Fast adaptive learning in repeated stochastic games by game abstraction

This paper investigates a relatively new direction in Multiagent Reinforcement Learning. Most multiagent learning techniques focus on Nash equilibria as elements of both the learning algorithm and its evaluation criteria. In contrast, we propose a multiagent learning algorithm that is optimal in the sense of finding a best-response policy, rather than in reaching an equilibrium. We present the first learning algorithm that is provably optimal against restricted classes of non-stationary opponents. The algorithm infers an accurate model of the opponentýs non-stationary strategy, and simultaneously creates a best-response policy against that strategy. Our learning algorithm works within the very general framework of n-player, general-sum stochastic games, and learns both the game structure and its associated optimal policy.

Learning in multi-agent settings has recently garnered much interest, the result of which has been the development of somewhat effective multi-agent learning (MAL) algorithms for repeated normal-form games. However, general-purpose MAL algorithms for richer environments, such as general-sum repeated stochastic (Markov) games (RSGs), are less advanced. Indeed, previously created MAL algorithms for RSGs are typically successful only when the behavior of associates meets specific game theoretic assumptions and when the game is of a particular class (such as zero-sum games). In this paper, we present a new algorithm, called Pepper, that can be used to extend MAL algorithms designed for repeated normal-form games to RSGs. We demonstrate that Pepper creates a family of new algorithms, each of whose asymptotic performance in RSGs is reminiscent of its asymptotic performance in related repeated normal-form games. We also show that some algorithms formed with Pepper outperform existing algorithms in an interesting RSG.

In this paper, we investigate multi-agent learning (MAL) in a multi-agent resource selection problem (MARS) in which a large group of agents are competing for common resources. Since agents in such a setting are self-interested, MAL in MARS domains typically focuses on the convergence to a set of non-cooperative equilibria. As seen in the example of prisoner's dilemma, however, selfish equilibria are not necessarily optimal with respect to the natural objective function of a target problem, e.g., resource utilization in the case of MARS. Conversely, a centrally administered optimization of physically distributed agents is infeasible in many real-life applications such as transportation traffic problems. In order to explore the possibility for a middle ground solution, we analyze two types of costs for evaluating MAL algorithms in this context. The quality loss of a selfish algorithm can be quantitatively measured by the price of anarchy, i.e., the ratio of the objective function value of a selfish solution to that of an optimal solution. Analogously, we introduce the price of monarchy of a learning algorithm to quantify the practical cost of coordination in terms of communication cost. We then introduce a multi-agent social learning approach named A Few Good Agents (AFGA) that motivates self-interested agents to cooperate with one another to reduce the price of anarchy, while bounding the price of monarchy at the same time. A preliminary set of experiments on the El Farol bar problem, a simple example of MARS, show promising results.

Multi-agent learning is a crucial method to control or find solutions for systems, in which more than one entity needs to be adaptive. In today's interconnected world, such systems are ubiquitous in many domains, including auctions in economics, swarm robotics in computer science, and politics in social sciences. Multi-agent learning is inherently more complex than single-agent learning and has a relatively thin theoretical framework supporting it. Recently, multi-agent learning dynamics have been linked to evolutionary game theory, allowing the interpretation of learning as an evolution of competing policies in the mind of the learning agents. The dynamical system from evolutionary game theory that has been linked to Q-learning predicts the expected behavior of the learning agents. Closer analysis however allows for two interesting observations: the predicted behavior is not always the same as the actual behavior, and in case of deviation, the predicted behavior is more desirable. This discrepancy is elucidated in this article, and based on these new insights Frequency Adjusted Q- (FAQ-) learning is proposed. This variation of Q-learning perfectly adheres to the predictions of the evolutionary model for an arbitrarily large part of the policy space. In addition to the theoretical discussion, experiments in the three classes of two-agent two-action games illustrate the superiority of FAQ-learning.

An agent must learn and adapt quickly when playing against other agents. This process is challenging in particular when playing in stochastic environments against other learning agents. In this paper, we introduce a fast and adaptive learning algorithm for repeated stochastic games (FAL-SG). FAL-SG utilizes lossy game abstraction to reduce the state space of the game and facilitate learning and adapting rapidly. We analyze FAL-SG's performance by proving bounds on the abstraction loss and prediction mistakes and show that FAL-SG satisfies three criteria prescribed for multiagent learning algorithms. We successfully establish the robustness and scalability of FAL-SG with extensive theoretical and experimental results.

This article shows that seemingly diverse implementations of multi-agent reinforcement learning share the same basic building block in their learning dynamics: a mathematical term that is closely related to the gradient of the expected reward. Specifically, two independent branches of multi-agent learning research can be distinguished based on their respective assumptions and premises. The first branch assumes that the value function of the game is known to all players, which is then used to update the learning policy based on Gradient Ascent. Notable algorithms in this branch include Infinitesimal Gradient Ascent (IGA) [7], the variation Win or Learn Fast IGA (WoLF) [3] and the Weighted Policy Learner [1]. The second branch of multi-agent learning is concerned with learning in unknown environments, using interaction-based Reinforcement Learning, and contains those algorithms which have been shown to be formally connected to the replicator equations of Evolutionary Game Theory. In this case, the learning agent updates its policy based on a sequence of pairs that indicate the quality of the actions taken. Notable algorithms include Cross Learning (CL) [4], Regret Minimization (RM) [6], and Frequency Adjusted Q-learning (FAQ) [5]. This article demonstrates inherent similarities between these diverse families of algorithms by comparing their underlying learning dynamics, derived as the continuous time limit of their policy updates. These dynamics have already been investigated for algorithms from each family separately [1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7], however, they have not yet been discussed in context of the relation to each other, and the origin of their similarity has not been discussed satisfactorily. In addition to the formal derivation, directional field plots of the learning dynamics in representative classes of two-player two-action games illustrate the similarities and strengthen the theoretical findings.

For engineering, there are two major challenges in reliability analysis. First, to ensure the accuracy of simulation results, mechanical products are usually defined implicitly by complex numerical models that require time-consuming. Second, the mechanical products are fortunately designed with a large safety margin, which leads to a low failure probability. This paper proposes an efficient and high-precision adaptive active learning algorithm based on the Kriging surrogate model to deal with the problems with low failure probability and time-consuming numerical models. In order to solve the problem with multiple failure regions, the adaptive kernel-density estimation is introduced and improved. Meanwhile, a new criterion for selecting points based on the current Kriging model is proposed to improve the computational efficiency. The criterion for choosing the best sampling points considers not only the probability of misjudging the sign of the response value at a point by the Kriging model but also the distribution information at that point. In order to prevent the distance between the selected training points from too close, the correlation between training points is limited to avoid information redundancy and improve the computation efficiency of the algorithm. Finally, the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method are verified compared with other algorithms through two academic examples and one engineering application.

Adaptive Resonance Theory (ART), characterized by its built-in mechanism of handling the stability-plasticity dilemma and by fast adaptive learning without forgetting informations learned in the past, is based on an unsupervised template matching. We propose an improved two-stage learning algorithm for ART2: the original unsupervised learning followed by a new supervised learning. Each of the output nodes, after the unsupervised learning, is labeled according to the category informations of the feature vectors associated with the node. In the supervised learning, each feature vector is used to reinforce the template pattern associated with the target output node belonging to the same category as the feature vector. Another modification is a circular ordering of the training sequence, which is intended to prevent some dominant classes from exhausting a finite number of template patterns in ART2. The proposed learning algorithm has been shown to yield better accuracy than the original ART2, regardless of the size of the network. The hold-out recognition accuracy of the modified ART2 on the real data obtained from military ship images is 98.4%, and that of the original ART is 94.8%, when the size of the network is chosen reasonably in such a way that the size is minimized while maintaining the required accuracy. >

Solving complex but structured problems in a decentralized manner via multiagent collaboration has received much attention in recent years. This is natural, as on one hand, multiagent systems usually possess a structure that determines the allowable interactions among the agents; and on the other hand, the single most pressing need in a cooperative multiagent system is to coordinate the local policies of autonomous agents with restricted capabilities to serve a system-wide goal. The presence of uncertainty makes this even more challenging, as the agents face the additional need to learn the unknown environment parameters while forming (and following) local policies in an online fashion. In this paper, we provide the first Bayesian reinforcement learning (BRL) approach for distributed coordination and learning in a cooperative multiagent system by devising two solutions to this type of problem. More specifically, we show how the Value of Perfect Information (VPI) can be used to perform efficient decentralised exploration in both model-based and model-free BRL, and in the latter case, provide a closed form solution for VPI, correcting a decade old result by Dearden, Friedman and Russell. To evaluate these solutions, we present experimental results comparing their relative merits, and demonstrate empirically that both solutions outperform an existing multiagent learning method, representative of the state-of-the-art.

Highly accurate sensor measurements are crucial in order for power plants to effectively operate, as well as to predict and subsequently prevent any potentially catastrophic failures. As the cost of sensors decreases while their power increases, distributed sensor networks become a more attractive option for implementation in power plants. In this work, we investi- gate the use of a distributed sensor network to achieve highly accurate measurements. We apply shaped rewards to local components and use a simple learning algorithm at each sen- sor in order to maximize those rewards. Our results show that the measurements from a sensor network trained us- ing shaped rewards are up to two orders of magnitude more accurate than a sensor network trained with a traditional global reward. Further, the algorithm proposed scales well to large networks, and is robust to measurement noise and sensor failures.

Two multi-agent policy iteration learning algorithms are proposed in this work. The two proposed algorithms use the exponential moving average approach along with the Q-learning algorithm as a basis to update the policy for the learning agent so that the agent's policy converges to a Nash equilibrium policy. The first proposed algorithm uses a constant learning rate when updating the policy of the learning agent, while the second proposed algorithm uses two different decaying learning rates. These two decaying learning rates are updated based on either the Win-or-Learn-Fast (WoLF) mechanism or the Win-or-Learn-Slow (WoLS) mechanism. The WoLS mechanism is introduced in this article to make the algorithm learn fast when it is winning and learn slowly when it is losing. The second proposed algorithm uses the rewards received by the learning agent to decide which mechanism (WoLF mechanism or WoLS mechanism) to use for the game being learned. The proposed algorithms have been theoretically analyzed and a mathematical proof of convergence to pure Nash equilibrium is provided for each algorithm. In the case of games with mixed Nash equilibrium, our mathematical analysis shows that the second proposed algorithm converges to an equilibrium. Although our mathematical analysis does not explicitly show that the second proposed algorithm converges to a Nash equilibrium, our simulation results indicate that the second proposed algorithm does converge to Nash equilibrium. The proposed algorithms are examined on a variety of matrix and stochastic games. Simulation results show that the second proposed algorithm converges in a wider variety of situations than state-of-the-art multi-agent reinforcement learning algorithms.

Over the last couple of decades the demand for high precision and enhanced performance of physical systems has been steadily increasing. This demand often results in miniaturization and complex design, thus increasing the need for complex nonlinear control methods. Some of the state of the art nonlinear methods are stymied by the requirement of full state information, model and parameter uncertainties, mathematical complexity, etc. For many scenarios it is nearly impossible to consider all the uncertainties during the design of a feedback controller. Additionally, while designing a modelbased nonlinear control there is no standard mechanism to incorporate performance measures. Some of the mentioned issues can be addressed by using online learning. Animals and humans have the ability to share, explore, act or respond, memorize the outcome and repeat the task to achieve a better outcome when they encounter the same or a similar scenario. This is called learning from interaction. One instance of this approach is reinforcement learning (RL). However, RL methods are hindered by the curse of dimensionality, non-interpretability and non-monotonic convergence of the learning algorithms. This can be attributed to the intrinsic characteristics of RL, as it is a modelfree approach and hence no standard mechanism exists to incorporate a priori model information. In this thesis, learning methods are proposed which explicitly use the available system knowledge. This can be seen as a new class of approaches that bridge model-based and model-free methods. These methods can address some of the hurdles mentioned earlier. For example, i) a prior system information can speed up the learning, ii) new control objectives can be achieved which otherwise would be extremely difficult to attain using only model-based methods, iii) physical meaning can be attributed to the learned controller. The developed approach is as follows: themodel of the given physical system is represented in the port-Hamiltonian (PH) form. For the system dynamics in PH form a passivity-based control (PBC) law is formulated, which often requires the solution to a set of partial differential equations (PDEs). Instead of finding an analytical solution, the PBC control law is parameterized using an unknown parameter vector. Then, by using a variation of the standard actor-critic learning algorithm, the unknown parameters can be learned online. Using the principles of stochastic approximation theory, a proof of convergence for the developed method is shown. The proposedmethods are evaluated for the stabilization and regulation ofmechanical and electro-mechanical systems. The simulation and experimental results show comparable learning curves. In the final part of the thesis a novel integral reinforcement learning approach is developed to solve for the optimal output tracking control problem for a set of linear heterogeneous multi-agent systems. Unlike existing methods, this approach does not need to solve either the output regulator equation or requires a p-copy of the leader’s dynamics in the agent’s control law. A detailed numerical evaluation has been conducted to show the feasibility of the developed method.

Coordinated multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) provides a promising approach to scaling learning in large cooperative multi-agent systems. Distributed constraint optimization (DCOP) techniques have been used to coordinate action selection among agents during both the learning phase and the policy execution phase (if learning is off-line) to ensure good overall system performance. However, running DCOP algorithms for each action selection through the whole system results in significant communication among agents, which is not practical for most applications with limited communication bandwidth. In this paper, we develop a learning approach that generalizes previous coordinated MARL approaches that use DCOP algorithms and enables MARL to be conducted over a spectrum from independent learning (without communication) to fully coordinated learning depending on agents' communication bandwidth. Our approach defines an interaction measure that allows agents to dynamically identify their beneficial coordination set (i.e., whom to coordinate with) in different situations and to trade off its performance and communication cost. By limiting their coordination set, agents dynamically decompose the coordination network in a distributed way, resulting in dramatically reduced communication for DCOP algorithms without significantly affecting overall learning performance. Essentially, our learning approach conducts co-adaptation of agents' policy learning and coordination set identification, which outperforms approaches that sequence them.

Purpose – One of the biggest problems in the e-learning distribution process is the lack of quality content and learners' discredit in e-learning content. In order to respond to the various demands of the corporate education field appropriately, it is necessary to search for directions of new e-learning models that are out of traditional e-learning contents. The purpose of this study is to identify recent trend issues related to corporate e-learning and to suggest directions for development. Research design, data, and methodology – Based on the literature review, trend issues that should be considered important in corporate e-learning were derived. Online survey was conducted to evaluate the importance-feasibility of each issue to 13 experts on e-learning and corporate education. The contents of the questionnaire are as follows: 1) recognition of importance and feasibility of trend issues to be considered important in the future corporate education field; 2) factors to be considered in developing future e-learning contents. Results – Six trends derived from a comprehensive literature review. The most important e-learning trends for corporate education field were 'mobile learning', 'micro learning', 'blended learning', 'social learning', 'adaptive learning', ‘engaged learning'. As a result of evaluating the importance and feasibility of each issue, experts point out that 'mobile learning' and 'micro learning' should be actively considered for introduction and utilization at present. In addition, 'social learning' and 'blended learning' need to be actively considered in the near future. On the other hand, experts recognized that 'adaptive learning' and 'engaged learning' need to be prepared from a long-term perspective. Conclusions – There are two main reasons for this result. First, in corporate e-learning, it is important to 1) be able to update on time, 2) the connection with the workplace is important. Second, it requires realistic verification of the expected performance of the learning model. To be considered part of the future are as follows: First, the value and effectiveness of the new e-learning type should be studied. Seconds, e-learning contents should be developed through adopting SAM or Agile methodology. Through this process, we would be able to enhance the quality in e-learning content.

In multi-agent planning environments, action models for each agent must be given as input. However, creating such action models by hand is difficult and time-consuming, because it requires formally representing the complex relationships among different objects in the environment. The problem is compounded in multi-agent environments where agents can take more types of actions. In this paper, we present an algorithm to learn action models for multi-agent planning systems from a set of input plan traces. Our learning algorithm Lammas automatically generates three kinds of constraints: (1) constraints on the interactions between agents, (2) constraints on the correctness of the action models for each individual agent, and (3) constraints on actions themselves. Lammas attempts to satisfy these constraints simultaneously using a weighted maximum satisfiability model known as MAX-SAT, and converts the solution into action models. We believe this to be one of the first learning algorithms to learn action models in the context of multi-agent planning environments. We empirically demonstrate that Lammas performs effectively and efficiently in several planning domains.