Enhancing software effort estimation through reinforcement learning-based project management-oriented feature selection

Project organization and management software development project management model is the best form of software development enterprises in China's understanding of software development project management has been greatly improved. Traditional software development projects have different characteristics, therefore how flexible application for software project management theory and strategies of the main research objectives of domestic software development project management. Our software in enterprise application software development project management, general shortcomings in implementation, this article on software research and development analysis and project management of implementation strategies.

Software cost estimation is a process of planning, risk analysis, and decision making for project management in software development. Cost of project development encompasses a software project’s effort and development time. One popular model of software cost estimation is constructive cost model (COCOMO) model, which is a mathematical model proposed by Boehm, used for estimate the software effort and development time. The objective of this paper is to improve the basic COCOMO model’s coefficients for modern programming languages like Python, R, C++, etc. Many techniques were presented in the past for effort and time estimation using machine learning. But all these techniques were trained and tested for older programming languages. In order to improve the accuracy of COCOMO for modern programming languages, six Python projects have been considered and genetic algorithm (GA) is applied in these projects to define new values for basic COCOMO coefficients and the development time is calculated for Python projects. The time estimated using GA coefficients is compared with the original COCOMO and actual time. Using mean magnitude relative error, the error from the original COCOMO time is 54.49% and error from GA time is 21.23%.

Accurate software effort estimation is one of the key factors to a successful project by making a better software project plan. To improve the estimation accuracy of software effort, many studies usually aimed at proposing novel effort estimation methods or combining several approaches of the existing effort estimation methods. However, those researches did not consider the distribution of historical software project data which is an important part impacting to the effort estimation accuracy. In this paper, to improve effort estimation accuracy by least squares regression, we propose a data partitioning method by the accuracy measures, MRE and MER which are usually used to measure the effort estimation accuracy. Furthermore, the empirical experimentations are performed by using two industry data sets (the ISBSG Release 9 and the Bank data set which consists of the project data performed in a bank in Korea).

The Project Management in the area of IT is becoming hot topic now. The risk problems in IT Projects, especially in software projects become more and more concentration in software project management in China. This paper analyze systematically the characteristics of project management for software itself, then the paper analyses the risk of software development project in following two aspects: one for owners another for contractors. To owners the paper identify and analyze the risk in software development projects according to life cycle of a project. To contractors the paper identifies and assess the risk of project management in software development, and on the bases of investigating of software development project in the IT enterprises of China some conclusions are obtained with the method of AHP.

Software cost and time estimation is the process of estimating the cost and time required to develop a software system. Software cost and time estimation supports the planning and tracking of software projects. Effectively controlling the expensive investment of software development is one of the important issues in software project management. Estimating software development cost with high precision is still a great challenge for project managers, because it allows for considerable financial and strategic planning. Software cost estimation refers to the predictions of the likely amount of effort, time, and staffing levels required to build a software system. A very helpful form of cost estimation is the one made at an early stage during a project, when the costing of the project is proposed for approval. However, estimates at the early stages of the development are the most difficult to obtain. In this paper a novel Constructive Cost Model (COCOMO) based on soft computing approach is proposed for software cost estimation. This model carries some of the desirable features of neural networks approach, such as learning ability and good interpretability, while maintaining the merits of the COCOMO model. Unlike the standard neural networks approach, the proposed model can be interpreted and validated by experts, and has good generalisation capability. The model deals effectively with imprecise and uncertain input and enhances the reliability of software cost estimates. From the experimental results, it was concluded that, by the proposed neural network model, the accuracy of cost estimation can be improved and the estimated cost can be very close to the actual cost.

Crowd-Sourced software development (CSSD) is getting a good deal of attention from the software and research community in recent times. One of the key challenges faced by CSSD platforms is the task selection mechanism which in practice, contains no intelligent scheme. Rather, rule-of-thumb or intuition strategies are employed, leading to biasness and subjectivity. Effort considerations on crowdsourced tasks can offer good foundation for task selection criteria but are not much investigated. Software development effort estimation (SDEE) is quite prevalent domain in software engineering but only investigated for in-house development. For open-sourced or crowdsourced platforms, it is rarely explored. Moreover, Machine learning (ML) techniques are overpowering SDEE with a claim to provide more accurate estimation results. This work aims to conjoin ML-based SDEE to analyze development effort measures on CSSD platform. The purpose is to discover development-oriented features for crowdsourced tasks and analyze performance of ML techniques to find best estimation model on CSSD dataset. TopCoder is selected as target CSSD platform for the study. TopCoder’s development tasks data with development-centric features are extracted, leading to statistical, regression and correlation analysis to justify features’ significance. For effort estimation, 10 ML families with 2 respective techniques are applied to get broader aspect of estimation. Five performance metrices (MSE, RMSE, MMRE, MdMRE, Pred (25) and Welch’s statistical test are incorporated to judge the worth of effort estimation model’s performance. Data analysis results show that selected features of TopCoder pertain reasonable model significance, regression, and correlation measures. Findings of ML effort estimation depicted that best results for TopCoder dataset can be acquired by linear, non-linear regression and SVM family models. To conclude, the study identified the most relevant development features for CSSD platform, confirmed by in-depth data analysis. This reflects careful selection of effort estimation features to offer good basis of accurate ML estimate.

Effort estimations are a crucial aspect of software development. The tasks should be completed before the start of any software project. Accurate estimations increase the chances of project success, and inaccurate information can lead to severe issues. This study systematically reviewed the literature on effort-estimating models from 2015-2024, identifying 69 relevant studies from various publications to compile information on various software work estimation models. This review aims to analyze the models proposed in the literature and their classification, the metrics used for accuracy measurement, the leading model that has been chiefly applied for effort estimation, and the benchmark datasets available. The study utilized 542 relevant articles on software development, cost, effort, prediction, estimation, and modelling techniques in the search strategy. After 194 selections, the authors chose 69 articles to understand ML applications in SEE comprehensively. The researchers used a scoring system to assess each study’s responses (from 0 to 5 points) to their research questions. This helped them identify credible studies with higher scores for a comprehensive review aligned with its objectives. The data extraction process identified 91% (63) of 69 studies as either highly or somewhat relevant, demonstrating a successful search strategy for analysis. The literature review on SEE indicates a growing preference for ML-based models in 59% of selected studies. 17% of the studies chosen favor hybrid models to overcome software development challenges. We qualitatively analyzed all the literature on software effort estimation using expert judgment, formal estimation techniques, ML-based techniques, and hybrid techniques. We discovered that researchers have frequently used ML-based models to estimate software effort and are currently in the lead. This study also explores the application of feature importance and selection in machine learning models for Software Effort Estimation (SEE) using popular algorithms like support Vector Machine (SVM), AdaBoost (AB), Gradient Boost (GB), and Random Forest (RF) with six benchmark datasets like CHINA, COCOMO-NASA2, COCOMO, COCOMO81, DESHARNAIS, and KITCHENHAM. We analyze the dataset descriptions and feature importance of the dataset analysis using ML models for choosing crucial play attributes in SEE.

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Accurate software effort estimation is a persistent challenge in project management, as a significant share of project failures is attributed to inadequate prior risk consideration. Among the widely adopted methodologies that are used for early estimation of the success of a project is the Use Case Points (UCP) method, yet its framework does not take into consideration risk factors, undermining its reliability. To improve upon this limitation, this study introduces UCPRisk, a rule-based expert-guided UCP model that explicitly integrates risk factors across six dimensions: requirements, planning and control, project complexity, user involvement, team dynamics, and organizational environment. The model was evaluated through three public service application case studies, producing effort estimates of 1,564.42 man-hours (agriculture application), 7,287.91 man-hours (company registration), and 4,669.17 man-hours (industrial permit registration). Compared to traditional UCP, UCPRisk reduced the average Relative Error (RE) to 24.3%, demonstrating improved alignment with actual project outcomes. While not a definitive cost calculation tool, UCPRisk provides a structured framework that embeds risk into early estimation, offering more realistic projections for software development.

Function point analysis is a widely used metric in the software industry for development effort estimation. It was proposed in the 1970s, and then standardized by the International Function Point Users Group, as accepted by many organizations worldwide. While the software industry has grown rapidly, the weight values specified for the standard function point counting have remained the same since its inception. Another problem is that software development in different industry sectors is peculiar, but basic rules apply to all. These raise important questions about the validity of weight values in practical applications. In this study, we propose an algorithm for calibrating the standardized functional complexity weights, aiming to estimate a more accurate software size that fits specific software applications, reflects software industry trends, and improves the effort estimation of software projects. The results show that the proposed algorithms improve effort estimation accuracy against the baseline method.

Software effort estimation is a vital process in the software industry for successfully administering 5Ds of the software development life cycle (SDLC). The 5Ds stand for demand, development, direction, deployment, and designated cost of the software. Software development effort estimation (SDEE) is an effort prediction mechanism to calculate the effort for the development of the software product in order to minimize the challenges in the software field. Academics and practitioners are striving to identify which machine learning estimation technique yields more accurate results based on evaluation metrics, datasets, and other pertinent aspects. The feature selection techniques impact accuracy by selecting the main and relevant features in the dataset and eliminating the redundant and irrelevant features in the dataset. To achieve accurate estimations, the paper utilizes feature selection algorithms, along with various machine learning techniques, which predict the desired effort and the performance of the model has been measured in terms of prediction accuracy, value, relative error, and mean absolute error. The datasets China and Maxwell are trained with the relevant features by applying feature selection algorithms, and estimation techniques are applied to predict the effort. The performance is compared with the regression models and feature selection techniques utilized by many authors previously. The result of the proposed methodology significantly gives the best performance with the combination of feature selection and estimation models than all regression models when applied alone, to both datasets. From the results, it is perceptible that random forest is performing well with the feature selection techniques and obtains the highest prediction accuracy of 99.33% with the China and 89.47% with the Maxwell datasets.

Effort estimation is the process of predicting a software's likely cost and development time. Estimating software development effort is still a complex problem that receives a lot of research attention. The accuracy with which the effort necessary for software development is estimated, and it is a significant success element in software project management. The estimated effort should be roughly equal to the actual effort in a good software estimation model. Accurate estimation enables managers to allocate resources for the planning and coordination of all activities. In this paper the effort estimation for small size projects involving technical and analytical aspects of engineering intent. The estimation of time resources is done in three steps firstly Identification of seven novel traits of software (LOC, N&C, CGPA, R, CC, AC, FP). Secondly PCA was implemented to decide the significant parameters among the software features. Lastly linear regression and polynomial regression models were developed using the significant features predicted by the PCA. The result of evaluation of the two models are encouraging with the minimum RMSE of 32-204 minutes and maximum regression coefficients(r <sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> ) of 0.95-0.98

Prediction of software development is the key task for the effective management of any software industry. The accuracy and reliability of the prediction mechanisms used for the estimation of software development effort is also important. A series of experiments are conducted to gradually progress towards the improved accurate estimation of the software development effort. However, while conducting these experiments, it was found that the size of the training set was not sufficient to train a large and complex artificial neural network (ANN). To overcome the problem of the size of the available training data set, a novel multilayered architecture based on a neural network model is proposed. The accuracy of the proposed multi-layered model is assessed using different criteria, which proves the pre-eminence of the proposed model.

Software development involves several interrelated factors that influence development efforts and productivity. Improving the estimation techniques available to project managers will facilitate more effective time and budget control in software development. Software Effort Estimation or software cost/effort estimation can help a software development company to overcome difficulties experienced in estimating software development efforts. This study aims to compare the Machine Learning method of Linear Regression (LR), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Radial Basis Function (RBF), and Decision Tree Random Forest (DTRF) to calculate estimated cost/effort software. Then these five approaches will be tested on a dataset of software development projects as many as 10 dataset projects. So that it can produce new knowledge about what machine learning and non-machine learning methods are the most accurate for estimating software business. As well as knowing between the selection between using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for attributes selection and without PSO, which one can increase the accuracy for software business estimation. The data mining algorithm used to calculate the most optimal software effort estimate is the Linear Regression algorithm with an average RMSE value of 1603,024 for the 10 datasets tested. Then using the PSO feature selection can increase the accuracy or reduce the RMSE average value to 1552,999. The result indicates that, compared with the original regression linear model, the accuracy or error rate of software effort estimation has increased by 3.12% by applying PSO feature selection

Constructive Cost Model II (COCOMO II) is investigated as the most popular model for software cost estimation. COCOMO II depends on several variables or Cost Drivers (CD). This research investigates the role of Effort Multiplier (EM) and Line of Code (LOC) to improve the accuracy of cost estimation. Fuzzy Logic has been implemented to the COCOMO II to represent the EM. Furthermore, in order to produce better estimation, this research uses Gaussian Membership Function to redesign the Effort Multiplier by studying the behavior of COCOMO II. This research also applies Neural Network (NN) approach to increase the accuracy of software effort estimation by training the software development datasets. The result is proposed model gives contribution to decrease error significantly.