Failure in Stock Price Prediction: A Comparison bettwen the Curve-Shape-Feature and Non-Curve-Shape-Feature Modes of Existing Machine Learning Algorithms

Wind energy has the possibility for bringing out energy in a very constant and sustainable manner being a notable and eligible source. Although, wind energy does include numerous challenges like, the halted asset of wind plants, early investment costs, and therefore, the strain in discovering areas of wind efficiency. The major objective for proposing this work is to determine the power efficiency of wind turbines, which will also aid in the formulation of a proposal to reduce wind turbine maintenance costs. During this research, data analysis of turbine generators is performed on day to day wind speed info using machine learning and deep learning algorithms. A way is put forward by us to support deep learning and machine learning algorithms which can predict different values of power reliably. Hence, the execution of machine and deep learning algorithms are analyzed. For forecasting for a longer term these algorithms may be used for wind generation rate with historical relation to wind speed info. Index Terms: Wind turbine,machine learning algorithm

This study presents a comparative analysis of the classification performance of facial and emotion recognition systems using Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) algorithms. The primary objective of this work is to evaluate the applicability of emotion recognition in fields such as psychotherapy and crime analysis, using the FER-2013 dataset.The study was conducted with ML algorithms such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Decision Trees, and Gradient Boosting, as well as the DL algorithm, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). Supported by the application of feature selection, preprocessing, and feature extraction techniques, the model’s performance was measured using standard metrics such as accuracy, precision, F1-score, and AUC-ROC.The experimental results showed that the highest classification accuracy (46.61%) was achieved with the CNN model. While the ML models generally offered lower accuracy, they provided advantages in terms of computational efficiency in specific scenarios.This study aims to contribute to the literature by providing a comparative analysis of ML and DL algorithms and by highlighting the effect of data preprocessing on performance. The findings set targets for future work, such as real-time system integration and hybrid model development.

P125. Development of a novel ensemble machine learning algorithm for prediction of complications and readmission after anterior cervical spinal fusion

Satellite-based aerosol optical property retrieval over land, especially size-related parameters, is challenging. This study proposed a novel two-stage machine learning (ML) algorithm for retrieving aerosol optical depth (AOD), Ångström exponent (AE), fine mode fraction (FMF), and fine mode AOD (FAOD)) over land using MODIS observed reflectance. The new ML algorithm consists of three steps: (1) first, all samples extracted from AERONET measurements were used to train the ML model, (2) then, to reduce the extreme estimation bias of the model, divided low-value and high-value samples were used to train low-value and high-value ML models, respectively, and (3) finally, the three ML models were integrated into the final retrieval based on the weight interpolation. Independent site network validation results show that the new ML algorithm has a Pearson correlation coefficient (R) of 0.894 (0.638, 0.661, 0.865) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.146 (0.258, 0.245, 0.153) for the AOD (AE, FMF, FAOD) retrieval, which significantly outperforms the validation metrics of MODIS operational products, with AOD (AE, FMF, FAOD) RMSE of 0.130-0.156 (0.536-0.569, 0.313, 0.191). The inter-comparison of aerosol products shows that the spatial patterns of AOD, AE, FMF, and FAOD of the new ML algorithm are in good agreement with those of the MODIS and POLDER products. These results illustrate that the new ML algorithm has good performance and transferability and indicate the ability of ML methods to be applied to multispectral instruments (such as MODIS) to retrieve multiple aerosol properties.

The objective of this research is to develop a Deep Learning model to forecast the stock price, by using the variant of Long Short-Term Memory. This model predicts the close price of the stock for the future selected date, choosing as inputs the following data: open, high, low, adj close and close prices. This model shows a comparative analysis between three different LSTM networks: Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Stacked Long Short-Term Memory (Stacked LSTM), and Stacked Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (Stacked Bidirectional LSTM) concluding which one is the best and implementing the model using that variant. We have used the historical stock prices data from yahoo’s financial website over 5 years, by choosing multiple datasets: Apple, Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft and Tesla (daily values). In order to get effective in the forecasting model, we have tested the network with different iterations and epochs. The model represents Multiple Graphs for data visualization in different comparisons. We have estimated the effectiveness of our proposed model by using the following performance indicators: the Mean Square Error (MSE), the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and the R-Squared of the model. The experimental results clearly show that our Stacked Bi-LSTM model has the highest accuracy values when comparing with the LSTM and Stacked LSTM Models. Hence, we can conclude that our Stacked Bi-LSTM Model is suitable for accurate prediction of the stock market time series. Key Words: stock price prediction, Machine Learning, stacked LSTM, Bi-directional LSTM, Deep Learning, Data pre-processing techniques, Data normalization, Data Visualization, Training and Testing Set, Financial Time Series, Future prediction

The rapid growth of the Internet and information technologies and also the diminution of the price of hardware components like wireless sensors leads to the fast growth in Wireless Sensor Network (WSN). The WSN is a bunch/group of sensors that are located across the area, in order to monitor and determine environmental conditions such as temperature, humidity, vibrations, wind, water levels, pollution levels. WSNs are susceptible to major attacks like Denial of Service (DOS), Wormhole attack, Sinkhole attack, etc. The main threat to the WSN is because of the broadcast nature of the nodes in the network. Therefore, the security of WSNs is the essential part that must be done. Hence, to overcome these problems or threats, we are trying to detect it using AI technology. With the expanding fields of Machine Learning and Deep Learning, we can apply various algorithms in order to classify different types of attacks. Once we detect the attack properly, we can prevent it accordingly. We are using WSN-DS. It has 4 classes of attacks which are Grayhole, Blackhole, TDMA(Scheduling), and Flooding which comes under the category of DOS attacks. In this chapter, we have analysed and compared the accuracies of 5 main machine learning classification algorithms. Also, we have analysed the 1 deep learning algorithm. The ANN (Artificial Neural Network) and 5 machine learning algorithms have been trained on the dataset. Furthermore, we have used K-fold cross-validation to get even more accurate predictions. After analysis of these algorithms, we came to the point that, the Machine Learning algorithms like Random Forest, Support Vector Machines and Deep Learning algorithm, namely, Artificial Neural Network can help us for detecting intrusions in the system or network. This will help researchers in designing their own machine learning model on top of our suggested model.

Effect of High-Intensity Statin Therapy on Atherosclerosis (IBIS-4): Manual Versus Automated Methods of IVUS Analysis

Surgical site infection (SSI) following a neurosurgical operation is a complication that impacts morbidity, mortality, and economics. Currently, machine learning (ML) algorithms are used for outcome prediction in various neurosurgical aspects. The implementation of ML algorithms to learn from medical data may help in obtaining prognostic information on diseases, especially SSIs. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of various ML models for predicting surgical infection after neurosurgical operations. A retrospective cohort study was conducted on patients who had undergone neurosurgical operations at tertiary care hospitals between 2010 and 2017. Supervised ML algorithms, which included decision tree, naive Bayes with Laplace correction, k-nearest neighbors, and artificial neural networks, were trained and tested as binary classifiers (infection or no infection). To evaluate the ML models from the testing data set, their sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV), as well as their accuracy, receiver operating characteristic curve, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were analyzed. Data were available for 1471 patients in the study period. The SSI rate was 4.6%, and the type of SSI was superficial, deep, and organ/space in 1.2%, 0.8%, and 2.6% of cases, respectively. Using the backward stepwise method, the authors determined that the significant predictors of SSI in the multivariable Cox regression analysis were postoperative CSF leakage/subgaleal collection (HR 4.24, p < 0.001) and postoperative fever (HR 1.67, p = 0.04). Compared with other ML algorithms, the naive Bayes had the highest performance with sensitivity at 63%, specificity at 87%, PPV at 29%, NPV at 96%, and AUC at 76%. The naive Bayes algorithm is highlighted as an accurate ML method for predicting SSI after neurosurgical operations because of its reasonable accuracy. Thus, it can be used to effectively predict SSI in individual neurosurgical patients. Therefore, close monitoring and allocation of treatment strategies can be informed by ML predictions in general practice.

Chapter 15 - Clinical decision support systems to improve the diagnosis and management of respiratory diseases

Application of machine learning in carbon capture and storage: An in-depth insight from the perspective of geoscience

This study provides an extensive review of over 200 journal papers focusing on Machine Learning (ML) algorithms’ use for promoting a sustainable management of the marine and coastal environments. The research covers various facets of ML algorithms, including data preprocessing and handling, modeling algorithms for distinct phenomena, model evaluation, and use of dynamic and integrated models. Given that machine learning modeling relies on experience or trial-and-error, examining previous applications in marine and coastal modeling is proven to be beneficial. The performance of different ML methods used to predict wave heights was analyzed to ascertain which method was superior with various datasets. The analysis of these papers revealed that properly developed ML methods could successfully be applied to multiple aspects. Areas of application include data collection and analysis, pollutant and sediment transport, image processing and deep learning, and identification of potential regions for aquaculture and wave energy activities. Additionally, ML methods aid in structural design and optimization and in the prediction and classification of oceanographic parameters. However, despite their potential advantages, dynamic and integrated ML models remain underutilized in marine projects. This research provides insights into ML’s application and invites future investigations to exploit ML’s untapped potential in marine and coastal sustainability.

Machine learning methods, including Deep learnings are popular for data processing. Deep learning methods have shown great promise in applied in natural language processing (NLP) tasks. Text classification is a supervised machine learning task that involves labelled documents to train classifier. Previous works involving machine learning and deep learning methods for text classification have been tested with relatively small- sized data instances. In this paper, we compared the performance of the machine leaning and deep learning algorithms in text classification task. This paper also studied, explored and compared the scalability of these methods with respect to bigger data instances. We used support vector machines (SVM), Logistic regression, Random forest and Naive Bayes Machine leaning algorithms and convolutional neural network (CNN) deep learning method. The task involved a multi-class classification problem involving six (6) classes consisting of six thousand (6,000) data instances with an average of 20 sentences in each data instance. The CNN deep leaning algorithm outperformed all the machine learning algorithms, achieving an accuracy of over 85%. This is because the filter weights are leaning are updated in backward propagation in each epoch, hence, this result in better result compared to the traditional methods.

The accurate estimation of aboveground biomass (AGB) in rubber plantations is essential for predicting rubber production and assessing carbon storage. Multispectral sensors mounted on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) can obtain high spatiotemporal resolution imagery of rubber plantations, offering significant advantages in capturing fine structural details and heterogeneity. However, most previous studies primarily focused on developing biomass estimation models for rubber using machine learning (ML) algorithms in conjunction with feature selection methods based on UAV-acquired multispectral imagery. The reliance on feature selection methods limits the model’s generalizability, robustness, and predictive accuracy. In contrast, deep learning (DL) exhibits considerable promise in extracting features from high-resolution UAV-based multispectral imagery without the need for manual selection. Nonetheless, it remains unclear whether DL can surpass traditional ML methods in improving the AGB estimation accuracy in rubber plantations. To address this, our study evaluated the performance of three ML algorithms (random forest regression, RFR; XGBoost regression, XGBR; categorical boosting regression, CatBoost) combined with feature selection techniques and a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) using multispectral imagery obtained from UAV for the AGB estimation of rubber plantations. The results indicate that the RFR combined with a principal component analysis (PCA) for feature selection yielded the best performance (R2 = 0.81, RMSE = 11.63 t/ha, MAE = 9.27 t/ha) between the three ML algorithms. Meanwhile, the DCNN model derived from the G, R, and NIR spectral bands achieved the highest estimation accuracy (R2 = 0.89, RMSE = 6.44 t/ha, MAE = 5.72 t/ha), where it outperformed the other ML methods. Our study highlights the great potential of combining UAV-based multispectral imagery with DL techniques to improve AGB estimation in rubber plantations, offering a new perspective for estimating the physiological and biochemical growth parameters of forests.

The aging and multimorbid population and health personnel shortages pose a substantial burden on primary health care. While predictive machine learning (ML) algorithms have the potential to address these challenges, concerns include transparency and insufficient reporting of model validation and effectiveness of the implementation in the clinical workflow. To systematically identify predictive ML algorithms implemented in primary care from peer-reviewed literature and US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and Conformité Européene (CE) registration databases and to ascertain the public availability of evidence, including peer-reviewed literature, gray literature, and technical reports across the artificial intelligence (AI) life cycle. PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Emcare, Academic Search Premier, IEEE Xplore, ACM Digital Library, MathSciNet, AAAI.org (Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence), arXiv, Epistemonikos, PsycINFO, and Google Scholar were searched for studies published between January 2000 and July 2023, with search terms that were related to AI, primary care, and implementation. The search extended to CE-marked or FDA-approved predictive ML algorithms obtained from relevant registration databases. Three reviewers gathered subsequent evidence involving strategies such as product searches, exploration of references, manufacturer website visits, and direct inquiries to authors and product owners. The extent to which the evidence for each predictive ML algorithm aligned with the Dutch AI predictive algorithm (AIPA) guideline requirements was assessed per AI life cycle phase, producing evidence availability scores. The systematic search identified 43 predictive ML algorithms, of which 25 were commercially available and CE-marked or FDA-approved. The predictive ML algorithms spanned multiple clinical domains, but most (27 [63%]) focused on cardiovascular diseases and diabetes. Most (35 [81%]) were published within the past 5 years. The availability of evidence varied across different phases of the predictive ML algorithm life cycle, with evidence being reported the least for phase 1 (preparation) and phase 5 (impact assessment) (19% and 30%, respectively). Twelve (28%) predictive ML algorithms achieved approximately half of their maximum individual evidence availability score. Overall, predictive ML algorithms from peer-reviewed literature showed higher evidence availability compared with those from FDA-approved or CE-marked databases (45% vs 29%). The findings indicate an urgent need to improve the availability of evidence regarding the predictive ML algorithms' quality criteria. Adopting the Dutch AIPA guideline could facilitate transparent and consistent reporting of the quality criteria that could foster trust among end users and facilitating large-scale implementation.

Aim: Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) predictive models have been employed widely in clinical settings. Their potential support and aid to the clinician of providing an objective measure that can be shared among different centers enables the possibility of building more robust multicentric studies. This study aimed to propose a user-friendly and low-cost tool for COVID-19 mortality prediction using both an ML and a DL approach. Method: We enrolled 2348 patients from several hospitals in the Province of Reggio Emilia. Overall, 19 clinical features were provided by the Radiology Units of Azienda USL-IRCCS of Reggio Emilia, and 5892 radiomic features were extracted from each COVID-19 patient’s high-resolution computed tomography. We built and trained two classifiers to predict COVID-19 mortality: a machine learning algorithm, or support vector machine (SVM), and a deep learning model, or feedforward neural network (FNN). In order to evaluate the impact of the different feature sets on the final performance of the classifiers, we repeated the training session three times, first using only clinical features, then employing only radiomic features, and finally combining both information. Results: We obtained similar performances for both the machine learning and deep learning algorithms, with the best area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, or AUC, obtained exploiting both clinical and radiomic information: 0.803 for the machine learning model and 0.864 for the deep learning model. Conclusions: Our work, performed on large and heterogeneous datasets (i.e., data from different CT scanners), confirms the results obtained in the recent literature. Such algorithms have the potential to be included in a clinical practice framework since they can not only be applied to COVID-19 mortality prediction but also to other classification problems such as diabetic prediction, asthma prediction, and cancer metastases prediction. Our study proves that the lesion’s inhomogeneity depicted by radiomic features combined with clinical information is relevant for COVID-19 mortality prediction.