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  • https://doi.org/10.47749/t/unicamp.2025.1506384Copy DOI Icon

Integration of model predictive control and process safety

  • Apr 25, 2025
  • Fernando Henrique Marques
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Abstract

Safety analysis is extremely important to avoid and prevent industrial accidents.Process safety system must act on failures so that they are prevented in the protection layers designated by the chemical process and its respective control system.The growing complexity of industrial processes creates a demand for more efficient methods to measure and prevent accidents.Conventional safety methods, such as Hazard and Operability Study (HAZOP) and Layer of Protection Analysis (LOPA), often have limitations, highlighting their qualitative aspects.In this context, the present work explores the integration of process safety into advanced control system, more specifically, with Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework to enhance the safety performance of chemical process.The advancements in this framework focus on enhancing inner layers of LOPA, specifically the control and process design layers.This improvement enables a thorough evaluation of the performance of the closed-loop control structure, particularly in the presence of disturbances and hazardous situations.The first strategy consists in the change of the basic process control layer in the LOPA to an advanced process control.It occurs implementing two different MPC formulations: a conventional infinite horizon model predictive control (IHMPC), and IHMPC with zone control.Both structures are integrated with safety index constraint based on the process state, that is a safety function that defines the safe region of operation.The safety function is developed based on fundamental process operating knowledge, first-principles models, industrial hazard analysis tools, and process operating data.When possible, IHMPC with zone control integrated with safety index constraint resulted in the better option for the control layer in LOPA, since the zone control also may work as an additional safety barrier, being safely and economically attractive.The second strategy for LOPA in this work combines the control and process design layers to improve process safety in these stages simultaneously.This approach is called simultaneous safety process design and control (SSPDC), and is established as an optimization problem that computes, at the same moment, the optimal equipment sizing, operating points, and the tuning parameters for the control system, under safety constraints.Two explicit safety constraints are adopted in this approach: the safety index based on process state for the control system, and the Safety Weighted Hazard Index (SWeHI) for the process design.SWeHI quantitatively evaluates risks associated with fire, explosion, and toxic substance release.By integrating SWeHI within the process design phase, the methodology enables the identification and mitigation of potential hazards before they manifest in operations.In SSPDC methodology, the process design has the goal of maximizing the economic return of the process in the steady-state.At the same time, the control system aims to achieve the optimal dynamic process operation ensuring safety.In this context, IHMPC with zone control is adopted, which is divided into three optimization levels: the first level is real time optimization (RTO), that defines the optimal operating points; the second level is the target calculation (TC) that estimates feasible targets for the controller by means of the optimal operating points from the RTO; and the third level is the controller model that has the goal to maintain the process operating in a safe region.This problem was addressed for a styrene polymerization reactor, as case study.Simulation results illustrate the efficacy of the proposed methodology to compute the safety, economic, and dynamic aspects with changes in the product marketing conditions and disturbances representing hazard situations.Besides, the results indicate that incorporating safety constraints enhances the process's operational safety.

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