Econometric Modelling of Cloud and Network Demand: A Comparative Study Using R, Stata, SPSS, and EViews
Abstract: Rapid scaling of cloud services and data-intensive applications has increased the strategic importance of forecasting cloud compute demand and network traffic with statistical rigour. While machine learning methods have gained attention, econometric models remain essential for identifying structural drivers, quantifying elasticities, and generating policy-relevant counterfactuals. This study investigates a comparative econometric framework for modelling cloud and network demand using R, Stata, SPSS, and EViews, focusing on methodological transparency and cross-tool reproducibility. The analytical design integrates time-series and dynamic regression approaches, including ARIMA, ARDL, and VAR families, and evaluates their performance under realistic macro-technology and pricing conditions. The research employs realistic, domain-plausible monthly indices reflecting publicly observable patterns of cloud market growth, digital adoption shifts, electricity-price cycles, and the accelerating share of AI-related workloads. Demand indices spanning 2019–2023 are linked with explanatory variables that capture digital adoption, cloud price trends, energy-cost pressures, and monetary conditions. Estimation results indicate strong demand persistence, positive sensitivity to adoption and AI workload share, and negative elasticity with respect to cloud price indices. A cross-tool accuracy assessment suggests that R and EViews provide marginal advantages in flexible multi-model workflows, Stata offers stable ARDL inference, and SPSS provides competitive univariate baselines. These findings confirm the continuing value of econometric modelling as a governance-grade forecasting instrument for capacity planning and sustainable infrastructure strategy. Keywords—Cloud demand forecasting, network traffic, econometrics, ARDL, VAR, ARIMA, R, Stata, SPSS, EViews, capacity planning.
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