus Communications logo

Copyright 2026 Cactus Communications. All rights reserved.