Intelligent Transportation System Using Multi Stream Feature

Accurate traffic flow prediction is crucial for improving transportation efficiency. To improve the accuracy of traffic flow prediction, we developed a traffic flow prediction framework—namely, traffic flow multicomponent network—that appropriately processes the noise, volatility, and nonlinearity in traffic flow data. This framework comprises three components: a factor selection component, traffic flow decomposition component, and traffic flow prediction component. The factor selection component considers the dynamic effects of weather‐related, environmental, and spatiotemporal factors on traffic flow; it then extracts and analyzes factors exhibiting strong correlations with traffic flow. The traffic flow decomposition component optimizes the parameters of variational mode decomposition on the basis of the envelope entropy by using the sparrow search algorithm; it then transforms traffic flow into multiple intrinsic mode functions to enable accurate traffic flow prediction. Finally, the traffic flow prediction component constructs dynamic feature matrices by using a bidirectional gated recurrent unit model to identify relationships within the data. Moreover, it uses an attention mechanism to assign different weights to different features on the basis of the importance of these features to traffic flow prediction, thereby enabling the efficient processing of a large volume of data. The performance of the proposed framework was examined in experiments conducted on large volumes of traffic flow data with different time granularities. The results indicated that the proposed framework achieved high prediction accuracy and stability for various time granularities, data samples, dataset sizes, and noise conditions. Moreover, it generally outperformed existing traffic flow prediction models under all experimental conditions.

In metropolitan areas, common traffic issues include traffic congestion, traffic accidents, air pollution, and energy consumption occur. To resolve this issues, Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) have been evolved by many researchers. One of the important sub-systems in the development of ITS is a Traffic Management System (TMS) which attempts to reduce a traffic congestion. In fact, TMS itself relies on the estimation of traffic flow, therefore providing such an accurate traffic flow prediction is needed. For this reason, we aim to provide an accurate traffic flow prediction to facilitate this system. In this works, a Supervised Deep Learning Based Traffic Flow Prediction (SDLTFP) was proposed which is a type of fully-connected deep neural network (FC-DNN). Timely prediction is also a major issue in guaranteeing reliable traffic flow prediction. However, training a deep network could be time-consuming, and overfitting is might be happening, especially when feeding small data into the deep architecture. The network is learned perfectly during the training, but in testing with the new data, it could fail to generalize the model. We adopt the Batch Normalization (BN) and Dropout techniques to help the network training. SGD and momentum are carried out to update the weight. We then take advantage of open data as historical traffic data which are then used to predict future traffic flow with the proposed method and model above. Experiments show that the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for our traffic flow prediction is within 5 % using sample data and between 15% to 20% using out of the sample data. Training a deep network faster with BN and Dropout reduces the overfitting.

Traffic flow prediction is an important part of intelligent transportation system (ITS). Accurate traffic flow prediction information can provide reliable reference for traffic management decision-makers, effectively reduce traffic congestion, reduce vehicle exhaust pollution, save energy and facilitate the travel of the people. Most of the existing traffic flow prediction models simplify the traffic flow change process into a linear and stable process and ignore the influence of weather conditions on traffic flow, which will lead to large prediction deviation. In order to improve the accuracy of traffic flow prediction, this paper proposes an ensemble learning method based on ET and AdaBoost for fusing traffic and meteorological data under the non-stationary environment to predict the changes of traffic flow. The experiment is based on real traffic and meteorological data, and the results show that the proposed ensemble method is superior to the baseline methods.

The increasing complexity of urban transportation systems and the growing volume of vehicles have made traffic congestion a persistent challenge in modern cities. Efficient traffic flow prediction is essential for mitigating congestion, improving road safety, optimizing traffic signal control, and enhancing overall transportation efficiency. In recent years, artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a transformative tool in the field of traffic management, offering sophisticated algorithms capable of modeling, analyzing, and predicting complex traffic patterns with high accuracy. The application of AI in traffic flow prediction leverages vast amounts of real-time and historical data to generate precise forecasts, supporting data-driven decision-making by urban planners and traffic control authorities. The prediction of traffic flow involves analyzing time-series data that exhibit nonlinear, dynamic, and often stochastic behavior. Traditional statistical models, such as autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), have proven to be limited in handling the high dimensionality and variability inherent in traffic systems. In contrast, AI algorithms possess the capacity to learn and adapt from complex data inputs without the need for explicit programming, making them particularly suitable for traffic-related applications. AI algorithms used in traffic flow prediction can be broadly categorized into machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) approaches. Machine learning algorithms such as k-nearest neighbors (KNN), support vector machines (SVM), decision trees, and random forests have demonstrated effectiveness in short-term traffic prediction tasks. These algorithms are capable of identifying hidden patterns in traffic data and adjusting to changes in traffic behavior over time. Ensemble methods, which combine the strengths of multiple learning models, further enhance prediction accuracy and robustness. Deep learning algorithms, a subfield of AI inspired by the human brain’s neural architecture, have shown exceptional performance in capturing spatial-temporal dependencies in traffic data. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs), particularly long short-term memory (LSTM) networks and gated recurrent units (GRUs), are widely used for their ability to process sequential data and retain information over extended time intervals. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are employed to extract spatial features from traffic sensor data or road network imagery. Hybrid models that integrate CNNs with RNNs have achieved high levels of predictive precision by simultaneously learning spatial and temporal correlations. In addition to supervised learning methods, unsupervised and reinforcement learning techniques are also applied in traffic flow prediction. Clustering algorithms, such as k-means and DBSCAN, assist in identifying traffic patterns, while reinforcement learning models optimize adaptive traffic signal control systems by learning optimal actions through environmental interaction. This study explores the different types of AI algorithms used in traffic flow prediction, examining their theoretical foundations, structural differences, and practical applications. It aims to evaluate the comparative advantages of various algorithms in addressing the challenges of real-time traffic prediction in increasingly complex transportation networks.

Facilitating citizens with accurate traffic flow prediction increases the quality of life. Roadside sensors and devices are used to capture live streams of huge data and the Internet of Things (IoT) is becoming popular for the deployment of effective Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). Traffic flow prediction from the live datastreams require building a data-driven model. This is a challenging task and has attracted researchers for better interpretation of the traffic characteristics. The core problem in traffic prediction is modeling a diversity of traffic trends and unpredictable flow variations with temporal dependencies. Initially, statistical and shallow neural network models were applied to some extent. Recently, deep learning has come up with proven and promising outcomes. Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) is a variation of recurrent neural networks used effectively for traffic flow prediction. Like other deep networks, GRU uses hyperparameters and a sliding window time-steps mechanism to prepare and tune the model. Better tuning for hyperparameters and search for optimal window size is a tedious process. In this research work, we present an algorithm for hyperparameters tuning along with sliding window steps optimization. Results obtained on a real-time public traffic dataset show a higher capability of the proposed method to reduce the error and an average gain of the optimized model over the untuned network is 4.5%. Furthermore, we apply the optimal hyperparameters obtained in the experiment to other deep learning models and present that our approach improves prediction accuracy and stability.

Real-time and accurate traffic flow prediction plays an important role in ITS (Intelligent Transport System). Extreme learning machine (ELM) has proven to be an efficient and effective learning paradigm for a wide field. With the method of kernel function instead of the hidden layer, Kernel-ELM overcame the problem of variation caused by randomly assigned weights. In order to improve the accuracy of traffic flow prediction, this paper introduces a kernel extreme learning machine(KELM)-based forecasting method. We have implemented KELM to forecast real-time traffic flow in the data of Nanning in South China. The results indicate that the KELM method can generate a more accurate prediction and provide better performance on extremely fast learning speed compared with other state-of-art algorithms.

As one of the most widely used applications of the Internet of Things (IoT), intelligent transportation system (ITS) is of great significance for urban traffic planning, traffic control, and traffic guidance. However, widespread traffic congestion occurs with the increased number of vehicles. The traffic flow prediction is a good idea for traffic congestion. Therefore, many schemes have been proposed for accurate and real-time traffic flow prediction, but there still exist many issues, including low accuracy, weak adaptability and inferior real-time. Meanwhile, the complex spatial and temporal dependencies in traffic flow are still challenging. To address the above issues, we propose a novel spatial-temporal Chebyshev graph neural network model (ST-ChebNet) for traffic flow prediction to capture the spatial-temporal features, which can ensure accurate traffic flow prediction. Concretely, we first add a fully connected layer to fuse the features of traffic data into a new feature to generate a matrix, and then the long short-term memory (LSTM) model is adopted to learn traffic state changes for capturing the temporal dependencies. Then, we use the Chebyshev graph neural network (ChebNet) to learn the complex topological structures in the traffic network for capturing the spatial dependencies. Eventually, the spatial features and the temporal features are fused to guarantee the traffic flow prediction. The experiments show that ST-ChebNet can make accurate and real-time traffic flow prediction compared with other eight baseline methods on real-world traffic data sets PeMS.

Road network traffic flow prediction: A personalized federated learning method based on client reputation

Traffic flow prediction using spatial-temporal network data remains one of the most important problems in intelligent transportation systems. Timely and accurate traffic prediction is necessary to provide valuable information for different urban planning, traffic control, and guidance tasks. The complexity of the problem is explained by the fact that traffic flows have high nonlinearity and complex spatial-temporal correlations. The development of mathematical models, and, in particular, the deep learning models, allows to use convolutional neural networks to solve traffic prediction problems. In this article, we analyze the architecture of the graph convolution network for traffic flow prediction. The considered graph convolution network takes into account daily and weekly patterns of traffic flow distributions. Experimental studies of the graph neural network model were carried out on the transportation network of Samara city. Experiments show that the considered model outperforms other baseline forecasting algorithms.

Building data-driven intelligent transportation is a significant task for establishing data-centric smart cities, and exceptionally efficient and accurate traffic flow prediction (TFP) is a crucial technology in constructing intelligent transportation systems (ITSs). To address the computation and storage problems of processing traffic flow big data with the centralized model on a traditional mining platform, we propose a distributed long short-term memory weighted model combined with a time window and normal distribution based on a MapReduce parallel processing framework in this paper, named as WND-LSTM. More specifically, under the Hadoop distributed computing platform, a distributed modeling framework of forecasting traffic flow on MapReduce is developed to solve the existing issues of storage and calculation in handling large-scale traffic flow data with the stand-alone learning model. Moreover, a distributed WND-LSTM model is presented on the MapReduce-based distributed modeling framework to enhance the accuracy, efficiency, and scalability of short-term TFP. Finally, we forecast the traffic flow on the Sanlihe East Road of Beijing in China using the proposed WND-LSTM model with the real-world taxi trajectory big data. In particular, the extensively experimental results from a case study demonstrate that the MAPE value of WND-LSTM is 88.48%, 65.79%, 70.46%, 68.21%, 66.95%, 68.43%, and 70.41% lower than that of the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), logistical regression (LR), support vector regression (SVR), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), stacked autoencoders (SAEs), gated recurrent unit (GRU), and long short-term memory (LSTM), respectively, and achieves 71.25% accuracy improvement on average.

Accurate traffic flow prediction plays a crucial role in the development of intelligent traffic management. Despite numerous investigations into spatio-temporal methods, achieving high accuracy in traffic flow prediction remains challenging. This challenge arises from the complex dynamic spatio-temporal correlations within the traffic road network and the limitations imposed by the selection of hyperparameters based on experiments and manual experience, which can affect the performance of the network architecture. This paper introduces a novel transformer-based adaptive graph convolutional recurrent network. The proposed network automatically infers the interdependencies among different traffic sequences and incorporates the capability to capture global spatio-temporal correlations. This enables the dynamic capture of long-range temporal correlations. Furthermore, the whale optimization algorithm is employed to efficiently design an optimal network structure that aligns with the requirements of the traffic domain and maximizes the utilization of limited computational resources. This design approach significantly enhances the model’s performance and improves the accuracy of traffic flow prediction. The experimental results on four real datasets demonstrate the efficacy of our approach. In PEMS03, it improves MAE by 2.6% and RMSE by 1.4%. In PEMS04, improvements are 1.6% in MAE and 1.4% in RMSE, with a similar MAPE score to the best baseline. For PEMS07, our approach shows a 4.1% improvement in MAE and 2.2% in RMSE. On PEMS08, it surpasses the current best baseline with a 3.4% improvement in MAE and 1.6% in RMSE. These results confirm the good performance of our model in traffic flow prediction across multiple datasets.

Short-term traffic flow prediction plays an important role in intelligent transportation system. Numerous researchers have paid much attention to it in the past decades. However, the performance of traditional traffic flow prediction methods is not satisfactory, for those methods cannot describe the complicated nonlinearity and uncertainty of the traffic flow precisely. Neural networks were used to deal with the issues, but most of them failed to capture the deep features of traffic flow and be sensitive enough to the time-aware traffic flow data. In this paper, we propose a deep bi-directional long short-term memory (DBL) model by introducing long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network, residual connections, deeply hierarchical networks and bi-directional traffic flow. The proposed model is able to capture the deep features of traffic flow and take full advantage of time-aware traffic flow data. Additionally, we introduce the DBL model, regression layer and dropout training method into a traffic flow prediction architecture. We evaluate the prediction architecture on the dataset from Caltrans Performance Measurement System (PeMS). The experiment results demonstrate that the proposed model for short-term traffic flow prediction obtains high accuracy and generalizes well compared with other models.

Accurate traffic flow prediction plays a crucial role in designing Ad hoc vehicular mobile networks in modern Internet of things (IoT) based intelligent systems. Several deep learning techniques have been deployed to predict traffic conditions to make vehicular communication more reliable. However, not all these approaches deal with complex road networks and spatial temporal dependencies of traffic data. In this paper, we analyze this problem using long short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU) and hybrid CNN-LSTM models. We trained our models using actual traffic flow data provided by the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) over a 6 month duration and showed that our deep learning models outperform the traditional linear regression method. Moreover, an architectural study of deep learning models is carried out for the traffic flow prediction problem. The performance of these models is evaluated using MSE and MAE metrics. It is observed that the GRU model is the best to handle the complex vehicular traffic mechanisms. Also, that a complex hybrid model like CNN-LSTM does not always outperform the much simpler architectures such as LSTM and GRU.

<p>Accurate traffic flow prediction plays a crucial role in designing Ad hoc vehicular mobile networks in modern Internet of things (IoT) based intelligent systems. Several deep learning techniques have been deployed to predict traffic conditions to make vehicular communication more reliable. However, not all these approaches deal with complex road networks and spatial temporal dependencies of traffic data. In this paper, we analyze this problem using long short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU) and hybrid CNN-LSTM models. We trained our models using actual traffic flow data provided by the California Department of Transportation (Caltrans) over a 6 month duration and showed that our deep learning models outperform the traditional linear regression method. Moreover, an architectural study of deep learning models is carried out for the traffic flow prediction problem. The performance of these models is evaluated using MSE and MAE metrics. It is observed that the GRU model is the best to handle the complex vehicular traffic mechanisms. Also, that a complex hybrid model like CNN-LSTM does not always outperform the much simpler architectures such as LSTM and GRU. </p>

Traffic flow has the characteristics of randomness, nonlinearity and periodicity. Using deep learning as the method of traffic flow prediction can make full use of traffic flow characteristics for prediction. In this paper, a recurrent neural network-LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model and its variant GRU (Gated Recurrent Units) are used to solve the traffic flow prediction problem. According to the road traffic information collected by the automatic measurement station (LAM) of the Dutch traffic management department, the vehicle traffic flow data has been predicted every five minutes. It’s verified that the GRU traffic flow prediction model performs well by comparing the prediction accuracy of LSTM and GRU.