Groundwater storage anomalies projection by optimized deep learning refines groundwater management in typical arid basins

The deficiency of fine-resolution satellite-derived land surface temperature (LST) has impeded the meticulous exploration of the urban thermal environment at micro spatial scales. Although the LST downscaling methods are well-documented, the scale dependence between LST and environmental factors has been rarely considered in the regression establishment. This article proposes a new method (MGWRK) coupling multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR) and area-to-point kriging (ATPK) to generate fine-resolution LST maps over heterogeneous landscapes. Technically, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), normalized difference built-up index (NDBI), and albedo are selected using random forests (RF) as scale factors. First, the spatial and temporal robustness of MGWRK is evaluated by downscaling aggregated Landsat-8 Thermal Infrared Sensor images (1000-m) into finer resolutions of 500, 400, 300, 200, and 100-m in different seasons (spring, summer, and winter). Results reveal that MGWRK is superior to GWR and DisTrad methods for spatial details improvement (SSIM > 0.93) and LST fidelity ( ${\boldsymbol{R}^2}$ > 0.91) under all scales and in the seasons. Second, MGWRK is utilized to downscale the synchronous 1000-m Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) LST map into 100-m. The quantitative and qualitative result substantiates that MGWRK obtains ideal performance when applied on MODIS data with few LST distortion ( ${\boldsymbol{R}^2}\; = \;0.915$ , RMSE = 1.607 K) and obvious spatial information enrichment (SSIM = 0.903).

Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission is ground-breaking information hotspot for the evaluation of groundwater storage. The present study aims at validating the sensitivity of GRACE data to groundwater storage variation within a basaltic aquifer system after its statistical downscaling on a regional scale. The basaltic aquifer system which covers 82.06% area of Maharashtra state in India, is selected as the study area. Five types of basaltic aquifer systems with varying groundwater storage capacities, based on hydrologic characteristics, have been identified within the study area. The spatial and seasonal trend analysis of observed in situ groundwater storage anomalies (ΔGWSano) computed from groundwater level data of 983 wells from the year 2002 to 2016, has been performed to analyze the variation in groundwater storages in the different basaltic aquifer system. The groundwater storage anomalies (ΔGWSDano) have been derived from GRACE Release 05 (RL05) after removing the soil moisture anomaly (ΔSMano) and canopy water storage anomaly (ΔCNOano) obtained from Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) land surface models (NOAH, MOSAIC, CLM and VIC). The artificial neural network technique has been used to downscale the GRACE and GLDAS data at a finer spatial resolution of 0.125°. The study shows that downscaled GRACE and GLDAS data at a finer spatial resolution is sensitive to seasonal groundwater storage variability in different basaltic aquifer systems and the regression coefficient R has been found satisfactory in the range of 0.696 to 0.818.

Knowledge of the dynamics of groundwater storage is essential in understanding its driving processes and for informed decision-making. This requires data with adequate precision, which can be obtained from in-situ observations and remote sensing products. While field-based methods are expensive to conduct in low-income countries, satellite products are relatively cheap and provide near real-time data to monitor groundwater resources. This study analyses the seasonal dynamics of groundwater storage anomalies in Zimbabwe. The study utilised the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite groundwater monthly point data spanning January 2011 to July 2017. Ordinary kriging was performed to show the spatial variations of groundwater anomaly levels for individual months. Maps for the dry season from April to October were merged together as well as for the wet season from November to March. The final raster maps showed long-term average groundwater level anomalies for each season. Findings show significant variations in groundwater storage level anomalies within and between seasons. The general pattern is that groundwater storage levels increased from the south to north of Zimbabwe. During the wet and dry seasons of 2015, almost 75% of the country had an increase in groundwater storage. This rapid approach using satellite-derived groundwater data, in comparison to other optical remote sensing techniques, is useful for rapid groundwater assessment and management.

To assess spatial heterogeneity in geographic data, geographically weighted regression (GWR) has been widely used. This study used an advanced version of GWR, multiscale geographically weighted regression (MGWR), which provides a unique extension that allows each predictor to be associated with a distinct bandwidth in predicting traffic fatalities in Texas. Traffic data from fatality analysis reporting system (FARS) between 2010 and 2015, aggregated at the census tract level (N = 5265), were used to examine different scales at which selected economic variables explain the traffic road fatality rate per 100,000 population. Twelve economic variables were initially selected and reduced to four factors (ride-sharing to work, driving alone, mean travel time to work, and work commuting) using the varimax rotation technique. The spatial pattern of the four factors in the GWR model differs significantly from MGWR in spatial patterns, signs, and values relative to the traffic fatality rate. The diagnostic results showed that traditional GWR over fitted the predictors compared to MGWR (max. condition number in GWR = 28.3 versus MGWR = 9.6; adjusted R2 GWR = 61.8% versus MGWR = 44.5%). The application of the MGWR technique is a robust technique in ensuring the correct process scale or bandwidth in modeling spatial data such as road traffic fatality for place and scale-specific intervention purposes. We discussed the three levels of scale identified in the MGWR model for traffic planning intervention and policymaking. Lastly, we concluded with how MGWR mitigates the common problem of aggregated data such as MAUP.

Vegetation primarily draws water from soil moisture (SM), with restoration in drylands often reducing SM storage (SMS). However, anomalies have been detected in the Beijing–Tianjin Sand Source Region (BTSSR) of China via the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE). This study quantified the sources of increased SMS in drylands to elucidate the effects of vegetation restoration on SMS. The results indicated the following: (1) In vegetated drylands, 46.2% experienced a significant increase in SMS while 53.8% remained stable; both were positively correlated with the normalised difference vegetation index (NDVI). (2) The increase in SMS was accompanied by a decrease in groundwater storage (GWS), as indicated by the significant correlation coefficients of −0.710 and −0.569 for SMS and GWS, respectively. Furthermore, GWS served as the primary source of water for vegetation. (3) The results of the redundancy analysis (RDA) indicated that the initial vegetation, the driver of the observed trend of increased SMS and decreased GWS, accounted for 50.3% of the variability in water storage. Therefore, to sustain dryland ecosystems, we recommend that future vegetation restoration projects give due consideration to the water balance while concurrently strengthening the dynamic monitoring of SMS and GWS.

<p>Climate change increases the probability of drought occurrence in many parts of the United States and worldwide. Aquifer response to these drought events vary in space and time. This project seeks to understand the response of aquifers to drought events by quantifying the lag time between meteorological droughts and groundwater droughts using the Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) derived groundwater storage anomalies. Ten major aquifer systems in the continental United States were selected for analysis: Columbia Plateau, Arizona Alluvial, Snake River Basin, Upper Colorado, Pennsylvanian, Mississippi Embayment, Texas Gulf Coast, Edwards-Trinity Plateau, Floridian, Central California, and the High Plains Aquifer Systems. Groundwater storage anomaly data was derived from GRACE total water storage anomaly data by removing all other hydrologic components using the Global Land Data Assimilation System’s (GLDAS) Community Land Surface Model (CLM) of 1.0-degree spatial resolution monthly datasets. Timeseries on monthly intervals for both the derived groundwater storage and SPEI were created for the period of April 2002 to June 2021. Each selected aquifer system had a meteorological drought occur at least three times during the study period, with a maximum occurrence of fifteen in central California. There is a temporal gap in between the original GRACE mission and the launch of GRACE-Follow on (GRACE-FO) from June 2017 to June 2018, five of the ten selected aquifers had meteorological droughts occur in this gap, which have been excluded. Preliminary results indicate that the lag time between the start of the two types of droughts for these aquifer systems is between zero and one month, while the lag time between the end of these types of droughts is more widely varied, between zero and eight months. As these results are varied, contextualizing them with more in-depth looks at the aquifer system characteristics is important and is the next step in furthering our understanding of aquifer responses to the increasing number of probable drought events.</p>

Improved methods for estimating local terrestrial water dynamics from GRACE in the Northern High Plains

This study investigated the impact of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) on the Land Surface Temperature (LST) in the West Bank, Palestine, using multitemporal satellite imagery. Landsat 5 TM and Landsat 8 OLI data were used in the study. The Landsat 5 TM data was acquired on March 29, 2001, while the Landsat 8 OLI data was acquired on April 05, 2021. The NDVI and the LST for the two images were then calculated from the two images using ArcGIS 10.8 software. Results of the study showed that the NDVI of the 2021 image was much higher than that of the 2001 image. The mean NDVI of the 2001 image was 0.25, while that of the 2021 image was 0.32. As for the LST, the mean LST of the 2001 image was 29.85 °C, while that of the 2021 image was 26.98 °C. Around 74.7% of the West Bank lands recorded an inverse relationship between the NDVI change and the LST change between 2001 and 2021. Around 25.3% of the West Bank lands recorded a positive relationship. In other words, the study depicted the impact of the NDVI on the LST in the West Bank. The study recommends that policymakers need to increase the green areas in the West Bank to reduce the LST as this is seen to affect the climate conditions in the area. Keywords: LST, NDVI, West Bank, Palestine, Landsat data.

The vegetation–temperature relationship is crucial in understanding land–atmosphere interactions on the Tibetan Plateau. Although many studies have investigated the connections between vegetation and climate variables in this region using remote sensing technology, there remain notable gaps in our understanding of vegetation–temperature interactions over different timescales. Here, we combined site-level air temperature observations, information from the global inventory modeling and mapping studies (GIMMS) dataset, and moderate-resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) products to analyze the spatial and temporal patterns of air temperature, vegetation, and land surface temperature (LST) on the Tibetan Plateau at annual and seasonal scales. We achieved these spatiotemporal patterns by using Sen’s slope, sequential Mann–Kendall tests, and partial correlation analysis. The timescale differences of vegetation-induced LST were subsequently discussed. Our results demonstrate that a breakpoint of air temperature change occurred on the Tibetan Plateau during 1994–1998, dividing the study period (1982–2013) into two phases. A more significant greening response of NDVI occurred in the spring and autumn with earlier breakpoints and a more sensitive NDVI response occurred in recent warming phase. Both MODIS and GIMMS data showed a common increase in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) on the Tibetan Plateau for all timescales, while the former had a larger greening area since 2000. The most prominent trends in NDVI and LST were identified in spring and autumn, respectively, and the largest areas of significant variation in NDVI and LST mostly occurred in winter and autumn, respectively. The partial correlation analysis revealed a significant negative impact of NDVI on LST during the annual scale and autumn, and it had a significant positive impact during spring. Our findings improve the general understanding of vegetation–climate relationships at annual and seasonal scales.

In common with other important coal bases in northwestern China, the hydrology and ecology and environment of Ordos, northern Shaanxi (Shanbei), and Shanxi Provinces have much. Terrestrial water storage anomaly (TWSA), soil moisture anomaly (SMA), and groundwater storage anomaly (GWSA), are important water storage qualities that play a critical role in the distribution and growth of vegetation. In this paper, multi‐source remote sensing data were used to analyze the spatial–temporal changes and relationships of water storage, ecology and environment from 2002 to 2020. The numerical results showed the TWSA and GWSA in the study area had a declining trend and the rates were −7.512 mm yr‐1 and −8.268 mm yr‐1, respectively. On the contrary, the SMS showed an increasing trend, and the rate was 0.840 mm yr‐1. By trend variation and correlation analysis, we found GWSA is the main part in the variation of TWSA. By further analysis, it was found that the climate factors are not the major factors causing the variation of GWSA, but coal mining and artificial irrigation activities, which are especially clear in the Taihang Mountains in eastern Shanxi Province. The ecology and environment have been improving, and water storage and climate factors have played a different role in different regions. The warm climate conditions and the increased 0–40 cm of soil water have promoted the growth of vegetation and the improvement of the ecology and environment. The research results are helpful to understand the impacts of water storage on the ecology and environment in high‐intensity coal mining areas.

Land surface temperature (LST) is a comprehensive embodiment of surface energy balance and land surface processes. The spatial and temporal variation of LST is of great significance for studying surface characteristics and climate change. In this study, the spatiotemporal variations of LST in China from 2003 to 2018 is examined by using the continuous and derivable annual temperature cycle model. The trends of the annual mean and annual amplitude of LST is detected using the Mann–Kendall test and Theil–Sen estimator. In addition, we have further revealed the correlation between normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and LST in different land cover types. The results show that the annual mean LST presents a spatial distribution pattern of high values in the southern regions and low values in the northern regions and that the factors of altitude and land cover type also affect the LST's spatial distribution. The annual amplitude of the LST presents a spatial distribution pattern of high values in the northern regions and low values in the southern regions. In the majority of instances, the phase of LST in China was positioned between the 175th and 205th day of each year. Both the annual mean and annual amplitude of the LST have a mean increasing trend in China with a rate of 0.02 K/year, and the areas with large significant changes accounted for 8.6% out of the total area, with a mean rate of approximately 0.05 K/year, in this period. Significant changes in the annual mean LST were correlated with the change in vegetation coverage and the impact of land cover types on the interannual variations of LST is also determined in this study. While the increase in vegetation coverage in barren land exhibits a clearly recognizable upward trend in the annual mean LST, the improved vegetation coverage in the grassland region presents a downward trend in annual mean LST.

Spatial analysis of land use and cover changes: Implications of green legacy initiative on climate action in Upper Awash Basin, Ethiopia

The suitability of using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) images for surface soil moisture estimation to investigate the importance of soil moisture in different applications, such as agriculture, hydrology, meteorology and natural disaster management, is evaluated in this study. Soil moisture field measurements and MODIS images of relevant dates have been acquired. Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) and Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) are calculated from MODIS images. In addition, MODIS Land Surface Temperature (LST) data (MOD11A1) are used in this analysis. Four different soil moisture estimation models, which are based on NDVI–LST, EVI–LST, NDVI–LST–NDWI and EVI–LST–NDWI, are developed and their accuracies are assessed. Statistical analysis shows that replacing EVI with NDVI in the model that is based on LST and NDVI increases the accuracy of soil moisture estimation. Accuracy evaluation of soil moisture estimation using check points shows that the model based on LST, EVI and NDWI values gives a higher accuracy than that based on LST and EVI values. It is concluded that the model based on the three indices is a suitable model to estimate soil moisture through MODIS imagery.

Land surface temperature (LST) is a key indicator reflecting the ecological environmental disturbance caused by open-pit coal mining activities and determining the ecological status in alpine permafrost regions. Thus, it is crucial to study the spatiotemporal variations and influencing mechanisms of LST throughout all stages of small-scale mining–large-scale land surface damage–ecological restoration. Landsat imagery over nine periods was extracted from the growing seasons between 1990 and 2024. This study retrieved LST while simultaneously calculating albedo, soil moisture, and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) for each time phase. By integrating land use/cover (LUCC) data, the spatiotemporal evolution patterns of LST in the mining area throughout all stages were revealed. Based on the Geodetector method, an identification approach for factors influencing LST spatial differentiation was established. This approach was applicable to the entire process characterized by significant land type transitions. The results indicate that the spatiotemporal variations in LST were significantly correlated with land surface damage and restoration caused by human activities in the mining area. With the implementation of ecological restoration, high and ultra-high temperatures decreased by about 25.98% compared to the period when the surface damage was the most severe. The main influencing factors of LST differentiation were identified for different land use types, i.e., natural and restored meadows (soil wetness, albedo, and NDVI), mine pits (albedo, aspect, and elevation), and mining waste dumps (aspect and albedo before restoration; aspect and NDVI after restoration). This study can provide a reference for monitoring the ecological environment changes and ecological restoration of global coalfields with the same climatic characteristics.

In large river basins where in situ data were limited or absent, satellite-based soil moisture estimates can be used to supplement ground measurements for land and water resource management solutions. Consistent soil moisture estimation can aid in monitoring droughts, forecasting floods, monitoring crop productivity, and assisting weather forecasting. Satellite-based soil moisture estimates are readily available at the global scale but are provided at spatial scales that are relatively coarse for many hydrological modeling and decision-making purposes. Soil moisture data are obtained from NASA’s soil moisture active passive (SMAP) mission radiometer as an interpolated product at 9 km gridded resolution. This study implements a soil moisture downscaling algorithm that was developed based on the relationship between daily temperature change and average soil moisture under varying vegetation conditions. It applies a look-up table using global land data assimilation system (GLDAS) soil moisture and surface temperature data, and advanced very high resolution radiometer (AVHRR) and moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and land surface temperature (LST). MODIS LST and NDVI are used to obtain downscaled soil moisture estimates. These estimates are then used to enhance the spatial resolution of soil moisture estimates from SMAP 9 km to 1 km. Soil moisture estimates at 1 km resolution are able to provide detailed information on the spatial distribution and pattern over the regions being analyzed. Higher resolution soil moisture data are needed for practical applications and modelling in large watersheds with limited in situ data, like in the Lower Mekong River Basin (LMB) in Southeast Asia. The 1 km soil moisture estimates can be applied directly to improve flood prediction and assessment as well as drought monitoring and agricultural productivity predictions for large river basins.