Crowd Density Estimation Method Using Deep Learning for Passenger Flow Detection System in Exhibition Center

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great significance to help power companies in better scheduling and efficient management. Since high levels of uncertainties exist in the load time series, it is a challenging task to make accurate short-term load forecast (STLF). In recent years, deep learning approaches provide better performance to predict electrical load in real world cases. The convolutional neural network (CNN) can extract the local trend and capture the same pattern, and the long short-term memory (LSTM) is proposed to learn the relationship in time steps. In this paper, a new deep neural network framework that integrates the hidden feature of the CNN model and the LSTM model is proposed to improve the forecasting accuracy. The proposed model was tested in a real-world case, and detailed experiments were conducted to validate its practicality and stability. The forecasting performance of the proposed model was compared with the LSTM model and the CNN model. The Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) were used as the evaluation indexes. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model can achieve better and stable performance in STLF.

Electricity demand forecasting is important for planning and facility expansion in the electricity sector. Accurate forecasts can save operating and maintenance costs, increased the reliability of power supply and delivery system, and correct decisions for future development.  Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia (UTHM) which is a developing university in Malaysia has been growing since its formation in 1993.  Thus, it is important for UTHM to forecast the electricity consumption in future so that the future development can be determined. Hence, UTHM electricity consumption was forecasted by using the simple moving average (SMA), weighted moving average (WMA), simple exponential smoothing (SES), Holt linear trend (HL), Holt-Winters (HW) and centered moving average (CMA).  The monthly electricity consumption from January 2011 to December 2017 was used to forecast January to December 2018 monthly electricity consumption.  HW gives the smallest mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), while CMA produces the lowest mean square error (MSE) and root mean square error (RMSE).  As there is a decreasing population of UTHM after the moving of four faculties to Pagoh and HW forecasted trend is decreasing whereas CMA is increasing, hence HW might forecast better in this problem.

Accurate prediction of agricultural yield is extremely important to ensure food security and cope with the challenges created by climate change and natural disasters. Forecasting agricultural yield is a challenging task due to the complex nature of variables (fertiliser, rainfall, temperature and others) that affect agricultural production. This study employs six supervised machine learning algorithms: Support Vector Machine (SVM), Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to build a predictive model using 49 years of historical data (1973-2021) on paddy, wheat, and maize. Model performance was evaluated using Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and Root Mean Squared Error (rMSE). Results show that DT and RF models are the most precise with MSE 1% to 5%, MAE 8% to 21%, followed by SVM and CNN. Key predictors of crop yield include area cultivated, capital expenditure, banking expansion, rainfall, temperature, and fertilizers, while irrigation and road network were less significant. The study recommends that farmers prioritize commercial farming, agricultural equipment, and timely availability of fertilizer for application. The Government of Nepal (GoN) should redirect subsidies towards agricultural mechanization, ensure timely supply of fertilizer, and expand banking services in agricultural areas.

The purposes are to analyze the safety and real-time performance of intelligent transportation under big data and solve urban transportation safety problems. The existing problems of complex traffic data collection and single factor analysis are analyzed. Guangzhou target road section and its historical traffic flow are taken as the data source, the big data analytics (BDA) platform is constructed after preprocessing, and then the deep belief network (DBN) is introduced to build the intelligent transportation model based on BDA. Finally, the model is simulated to analyze its performance. The results reveal that the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of the proposed algorithm are 4.42%, 6.21%, and 8.03%, respectively compared to Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), Neuro fuzzy c-means model (FCM), Deep Neural Network (DNN), and neural network (NN). The mean absolute error (MAE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) are 4.42%, 6.21% and 8.03% respectively. The prediction accuracy is significantly better than that of other algorithms. The analysis of Accuracy, Precision, Recall and F1 suggests that the safety prediction accuracy of the proposed algorithm can reach up to 88.57%, which is at least 3.19% higher than that of other algorithms. Meantime, the proposed algorithm can effectively inhibit the spread of congestion, and achieve the effect of timely evacuation for traffic congestion. Regarding the data transmission performance, the delay is less than 40ms and the packet loss rate is less than 0.1, which is significantly better than other model algorithms in real-time performance. Hence, the constructed intelligent transportation algorithm based on BDA has high precision and excellent congestion evacuation performance, which can provide an experimental basis for constructing intelligent and safe transportation in the future.

A CNN encoder decoder LSTM model for sustainable wind power predictive analytics

Forecasting stock prices has always been a complex and challenging task due to its high volatility, noise in data, and abrupt price fluctuations caused by different factors. Traditional approaches, such as quantitative, fundamental, and technical analysis, often struggle to accurately predict stock price movements due to their difficulty in processing non-linear data. The evolution of machine learning, particularly neural network models, opened new opportunities for improving prediction accuracy by handling non-linear and multidimensional data with high effectiveness. This study focuses on evaluating and comparing three neural network architectures, in which the last is a combination of the first two - Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and a hybrid CNN-LSTM model, for forecasting stock prices. Using ten years of historical stock data, taken for Apple Inc. (AAPL) stocks as an example, ranging from 2015 to 2025, the models were trained and tested on key performance metrics such as Mean Squared Error (MSE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and R². Results show that while both CNN and LSTM models show good performance individually, the hybrid CNN-LSTM model can significantly outperform them, achieving the highest accuracy with the lowest error rates. By combining the strengths of CNN for feature extraction and LSTM for temporal sequence processing, the hybrid model effectively captures complex patterns in stock price movements. By iterating over the types of layers to use, we came to the conclusion, that by combining both models into one hybrid model, some layers, like one CNN layer, and one LSTM layer should be removed. This research demonstrates the potential of hybrid neural network models in financial time-series forecasting and comprehensively analyzes their advantages over non-hybrid models.

Breast cancer is the subsequent leading cause of cancer-related deceases among women. Initial exposure stimulates enhanced visualization and saves survives. These days, the exact grouping classification of breast cancer images is a difficult errand. There are much research works delivering various strategies and algorithms for this specific errand of medical image processing. To build up an exact characterization, this paper presents a viable classification of mammogram images utilizing HOT based classification tree and HOT based convolutional neural network (CNN). The input breast image is at first taken from the database and pre-processed by RGB to grayscale conversion and normalization methodology. In this way Histogram of Oriented Texture (HOT) Descriptor is extorted from the pre-processed images. At long last images are classified as typical or irregular utilizing HOT based classification tree and HOT based CNN. The exploratory results show that the introduced method outperforms the existing strategies concerning various performance assessments like accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, mean absolute error, AUC score, kappa statistics, and Root mean square error

Currently, the energy market is facing the challenge of significant increase in demand and it is a well known fact that the availability of fossil fuels is limited. The solar generation has evolved as the most promising solution to meet the demand, but the integration of solar generation to the power grid poses a stability threat due to its intermittent nature. To ensure the legitimate operation of the grid, accurate solar power forecast is essential. Apart from stability, accurate forecasting can also help in maintaining economic operation of the grid since it would help in appropriate installation of storage resources. In this study, we present an approach for short term solar irradiance forecast at a given location based on numerical weather prediction in combination with gradient boosting regression and bootstrap aggregation machine learning models. We considered additional parameters such as spatial parameters (elevation, latitude, longitude) and seasonal parameters (day and month of the year). Effectiveness of the proposed method will be evaluated based on Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) indices.

DNA methylation markers in combination with skeletal and dental ages to improve age estimation in children

Nowadays , nonlinear time series and artificial neural networks (ANN) models are used for forecasting in the field of business, agriculture and soon. Recent studies have shown, ANN have been successfully used for forecasting of financial and agriculture data series The classical methods used for time series prediction like Box-Jenkins or ARIMA assumes that there is a linear relationship between inputs and outputs. ANN have more advantages that can approximate to model both linear and nonlinear structures in time series, they are not able to handling both structures equally well. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and two ANN models namely, Radial basis function neural networks (RBFNN), and Elman recurrent neural networks (ERNN) methods were applied to Hyderabad airport traffic data. The data obtained for 15 years from 2002–2003 to 2016–2017 about domestic and international passenger of International Airport of Hyderabad, India. In this research paper, we compared the performances of ARIMA, RBFNN and ERNN were based on three measures: mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results showed that RBFNN obtained the smallest MAE, MAPE and RMSE in both the modeling and forecasting processes. The performances of the three models ranked in ascending order were: ARIMA, ERNN and the RBFNN model. Keywords: T ime series, forecasting, artificial neural networks, ARIMA models, radial basis function neural networks, and Elman recurrent neural networks Cite this Article R. Ramakrishna, Berhe Aregay, Tewodros Gebregergs. The Comparison in Time Series Forecasting of Air Traffic Data by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model, Radial Basis Function and Elman Recurrent Neural Networks. Research & Reviews: Journal of Statistics . 2018; 7(3): 75–90p.

This research presents a supervised learning framework with a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to precisely quantify dielectrophoretic force () in microfluidic devices using a regression approach. As opposed to using a classification paradigm in our prior work, here we recast the estimation task as a regression problem. Micrographs of pearl-chain arrangement in a DEP sensing device were processed using a using modified CNN architectures of AlexNet, ResNet-50, MobileNetV2, and GoogLeNet in order to predict the induced on yeast cells and polystyrene microbeads. Micrographs obtained from our dielectrophoresis (DEP) experiments with varied input voltages were preprocessed and used in building these deep regression models. prediction accuracy of the models was tested for using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Relative (MRE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), R-squared, and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) as evaluation metrics. The results from the experiments show that the performance of our regression models had better prediction accuracy and generalization ability when compared to our classification models. ResNet-50 with RMSPROP gave the best performance, with a validation RMSE of 0.0918 on yeast cells while AlexNet with ADAM optimizer gave the best performance, with a validation RMSE of 0.1745 on microbeads. This provides a baseline for further studies in the application of deep learning and dielectrophoresis for DEP force estimation. Figure 1

Wire sawing is an important process in the cutting of NdFeB magnets and the sawed surface topography and surface roughness (SR) are important indicators for assessing surface quality. This paper analyzed the effects of process parameters on the sawed NdFeB surface topography and SR based on orthogonal experiments and then presented an SR prediction model called ISSA-BP, which was based on a BP neural network using an improved sparrow search algorithm (ISSA). For the problem of insufficient optimization capability of the traditional sparrow search algorithm (SSA), Cubic chaotic mapping, Latin hypercube sampling, the sine–cosine algorithm, Levy flight, and Cauchy mutation were introduced to improve the traditional sparrow search algorithm (SSA) to obtain ISSA, improving algorithm convergence speed and global optimization. The ISSA was then used to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the BP neural network for predicting Ra. Research shows that the sawed surface topography reflects a combination of brittle and ductile material removal. As the workpiece feed speed and size decrease and the wire speed increases, there is a reduction in SR. Compared with the SSA-BP and traditional BP models, the ISSA-BP prediction model has reduced various error indicators such as mean absolute error (MAE) and mean square error (MSE). The mean absolute error (MAE) of the prediction model optimized by the ISSA is 0.064475, the mean square error (MSE) is 0.0072297, the root mean square error (RMSE) is 0.085028, and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 3.7171%. The research results provide an experimental basis and technical support for predicting the SR and optimizing the process parameters in diamond wire-sawing NdFeB.

This paper deals with the application of a novel neural network technique, support vector machine (SVM), in financial time series forecasting. This study applies SVM to predict the paying rate index. The objective of this paper is to examine the feasibility of SVM in paying rate forecasting by comparing it with a feed-forward backpropagation (BP) neural network. We choose Gaussian function as its kernel function. The experiment shows that SVM outperforms the feed-forward BP neural network based on the criteria of mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percent error (MAPE), mean squared error (MSE) and root mean square error (RMSE). Analysis of the experimental results proved that it is advantageous to apply SVMs to forecast paying rate

Urban public transport has become a preferred choice for alleviating traffic congestion. The bus passenger OD (origin–destination) demand prediction based on bus operational data is the key technology to realize urban intelligent transportation system. However, most of the existing bus OD demand prediction methods only considered regional passengers. The problem of the OD demand prediction based on historical OD matrices of bus lines is still not easy to implement, exceptionally, which is suitable for most of the urban bus lines. This paper presents a non-symmetric spatial-temporal network (NSTN) based on convolutional neural network (CNN) and convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) network to predict bus OD. NSTN contains the station spatial component (SSC) module and the spatial-temporal component (STC) module. SSC consists of two CNNs to learn the OD features and the DO (destination-origin) features, respectively. To make the prediction shift to the OD features, the non-symmetric input is designed. STC extracts spatial-temporal features based on ConvLSTM. Compared with other methods, NSTN has the best performance measured by symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), where its SMAPE falls by 4.3 percentage points to 16.4 percentage points and RMSE falls by 23.1 percentage points to 69.9 percentage points. Experimental results on other bus lines show that NSTN has strong generalization ability.

Agricultural modernization is crucial for the economic development of agriculture. Technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (Topsis) and artificial neural network (ANN) were employed to evaluate and predict agricultural modernization level. A three-layer ANN models were developed to predict agricultural modernization level. The models were compared using the mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The 5-4-1 ANN model with standardization transformation was the best model. Topsis and ANN are useful tools to evaluate agricultural modernization level and to provide policy proposals for more efficient decision-making for the local government.