- Research Article
- 10.56369/tsaes.6244
FOREST FIRE RECURRENCE IN CHIAPAS, MEXICO: ANALYSIS OF SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION, CAUSES AND CLIMATIC TRENDS
- Jul 14, 2025
- Tropical and Subtropical Agroecosystems
- Alan Maricio Pacheco-Torres + 5 more +5
<p><strong>Background.</strong> Forest fires play an important role in ecosystems; however, uncontrolled wildfires can damage ecosystems and emit CO<sub>2</sub> into the atmosphere. The state of Chiapas ranks among the top ten places in Mexico in terms of the frequency of forest fires and the area damaged by them. The occurrence of fire and damage is the result of the complex interaction of social, climatic, and biophysical factors. <strong>Objective.</strong> To analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics of forest fires in the state of Chiapas during the period 2010-2024, as well as the leading causes of these events and their relationship with the trends of climate change. <strong>Hypothesis: </strong>The recurrence of forest fires can be explained by patterns of climate change.<strong> </strong> <strong>Methodology.</strong> The work was carried out by analyzing historical records of wildfires, as well as the trends of climatic variables, especially temperature and precipitation. The fire-prone areas were identified using the intersection of polygons across a temporal series in a Geographic Information System. The relationship between the recurrence of wildfire and climatic variables was determined by correlation and regression analysis. <strong>Results.</strong> The recurrent areas correspond, in great part, to the Sierra Madre of Chiapas, which, due to its physical-geographical characteristics, makes it prone to fire development. Likewise, during 2021-2024, the greatest fire damage was observed, mainly in areas where broadleaf and conifer vegetation predominates. <strong>Conclusion.</strong> The increase in the recurrence of forest fires in Chiapas is not entirely attributed to current climate trends; rather, part of these events is also related to anthropogenic causes and inadequate fire management, primarily due to agricultural activities. It is observed that these events are more frequent during the dry season, mainly between April and May. <strong>Implication.</strong> This type of research enables us to identify the primary conditions that favour wildfires and their relationship with climate change. The results will help in developing forest fire prevention and mitigation strategies.</p>
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