Exploring Patterns of Transportation-Related CO2 Emissions Using Machine Learning Methods

ABSTRACTThe prediction of pollutants removal efficiency from the generated effluent of a treatment plant is valuable and can reduce the time, sampling and energy required during performance assessment. The present study aims to predict the effect of different input parameters on the treatment efficiency of the developed microbial‐based anaerobic process for textile effluent using machine leaning algorithms. The decolourisation and chemical oxygen demand (COD) reduction of the treated effluent were predicted on the basis of the three different input parameters pH, COD and colour value of the textile wastewater. The effectiveness of different machine learning algorithms, support vector machines (SVM), random forest (RF), gradient boost regressor (GBR), AdaBoost, extreme gradient boosting (XGB) regressor and voting regressor, were evaluated based on the correlation coefficient (R2) value. The results revealed that the RF achieved the highest accuracy for decolourisation (training data R2: ∼0.85 and test data R2: ∼0.84) as well as COD reduction (training data R2: ∼0.87 and test data R2: ∼0.94) compared to the other algorithms. These results were validated experimentally, confirming that RF can be used as a tool to predict the performance efficiency of a microbial‐based treatment system.

This study applies three different artificial intelligence algorithms (Multi-layer Perceptron (MLP), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Support Vector Machine (SVM)) to estimate CO2 emissions in Türkiye’s transportation sector. The input parameters considered are Energy consumption (ENERGY), Vehicle Kilometers (VK), POPulation (POP), Year (Y), and Gross Domestic Product Per Capita (GDP). Strong correlations are observed, with ENERGY having the highest correlation followed by VK, POP, Y, and GDP. Four scenarios are designed based on the correlation effect: scenario 1 (ENERGY/VK/POP/Y/GDP), scenario 2 (ENERGY/VK/POP/Y), scenario 3 (ENERGY/VK/POP), and scenario 4 (ENERGY/VK). Experiments compare their effects on CO2 emissions using statistical indicators (R2, RMSE, MSE, and MAE). Across all scenarios and algorithms, R2 values range from 0.8969 to 0.9886, and RMSE values range from 0.0333 to 0.1007. The XGBoost algorithm performs best in scenario 4. Artificial intelligence algorithms prove successful in estimating CO2 emissions. This study has significant implications for policymakers and stakeholders. It highlights the need to review energy investments in transportation and implement regulations, restrictions, legislation, and obligations to reduce emissions. Artificial intelligence algorithms offer the potential for developing effective strategies. Policymakers can use these insights to prioritize sustainable energy investments. In conclusion, this study provides insights into the relationship between input parameters and CO2 emissions in the transportation sector. It emphasizes the importance of proactive measures and policies to address the sector’s environmental impact. It also contributes to the understanding of AI-assisted CO2 emissions forecasting in the transport sector, potentially informing future policy decisions aimed at emission reduction and sustainable transport development.

The rapid spread of contagious diseases poses a colossal threat to human existence. Presently, the emergence of coronavirus COVID-19 which has rightly been declared a global pandemic resulting in so many deaths, confusion as well as huge economic losses is a challenge. It has been suggested by the World Health Organization (WHO) in conjunction with different Government authorities of the world and non-governmental organizations, that efforts to curtail the COVID-19 pandemic should rely principally on measures such as social distancing, identification of infected persons, tracing of possible contacts as well as effective isolation of such person(s) for subsequent medical treatment. The aim of this study is to provide a framework for monitoring Movements of Pandemic Disease Patients and predicting their next geographical locations given the recent trend of infected COVID-19 patients absconding from isolation centres as evidenced in the Nigerian case. The methodology for this study, proposes a system architecture incorporating GPS (Global Positioning System) and Assisted-GPS technologies for monitoring the geographical movements of COVID-19 patients and recording of their movement Trajectory Datasets on the assumption that they are assigned with GPS-enabled devices such as smartphones. Accordingly, fifteen (15) participants (patients) were selected for this study based on the criteria of residency and business activity location. The ensuing participants movements generated 157, 218 Trajectory datasets during a period of 3 weeks. With this dataset, mining of the movement trace, Stay Points (hot spots), relationships, and the prediction of the next probable geographical location of a COVID-19 patient was realized by the application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Data Mining techniques such as supervised Machine Learning (ML) algorithms (i.e., Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN), Decision Tree Regression (DTR), Random Forest Regression (RFR), Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting regression(XGBR) as well as density-based clustering methods (i.e., DBSCAN) for the computation of Stay Points (hot spots) of COVID-19 patient. The result of this study showed clearly that it is possible to determine the Stay Points (hot spots) of a COVID-19 patient. In addition, this study demonstrated the possibility of predicting the next probable geographical location of a COVID-19 patient. Correspondingly, Six Machine Learning models (i.e., MLR, kNN, DTR, RFR, GBR, and XGBR) were compared for efficiency, in determining the next probable location of a COVID-19 patient. The result showed that the DTR model performed better compared to other models (i.e., MLR, kNN, RFR, GBR, XGBR) based on four evaluation matrices (i.e., ACCURACY, MAE, MSE, and R2) used. It is recommended that less developed Countries consider adopting this framework as a policy initiative for implementation at this burgeoning phase of COVID-19 infection and beyond. The same applies to the developed Countries. There is indication that GPS Trajectory dataset and Machine Learning algorithms as applied in this paper, appear to possess the potential of performing optimally in a real-life situation of monitoring a COVID-19 patient. This paper is unique given its ability to predict the next probable location of a COVID-19 patient. In the review of extant literature, prediction of the next probable location of a COVID-19 patient was not in evidence using the same Machine Learning algorithms.

Performance prediction of an internal-circulation membrane bioreactor based on models comparison and data features analysis

The reconstruction of missing groundwater level data is of great importance in hydrogeological and environmental studies. This study provides a comprehensive and sequential approach for the reconstruction of groundwater level data near Lake Uluabat in Bursa, Turkey. This study addresses missing data reconstruction for both past and future events using the Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR) model. The reconstruction process is evaluated through model calibration metrics and changes in the statistical properties of the observed and reconstructed time series. To achieve this goal, the groundwater time series from two observational wells and lake water levels during the January 2004 to September 2019 period are used. The lake water level, the definition of the four seasons via the application of three dummy variables, and time are used as inputs in the prediction of groundwater levels in observation wells. The optimal GBR model calibration is achieved by training the dataset selected based on data gaps in the time series, while test-past and test-future datasets are used for model validation. Afterward, the GBR models are used in reconstructing the missing data both in the pre- and post-training data sets, and the performance of the models are evaluated via the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), Root Mean Square Percentage Error (RMSPE) and Performance Index (PI). The statistical properties of the time series including the probability distribution, maxima, minima, quartiles (Q1–Q3), standard error (SE), coefficient of variation (CV), entropy (H), and error propagation are also measured. It was concluded that GBR provides a good base for missing data reconstruction (the best performance was as high as NSE: 0.99, RMSPE: 0.36, and PI: 1.002). In particular, the standard error and the entropy of the system in one case, respectively, experienced a 53% and 35% rise, which was found to be tolerable and negligible.

Accurately estimating crop performance under various fertilizer levels in a rapid and non-destructive manner has become a vital aspect of precision agriculture technology for both economic and environmental benefits. This study aimed to estimate different sugar beet parameters, such as total chlorophyll (Chlt), chlorophyll a (Chla), chlorophyll b (Chlb), root yield (RY), sugar yield (SY), and sugar content (SC) under five nitrogen (N) levels (0, 30, 60, 90, and 120 kg N ha−1). This was achieved by using a combination of the gradient boosting regression (GBR) model with published and newly developed two- and three-band spectral indices (2D- and 3D-SRIs). The results showed that the N levels had the highest proportion of variations (80.4–92.9%) for all parameters, except for SC, which had more variation (59.9%) according to year than the N levels (37.2%). All parameters, except SC, showed a significant increase with gradually increasing N levels. Additionally, the N levels displayed linear and strong positive relationships with the chlorophyll parameters, and linear and strong negative relationships with SC, while these relationships were quadratic and strong with RY and SY. Several published and novel 3D-SRIs exhibited moderate to strong relationships (R2 = 0.65–0.89) with all parameters. The newly developed 3D-SRIs, which involve wavelengths from the visible, near-infrared, and red-edge regions, such as NDI536, 538, 534, NDI738, 750, 542, and NDI448, 734, 398, were effective in accurately estimating all parameters. Combining 2D-SRIs, 3D-SRIs, and the aggregate of all spectral indices (ASRIs) with GBR models could be a robust strategy for estimating the six observed parameters with reasonable precision. The GBR-ASF-6 SRIs and the GBR-ASF-7 SRIs models performed better in predicting Chl content and SC with R2 values of 0.99 and 0.99 (RMSE = 0.073 and 1.568) for the training dataset and R2 values of 0.65 and 0.78 (RMSE = 0.354 and 6.294) for the testing datasets, respectively. The obtained results concluded that published and newly developed 3D-SRIs, GBR based on 2D-SRIs or 3D-SRIs, and the aggregate of all ASRIs can be used in practice to accurately estimate the Chl content, production, and quality of sugar beet across a wide range of N levels under semiarid conditions.

Enhancing biomass Pyrolysis: Predictive insights from process simulation integrated with interpretable Machine learning models

Deep learning hyperparameter optimization: Application to electricity and heat demand prediction for buildings

Leishmaniasis, a parasitic disease caused by Leishmania spp., is a major public health threat. The synergistic effects of environmental and socioeconomic factors on the global distribution of leishmaniasis are unknown. Applying epidemiological data on cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 database, we used spatial autocorrelation and standard deviation ellipses to explore the spatiotemporal clustering and migration patterns of CL. Four remote sensing-retrieved environmental factors and five socioeconomic factors were selected for analysis. Spearman's correlation coefficient was used to screen for factors correlated with the prevalence of and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to CL. Ordinary least squares (OLS), geographically weighted regression (GWR) and geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) were used to assess the impact of the influencing factors on the prevalence of and DALYs due to CL. From 1990 to 2008, the global prevalence of and DALYs due to CL exhibited significant positive spatial autocorrelation (Z > 1.96, P < 0.05). Prevalence and DALYs both had one cold spot, located in northern Africa, and two hot spots, located in Central America and Central Asia. Temperature, infant mortality rate (IMR) and humidity were significantly positively correlated with the prevalence of and DALYs due to CL, whereas gross domestic product (GDP) and surface solar radiation (SSR) were significantly negatively correlated with the latter. The GTWR model demonstrated the best regression performance, with adjusted R2 values for prevalence reaching 0.841, 0.984, 0.839 and 0.972, and those for DALYs reaching 0.816, 0.966, 0.837 and 0.972 in Asia, Europe, the Americas and Africa, respectively. Regression coefficients further quantified the individual contributions of each factor to the prevalence of and DALYs due to CL, which could provide a scientific basis for governments to implement targeted control of CL. To our knowledge, this study is the first to analyze the global spatiotemporal distribution patterns of the prevalence of and DALYs due to CL and quantitatively study the spatiotemporal effects of environmental and socioeconomic factors on CL on a global scale. Environmental (temperature, SSR and humidity) and socioeconomic (GDP and IMR) factors were significantly correlated with the prevalence of and DALYs due to CL. The GTWR model outperformed the GWR and OLS models, further confirming the spatiotemporal effects of influencing factors on CL.

Tree-level citrus yield prediction utilizing ground and aerial machine vision and machine learning

Traditional design/optimization of metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) is time-consuming and labor-intensive. In this study, we utilize machine learning (ML) to accelerate the synthesis of MOFs. We have built a library of over 900 MOFs with different metal salts, solvent ratios, reaction durations and temperatures, and utilize zeta potentials as target variables for ML training. A total of four ML models have been used to train the collected dataset and assess their convergence performances, where Random Forest Regression (RFR) and Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR) models show strong correlation and accurate predictions. We then predicted two kinds of MOFs from RFR and GBR models. Remarkably, the experimentally data of the synthesized MOFs closely matched the predicted results, and these MOFs exhibited excellent electrocatalytic performances for oxygen evolution. This study would have general implications in the utilization of machine learning for accelerating the synthesis of MOFs for diverse applications.

Machine learning prediction of bio-polyol yields and hydroxyl values from acid-catalyzed liquefaction of lignocellulosic biomass

As a subfield of Artificial Intelligence (AI), Machine Learning (ML) aims to understand the structure of the data and fit it into models, which later can be used in unseen data to achieve the desired task. ML has been widely used in various sectors such as in Businesses, Medicine, Astrophysics, and many other scientific problems. Inspired by the success of ML in different sectors, here, we use it to predict the wine quality based on the various parameters. Among various ML models, we compare the performance of Ridge Regression (RR), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Gradient Boosting Regressor (GBR), and multi-layer Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to predict the wine quality. Multiple parameters that determine the wine quality are analyzed. Our analysis shows that GBR surpasses all other models’ performance with MSE, R, and MAPE of 0.3741, 0.6057, and 0.0873 respectively. This work demonstrates, how statistical analysis can be used to identify the components that mainly control the wine quality prior to the production. This will help wine manufacturer to control the quality prior to the wine production.

We aim to evaluate the value of an integrated multimodal radiomics with machine learning model to predict the pathological complete response (pCR) of primary tumor in a prospective cohort of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and anti-PD-1 inhibitors. Clinical information of 126 ESCC patients were included for analysis. Radiomics features were extracted from 18F-FDG PET and enhanced plan CT images. Four machine learning algorithms, including SVM (Support Vector Machine), Random Forest (RF), and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) and logistic regression (LR), were applied using k-fold cross-validation to predict pCR after nCRT. The predictive ability of the models was assessed using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis. A total of 842 features were extracted. Among the four machine learning algorithms, SVM achieved the most promising performance on the test set for PET(AUC:0.775), CT (AUC:0.710) and clinical model (AUC:0.722). For all combinations of various modalities-based models, the combination model of 18 F-FDG PET, CT and clinical features with SVM machine learning had the highest AUC of 0.852 in the test set when compared to single-modality models in various algorithms. The other combined models had AUC ranged 0.716 to 0.775. Machine learning models utilizing radiomics features from 18F-FDG PET and enhanced plan CT exhibit promising performance in predicting pCR in ESCC after nCRT and anti-PD-1 inhibitors. The fusion of features from multiple modalities radiomics and clinical features enhances the better predictive performance compared to using a single modality alone.

Several machine learning (ML) algorithms have been increasingly utilized for cardiovascular disease prediction. We aim to assess and summarize the overall predictive ability of ML algorithms in cardiovascular diseases. A comprehensive search strategy was designed and executed within the MEDLINE, Embase, and Scopus databases from database inception through March 15, 2019. The primary outcome was a composite of the predictive ability of ML algorithms of coronary artery disease, heart failure, stroke, and cardiac arrhythmias. Of 344 total studies identified, 103 cohorts, with a total of 3,377,318 individuals, met our inclusion criteria. For the prediction of coronary artery disease, boosting algorithms had a pooled area under the curve (AUC) of 0.88 (95% CI 0.84–0.91), and custom-built algorithms had a pooled AUC of 0.93 (95% CI 0.85–0.97). For the prediction of stroke, support vector machine (SVM) algorithms had a pooled AUC of 0.92 (95% CI 0.81–0.97), boosting algorithms had a pooled AUC of 0.91 (95% CI 0.81–0.96), and convolutional neural network (CNN) algorithms had a pooled AUC of 0.90 (95% CI 0.83–0.95). Although inadequate studies for each algorithm for meta-analytic methodology for both heart failure and cardiac arrhythmias because the confidence intervals overlap between different methods, showing no difference, SVM may outperform other algorithms in these areas. The predictive ability of ML algorithms in cardiovascular diseases is promising, particularly SVM and boosting algorithms. However, there is heterogeneity among ML algorithms in terms of multiple parameters. This information may assist clinicians in how to interpret data and implement optimal algorithms for their dataset.