Intelligent Road Congestion Prediction Employing Queueing Based Model

Vehicular Clouds introduces a new paradigm that addresses and potentially enhances underutilization of on-board computing resources through aggregation to solve several computational tasks in Intelligent Transportation System. The most challenging issue in Vehicle Cloud is the task allocation among the dynamically changing amount of available resources. For further research towards this issue, a realistic road traffic system models which could generate traffic flow with high accuracy must be designed. In this paper, we conduct a study on short-term traffic flow predictions for our envisioned road traffic prediction system. Five prediction models, including double exponential smoothing (DES), seasonal autoregressive moving average (SARIMA), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), back-propagation neural network (BP-NN) and support vector regression (SVR), are implemented. Then, three different error metrics are used to evaluate the performance of these models. Finally, the results shows that SARIMA and BP neural network are two precise and stationary prediction models and thus are the best candidates to be embedded in an road traffic load prediction system.

SNSJam: Road traffic analysis and prediction by fusing data from multiple social networks

<p style="text-align: justify;">Artificial intelligence (AI) is becoming a key element in enhancing transportation systems, enabling automation, optimization, and real-time traffic flow prediction. Its application in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) contributes to more efficient passenger transport in urban areas, where infrastructure fails to keep up with growing demand, leading to frequent traffic congestion and bottlenecks.This paper will describe how advanced AI algorithms and deep learning models enable traffic analysis, congestion prediction, and route optimization, improving the reliability and efficiency of public transportation. The integration of AI into ITS not only optimizes traffic flows but also enhances sustainability by reducing emissions and improving energy performance. Data-driven smart solutions make transportation safer, more environmentally friendly, and better suited to user needs.</p>

The dismal performance of the traditional traffic congestion measures and motorist attitudes on Nigeria roads have not only made traffic flow unpredictable and worsening but also worrisome and defiling every measures put-in-place by the Government. To solve these problems, the study assessed traffic congestion and Intelligent Transport System (ITS) in Ibadan, Nigeria. In achieving this, the study examined among others, factors aiding traffic congestion; effectiveness of the existing traffic congestion measures; and the performance and disposition to the use of ITS in the study area. Systematic random sampling was used to administer 386 copies of a questionnaire on commercial motorists, while data collected were analyzed using both descriptive and inferential (Pearson Chi-Square and Fisher's Exact Tests) statistics. Findings revealed that faulty intersections (3.586) and excesses of traffic officers (3.558) were worsening factors aiding traffic congestion in Ibadan city. Meanwhile, electronic traffic signalization (3.558) and law enforcement and regulation (3.499) were rated the most effective existing traffic congestion measures. In other words, real-time traffic signal devices (3.609); automated travel advisory system (3.595) and road congestion pricing devices (3.581) were highly rated and favourably disposed to use ITS. However, the Chi-Square Tests shows that the use Intelligent Transport System is statistically influenced by users' level of education (Sig. value < 0.05). The study concludes that there is a total necessity and willingness to use ITS in the study area. Hence, the study recommends exigent and holistic approach in the provision and enforcement of ITS towards mitigating congestion and other suggestions for improved traffic flow in Nigerian cities including Ibadan.

Social insects perform complex tasks without top-down style control, by sensing and depositing chemical markers called “pheromone”. We have examined applications of this pheromone paradigm towards intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Many of the current traffic management approaches require central processing with the usual risk for overload, bottlenecks and delays. Our work points towards a more decentralized approach that may overcome those risks. In this paper, a car is regarded as a social insect that deposits (electronic) pheromone on the road network. The pheromone represents density of traffic. We propose a method to predict traffic congestion of the immediate future through a pheromone mechanism without resorting to the use of a traffic control center. We evaluate our method using a simulation based on real-world traffic data and the results indicate applicability to prediction of immediate future traffic congestion. Furthermore, we describe the relationship between pheromone parameters and accuracy of prediction.

Traffic prediction is a critical element of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS), enhancing road safety, traffic flow, and environmental sustainability. By leveraging big data and machine learning, ITS optimizes fuel consumption, route planning, and traffic signal control. This study evaluates the performance of four machine learning models—K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Naïve Bayes, Decision Tree, and Random Forest—for classifying traffic conditions based on 11 months of vehicle count data collected every 15 minutes. The traffic levels are categorized into four classes: Heavy Traffic, Medium Traffic, No Traffic, and Traffic Jam. Among the models, Random Forest achieved the highest overall accuracy (99%) and delivered strong precision and recall across all traffic levels, especially in distinguishing between complex traffic patterns. KNN also showed high accuracy but required more computational resources. Decision Tree performed comparably, particularly for Heavy Traffic, while Naïve Bayes struggled with lower precision and recall due to its limitations in handling complex data distributions. The results underscore the robustness of Random Forest for real-time traffic condition classification and support its integration into ITS for effective, data-driven traffic and congestion management in urban environments.

Half of the world’s population resides in cities and this percentage is going to rise in the coming years. This rapid transformation of the economy and society is making traditional city management redundant. Intensive urbanization has brought with it some challenges. Scanty resources, population growth, increased carbon footprint, reduced air quality, congestion on roads, depriving health status, and falling food quality, all are prominent parts of cities. Does this bring a question in mind is accelerated growth sustainable? The answer and solution to this is an adaption of the Smart City Concept. A smart city integrates all the available technology with the requirements of city development and builds infrastructure which can improve the quality of life of citizens. Smart cities are designed in a manner to use minimum resources with maximum efficiency in all areas of urban life. It provides smart solutions using smart technologies. Urban needs and technological advancements meet in smart cities. It manages cities more quickly and effectively by using AI, IT technologies, and robotic process automation. Intelligent transportation, intelligent energy, intelligent governance, intelligent security, intelligent healthcare are all central to the idea of smart cities. The emphasis of this essay is on smart transit as a component of smart cities. The movement of people and goods across several geographical boundaries has been significantly aided by the transportation sector. Globally, the majority of smart cities face logistical and transportation issues. Both the fast growing human population and the increase in the number of cars on the road are to blame for this. In order to design and run a sustainable transportation system, technology may be of great assistance. Robotic systems for real-time vehicle data collection, traffic management, and using mobility on demand in trip planning through a single user interface have emerged as cities struggle with traffic congestion. The transportation industry, which faces difficulties including traffic congestion, unanticipated delays, and routing issues that cause businesses to lose money, has successfully used robotic process automation. Robotic process automation provides reliable results and affordable solutions while reducing uncertainty in the decision-making process. It is very helpful in designing and running a successful transit system. Robotic Process Automation (RPA) systems for obtaining real-time data from vehicles, buses, and trucks for traffic management and using mobility on demand in trip planning through a single user interface have emerged as cities struggle with poor management and congestion. By examining different uses of robotic process automation, it is possible to evaluate precise prediction and detection models that are intended to forecast traffic volume, an appropriate route, traffic conditions, accurate information about timing, incidents, and which time and roadway for transport are suitable for running and mobility. The application of RPA in smart cities could be seen in Intelligent Transportation Systems’ Traffic Management, Public Transportation, Safety Management, Manufacturing, and Logistics. The research focuses on areas of concern for smart cities in the sphere of the transportation sector and related difficulties that may be solved via robotic process automation. The article emphasizes the challenges and solutions for making smart transportation more effective by using Intelligent Robotic Transportation Systems.

Methods of treatment (case reports)

The ongoing increase in urban populations has intensified the persistent issue of traffic congestion, negatively impacting the quality of life by increasing commute times, compromising road safety, and deteriorating local air quality. As a result, identifying and forecasting traffic congestion patterns has become critical, positioning Traffic Congestion Prediction (TCP) as a rapidly growing field of study. Recent advancements in Machine Learning (ML), Artificial Intelligence (AI), and Internet of Things (IoT) sensor technologies have further underscored the importance of TCP in the development of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS).This review paper explores advanced TCP methodologies, with a particular emphasis on innovative forecasting techniques and technologies vital to the ITS domain. We provide a comprehensive overview of statistical and machine learning approaches, including hybrid and ensemble models, that are commonly used for TCP. Additionally, the paper discusses various forecasting techniques and elaborates on performance evaluation metrics from both regression and classification perspectives.To provide a practical framework, a standardized step-bystep methodology often adopted in TCP problems is presented. As part of the implementation, a KNearest Neighbors (KNN) classifier was employed as the proposed predictive model. Comparative evaluation revealed that KNN outperformed the Logistic Regression model in terms of both accuracy and robustness in predicting traffic congestion events. The results validate the potential of data-driven approaches to enhance proactive traffic management and informed decision-making in the context of smart cities

As one of the most widely used applications of the Internet of Things (IoT), intelligent transportation system (ITS) is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic control, and traffic guidance. However, widespread traffic congestion occurs with the increased number of vehicles. The traffic flow prediction is a good idea for traffic congestion. Therefore, many schemes have been proposed for accurate and real-time traffic flow prediction, but there still exist many issues, including low accuracy, weak adaptability and inferior real-time. Meanwhile, the complex spatial and temporal dependencies in traffic flow are still challenging. To address the above issues, we propose a novel spatial-temporal Chebyshev graph neural network model (ST-ChebNet) for traffic flow prediction to capture the spatial-temporal features, which can ensure accurate traffic flow prediction. Concretely, we first add a fully connected layer to fuse the features of traffic data into a new feature to generate a matrix, and then the long short-term memory (LSTM) model is adopted to learn traffic state changes for capturing the temporal dependencies. Then, we use the Chebyshev graph neural network (ChebNet) to learn the complex topological structures in the traffic network for capturing the spatial dependencies. Eventually, the spatial features and the temporal features are fused to guarantee the traffic flow prediction. The experiments show that ST-ChebNet can make accurate and real-time traffic flow prediction compared with other eight baseline methods on real-world traffic data sets PeMS.

Global traffic management encounters a significant challenge in traffic congestion. This paper presents a hybrid machine learning method for predicting traffic congestion. It leverages Convolutional Neural Network-Gated Recurrent Unit (CNN-GRU) network for parameter prediction and combines clustering and classification models, using the K-means algorithm to categorize traffic states into four levels and constructing a KNN classification model based on this segmentation. This results in the K-means-KNN model. Predicted parameters are inputted into the K-means-KNN model for congestion level prediction. Validation with real traffic flow data shows that the CNN-GRU network can capture spatiotemporal features more effectively. For instance, in traffic flow prediction, it reduces the MAPE by 7.39% and 51.14% compared to CNN and GRU, respectively. K-means-KNN excels in traffic state discrimination, achieving a congestion prediction accuracy of 91.8%. These results underscore the efficacy of the hybrid machine learning method in assessing and predicting urban traffic congestion.

With the rapid development of intelligent transportation systems, vehicle detection and traffic flow statistics have become increasingly critical in traffic management and the construction of smart cities. However, complex weather conditions lead to challenges in vehicle detection algorithms, increasing false negatives and false positives. Additionally, the rapid growth of vehicle ownership makes traditional algorithms inadequate for meeting practical application needs. Therefore, this paper proposes a collaborative optimization-based method combining YOLOv11 for vehicle detection and traffic flow analysis under complex weather conditions. Vehicle information is accurately extracted through object detection and tracking methods, and further analyzed using Logistic Regression to assess traffic congestion. The main contributions of this study are: (1) Integration of the CBAM attention mechanism into YOLOv11, enhancing the vehicle feature extraction ability through collaborative channel and spatial attention, thereby improving interference resistance under complex weather conditions. (2) Adoption of the Shape-IoU loss function, with dynamic weight allocation to optimize the accuracy of detecting smaller vehicles and the precision of bounding box regression in images where vehicles are located at a greater distance. (3) Construction of a traffic congestion prediction model based on the detection results, integrated with Logistic Regression. The proposed method's effectiveness is validated on the public dataset UA-DETRAC. Through the synergistic effect of the CBAM attention mechanism and Shape-IoU loss function, the improved model's mAP50-95 shows a 0.3 percentage point increase over the YOLOv11 baseline, providing efficient and reliable technical support for intelligent transportation systems. This study enhances the prediction performance of traffic states under complex weather conditions by effectively calculating traffic flow parameters such as vehicle count and density, thus offering foundational data support for traffic management decision-making. The research conclusions are of practical significance for urban traffic improvement.

Urban traffic congestion and bottleneck has been a global issue for many years due to rapid urbanization. The use of intelligent Transportation System (ITS) in metropolitan cities has become a necessity. In this paper we present traffic congestion prediction models with a novel specifications based on Ant fuzzy model.

Intelligent Transportation System (ITS) is the emerging transportation which comprises of the advanced technologies such as wireless communications, video vehicle detection, distributed system architectures, human machine interface, sensing and actuating, to improve safety of the passengers, traffic congestion, fuel consumption and optimize other services of the transportation system such as real time traffic situation, electronic toll collection, automatic road enforcement and hot lanes. The current ITS systems lacks self-adaptive capability to take spontaneous decisions. The environment of the ITS system is very complex so optimal decisions cannot be taken but a good enough decision can be taken which fulfills the requirement of the system. To build an ITS system having the capability to adapt itself, this paper presents the self-adaptive requirements for the ITS. To elicit the requirements for ITS, we use scenarios based model and goal based model using the requirements Engineering processes (Elicitation, Elaboration, Specification, Validation) with MAPE-K. We use Knowledge Acquisition on Automated Specification (KAOS) approach to build goal model using Objectiver tool, and use RELAX syntax to elicit adaptive requirements for ITS.

Traffic congestion has a negative impact on our daily life. Predicting the trend of traffic congestion can provide a valuable guideline to address such problems. Most existing approaches focus on the tasks of predicting traffic volume or traffic speed, which do not effectively address the challenges of traffic congestion prediction. First, traffic congestion exhibits daily and weekly temporal patterns, but these patterns are not strictly the same, which indicates complicated long-term periodicity. Second, traffic congestion sparsely distributes over different periods of time, which leads to complex short-term and mid-term temporal dependencies. Third, since traffic congestion will propagate to adjacent road segments over time, it exhibits complex spatio-temporal correlations. To address them, we propose a periodic shift and event-aware spatio-temporal graph convolutional network for traffic congestion prediction. Specifically, we propose to capture the differences and similarities of long-term periodic temporal patterns to handle the complicated long-term periodicity. To effectively capture short-term and mid-term temporal dependencies, we regard a continuous time sequence of the congested condition as a traffic congestion event, and then adopt the widely-used long short-term memory model to learn the sequential dependencies of traffic congestion events. Finally, we integrate the graph convolutional network into the modeling of temporal dependencies to capture the complex spatio-temporal correlations. Extensive experiments demonstrate the superiority of our model. In addition, we deploy our model in production at Amap, and it achieves great performance improvement in terms of the F1-score compared to the production baseline. This confirms that our model is a practical solution for real-world congestion prediction services.