Data Mining for the e-Learning Risk Management

Recent advances in computing, communications, digital storage technologies, and high-throughput data-acquisition technologies, make it possible to gather and store incredible volumes of data. It creates unprecedented opportunities for large-scale knowledge discovery from huge database. Data mining (DM) technology has emerged as a means of performing this discovery. There are countless researchers working on designing efficient data mining techniques, methods, and algorithms. Many data mining methods and algorithms have been developed and applied in a lot of application fields [1]. Unfortunately, most data mining researchers pay much attention to technique problems for developing data mining models and methods, while little to basic issues of data mining [2]. In this talk, some basic issues of data mining are addressed. What is data mining? What is the product of a data mining process? What are we doing in a data mining process? What is the rule we should obey in a data mining process? Through analyzing existing data mining methods, and domain-driven (or user-driven) data mining models [3-5], we find that we should take a data mining process as a process of knowledge transformation. Based on this understanding of data mining, a conceptual data mining model of domain-oriented data-driven data mining (3DM) is proposed [2]. The relationship between traditional domain-driven (or user-driven) data mining models and our proposed 3DM model is also analyzed. Some domain-oriented data-driven data mining algorithms for mining such knowledge as default rule [6], decision tree [7], and concept lattice [8] from database are proposed. The experiment results for these algorithms are also shown to illustrate the efficiency and performance of the knowledge acquired by our 3DM data mining algorithms.

Computing significant factors quantitatively is an imperative task in understanding the underlying reasons that contribute to a final outcome. In this paper, a case of e-Government ranking is studied by attempting to find the significance of each KPIs which leads to resultant rank of a country. Significant factors in this context are inferred as some degrees of relations between the input variables (which are the KPIs in this case) and the final outcome (the rank). In the past, significant factors were either acquired as first-hand information via direct questioning from users’ satisfaction survey or qualitative inference; typical question is ‘You are satisfied with a particular e-Government service’ by applying a multi-level Likert scale. Respondents answered by choosing one of the following: Strongly agree, Agree, Neutral, Disagree, and Strongly Disagree. The replies are then counted and studied using traditional statistical methods. In this paper, an alternative method by feature selection in data mining is proposed which computes quantitatively the relative importance of each KPI with respective to the predicted class, the rank. The main advantage of feature selection by data mining (FSDM) method is that it considers the cross-dependencies of the variables and how they contribute as a whole predictive model to a particular predicted outcome. In contrast, classical significant factor analysis such as correlogram tells only the strength of correlation between an individual pair of factor and outcome. Another advantage of using data mining method over simple statistic is that the inferred predictive model could be used as a predictor and/or what-if decision simulator; given some values of KPIs a corresponding rank could be guesstimated. A case study of computing significant factors in terms of KPIs that lead to the world rank in from the data of UN e-Government Survey 2010, is presented.

The way we learn has changed as a result of advances in science and technology and the growing influence of information technology on daily life. E-learning is a relatively new concept in educational settings, but it has progressively earned a spot in modern training techniques. Data mining methods are used in many applications, particularly in elearning. Comparing direct communications difficult to track the student involvement in online courses. To overcome the above mentioned issues the existing methods are analyzed various techniques of data mining and optimization methods which can be applied to bring out hidden knowledge from the educational data? In the e-learning work, preprocessing, feature selection and classification process are performed to improve the Kalboard 360 educational dataset accuracy significantly. This study focused on educational data mining (EDM) and employed decision trees, support vector machines (SVM), multilayer perceptrons, and the naive bayesian C4.5 algorithm among other classification techniques to assess the features for the prediction of students’ behaviour and academic achievement. This paper analyzes the advantages and shortcomings of each algorithm applied to data set on the basis of accuracy for various classification techniques like Multilayer Perceptron based ANN algorithm (MP-ANN), Decision Tree (DT) C4.5 and Hybrid Regression model with Multi Label Classification (HR-MLC) approach. The experimental result shows that the HR-MLC algorithm provides better performance in terms of higher accuracy, precision, recall and f-measure rather than the other existing methods.

Predictive analytics has emerged as a powerful tool in the field of financial engineering, enabling organizations to forecast trends, optimize strategies, and mitigate risks. Data mining techniques play a crucial role in extracting meaningful patterns from large volumes of financial datasets, contributing to the development of predictive modeling techniques. The purpose of this paper is to explore the application of various data mining techniques in predictive analytics within the financial sector, with a focus on their effectiveness in risk management, fraud detection, and portfolio optimization. Machine learning algorithms, such as decision trees, support vector machines, and neural networks, are increasingly being employed to model complex financial systems and enhance predictive accuracy. Additionally, techniques like clustering, association rule mining, and time series analysis are used to uncover hidden relationships and temporal patterns in financial datasets. Despite the significant advancements in these techniques, challenges remain in terms of data quality, computational complexity, and interpretability of results. This paper addresses these challenges and provides a comprehensive review of the most widely used data mining methods in financial engineering. Furthermore, it discusses the potential for future advancements in data mining algorithms and their integration with other emerging technologies like artificial intelligence and big data analytics. The findings indicate that while data mining offers significant potential in financial analytics, careful consideration must be given to the selection of appropriate techniques and the proper handling of data to ensure reliable predictions. Ultimately, this paper aims to contribute to the ongoing development of robust predictive modeling techniques in financial engineering by emphasizing the importance of data mining as an indispensable tool.

Trace elements migrate among different environment bodies with the natural geochemical reactions, and impacted by human industrial, agricultural, and civil activities. High load of trace elements in water, river and lake sediment, soil and air particle lead to potential to health of human being and ecological system. To control the impact on environment, source apportionment is a meaningful, and also a challenging task. Traditional methods to make source apportionment are usually based on geochemical techniques, or univariate analysis techniques. In recently years, the methods of multivariate analysis, and the related concepts data mining, machine learning, big data, are developing fast, which provide a novel route that combing the geochemical and data mining techniques together. These methods have been proved successful to deal with the source apportionment issue. In this chapter, the data mining methods used on this topic and implementations in recent years are reviewed. The basic method includes principal component analysis, factor analysis, clustering analysis, positive matrix fractionation, decision tree, Bayesian network, artificial neural network, etc. Source apportionment of trace elements in surface water, ground water, river and lake sediment, soil, air particles, dust are discussed.

Churn is a customer's behaviour to quit using product or service and then move to another company. Customer churn is serious problem that must be handled to keep company survive. Handling of churn customers starts from predicting which customers will churn. One approach in predicting customer churn is data mining. This study compares two classification methods in data mining namely artificial neural networks and decision trees in banking industry case. The result showed that the artificial neural network has accuracy 86% and precision 71%, which is better than the decision tree. However, the decision tree has a better recall value than the artificial neural network, which is 58%..

As a result of the huge amounts of data available in any subject of research, data mining technologies confront considerable obstacles. Due to the large volume of data, most existing data mining methods are inapplicable to many real-world problems. Data mining methods become ineffective when the problem size becomes too large. Scalability is an issue that must be addressed in data mining algorithms in order to construct high-performance, efficient, and scalable data mining algorithms. A new scalability technique is proposed and applied to several data mining problems in this research. The proposed scaling methodology is developed using a cascade approach. The approach begins with the collection of a large data set from several sources, which is then preprocessed. Once the dataset has been preprocessed, decompose it into smaller data sets of equal size subsets. Then apply a data mining approach to each subset, with the identical data mining method stated for each subset. The findings of the data mining approach on all subsets are pooled and aggregated for the final output. The performance of the suggested algorithm is assessed using a number of criteria, including accuracy, precision, recall, F-score, and execution time. Social advertising and bank marketing are the two datasets on which the proposed method is tested. The suggested approach's performance is compared with non-scale data mining methods, and it is found that the scaling method outperformed non-scale data mining methods on all measures.

PurposeIn accounting and finance, researchers have used many ways to detect manager’s fraud risk. Until now, many researchers have used some data mining methods in these two fields to detect this risk. The purpose of this paper is to compare the precision of two data mining methods in detecting such a risk.Design/methodology/approachFor this purpose, this paper analyzed the texts of board’s reports and used two methods including the convex optimization (CVX) method and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method. In this way, the words of these reports, which have the greatest power in explaining the manager’s high fraud risk index, were identified. Using these words, this paper presented a model that could detect manager’s high fraud risk index in companies.FindingsThe results indicated that both methods can detect the manager’s high fraud risk index with a precision between 82.55 and 91.25 percent. The LASSO method was significantly more precise than the CVX method.Research limitations/implicationsThe lack of access to an official and reliable list of firms suspected to fraud and the lack of access to the Microsoft Word (MS Word) file of board’s reports were two of the most important limitations of this study.Practical implicationsRegulatory bodies and independent auditors can consider the proposed methods in this study for assessing the fraud risk for a firm or other legal parties.Originality/valueThis paper avoided using merely financial statements data to detect the manager’s fraud risk index and focused on texts of board’s reports for the detection process. The capabilities of data mining and text mining methods for detecting the manager’s fraud risk index using board’s reports were tested in this paper. By comparing CVX and LASSO results, this paper indicated that methods with a binary-dependent variable have more power and are more precise than methods with continuous-dependent variables for detecting fraud.

This paper proposes an exploratory temporal data mining process which aims at capturing behavior of medical staff. The process consists of the following four process. First, datasets will be extracted from hospital information systems through double-step datawarehousing. Second, similarities between temporal sequences are calculated from datasets. Third, data mining methods such as clustering, multidimensional scaling are applied for obtaining the class labels. Finally, other data mining methods, such as decision tree and correspondence analysis are applied to original data sets with the class labels.

The rapid development of the digital era is now a major challenge for the education system in Indonesia, especially for high school students. Today's teenagers are in a digital age where the development and enhancement of knowledge in the field of digital technology has had a dramatic impact. Common problems faced by senior high school students include their social relationship, difficulty concentrating in learning, lack of discipline, disobedience to orderliness and disrespect toward teacher and friends. Of these problems have an impact that the student's value is less than the average so that students become class. For that reason, we need a solution to reduce the number of students who failing a grade. Data mining concerns the education world to improve the quality of education by minimizing the number of failing grade students. Classification techniques on data mining used to process data that is Decision Tree and Naïve Bayes. Many data can be managed in schools using the method of data mining, therefore it is necessary to limit the problem so that the assessment can be focused and not floating. Limitations in the problem include Cognitive values, Psychomotor values, Affective values, Number of attendance Number of remedial exams. The results of the analysis will be used to predict the class increase that will affect the quality improvement of students in the future. Measurement results using confusion matrix and ROC curve obtained decision tree accuracy values of 97.5% and naïve bayes of 97.5%.

Osteoporosis is one of the primary causes of disability and mortality in the elderly. If osteoporosis's significant features can be identified, the risk of developing this disease will be reduced. In recent years, data mining approaches have become a suitable tool for medical researchers. This study applied data mining methods to identify osteoporosis’s significant features. This study applied data from women having osteoporosis or osteopenia in the period 2011-2019 in the Osteoporosis Diagnosis Center, Isfahan, Iran. Data mining methods such as linear regression, naïve bayes, decision tree, support vector machine, random forest, and neural network were implemented on the dataset. This study consisted of 8258 patients’ information, of which 1482 had osteoporosis. The results showed that the support vector machine, decision tree, neural network are the best method based on accuracy, precision, and AUC measures. Six candidate features were age, weight, back pain, low activity, menopause date, and previous fracture. Support vector machine, decision tree, and neural network are the best candidate techniques for predicting osteoporosis. Thin older people are more at risk of osteoporosis than other people. Yet, people with middleweight and middle age are at lower risk of osteoporosis.

The purpose of this research was to determine classification accuracy of the factors affecting the success of students' reading skills based on PISA 2018 data by using Artificial Neural Networks, Decision Trees, K-Nearest Neighbor, and Naive Bayes data mining classification methods and to examine the general characteristics of success groups. In the research, 6890 student surveys of PISA 2018 were used. Firstly, missing data were examined and completed. Secondly, 24 index variables thought to affect the success of students' reading skills were determined by examining the related literature, PISA 2018 Technical Report, and PISA 2018 data. Thirdly, considering the sub-classification problem, the students were scaled in two categories as “Successful” and “Unsuccessful” according to the scores of PISA 2018 reading skills achievement test. Statistical analysis was conducted with SPSS MODELER program. At the end of the research, it was determined that Decision Trees C5.0 algorithm had the highest classification rate with 89.6%, the QUEST algorithm had the lowest classification rate with 75%, and four clusters were obtained proportionally close to each other in Two-Step Clustering analysis method to examine the general characteristics according to the success scores. It can be said that the data sets are suitable for clustering since the Silhouette Coefficient, which is calculated as 0.1 in clustering analyses, is greater than 0. It can be concluded that according to achievement scores, all data mining methods can be used to classify students since these models make accurate classification beyond chance.

In this research, a conceptual review was made for the application of data mining to the financial sector. In other words, it is summarized in empirical studies using financial data and data mining method. As a result of the general scanning, it was determined that data mining is used in many areas and it is widely used in empirical studies in the field of finance. When the financial studies using data mining methods are examined, it has been determined that a significant part of the studies in question are carried out in the field of risk management and financial failure. In the study, it was also revealed that artificial neural networks are the most used data mining methods in the field of finance. As a result of the general survey, it was determined that there is a need for research on credit scoring, abnormal return estimation, manipulation detection and portfolio management with data mining methods.

Recent developments in computing, communications, digital storage technologies, and high-throughput data-acquisition technologies, make it possible to gather and store incredible volumes of data. It creates unprecedented opportunities for knowledge discovery large-scale database. Data mining technology is a useful tool for this task. It is an emerging area of computational intelligence that offers new theories, techniques, and tools for processing large volumes of data, such as data analysis, decision making, etc. There are countless researchers working on designing efficient data mining techniques, methods, and algorithms. Unfortunately,most data mining researchers pay much attention to technique problems for developing data mining models and methods, while little to basic issues of data mining. What is data mining? What is the product of a data mining process? What are we doing in a data mining process? What is the rule we would obey in a data mining process? What is the relationship between the prior knowledge of domain experts and the knowledgemind from data? In this paper, we will address these basic issues of data mining from the viewpoint of informatics [1]. Data is taken as a manmade format for encoding knowledge about the natural world. We take data mining as a process of knowledge transformation. A domain-oriented data-driven data mining (3DM) model based on a conceptual data mining model is proposed. Some data-driven data mining algorithms are also proposed to show the validity of this model, e.g., the data-driven default rule generation algorithm, data-driven decision tree pre-pruning algorithm and data-driven knowledge acquisition from concept lattice.

The process of extracting meaningful rules from big and complex data is called data mining. Data mining has an increasing popularity in every field today. Data units are established in customer-oriented industries such as marketing, finance and telecommunication to work on the customer churn and acquisition, in particular. Among the data mining methods, classification algorithms are used in studies conducted for customer acquisition to predict the potential customers of the company in question in the related industry. In this study, bank marketing data set in UCI Machine Learning Data Set was used by creating models with the same classification algorithms in different data mining programs. Accuracy, precision and f- measure criteria were used to test performances of the classification models. When creating the classification models, the test and training data sets were randomly divided by the holdout method to evaluate the performance of the data set. The data set was divided into training and test data sets with the 60-40%, 75­25% and 80-20% separation ratios. Data mining programs used for these processes are the R, Knime, RapidMiner and WEKA. And, classification algorithms commonly used in these platforms are the k-nearest neighbor (k-nn), Naive Bayes, and C4.5 decision tree.