Estimation of Anthropometric Measurements Using Optimized Machine Learning Models with Bayesian Algorithm

Revolutionizing biochar synthesis for enhanced heavy metal adsorption: Harnessing machine learning and Bayesian optimization

BackgroundA significant proportion of individuals with symptoms of sexually transmitted infection (STI) delay or avoid seeking healthcare, and digital diagnostic tools may prompt them to seek healthcare earlier. Unfortunately, none of the currently available tools fully mimic clinical assessment or cover a wide range of STIs.MethodsWe prospectively invited attendees presenting with STI-related symptoms at Melbourne Sexual Health Centre to answer gender-specific questionnaires covering the symptoms of 12 common STIs using a computer-assisted self-interviewing system between 2015 and 2018. Then, we developed an online symptom checker (iSpySTI.org) using Bayesian networks. In this study, various machine learning algorithms were trained and evaluated for their ability to predict these STI and anogenital conditions. We used the Z-test to compare their average area under the ROC curve (AUC) scores with the Bayesian networks for diagnostic accuracy.ResultsThe study population included 6,162 men (median age 30, IQR: 26–38; approximately 40% of whom had sex with men in the past 12 months) and 4,358 women (median age 27, IQR: 24–31). Non-gonococcal urethritis (NGU) (23.6%, 1447/6121), genital warts (11.7%, 718/6121) and balanitis (8.9%, 546/6121) were the most common conditions in men. Candidiasis (16.6%, 722/4538) and bacterial vaginosis (16.2%, 707/4538) were the most common conditions in women. During evaluation with unseen datasets, machine learning models performed well for most male conditions, with the AUC ranging from 0.81 to 0.95, except for urinary tract infections (UTI) (AUC 0.72). Similarly, the models achieved AUCs ranging from 0.75 to 0.95 for female conditions, except for cervicitis (AUC 0.58). Urethral discharge and other urinary symptoms were important features for predicting urethral gonorrhoea, NGU and UTIs. Similarly, participants selected skin images that were similar to their own lesions, and the location of the anogenital skin lesions were also strong predictors. The vaginal discharge (odour, colour) and itchiness were important predictors for bacterial vaginosis and candidiasis. The performance of the machine learning models was significantly better than Bayesian models for male balanitis, molluscum contagiosum and genital warts (P < 0.05) but was similar for the other conditions.ConclusionsBoth machine learning and Bayesian models could predict correct diagnoses with reasonable accuracy using prospectively collected data for 12 STIs and other common anogenital conditions. Further work should expand the number of anogenital conditions and seek ways to improve the accuracy, potentially using patient collected images to supplement questionnaire data.

Systematically and comprehensively enhancing road traffic safety using artificial intelligence (AI) is of paramount importance, and it is gradually becoming a crucial framework in smart cities. Within this context of heightened attention, we propose to utilize machine learning (ML) to optimize and ameliorate pedestrian crossing predictions in intelligent transportation systems, where the crossing process is vital to pedestrian crossing behavior. Compared with traditional analytical models, the application of OpenCV image recognition and machine learning methods can analyze the mechanisms of pedestrian crossing behaviors with greater accuracy, thereby more precisely judging and simulating pedestrian violations in crossing. Authentic pedestrian crossing behavior data were extracted from signalized intersection scenarios in Chinese cities, and several machine learning models, including decision trees, multilayer perceptrons, Bayesian algorithms, and support vector machines, were trained and tested. In comparing the various models, the results indicate that the support vector machine (SVM) model exhibited optimal accuracy in predicting pedestrian crossing probabilities and speeds, and it can be applied in pedestrian crossing prediction and traffic simulation systems in intelligent transportation.

Swelling of clay–sulfate rocks is a serious and devastating geo-hazard, often causing damage to geotechnical structures. Therefore, understanding underlying swelling processes is crucial for the safe design, construction, and maintenance of infrastructure. Planning appropriate countermeasures to the swelling problem requires a thorough understanding of the processes involved. We developed a coupled hydro-mechanical (HM) model to reproduce the observed heave in the historic city of Staufen in south-west Germany, which was caused by water inflow into the clay–sulfate bearing Triassic Grabfeld Formation (formerly Gipskeuper = “Gypsum Keuper”) after geothermal drilling. Richards’ equation coupled to a deformation process with linear kinematics was used to describe the hydro-mechanical behavior of clay–sulfate rocks. The mathematical model is implemented into the scientific open-source framework OpenGeoSys. We compared the model calculations with the measured long-term heave records at the study site. We then designed a sensitivity analysis to achieve a deeper insight into the swelling phenomena. The synthetic database obtained from the sensitivity analysis was used to develop a machine learning (ML) model, namely least-squares boosting ensemble (LSBoost) model coupled with a Bayesian optimization algorithm to rank the importance of parameters controlling the swelling. The HM model reproduced the heave observed at Staufen with sufficient accuracy, from a practical point of view. The ML model showed that the maximum swelling pressure is the most important parameter controlling the swelling. The other influential parameters rank as Young’s modulus, Poisson’s ratio, overburden thickness, and the initial volumetric water content of the swelling layer.

Integration of machine learning with a classic Bayesian algorithm is investigated for passive microwave precipitation retrievals using coincidences from the Global Precipitation Measurement core satellite and the CloudSat cloud profiling radar (CPR). Among several machine learning models, the extreme gradient-boosting decision tree (XGBDT), equipped with a weighted cross-entropy loss function, exhibits the highest accuracy in the detection of precipitation occurrence and phase with a true positive rate greater than 94 (98)% and a false positive rate smaller than 1 (1)% for rainfall (snowfall) over land and oceans with no frozen surfaces. Bayesian retrievals in the embedding space of a fully connected multilayer perception (MLP), equipped with a focal loss function, provide the most accurate estimates of the rates with a mean absolute error of less than 1.80 (0.15) mm h−1 for rainfall (snowfall). Mutual information analysis unravels that beyond the near-surface air temperature, the 37 and 183 ± 7(3) GHz are the most informative channels for phase detection over the ocean (land). The physical consistency of the retrievals and new explanations of the precipitation passive microwave signatures are provided through partial dependence analysis and annual comparison with the reanalysis data. Significance Statement The cloud profiling radar (CPR) onboard the CloudSat satellite provided information about light precipitation and snowfall on a quasiglobal scale with unprecedented accuracy for more than 15 years. This study examines how machine learning (ML) and its integration with classic Bayesian statistical approaches can learn from coincidences of CPR and the radiometer onboard the Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) core satellite to expand our algorithmic tools for a better understanding of precipitation global variability. New approaches are used to interpret the results of the ML model in connection with the underlying physics controlling the precipitation phase change processes and their microwave signatures. Comparisons with observationally constrained simulations from Earth system models unravel where satellite observations can provide new insights or need further improvements. The outcome paves the way to expand our understanding of the impacts of climate change on snowfall patterns and the hydrologic water cycle.

Efficient information theoretic strategies for classifier combination, feature extraction and performance evaluation in improving false positives and false negatives for spam e-mail filtering

Machine learning-based landslide susceptibility assessment with optimized ratio of landslide to non-landslide samples

Interpretable vs. noninterpretable machine learning models for data-driven hydro-climatological process modeling

Machine learning (ML) models provide more choices to patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) to more properly manage blood glucose (BG) levels. However, because of numerous types of ML algorithms, choosing an appropriate model is vitally important. In a systematic review and network meta-analysis, this study aimed to comprehensively assess the performance of ML models in predicting BG levels. In addition, we assessed ML models used to detect and predict adverse BG (hypoglycemia) events by calculating pooled estimates of sensitivity and specificity. PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Explore databases were systematically searched for studies on predicting BG levels and predicting or detecting adverse BG events using ML models, from inception to November 2022. Studies that assessed the performance of different ML models in predicting or detecting BG levels or adverse BG events of patients with DM were included. Studies with no derivation or performance metrics of ML models were excluded. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies tool was applied to assess the quality of included studies. Primary outcomes were the relative ranking of ML models for predicting BG levels in different prediction horizons (PHs) and pooled estimates of the sensitivity and specificity of ML models in detecting or predicting adverse BG events. In total, 46 eligible studies were included for meta-analysis. Regarding ML models for predicting BG levels, the means of the absolute root mean square error (RMSE) in a PH of 15, 30, 45, and 60 minutes were 18.88 (SD 19.71), 21.40 (SD 12.56), 21.27 (SD 5.17), and 30.01 (SD 7.23) mg/dL, respectively. The neural network model (NNM) showed the highest relative performance in different PHs. Furthermore, the pooled estimates of the positive likelihood ratio and the negative likelihood ratio of ML models were 8.3 (95% CI 5.7-12.0) and 0.31 (95% CI 0.22-0.44), respectively, for predicting hypoglycemia and 2.4 (95% CI 1.6-3.7) and 0.37 (95% CI 0.29-0.46), respectively, for detecting hypoglycemia. Statistically significant high heterogeneity was detected in all subgroups, with different sources of heterogeneity. For predicting precise BG levels, the RMSE increases with a rise in the PH, and the NNM shows the highest relative performance among all the ML models. Meanwhile, current ML models have sufficient ability to predict adverse BG events, while their ability to detect adverse BG events needs to be enhanced. PROSPERO CRD42022375250; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=375250.

Machine learning (ML) is combined with noninvasive parameters from coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) to construct predictive models to identify culprit lesions that may lead to acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We retrospectively analyzed 132 patients with ACS at the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University who had coronary CTA between 3 months and 3 years before the ACS event, with a total of 240 lesions. Lesions from 2020 (n=154) were included in the training set, and lesions from 2021 (n=86) were included in the test set for internal validation. We evaluated the role of plaque characteristics, hemodynamic parameters and pericoronary adipose tissue (PCAT) attenuation from CTA in identifying culprit ACS lesions. In the training set, logistic regression was used to screen CTA-derived parameters with P values <0.05 for the model construction. Logistic regression, random forest, Bayesian and K-nearest neighbor algorithms were used to build classification models, and their performance was assessed using the test set. The following models were established to evaluate the effectiveness of different combinations of models to identify culprit lesions: Model 1 was established for plaque characteristics; Model 2 was established for hemodynamic parameters; Model 3 was established for PCAT attenuation; Model 4 was established for plaque characteristics and hemodynamic parameters; and Model 5 was established for plaque characteristics, hemodynamic parameters and PCAT attenuation. A total of ten high-risk factors were screened for the ML model construction, and the ML model based on the logistic regression algorithm had the best performance among the four algorithms (accuracy =0.721; sensitivity =0.892; specificity =0.592; positive prediction =0.623; and negative prediction =0.879). In this model, the minimum lumen area, positive remodeling and lesion-specific fat attenuation index (FAI) were the risk factors significantly associated with the culprit lesion. Analysis of the effect of different combinations of models to identify culprit lesions showed that Model 5 had the best predictive effect (AUC =0.819 and 95% CI: 0.722-0.916). ACS can be predicted using ML based on CTA parameters. Compared to other models, the model combining plaque characteristics, hemodynamic parameters and PCAT attenuation performed best in predicting the culprit lesion.

PD27-01 DEVELOPMENT OF A MACHINE LEARNING (ML) MODEL TO AUTOMATICALLY AND PRECISELY IDENTIFY KIDNEY STONES FROM URETEROSCOPY VIDEO RECORDINGS

Aim: The majority of machine learning (ML) models in healthcare are built on retrospective data, much of which is collected without explicit patient consent for use in artificial intelligence (AI) and ML applications. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate whether clinicians and scientific researchers themselves consent to provide their own data for the training of ML models. Materials and Methods: This survey was conducted through an anonymous online survey, utilizing platforms such as Telegram, LinkedIn, and Viber. The target audience comprised specific international groups, primarily Russian, German, and English-speaking, of clinicians and scientific researchers. These participants ranged in their levels of expertise and experience, from beginners to veterans. The survey centered on a singular, pivotal question: “Do You Consent to the Use of Your Biological and Private Data for Training Machine Learning and AI Models?” Respondents had the option to choose from three responses: “Yes” and “No”. Results: The survey was conducted in January 2024. A total of 119 unique and verified individuals participated in the survey. The results revealed that only 50% of respondents (63 persons) expressed consent to provide their own data for the training of ML and AI models. Conclusion: In the development of ML and AI models, particularly open-source ones, it is crucial to ascertain whether participants are willing to provide their private data. While ML algorithms can transform the nature of data, it is important to remember that the primary owner of this data is the individual. Our findings show that in 50% of the cases, even participants from scientific research and clinical backgrounds – individuals typically accountable for ensuring data quality in AI and ML model development – do not consent to the use of their data in AI and ML settings. This highlights the need for more stringent consent processes and ethical considerations in the utilization of personal data in AI and ML research.

Accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) plays a vital role in irrigation and water resource planning. The Penman–Monteith method recommended by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO PM56) is widely used and considered a standard to calculate ETo. However, FAO PM56 cannot be used with limited meteorological variables, so it is compulsory to choose an alternative model for ETo estimation, which requires fewer variables. This study built ten machine learning (ML) models based on multi-function, neural network, and tree-based structure against the FAO PM56 method. For this purpose, time series temperature data on a monthly scale are only used to train ML models. The developed ML models were applied to estimate ETo at different test stations and the obtained results were compared with the FAO PM56 method to verify and validate their performance in ETo estimation for the selected stations. In addition, multiple statistical indicators, including root-mean-square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and correlation coefficient (r) were calculated to compare the performance of each ML model on ETo estimation. Among the applied ML models, the ETo tree boost (TB) ML model outperformed the other ML models in estimating ETo in diverse climatic conditions based on statistical indicators (R2, NSE, r, RMSE, and MAE). Moreover, the observed R2, NSE, and r were the highest for the TB ML model, while RMSE and MAE were found to be the lowest at the study sites compared to other applied ML models. Lastly, ETo point data yielded from the TB ML model was used in an interpolation process to create monthly and annual ETo maps. Based on the ETo maps, this study suggests mainly a focus on areas with high ETo values and proper irrigation scheduling of crops to ensure water sustainability.

The integration of machine learning (ML) models with cloud computing has transformed the landscape of predictive analytics, offering scalable, efficient, and flexible solutions for organizations. Cloud platforms such as AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure enable businesses to deploy and manage complex ML models without the need for extensive on-premise infrastructure. However, optimizing these ML models for performance and cost-efficiency in cloud environments presents unique challenges, including resource management, latency, scalability, and data security. This paper focuses on strategies to optimize machine learning models specifically for predictive analytics in cloud environments. It explores key techniques such as auto-scaling, model compression, and hyperparameter tuning, which are critical for improving the accuracy and speed of predictions while minimizing computational costs. The research also examines advanced tools such as containerization, serverless computing, and cloud-native services that further streamline the deployment and management of ML models. In the Indian context, where cloud adoption is growing rapidly, optimizing ML models is crucial for businesses across various sectors, including finance, healthcare, and e-commerce. By leveraging cloud-based ML solutions, Indian companies can enhance their predictive analytics capabilities, driving smarter decision-making and operational efficiency. This abstract presents an overview of how optimized machine learning models can unlock the full potential of predictive analytics in cloud environments, leading to better business outcomes. Through case studies and practical applications, this paper provides actionable insights into the best practices for optimizing ML models in a cloud-based setting.

Machine learning-based water quality prediction using octennial in-situ Daphnia magna biological early warning system data