Failure mode classification and bearing capacity prediction for reinforced concrete columns based on ensemble machine learning algorithm

Landslide disaster risk reduction necessitates the investigation of different geotechnical causal factors for slope failures. Machine learning (ML) techniques have been proposed to study causal factors across many application areas. However, the development of ensemble ML techniques for identifying the geotechnical causal factors for slope failures and their subsequent prediction has lacked in literature. The primary goal of this research is to develop and evaluate novel feature selection methods for identifying causal factors for slope failures and assess the potential of ensemble and individual ML techniques for slope failure prediction. Twenty-one geotechnical causal factors were obtained from 60 sites (both landslide and non-landslide) spread across a landslide-prone area in Mandi, India. Relevant causal factors were evaluated by developing a novel ensemble feature selection method that involved an average of different individual feature selection methods like correlation, information-gain, gain-ratio, OneR, and F-ratio. Furthermore, different ensemble ML techniques (Random Forest (RF), AdaBoost (AB), Bagging, Stacking, and Voting) and individual ML techniques (Bayesian network (BN), decision tree (DT), multilayer perceptron (MLP), and support vector machine (SVM)) were calibrated to 70% of the locations and tested on 30% of the sites. The ensemble feature selection method yielded six major contributing parameters to slope failures: relative compaction, porosity, saturated permeability, slope angle, angle of the internal friction, and in-situ moisture content. Furthermore, the ensemble RF and AB techniques performed the best compared to other ensemble and individual ML techniques on test data. The present study discusses the implications of different causal factors for slope failure prediction.

Disastrous natural hazards, such as landslides, floods, and forest fires cause a serious threat to natural resources, assets and human lives. Consequently, landslide risk assessment has become requisite for managing the resources in future. This study was designed to develop four ensemble metaheuristic machine learning algorithms, such as grey wolf optimized based artificial neural network (GW-ANN), grey wolf optimized based random forest (GW-RF), particle swarm optimization optimized based ANN (PSO-ANN), and PSO optimized based RF for modeling rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility (LS) in Aqabat Al-Sulbat, Asir region, Saudi Arabia, which observes landslide frequently. To obtain very high precision and robust prediction from machine learning algorithms, the grey wolf and PSO optimization algorithms were integrated to develop new ensemble machine learning techniques. Subsequently, LS maps produced by training dataset were validated using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve based on the testing dataset. Based on the area under curve (AUC) value of ROC curve, the best method for LS modeling was selected. We developed ROC curve-based sensitivity analysis to investigate the influence of the parameters for LS modeling. The Gumble extreme value distribution was employed to estimate the rainfall at 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 year return periods. Then, the landslide hazard maps were prepared at different return periods by integrating the best LS model and estimated rainfall at different return periods. The theory of danger pixels was employed to prepare a final risk assessment of the resources, which have been exposed to the landslide. The results showed that 27–42 and 6–15 km2 were predicted as the very high and high LS zones using four ensemble metaheuristic machine learning algorithms. Based on the area under curve (AUC) of ROC, GR-ANN (AUC-0.905) appeared as the best model for LS modeling. The areas under high and very high landslide hazard were gradually increased over the progression of time (26 km2 at the 2 year return period and 40 km2 at the 100 year return period for the high landslide hazard zone, and 6 km2 at the 2 year return period and 20 km2 at the 100 year return period for the very high landslide hazard zone). Similarly, the areas of danger pixel also increased gradually from the 2 to 100 year return periods (37 km2 to 62 km2). Various natural resources, such as scrubland, built up, and sparse vegetation, were identified under risk zone due to landslide hazards. In addition, these resources would be exposed extensively to landslides over the advancement of return periods. Therefore, the outcome of the present study will help planners and scientists to propose high precision management plans for protecting natural resources, which have been exposed to landslides.

Student’s academic performance is one of the most important parameters for evaluating the standard of any institute. It has become a paramount importance for any institute to identify the student at risk of underperforming or failing or even drop out from the course. Machine Learning techniques may be used to develop a model for predicting student’s performance as early as at the time of admission. The task however is challenging as the educational data required to explore for modelling are usually imbalanced. We explore ensemble machine learning techniques namely bagging algorithm like random forest (rf) and boosting algorithms like adaptive boosting (adaboost), stochastic gradient boosting (gbm), extreme gradient boosting (xgbTree) in an attempt to develop a model for predicting the student’s performance of a private university at Meghalaya using three categories of data namely demographic, prior academic record, personality. The collected data are found to be highly imbalanced and also consists of missing values. We employ k-nearest neighbor (knn) data imputation technique to tackle the missing values. The models are developed on the imputed data with 10 fold cross validation technique and are evaluated using precision, specificity, recall, kappa metrics. As the data are imbalanced, we avoid using accuracy as the metrics of evaluating the model and instead use balanced accuracy and F-score. We compare the ensemble technique with single classifier C4.5. The best result is provided by random forest and adaboost with F-score of 66.67%, balanced accuracy of 75%, and accuracy of 96.94%.

Since cyberbullying impacts both individual victims and entire society, research on abusive language and its detection has attracted attention in recent years. Because social media sites like Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, and others are so widely accessible, hate speech, bullying, sexism, racism, aggressive material, harassment, poisonous comments, and other types of abuse have all substantially increased. Due to the critical requirement to detect, regulate, and limit the spread of harmful content on social networking sites, we conducted this study to automate the detection of offensive language or cyberbullying. We created a new Arabic balanced data set to be used in the offensive detection process because having a balanced data set for a model would result in improved accuracy models. Recently, the performance of single classifiers has been improved using ensemble machine learning. The purpose of this study is to examine the effectiveness of several single and ensemble machine learning algorithms in identifying Arabic text that contains foul language and cyberbullying. Applying them to three Arabic datasets, we have selected three machine learning classifiers and three ensemble models for this aim. Two of them are offensive datasets that are readily accessible in the public, while the third one was created. The results showed that the single learner machine learning strategy is inferior to the ensemble machine learning methodology. Voting performs is the best performing trained ensemble machine learning classifier, outperforming the best single learner classifier (65.1%, 76.2%, and 98%) for the same datasets with accuracy scores of (71.1%, 76.7%, and 98.5%) for each of the three datasets used. Finally, we improve the voting technique’s performance through hyperparameter tuning on the Arabic cyberbullying data set.

Series dc arc fault creates a fire hazard and negative impacts on the distribution bus if not detected and isolated quickly. However, the detection of a series arc fault is challenging due to the low fault current, lack of zero-crossing, and the erratic behavior of arc discharge based on different power electronic loads and controllers in modern power applications. This article presents a practical and versatile series dc arc fault detection method based on ensemble machine learning (EML) algorithms. A buck converter constant power load (CPL) and a boost converter CPL are designed and built to study the different arc fault behaviors and generate training data for the machine learning algorithms. A set of time domain features is extracted from the experimental data and analyzed using the feature importance attribute. An adaptive normalization function then processed the features to mitigate false positive classification caused by load changes. A two-step algorithm is proposed to recognize the arc fault in different load types. Various EML algorithms and the associated hyperparameters are benchmarked to select the most accurate hyperparameters for a detection algorithm for low-cost hardware implementation. Finally, the detection algorithm's effectiveness is verified with CPL testbed.

Advanced landslide susceptibility mapping and analysis of driving mechanisms using ensemble machine learning models

Accurate oil palm yield prediction is necessary to sustain oil palm production for food security and economic return. However, there are limited studies on comprehensive mapping and accurate oil palm yield prediction using advanced machine learning algorithms. Using multi-temporal remote sensing data, this paper proposed a new approach to predict oil palm yield based on the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and ensemble machine learning algorithm. ReliefF algorithm with linear projection was employed to select the best combination of spectral indices in oil palm discrimination. Oil palm land cover was classified using random forest (RF) and modified AdaBoost algorithms. A time-series approach known as walk-forward validation was firstly introduced to train the model using the 2016-2019 data and the one-step prediction was performed for 2020 using RF and AdaBoost. Result of the study revealed that the RF model (RMSE = 0.384; MSE = 0.148; MAE = 0.147) outperformed the AdaBoost model (RMSE = 0.410; MSE = 0.168; MAE = 0.176). Our research has demonstrated the value of detailed mapping and subsequent yield prediction by developing a novel approach utilising time-series satellite imagery, ensemble machine learning, and NDVI, which will assist decision-makers in managing their practices related to oil palm.

Indeed, understanding the behavior of headed stud shear connectors in composite steel and concrete construction is essential for ensuring structural integrity and optimal performance. This research focuses on the sensitivity and parametric assessment of the behavior of headed stud shear connectors in composite steel and concrete construction using ensemble machine learning techniques. The study aims to uncover hidden correlations and patterns in the data using a detailed database from 464 push tests, where connectors are welded within the ribs of both trapezoidal and re-entrant steel decks. These patterns provide insights into the performance of shear connectors under various conditions, including different welding methods. The application of ensemble machine learning offers an opportunity to understand complex relationships between variables that may not be immediately evident through conventional analysis. Within the study context, eight types of ensemble machine learning models are implemented and applied to estimate the shear capacity of shear studs and conduct feature importance and partial dependence analysis. The outcomes of this research contribute to a deeper understanding of the factors influencing the performance of shear connectors, providing valuable input for structural design and evaluation in composite construction practices. As a result, this research not only enriches the current academic discourse on shear connectors but also offers pragmatic insights for professionals in the field, thereby bridging the gap between theoretical research and real-world applications in composite construction practices.

A fire accident is the most tragic incident in human life. Particularly environmental hazards such as forest fires lead loss of wildlife, economy, wealth, human lives and pollution. our research purpose of predict the occurrence of fire incidents using ensemble machine learning models. The goal is to develop an accurate and reliable model that can forecast the occurrence of forest fires based on various environmental factors. The best performance is obtained by the ensemble machine learning model for this work. Comparative study of individual model and ensemble model. If you check all models Decision tree predicts 75.4%, the Random Forest tree predicts 83.2%, the Support Vector Machine predicts 71.8%, and the K nearest neighbour predicts 82.1%. Ensemble models with two combinations of decision tree and random forest tree predicts accuracy is 80.8%. Support vector machine and KNN predicts the accuracy rate is 73.4%. The individual model predicts more accuracy compared to ensemble learning model.

Diabetes is a metabolic disorder that affects a large amount of people globally. Among diabetic disorders, diabetes mellitus is the most common ailment. Currently, while treating diabetes, hospitals gather required facts via suitable medical tests and appropriate treatment is administered primarily based on prognosis. Early detection of diabetes is important to prevent diabetes from progressing into a chronic illness. Machine learning helps to identify and predict diabetic even at beginning stage. An ensemble machine learning technique helps to get better classification and higher accuracy to predict from diabetic data set. Different voting classifier techniques are present for ensemble machine learning. The present paper proposes a suitable voting classifier for diabetic classification that can be used to predict diabetes with better accuracy. Analysis of the obtained results, show that hard-voting method provides greater accuracy than soft-voting method, the three diabetes data sets used for the study. Implementation is done by applying ML algorithms on three different diabetes data sets obtained from various repositories. ML-algorithms like Logistic Regression, Ada Boost, Decision Tree, Cat Boost, Naïve Bayes, SVM, XG Boost, RF, KNN, MLP, Bagging Classifier, and Gradient Boost Classifier are used.

Breast Cancer is the most common type of cancer prevalent among female cancer patients, while it is also the second most dreaded disease, causing cancer deaths among women. This study proposes new criteria for the prediction of survival of breast cancer patients, based on the analysis performed using four ensemble machine learning techniques, which include, AdaBoost M1, Bagging, Voting, and Stacking. For this study, we have used a breast cancer dataset consisting of 23 attributes and containing 575 samples obtained from Mizoram State Cancer Institute of Aizawl, Mizoram, India. We have employed ensemble machine learning classifiers to predict the recurrence of breast cancer within a period of three years evaluated based on the comparison of their performance. We have used 10 fold cross-validation technique and ROC curve to arrive at the results. From the dataset, attributes are ranked according to their contribution towards the prediction.

Drill-and-blast tunnel construction in the Himalayan region often encounters complex geological and hydrogeological conditions, leading to significant water leakage that impacts project cost and stability. This study aims to enhance leakage prediction accuracy using ensemble machine learning techniques. Initial leakage estimates were made using Panthi’s semi-empirical approach for the Nilgiri-II Hydropower Project. A dataset comprising rock mass quality, topography, and permeability features was used to train four ensemble models: Bagging, Boosting (XGBoost), Voting, and Stacking. Among these, Bagging outperformed others with an R2 of 0.99, followed by Voting and Stacking (both R2 = 0.97). Partial Dependence Plots (PDP) and Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) plots were used to interpret model predictions and identify key influencing features such as hydrostatic head (Hstatic), distance to the valley side (D), and joint parameters. These results demonstrate that ensemble learning, particularly bagging, is highly effective in modeling water leakage in challenging Himalayan tunnel environments.

Worm gearboxes are popular across various industrial applications since they offer significant gear ratios in small installation spaces. Despite having multiple advantages, worm gearboxes are subjected to higher friction due to sliding design and are prone to damage and increased transmission error over the period of operation. Delayed diagnosis of worm gearbox degradation can lead to low-quality products and/or unnecessary production line downtime. Using vibration characteristics of worm gearbox, it is possible to determine the fault and transmission error at a given period in time. In this paper, an ensemble machine learning model is trained and deployed to monitor the transmission error of worm gearbox and classify between new, operational and old conditions. 1D CNN (one dimensional convolutional neural network) model is used to automatically extract features in vibration signal of X, Y, and Z axes and predict the relevant state of worm gear. The proposed technique uses ensemble machine learning technique fusion of features extracted by multi-layer 1D CNN for three axes vibration data. The proposed method could achieve 96% accuracy and performs significantly better than traditional sequential and ensemble machine learning models on a dataset of with 7,870 samples with 800 samples labeled as new condition, 4,740 samples as operational and 2,330 as old.

P125. Development of a novel ensemble machine learning algorithm for prediction of complications and readmission after anterior cervical spinal fusion

Addressing flood risk by integrating flood hazard, vulnerability and exposure is crucial for managing growing flood threats under warming climate. Among various flood risk indicators, flood hazard is significant, as it quantifies the spatial extent, depth and intensity of flooding. Hence, accurate assessment of flood hazard is essential for effective flood risk assessment. Recent developments in machine-learning (ML) techniques enhanced flood hazard assessment through integrating multi model dataset and increased predictive accuracy. The present investigation developed a weighted ensemble ML technique by integrating - Generalised Linear Model, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, and Maximum Entropy models and tested in a tropical river basin (Kadalundi River basin) of southern India, prone to frequent flooding. Results show that weighted ensemble ML technique outweigh standalone models with an accuracy over 90% (AUROC 0.910) and a kappa index of 0.769. Subsequently, the Analytical Heirarchy Process (AHP) technique is applied to estimate flood vulnerability and exposure by combining various physical and socio-economic parameters. Finally, improved flood risk is estimated by combining hazard, vulnerability and exposure. The proposed methodology, integrating ensemble ML technique with physical and socio-economic factors is useful for effective disaster risk reduction and achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly SDG 11 and SDG 13.