Hair analysis based on medical history and spatial-temporal data

Objectives: Patients with anterior circulation large vessel occlusion are at high risk of acute ischemic stroke, which could be disabling or fatal. In this study, we applied machine learning to develop and validate two prediction models for acute ischemic stroke (Model 1) and severity of neurological impairment (Model 2), both caused by anterior circulation large vessel occlusion (AC-LVO), based on medical history and neuroimaging data of patients on admission.Methods: A total of 1,100 patients with AC- LVO from the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University in North China were enrolled, of which 713 patients presented with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) related to AC- LVO and 387 presented with the non-acute ischemic cerebrovascular event. Among patients with the non-acute ischemic cerebrovascular events, 173 with prior stroke or TIA were excluded. Finally, 927 patients with AC-LVO were entered into the derivation cohort. In the external validation cohort, 150 patients with AC-LVO from the Hebei Province People's Hospital, including 99 patients with AIS related to AC- LVO and 51 asymptomatic AC-LVO patients, were retrospectively reviewed. We developed four machine learning models [logistic regression (LR), regularized LR (RLR), support vector machine (SVM), and random forest (RF)], whose performance was internally validated using 5-fold cross-validation. The performance of each machine learning model for the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) was compared and the variables of each algorithm were ranked.Results: In model 1, among the included patients with AC-LVO, 713 (76.9%) and 99 (66%) suffered an acute ischemic stroke in the derivation and external validation cohorts, respectively. The ROC-AUC of LR, RLR and SVM were significantly higher than that of the RF in the external validation cohorts [0.66 (95% CI 0.57–0.74) for LR, 0.66 (95% CI 0.57–0.74) for RLR, 0.55 (95% CI 0.45–0.64) for RF and 0.67 (95% CI 0.58–0.76) for SVM]. In model 2, 254 (53.9%) and 31 (37.8%) patients suffered disabling ischemic stroke in the derivation and external validation cohorts, respectively. There was no difference in AUC among the four machine learning algorithms in the external validation cohorts.Conclusions: Machine learning methods with multiple clinical variables have the ability to predict acute ischemic stroke and the severity of neurological impairment in patients with AC-LVO.

BackgroundThe prediction of biogeographical patterns from a large number of driving factors with complex interactions, correlations and non-linear dependences require advanced analytical methods and modeling tools. This study compares different statistical and machine learning-based models for predicting fungal productivity biogeographical patterns as a case study for the thorough assessment of the performance of alternative modeling approaches to provide accurate and ecologically-consistent predictions.MethodsWe evaluated and compared the performance of two statistical modeling techniques, namely, generalized linear mixed models and geographically weighted regression, and four techniques based on different machine learning algorithms, namely, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, support vector machine and artificial neural network to predict fungal productivity. Model evaluation was conducted using a systematic methodology combining random, spatial and environmental blocking together with the assessment of the ecological consistency of spatially-explicit model predictions according to scientific knowledge.ResultsFungal productivity predictions were sensitive to the modeling approach and the number of predictors used. Moreover, the importance assigned to different predictors varied between machine learning modeling approaches. Decision tree-based models increased prediction accuracy by more than 10% compared to other machine learning approaches, and by more than 20% compared to statistical models, and resulted in higher ecological consistence of the predicted biogeographical patterns of fungal productivity.ConclusionsDecision tree-based models were the best approach for prediction both in sampling-like environments as well as in extrapolation beyond the spatial and climatic range of the modeling data. In this study, we show that proper variable selection is crucial to create robust models for extrapolation in biophysically differentiated areas. This allows for reducing the dimensions of the ecosystem space described by the predictors of the models, resulting in higher similarity between the modeling data and the environmental conditions over the whole study area. When dealing with spatial-temporal data in the analysis of biogeographical patterns, environmental blocking is postulated as a highly informative technique to be used in cross-validation to assess the prediction error over larger scales.

ObjectivesTo develop and identify machine learning (ML) models using pretreatment 2-deoxy-2-[18F]fluoro-D-glucose ([18F]-FDG)-positron emission tomography (PET)-based radiomic features to differentiate benign from malignant parotid gland diseases (PGDs).Materials and methodsThis retrospective study included 62 patients with 63 PGDs who underwent pretreatment [18F]-FDG-PET/computed tomography (CT). The lesions were assigned to the training (n = 44) and testing (n = 19) cohorts. In total, 49 [18F]-FDG-PET-based radiomic features were utilized to differentiate benign from malignant PGDs using five different conventional ML algorithmic models (random forest, neural network, k-nearest neighbors, logistic regression, and support vector machine) and the deep learning (DL)-based ensemble ML model. In the training cohort, each conventional ML model was constructed using the five most important features selected by the recursive feature elimination method with the tenfold cross-validation and synthetic minority oversampling technique. The DL-based ensemble ML model was constructed using the five most important features of the bagging and multilayer stacking methods. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and accuracies were used to compare predictive performances.ResultsIn total, 24 benign and 39 malignant PGDs were identified. Metabolic tumor volume and four GLSZM features (GLSZM_ZSE, GLSZM_SZE, GLSZM_GLNU, and GLSZM_ZSNU) were the five most important radiomic features. All five features except GLSZM_SZE were significantly higher in malignant PGDs than in benign ones (each p < 0.05). The DL-based ensemble ML model had the best performing classifier in the training and testing cohorts (AUC = 1.000, accuracy = 1.000 vs AUC = 0.976, accuracy = 0.947).ConclusionsThe DL-based ensemble ML model using [18F]-FDG-PET-based radiomic features can be useful for differentiating benign from malignant PGDs.Second abstractThe DL-based ensemble ML model using [18F]-FDG-PET-based radiomic features can overcome the previously reported limitation of [18F]-FDG-PET/CT scan for differentiating benign from malignant PGDs. The DL-based ensemble ML approach using [18F]-FDG-PET-based radiomic features can provide useful information for managing PGD.

Early warning of plant diseases and pests is critical to ensuring food safety and production for economic crops. Data sources such as the occurrence, frequency, and infection locations are crucial in forecasting plant diseases and pests. However, at present, acquiring such data relies on fixed-point observations or field experiments run by agricultural institutions. Thus, insufficient data and low rates of regional representative are among the major problems affecting the performance of forecasting models. In recent years, the development of mobile internet technology and conveniently accessible multi-source agricultural information bring new ideas to plant diseases’ and pests’ forecasting. This study proposed a forecasting model of Alternaria Leaf Spot (ALS) disease in apple that is based on mobile internet disease survey data and high resolution spatial-temporal meteorological data. Firstly, a mobile internet-based questionnaire was designed to collect disease survey data efficiently. A specific data clean procedure was proposed to mitigate the noise in the data. Next, a sensitivity analysis was performed on the temperature and humidity data, to identify disease-sensitive meteorological factors as model inputs. Finally, the disease forecasting model of the apple ALS was established using four machine learning algorithms: Logistic regression(LR); Fisher linear discriminant analysis(FLDA); Support vector machine(SVM); and K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN). The KNN algorithm is recommended in this study, which produced an overall accuracy of 88%, and Kappa of 0.53. This paper shows that through mobile internet disease survey and a proper data clean approach, it is possible to collect necessary data for disease forecasting in a short time. With the aid of high resolution spatial-temporal meteorological data and machine learning approaches, it is able to achieve disease forecast at a regional scale, which will facilitate efficient disease prevention practices.

Image-based plant disease detection is among the essential activities in precision agriculture for observing incidence and measuring the severity of variability in crops. 70% to 80% of the variabilities are attributed to diseases caused by pathogens, and 60% to 70% appear on the leaves in comparison to the stem and fruits. This work provides a comparative analysis through the model implementation of the two renowned machine learning models, the support vector machine (SVM) and deep learning (DL), for plant disease detection using leaf image data. Until recently, most of these image processing techniques had been, and some still are, exploiting what some considered as "shallow" machine learning architectures. The DL network is fast becoming the benchmark for research in the field of image recognition and pattern analysis. Regardless, there is a lack of studies concerning its application in plant leaves disease detection. Thus, both models have been implemented in this research on a large plant leaf disease image dataset using standard settings and in consideration of the three crucial factors of architecture, computational power, and amount of training data to compare the duos. Results obtained indicated scenarios by which each model best performs in this context, and within a particular domain of factors suggests improvements and which model would be more preferred. It is also envisaged that this research would provide meaningful insight into the critical current and future role of machine learning in food security

Background: Accurate diagnosis of Parkinson’s disease (PD) is challenging due to its diverse manifestations. Machine learning (ML) algorithms can improve diagnostic precision, but their generalizability across medical centers in China is underexplored. Objective: To assess the accuracy of an ML algorithm for PD diagnosis, trained and tested on data from different medical centers in China. Methods: A total of 1656 participants were included, with 1028 from Beijing (training set) and 628 from Fuzhou (external validation set). Models were trained using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator–logistic regression (LASSO-LR), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGboost), support vector machine (SVM), and k-nearest neighbor (KNN) techniques. Hyperparameters were optimized using five-fold cross-validation and grid search techniques. Model performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, accuracy, sensitivity (recall), specificity, precision, and F1 score. Variable importance was assessed for all models. Results: SVM demonstrated the best differentiation between healthy controls (HCs) and PD patients (AUC: 0.928, 95% CI: 0.908–0.947; accuracy: 0.844, 95% CI: 0.814–0.871; sensitivity: 0.826, 95% CI: 0.786–0.866; specificity: 0.861, 95% CI: 0.820–0.898; precision: 0.849, 95% CI: 0.807–0.891; F1 score: 0.837, 95% CI: 0.803–0.868) in the validation set. Constipation, olfactory decline, and daytime somnolence significantly influenced predictability. Conclusion: We identified multiple pivotal variables and SVM as a precise and clinician-friendly ML algorithm for prediction of PD in Chinese patients.

Detection of visual faults in photovoltaic modules using a stacking ensemble approach

Decline curves are fast methods to predict production behavior in oil and gas wells. Some of the notable decline curve methods are Arp’s, SEDM (Stretched Exponential Decline Model), Duong’s Model and Weibull decline curves. Available production history data can be used to fit any of these equations and future production decline can thus be extrapolated. However, when limited production data is available during early periods of well history, these equations could be fitted using inaccurate parameters leading to erroneous predictions. Also, the traditional decline curve analysis approach does not account for the complexities related to reservoir description and well completions.This study utilizes publicly available databases of the Eagle Ford formation to develop a novel predictive modeling methodology linking decline curve model parameters to well completion related variables that allows for the rapid generation of synthetic decline curves at potential new well locations. Modern machine learning algorithms such as Random Forests (RF), Support Vector Machines (SVM) and Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) can then be used to model the well decline behavior. Cross-Validation technique such as k-fold cross-validation can be used to quantify the predictive accuracy of these models when applied to new wells.First, production data are fitted to decline curve models to estimate the corresponding model parameters. Next, machine learning models are built for these parameters as a function of initial flow rate, various well completion parameters (i.e., number of hydraulic fracture stages, completed lengths, proppant and fracturing fluid amounts) and well location/depth parameters (i.e., well latitudes, longitudes, total vertical depth of heel and difference between total vertical depths of heel and toe of horizontal wells). These models are used to rapidly predict the decline curves for new or existing wells without the need for costly reservoir simulators. It has been found that accurate prediction of rate decline of new wells can be predicted using this methodology. This method can also predict ultimate recovery of a new well based on data collected from previous wells.To our knowledge, this is the first time machine learning algorithms have been used to predict the decline curve parameters and examine the relative performance of various decline curve models. The power and utility of our approach are demonstrated by successful prediction of the decline behavior of blind wells that were not incorporated in the analysis. We also examine the relative influences of various well design and location variables to determine the hidden correlations or interactions among them which are hard to decipher with other methods.

Dosiomics and radiomics-based prediction of pneumonitis after radiotherapy and immune checkpoint inhibition: The relevance of fractionation

Gaining knowledge from health data may contribute to novel approaches or improved patient care plans. To intelligently acquire knowledge from the stroke data, machine learning (ML) technique is utilised and healthcare systems are used. Globally, security has become a major concern, and biometric technologies such as face detection and recognition technologies have been developed to solve security issues and security threats in the world. It has become possible because of developments in technology in the fields of automatic face analysis, machine learning, and pattern recognition. This chapter proposes a prototype to classify brain stroke and face recognition using ML techniques in the medical image. Face recognition and classification of stroke through ML technique like Decision Tree (DT), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Deep Learning with Convolution Neural Network (CNN) based on texture features and statistical features. A CNN model is experimentally used along with a collection of hyper-parameters for deep face recognition and stroke classification. Promising experimental results, with a total accuracy of 98.86% and 98.5%, are obtained, which demonstrates the effectiveness of deep face identification and stroke classification, respectively, in biometric systems.

Undernutrition among children under the age of five is a major public health concern, especially in developing countries. This study aimed to use machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict undernutrition and identify its associated factors. Secondary data analysis of the 2017 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) was performed using R and Python. The main outcomes of interest were undernutrition (stunting: height-for-age (HAZ) < -2 SD; wasting: weight-for-height (WHZ) < -2 SD; and underweight: weight-for-age (WAZ) < -2 SD). Seven ML algorithms were trained and tested: linear discriminant analysis (LDA), logistic model, support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), ridge regression, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The ML models were evaluated using the accuracy, confusion matrix, and area under the curve (AUC) receiver operating characteristics (ROC). In total, 8564 children were included in the final analysis. The average age of the children was 926 days, and the majority were females. The weighted prevalence rates of stunting, wasting, and underweight were 17%, 7%, and 12%, respectively. The accuracies of all the ML models for wasting were (LDA: 84%; Logistic: 95%; SVM: 92%; RF: 94%; LASSO: 96%; Ridge: 84%, XGBoost: 98%), stunting (LDA: 86%; Logistic: 86%; SVM: 98%; RF: 88%; LASSO: 86%; Ridge: 86%, XGBoost: 98%), and for underweight were (LDA: 90%; Logistic: 92%; SVM: 98%; RF: 89%; LASSO: 92%; Ridge: 88%, XGBoost: 98%). The AUC values of the wasting models were (LDA: 99%; Logistic: 100%; SVM: 72%; RF: 94%; LASSO: 99%; Ridge: 59%, XGBoost: 100%), for stunting were (LDA: 89%; Logistic: 90%; SVM: 100%; RF: 92%; LASSO: 90%; Ridge: 89%, XGBoost: 100%), and for underweight were (LDA: 95%; Logistic: 96%; SVM: 100%; RF: 94%; LASSO: 96%; Ridge: 82%, XGBoost: 82%). Age, weight, length/height, sex, region of residence and ethnicity were important predictors of wasting, stunting and underweight. The XGBoost model was the best model for predicting wasting, stunting, and underweight. The findings showed that different ML algorithms could be useful for predicting undernutrition and identifying important predictors for targeted interventions among children under five years in Ghana.

The Support Vector Machine (SVM) (Cortes and Vapnik, 1995; Vapnik, 1995; Burges, 1998) is intended to generate an optimal separating hyperplane by minimizing the generalization error without the assumption of class probabilities such as Bayesian classifier. The decision hyperplane of SVM is determined by the most informative data instances, called Support Vectors (SVs). In practice, these SVMs are a subset of the entire training data. By now, SVMs have been successfully applied in many applications, such as face detection, handwritten digit recognition, text classification, and data mining. Osuna et al. (1997) applied SVMs for face detection. Heisele et al. (2004) achieved high face detection rate by using 2nd degree SVM. They applied hierarchical classification and feature reduction methods to speed up face detection using SVMs. Feature extraction and reduction are two primary issues in feature selection that is essential in pattern classification. Whether it is for storage, searching, or classification, the way the data are represented can significantly influence performances. Feature extraction is a process of extracting more effective representation of objects from raw data to achieve high classification rates. For image data, many kinds of features have been used, such as raw pixel values, Principle Component Analysis (PCA), Independent Component Analysis (ICA), wavelet features, Gabor features, and gradient values. Feature reduction is a process of selecting a subset of features with preservation or improvement of classification rates. In general, it intends to speed up the classification process by keeping the most important class-relevant features.

Climate change makes a big impact in our daily activities. Therefore, forecasting climate changes prior to its actual occurrences is important. Even though highly accurate weather prediction systems throughout the world are available, they require mass amounts of data exceeding thousands of data points to obtain a significant accuracy. This study was aimed at proposing a Support Vector Machine based approach to carryout seasonal weather predictions up to thirty-minute intervals, the results of which would be considerably effective with respect to predictions carried out with models trained with annual datasets. The model was trained utilizing a dataset corresponding to the district of Kandy which consisted of 136 samples, 20 features, and 5 labels. By means of carrying out numerous data preprocessing steps, the model was trained, and the relevant hyperparameters were optimized considering the grid search algorithm to yield a maximum accuracy of 86%, once tested via the k-fold cross validation. The performance of the Support Vector Machine was also then compared for the same dataset with that of the K-Nearest Neighbor algorithm which consumed relatively fewer computing resources. An optimal accuracy of 61% was observed for this model for a K-value of 27. This approach supported the concept of a Support Vector Machine’s ability to perceive time series forecasts to a relatively higher degree and its ability to perform effectively in higher dimensional datasets with smaller number of samples. As per the future work, the Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis is proposed to be carried out to evaluate the performance of the model and the dataset size is proposed to be further enhanced to a maximum of a thousand samples to yield the best performance results. KEYWORDS: Support Vector Machines, Principal Component Analysis, Receiver Operating Characteristic, Machine Learning, Weather Forecast, Hyperparameter Optimization

A urinary tract infection, or UTI, is caused when bacteria get into the urinary tract- kidneys, bladder, or urethra. UTIs cause more than 8.1 million visits to healthcare providers each year. About 60% of women and 12% of men get infected with UTI during their lifetime, therefore being more prominent in females. UTIs can be found by analyzing a urine sample. The urine is examined under a microscope for bacteria or white blood cells that show infection. Healthcare providers may also take a urine culture. This test examines urine to detect and identify bacteria and yeast, which may be causing a UTI. Several models have been proposed to predict urine culture positivity based on urinalysis. Applications of machine learning (ML) methods have been used extensively to solve various complex challenges in recent years in various application areas. ML methods are characterized by their ability to examine data and discover exciting relationships, provide interpretation, and identify patterns. ML can help enhance the reliability, performance, predictability, and accuracy of diagnostic systems for many diseases. This survey provides a comprehensive review of the use of ML in the diagnosis of Urinary Tract infection in human beings. To provide a reliable classification of results assistance of 27 algorithms was tested. Algorithms applied included Logistic regression, Decision tree, Random Forest, and Support Vector Machine. Each model was evaluated by F1-score, AUC-ROC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity. Baseline epidemiological factors, previous antimicrobial consumption, medical history, and previous culture results were included as features. Machine learning models such as the Artificial neural network have been used as well for the prediction of the presence of urinary infection. Some specific parameters have been selected with the help of the Analysis of variance technique which gave high accuracy. This survey provides a comprehensive review of the use of ML in the medical field highlighting standard technologies and how they affect medical diagnosis. It provides valuable references and guidance for researchers, practitioners, and decision-makers framing future research and development directions. It is found that Machine Learning models can improve the early prediction of urine culture positivity and UTI by combining automated urinalysis with other clinical information. Clinical utilization of the models can reduce the risk of delayed antimicrobial therapy in patients with nonspecific symptoms of UTI and classify patients with UTI who require further treatment and close monitoring. In conclusion, the paper provides a survey on the machine learning models used with the highest accuracy to detect UTI potential patients.

Emotion recognition plays a pivotal role in advancing Human-Computer Interaction (HCI) by enabling systems to understand and respond to human emotional states. Among various modalities, Speech Emotion Recognition (SER) stands out as a non-invasive, cost-effective, and temporally efficient approach for detecting emotions. This study leverages the RAVDESS dataset, which provides high-quality audio recordings for emotion classification. The proposed methodology involves preprocessing audio signals to remove noise, extracting temporal and spectral features in both time and frequency domains, and implementing machine learning models for multi-class emotion classification. The study evaluates and compares the performance of several classification models, including Random Forest (RF), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), and Decision Trees (DT). Experimental results demonstrate promising accuracy levels, highlighting the potential of these machine learning techniques in SER. This research contributes to the integration of SER within Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI) and other emotion-aware applications, paving the way for enhanced interactive systems. Keywords – Speech Emotion Recognition -Machine Learning - Random Forest -Multilayer Perceptron - Support Vector Machine - Convolutional Neural Networks - Decision Tree - RAVDESS Dataset