Friction Reducer Advisor: A Real-Time Machine Learning Approach

The integration of machine learning (ML) models with cloud computing has transformed the landscape of predictive analytics, offering scalable, efficient, and flexible solutions for organizations. Cloud platforms such as AWS, Google Cloud, and Microsoft Azure enable businesses to deploy and manage complex ML models without the need for extensive on-premise infrastructure. However, optimizing these ML models for performance and cost-efficiency in cloud environments presents unique challenges, including resource management, latency, scalability, and data security. This paper focuses on strategies to optimize machine learning models specifically for predictive analytics in cloud environments. It explores key techniques such as auto-scaling, model compression, and hyperparameter tuning, which are critical for improving the accuracy and speed of predictions while minimizing computational costs. The research also examines advanced tools such as containerization, serverless computing, and cloud-native services that further streamline the deployment and management of ML models. In the Indian context, where cloud adoption is growing rapidly, optimizing ML models is crucial for businesses across various sectors, including finance, healthcare, and e-commerce. By leveraging cloud-based ML solutions, Indian companies can enhance their predictive analytics capabilities, driving smarter decision-making and operational efficiency. This abstract presents an overview of how optimized machine learning models can unlock the full potential of predictive analytics in cloud environments, leading to better business outcomes. Through case studies and practical applications, this paper provides actionable insights into the best practices for optimizing ML models in a cloud-based setting.

Intelligent optimal design of floor tiles: A goal-oriented approach based on BIM and parametric design platform

Abstract. Machine learning (ML) models are becoming a meaningful tool for modeling air pollutant concentrations. ML models are capable of learning and modeling complex nonlinear interactions between variables, and they require less computational effort than chemical transport models (CTMs). In this study, we used gradient-boosted tree (GBT) and multi-layer perceptron (MLP; neural network) algorithms to model near-surface nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O3) concentrations over Germany at 0.1∘ spatial resolution and daily intervals. We trained the ML models using TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) satellite column measurements combined with information on emission sources, air pollutant precursors, and meteorology as feature variables. We found that the trained GBT model for NO2 and O3 explained a major portion of the observed concentrations (R2=0.68–0.88 and RMSE=4.77–8.67 µg m−3; R2=0.74–0.92 and RMSE=8.53–13.2 µg m−3, respectively). The trained MLP model performed worse than the trained GBT model for both NO2 and O3 (R2=0.46–0.82 and R2=0.42–0.9, respectively). Our NO2 GBT model outperforms the CAMS model, a data-assimilated CTM but slightly underperforms for O3. However, our NO2 and O3 ML models require less computational effort than CTM. Therefore, we can analyze people's exposure to near-surface NO2 and O3 with significantly less effort. During the study period (30 April 2018 and 1 July 2021), it was found that around 36 % of people lived in locations where the World Health Organization (WHO) NO2 limit was exceeded for more than 25 % of the days during the study period, while 90 % of the population resided in areas where the WHO O3 limit was surpassed for over 25 % of the study days. Although metropolitan areas had high NO2 concentrations, rural areas, particularly in southern Germany, had high O3 concentrations. Furthermore, our ML models can be used to evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation policies. Near-surface NO2 and O3 concentration changes during the 2020 COVID-19 lockdown period over Germany were indeed reproduced by the GBT model, with meteorology-normalized near-surface NO2 having significantly decreased (by 23±5.3 %) and meteorology-normalized near-surface O3 having slightly increased (by 1±4.6 %) over 10 major German metropolitan areas when compared to 2019. Finally, our O3 GBT model is highly transferable to neighboring countries and locations where no measurements are available (R2=0.87–0.94), whereas our NO2 GBT model is moderately transferable (R2=0.32–0.64).

Machine learning (ML) models provide more choices to patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) to more properly manage blood glucose (BG) levels. However, because of numerous types of ML algorithms, choosing an appropriate model is vitally important. In a systematic review and network meta-analysis, this study aimed to comprehensively assess the performance of ML models in predicting BG levels. In addition, we assessed ML models used to detect and predict adverse BG (hypoglycemia) events by calculating pooled estimates of sensitivity and specificity. PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Explore databases were systematically searched for studies on predicting BG levels and predicting or detecting adverse BG events using ML models, from inception to November 2022. Studies that assessed the performance of different ML models in predicting or detecting BG levels or adverse BG events of patients with DM were included. Studies with no derivation or performance metrics of ML models were excluded. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies tool was applied to assess the quality of included studies. Primary outcomes were the relative ranking of ML models for predicting BG levels in different prediction horizons (PHs) and pooled estimates of the sensitivity and specificity of ML models in detecting or predicting adverse BG events. In total, 46 eligible studies were included for meta-analysis. Regarding ML models for predicting BG levels, the means of the absolute root mean square error (RMSE) in a PH of 15, 30, 45, and 60 minutes were 18.88 (SD 19.71), 21.40 (SD 12.56), 21.27 (SD 5.17), and 30.01 (SD 7.23) mg/dL, respectively. The neural network model (NNM) showed the highest relative performance in different PHs. Furthermore, the pooled estimates of the positive likelihood ratio and the negative likelihood ratio of ML models were 8.3 (95% CI 5.7-12.0) and 0.31 (95% CI 0.22-0.44), respectively, for predicting hypoglycemia and 2.4 (95% CI 1.6-3.7) and 0.37 (95% CI 0.29-0.46), respectively, for detecting hypoglycemia. Statistically significant high heterogeneity was detected in all subgroups, with different sources of heterogeneity. For predicting precise BG levels, the RMSE increases with a rise in the PH, and the NNM shows the highest relative performance among all the ML models. Meanwhile, current ML models have sufficient ability to predict adverse BG events, while their ability to detect adverse BG events needs to be enhanced. PROSPERO CRD42022375250; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=375250.

Systematic literature review of machine learning based software development effort estimation models

This study focuses on using various machine learning (ML) models to evaluate the shear behaviors of ultra-high-performance concrete (UHPC) beams reinforced with glass fiber-reinforced polymer (GFRP) bars. The main objective of the study is to predict the shear strength of UHPC beams reinforced with GFRP bars using ML models. We use four different ML models: support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (R.F.), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The experimental database used in the study is acquired from various literature sources and comprises 54 test observations with 11 input features. These input features are likely parameters related to the composition, geometry, and properties of the UHPC beams and GFRP bars. To ensure the ML models' generalizability and scalability, random search methods are utilized to tune the hyperparameters of the algorithms. This tuning process helps improve the performance of the models when predicting the shear strength. The study uses the ACI318M-14 and Eurocode 2 standard building codes to predict the shear capacity behavior of GFRP bars-reinforced UHPC I-shaped beams. The ML models' predictions are compared to the results obtained from these building code standards. According to the findings, the XGBoost model demonstrates the highest predictive test performance among the investigated ML models. The study employs the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis to assess the significance of each input parameter in the ML models' predictive capabilities. A Taylor diagram is used to statistically compare the accuracy of the ML models. This study concludes that ML models, particularly XGBoost, can effectively predict the shear capacity behavior of GFRP bars-reinforced UHPC I-shaped beams.

Towards sustainable construction: BIM-enabled design and planning of roof sheathing installation for prefabricated buildings

Optimisation and interpretation of machine and deep learning models for improved water quality management in Lake Loktak

Accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) plays a vital role in irrigation and water resource planning. The Penman–Monteith method recommended by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO PM56) is widely used and considered a standard to calculate ETo. However, FAO PM56 cannot be used with limited meteorological variables, so it is compulsory to choose an alternative model for ETo estimation, which requires fewer variables. This study built ten machine learning (ML) models based on multi-function, neural network, and tree-based structure against the FAO PM56 method. For this purpose, time series temperature data on a monthly scale are only used to train ML models. The developed ML models were applied to estimate ETo at different test stations and the obtained results were compared with the FAO PM56 method to verify and validate their performance in ETo estimation for the selected stations. In addition, multiple statistical indicators, including root-mean-square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and correlation coefficient (r) were calculated to compare the performance of each ML model on ETo estimation. Among the applied ML models, the ETo tree boost (TB) ML model outperformed the other ML models in estimating ETo in diverse climatic conditions based on statistical indicators (R2, NSE, r, RMSE, and MAE). Moreover, the observed R2, NSE, and r were the highest for the TB ML model, while RMSE and MAE were found to be the lowest at the study sites compared to other applied ML models. Lastly, ETo point data yielded from the TB ML model was used in an interpolation process to create monthly and annual ETo maps. Based on the ETo maps, this study suggests mainly a focus on areas with high ETo values and proper irrigation scheduling of crops to ensure water sustainability.

Aim: The majority of machine learning (ML) models in healthcare are built on retrospective data, much of which is collected without explicit patient consent for use in artificial intelligence (AI) and ML applications. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate whether clinicians and scientific researchers themselves consent to provide their own data for the training of ML models. Materials and Methods: This survey was conducted through an anonymous online survey, utilizing platforms such as Telegram, LinkedIn, and Viber. The target audience comprised specific international groups, primarily Russian, German, and English-speaking, of clinicians and scientific researchers. These participants ranged in their levels of expertise and experience, from beginners to veterans. The survey centered on a singular, pivotal question: “Do You Consent to the Use of Your Biological and Private Data for Training Machine Learning and AI Models?” Respondents had the option to choose from three responses: “Yes” and “No”. Results: The survey was conducted in January 2024. A total of 119 unique and verified individuals participated in the survey. The results revealed that only 50% of respondents (63 persons) expressed consent to provide their own data for the training of ML and AI models. Conclusion: In the development of ML and AI models, particularly open-source ones, it is crucial to ascertain whether participants are willing to provide their private data. While ML algorithms can transform the nature of data, it is important to remember that the primary owner of this data is the individual. Our findings show that in 50% of the cases, even participants from scientific research and clinical backgrounds – individuals typically accountable for ensuring data quality in AI and ML model development – do not consent to the use of their data in AI and ML settings. This highlights the need for more stringent consent processes and ethical considerations in the utilization of personal data in AI and ML research.

Developing novel foams with tailored properties is a challenge. If properly addressed, efficient screening can potentially accelerate material discovery and reduce material waste, improving sustainability and efficiency in the development phase. In this work, we address this problem using a hybrid experimental and theoretical approach. Machine learning (ML) models were trained to predict the density of polylactide (PLA) foams based on their processing parameters. The final ML ensemble model was a linear combination of gradient boosting, random forest, kernel ridge, and support vector regression models. Comparison of the actual and predicted densities of PLA systems resulted in a mean absolute error of 30 kg·m−3 and a coefficient of determination (R 2) of 0.94. The final ensemble model was then used to explore the ranges of predicted density in the space of processing parameters (temperature, pressure, and time) and to suggest some parameter sets that could lead to low-density PLA foams. The new PLA foams were produced and showed experimental densities in the range of 36–48 kg·m−3, which agreed well with the corresponding predicted values, which ranged between 38 and 54 kg·m−3. The experimental–theoretical procedure described here could be applied to other materials and pave the way to more sustainable and efficient foam development processes.

_ For decades, artificial lift optimization has relied heavily on manual intervention, periodic well tests, and the judgment of experienced engineers. Electric submersible pumps (ESPs), gas lift, and beam pumps (the three most widely used lift systems) each have presented their own optimization challenges, such as balancing set points, managing compressor constraints, and interpreting dynamometer cards. These processes, while effective, have historically been time-intensive, reactive, and difficult to scale across large well inventories. The accelerating deployment of machine learning (ML) and automation is changing this landscape. By embedding intelligence into the control loop, operators now can move from reactive decision-making to proactive, continuous optimization. What was once a manual task handled by individual engineers is increasingly performed by autonomous systems that learn from data, adjust in real time, and scale effortlessly across hundreds or thousands of wells. Recent case studies illustrate how this transformation is unfolding across different lift types, each demonstrating that the age of autonomy in artificial lift is no longer aspirational but is now an operational reality. Neural-network models trained on ESP data sets in the Permian Basin now recommend and directly write optimal pump set points, as shown in paper SPE 219528. The deployment delivered a 2–4% oil uplift and longer run life, while demonstrating full self-pumping capability, where pumps operate with minimal human oversight. In gas lift, ExxonMobil’s large-scale rollout of a closed-loop optimization workflow has been equally impactful. As detailed in paper SPE 219553, more than 1,300 wells are now managed by an automated system that runs multirate tests, updates downhole pressure models, and applies ML for wells without gauges. The outcome: a consistent approximately 2% production uplift, achieved with little incremental operational or capital expenditure. On the beam-pump side, manual interpretation of dynamometer cards is being replaced by real-time ML classification. In paper SPE 224979, more than 700,000 dynacards were analyzed with models such as XGBoost and convolutional neural networks, achieving approximately 95% classification accuracy. By integrating with OSIsoft AF and exception-based surveillance, the solution provides predictive analytics and proactive alerts, reducing downtime and extending equipment life. When comparing the three approaches, some clear distinctions emerge. In ESP optimization (SPE 219528), operators relied on neural networks to recommend and autonomously adjust set points, achieving production uplift across more than 200 wells. Gas lift optimization (SPE 219553) took a broader fieldwide approach, scaling a closed-loop workflow to more than 1,300 wells, where multirate testing and ML models continuously updated injection rates, delivering uplift at minimal incremental cost. Meanwhile, beam-pump optimization (SPE 224979) focused less on direct production uplift and more on reliability and predictive surveillance, where ML models enabled proactive maintenance and reduced downtime. Despite their differences, the three initiatives share commonalities: Each system moved from manual, engineer-driven adjustments to automated and autonomous optimization; each leveraged ML in combination with existing field infrastructure; and each demonstrated that even modest per-well improvements, when scaled across hundreds or thousands of wells, translate into substantial fieldwide gains. Across ESPs, gas lift, and beam pumps, these case studies demonstrate a unifying shift: ML is redefining artificial lift as a self-optimizing, continuously learning system. Production uplifts of 2–4%, when multiplied across fields, translate into substantial incremental barrels. Equipment longevity improves as systems learn to operate within optimal ranges, while engineers are freed from repetitive monitoring to focus on higher-value analysis. The advances described here are more than isolated technical improvements; they are signposts of a broader digital transformation across upstream operations. Artificial lift, long the domain of manual adjustments and engineer intuition, is now becoming a proving ground for autonomy. By embedding AI into the very core of production systems, operators are not just optimizing individual wells; they are building the foundation of the digital oilfield of the future, where decisions are data-driven, workflows are autonomous, and engineers focus their expertise on complex challenges rather than routine tuning. Summarized Papers in This October 2025 Issue SPE 219528 - Machine Learning Optimizes Autonomous ESP Use in the Permian by Ryan D. Erickson, Vital Energy, et al. SPE 219553 - Gas Lift Optimization in the Permian Uses Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence by Pooya Movahed, ExxonMobil, et al. SPE 224979 - Real-Time Machine Learning Enhances Dynacard Surveillance, Predictive Analytics by Shifa Khaliah Al Kiyumi, Daleel Petroleum, et al.

Summary A meticulous interpretation of steady-state or unsteady-state relative permeability (Kr) experimental data is required to determine a complete set of Kr curves. In this work, different machine learning (ML) models were developed to assist in a faster estimation of these curves from steady-state drainage coreflooding experimental runs. These ML algorithms include gradient boosting (GB), random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), and deep neural network (DNN) with a main focus on and comparison of the two latter algorithms (XGB and DNN). Based on existing mathematical models, a leading-edge framework was developed where a large database of Kr and capillary pressure (Pc) curves were generated. This database was used to perform thousands of coreflood simulation runs representing oil-water drainage steady-state experiments. The results obtained from these simulation runs, mainly pressure drop along with other conventional core analysis data, were used to estimate analytical Kr curves based on Darcy’s law. These analytically estimated Kr curves along with the previously generated Pc curves were fed as features into the ML model. The entire data set was split into 80% for training and 20% for testing. The k-fold cross-validation technique was applied to increase the model’s accuracy by splitting 80% of the training data into 10 folds. In this manner, for each of the 10 experiments, nine folds were used for training and the remaining fold was used for model validation. Once the model was trained and validated, it was subjected to blind testing on the remaining 20% of the data set. The ML model learns to capture fluid flow behavior inside the core from the training data set. In terms of applicability of these ML models, two sets of experimental data were needed as input; the first was the analytically estimated Kr curves from the steady-state drainage coreflooding experiments, while the other was the Pc curves estimated from centrifuge or mercury injection capillary pressure (MICP) measurements. The trained/tested model was then able to estimate Kr curves based on the experimental results fed as input. Furthermore, to test the performance of the ML model when only one set of experimental data is available to an end user, a recurrent neural network (RNN) algorithm was trained/tested to predict Kr curves in the absence of Pc curves as an input. The performance of the three developed models (XGB, DNN, and RNN) was assessed using the values of the coefficient of determination (R2) along with the loss calculated during training/validation of the model. The respective crossplots along with comparisons of ground truth vs. artificial intelligence (AI)-predicted curves indicated that the model is capable of making accurate predictions with an error percentage between 0.2% and 0.6% on history-matching experimental data for all three tested ML techniques. This implies that the AI-based model exhibits better efficiency and reliability in determining Kr curves when compared to conventional methods. The developed ML models by no means replace the need to conduct drainage coreflooding or centrifuge experiments but act as an alternative to existing commercial platforms that are used to interpret experimental data to predict Kr curves. The two main advantages of the developed ML models are their capability of predicting Kr curves within a matter of a few minutes as well as with limited intervention from the end user. The results also include a comparison between classical ML approaches, shallow neural networks, and DNNs in terms of accuracy in predicting the final Kr curves. The research presented here is an extension of the state-of-the-art framework proposed by Mathew et al. (2021). However, the two main aspects of the current study are the application of deep learning for the prediction of Kr curves and the application of feature engineering. The latter not only reduces the training/testing time for the ML models but also enables the end user to obtain the final predictions with the least set of experimental data. The various models discussed in this research work currently focus on the prediction of Kr curves for drainage steady-state experiments; however, the work can be extended to capture the imbibition cycle as well.

12074 Background: Skeletal-related events (SREs) are detrimental clinical events in bone metastasis from advanced cancer, defined by pathologic fracture, spinal cord compression, and inevitable surgical or radiational intervention to the bone. Given their negative impact on quality of life and prognosis and interpatient heterogeneity in the SRE risk, accurate identification of patients with high SRE risk is critical. Methods: The patient-level data from three randomized clinical trials that administered zoledronic acid (ZA) to patients with bone-metastatic breast cancer, castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC), and other types of cancer were analyzed. (N = 460, 452, and 315, respectively) Machine learning (ML) models to predict SREs within 18 months (breast cancer), 12 months (CRPC), and 9 months (other cancers) were developed based on more than 40 baseline clinical and laboratory data. Seven ML algorithms and five feature selection methods were utilized to develop multiple models. The ML model with the best performance was identified based on the F1 score and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) for each cancer type and interrogated for important features with Shapley additive explanations. Lastly, the ML models’ ability to stratify patients by the cumulative SRE risk was evaluated by calculating hazard ratio (HR) with Cox-proportional hazards models. Results: Among the multiple ML models developed with different algorithms and feature selection methods, the model developed utilizing the random forests algorithm and the Boruta method for selecting features demonstrated the best performance in all types of cancer (F1 0.70, 0.67, and 0.67, and AUC-ROC 0.72, 0.68, and 0.73 for breast cancer, CRPC, and other cancers, respectively). In the ML model for breast cancer, performance status (PS), history of SRE, serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP), history of anti-neoplastic surgery, radiation therapy, and pathologic fracture were included as important features. Serum ALP, albumin, sodium, Gleason scores, and geographic regions were shown to be relevant in the CRPC model. For other cancers, serum ALP, albumin, total protein, phosphorus, red blood cell count, white blood cell count, visceral metastases, and history of arthritis were incorporated in the ML model. The ML model prediction successfully stratified the patients for cumulative SRE risk in all three cohorts. (HR with 95% confidence interval: 2.43 [1.86 – 3.18], 1.92 [1.51 – 2.45], and 3.06 [2.29 – 4.09] for breast cancer, CRPC, and other types of cancer, respectively). Conclusions: ML models incorporating baseline clinical and laboratory data can identify patients with bone metastasis on ZA harboring a high SRE risk.

Prediction of infarct extent among patients with acute ischemic stroke using computed tomography perfusion is defined by predefined discrete computed tomography perfusion thresholds. Our objective is to develop a threshold-free computed tomography perfusion-based machine learning (ML) model to predict follow-up infarct in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Sixty-eight patients from the PRoveIT study (Measuring Collaterals With Multi-Phase CT Angiography in Patients With Ischemic Stroke) were used to derive a ML model using random forest to predict follow-up infarction voxel by voxel, and 137 patients from the HERMES study (Highly Effective Reperfusion Evaluated in Multiple Endovascular Stroke Trials) were used to test the derived ML model. Average map, Tmax, cerebral blood flow, cerebral blood volume, and time variables including stroke onset-to-imaging and imaging-to-reperfusion time, were used as features to train the ML model. Spatial and volumetric agreement between the ML model predicted follow-up infarct and actual follow-up infarct were assessed. Relative cerebral blood flow <0.3 threshold using RAPID software and time-dependent Tmax thresholds were compared with the ML model. In the test cohort (137 patients), median follow-up infarct volume predicted by the ML model was 30.9 mL (interquartile range, 16.4-54.3 mL), compared with a median 29.6 mL (interquartile range, 11.1-70.9 mL) of actual follow-up infarct volume. The Pearson correlation coefficient between 2 measurements was 0.80 (95% CI, 0.74-0.86, P<0.001) while the volumetric difference was -3.2 mL (interquartile range, -16.7 to 6.1 mL). Volumetric difference with the ML model was smaller versus the relative cerebral blood flow <0.3 threshold and the time-dependent Tmax threshold (P<0.001). A ML using computed tomography perfusion data and time estimates follow-up infarction in patients with acute ischemic stroke better than current methods.