IODA

The growing use of neural networks in privacy-sensitive applications necessitates architectures that inherently protect both data and model integrity. We present a model-inversion-resistant physical unclonable neural network (PUNN) implemented on commercial vertical NAND (V-NAND) flash memory. A physical unclonable layer generated through weak gate-induced drain-leakage erase exploits intrinsic device-level variations to create chip-unique conductance patterns that are concealable and unreproducible. Training is achieved using the forward-forward (FF) algorithm, which eliminates the need for backward propagation and is fully compatible with the common-source-line structure of V-NAND arrays. The resulting V-NAND FF-PUNN demonstrates hardware-rooted resistance to model-cloning and model-inversion attacks, maintaining high accuracy under forward-only learning. When the trained network weights are transferred to another chip, inference accuracy collapses due to chip-specific randomness, confirming intrinsic non-clonability. Furthermore, when applied to the MIT-BIH electrocardiogram dataset, the system achieves competitive classification accuracy on real health data while entirely blocking data reconstruction by model-inversion. This work establishes a scalable framework for secure, energy-efficient, and privacy-preserving neural computing directly on commercial flash memory.

Enhancing Safety Management through Occurrence Reporting: Modelling and Predictive Analytics

Machine learning (ML) inference serving systems can schedule requests to improve GPU utilization and to meet service level objectives (SLOs) or deadlines. However, improving GPU utilization may compromise latency-sensitive scheduling, as concurrent tasks contend for GPU resources and thereby introduce interference. Given that interference effects introduce unpredictability in scheduling, neglecting them may compromise SLO or deadline satisfaction. Nevertheless, existing interference prediction approaches remain limited in several respects, which may restrict their usefulness for scheduling. First, they are often coarse-grained, which ignores runtime co-location dynamics and thus restricts their accuracy in interference prediction. Second, they tend to use a static prediction model, which may not effectively cope with different workload characteristics. To this end, we evaluate the potential limitations of existing interference prediction approaches and outline our ongoing work toward achieving efficient ML inference scheduling.

An ant colony optimization-based fuzzy predictive control approach for nonlinear processes

As a result of increasing aircraft electrification and power density requirements, the development of advanced aircraft thermal management strategies has been identified as a critical research area to support next-generation platforms. To facilitate the validation and evaluation of thermal management strategies, this paper presents results from an experimental testbed that is representative of an aircraft fuel thermal management system. Validation of physics-based models with experimental data demonstrates the ability to accurately capture relevant system dynamics via first-principles modeling. These models can be used to represent the plant in simulation for rapid system analysis and control evaluation and can be embedded in model-based control designs. Two thermal management control approaches are experimentally applied on the testbed: one that is purely reactive, and one that uses knowledge of the vehicle mission to proactively prepare for upcoming disturbances. The proactive approach is applied both with exact knowledge of the upcoming mission loads and with errors in timing and magnitude between the predicted and true loads. Hardware-in-the-loop implementation of these control approaches demonstrates that the proactive approach exhibits superior performance in maintaining temperature constraints as compared to the reactive approach.

This study focuses on enhancing wind speed prediction for wildfire spread simulation by proposing an integrated forecasting approach. The original wind speed series is first processed via variational mode decomposition (VMD), with its parameters [K, α] optimized via particle swarm optimization (PSO). Every intrinsic mode function (IMF) resulting from this decomposition is predicted using a bidirectional long short-term memory model incorporating an attention mechanism (AM-BiLSTM), and the final wind series is reconstructed from these predictions. Model training and validation were conducted using data from controlled burning experiments in the Mao’er Mountain area of Heilongjiang Province, China. Predictive performance is evaluated through multiple statistical metrics, error distribution analysis, and Taylor diagrams. To assess practical utility, the predicted wind field is further applied in FARSITE to drive wildfire spread simulations. Results demonstrate that the PSO-VMD-AM-BiLSTM model provides reliable wind forecasts and contributes to improved fire spread prediction accuracy, indicating its potential for decision support in wildfire management. To achieve accurate forest fire spread prediction, we construct the MCNN model, which is based on early perception of understory wind fields using predicted wind speed data and adopts a multi-branch convolutional neural network architecture to extract fire spread features. FARSITE is employed to simulate forest fire spread in the Mao’er Mountain region, generating a dataset for model training and testing. After 50 training epochs, the loss value of the MCNN model converges, achieving optimal prediction performance when the combustion threshold is set to 0.7. Compared to models such as CNN, DCIGN, and DNN, MCNN shows improvements in evaluation metrics including precision, recall, Sørensen coefficient, and Kappa coefficient. To validate the model’s predictive performance in real fire scenarios, four field ignition experiments were conducted at the Liutiao Village test site: homogeneous fuel combustion, long fire line combustion, alternating fuel combustion, and multiple ignition source merging combustion. Comprehensive evaluation across the four experiments indicates that the model achieves precision, recall, Sørensen coefficient, and Kappa coefficient values of 0.940, 0.965, 0.953, and 0.940, respectively, with stable prediction errors below 6%. These results represent improvements over the comparative models DCIGN and DNN. The proposed MCNN model can adapt to forest fire spread prediction under different scenarios, offering a novel approach for accurate forest fire prediction and prevention.

SummaryIn this paper, we develop a new model reference control architecture to effectively suppress system uncertainties and achieve a guaranteed transient and steady‐state system performance. Unlike traditional robust control frameworks, only a parameterization of the system uncertainty given by unknown weights with known conservative bounds is needed to stabilize uncertain dynamical systems with predictable system performance. In addition, the proposed architecture's performance is not dependent on the level of conservatism of the bounds of system uncertainty. Following the same train of thought as adaptive controllers that modify a given reference system to improve system performance, the proposed method is inspired by a recently developed command governor theory that minimizes the effect of system uncertainty by augmenting the input signal of the uncertain dynamical and reference systems. Specifically, a dynamical system, called a command governor, is designed such that its output is used to modify the input of both the controlled uncertain dynamical and reference systems. It is theoretically shown that if the command governor design parameter is judiciously selected, then the controlled system approximates the given original, unmodified reference system. The proposed approach is advantageous over model reference adaptive control approaches because linearity of the uncertain dynamical system is preserved through linear control laws, and hence, the closed‐loop performance is predictable for different command spectrums. Additionally, it is shown that the architecture can be modified for robustness improvements with respect to high frequency content due to, for example, measurement noise. Modifications can also be made in order to accommodate actuator dynamics and retain closed‐loop stability and predictable performance. The main contribution of this paper is the rigorous analysis of the stability and performance of a system utilizing the command governor framework. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed architecture. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

BackgroundThe prediction of coronavirus disease in 2019 (COVID-19) in broader regions has been widely researched, but for specific areas such as urban areas the predictive models were rarely studied. It may be inaccurate to apply predictive models from a broad region directly to a small area. This paper builds a prediction approach for small size COVID-19 time series in a city.MethodsNumbers of COVID-19 daily confirmed cases were collected from November 1, 2022 to November 16, 2023 in Xuzhou city of China. Classical deep learning models including recurrent neural network (RNN), long and short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU) and temporal convolutional network (TCN) are initially trained, then RNN, LSTM and GRU are integrated with a new attention mechanism and transfer learning to improve the performance. Ten times ablation experiments are conducted to show the robustness of the performance in prediction. The performances among the models are compared by the mean absolute error, root mean square error and coefficient of determination.ResultsLSTM outperforms than others, and TCN has the worst generalization ability. Thus, LSTM is integrated with the new attention mechanism to construct an LSTMATT model, which improves the performance. LSTMATT is trained on the smoothed time series curve through frequency domain convolution augmentation, then transfer learning is adopted to transfer the learned features back to the original time series resulting in a TLLA model that further improves the performance. RNN and GRU are also integrated with the attention mechanism and transfer learning and their performances are also improved, but TLLA still performs best.ConclusionsThe TLLA model has the best prediction performance for the time series of COVID-19 daily confirmed cases, and the new attention mechanism and transfer learning contribute to improve the prediction performance in the flatten part and the jagged part, respectively.

Freezing of gait (FOG) is a serious gait disturbance, common in mid- and late-stage Parkinson’s disease, that affects mobility and increases fall risk. Wearable sensors have been used to detect and predict FOG with the ultimate aim of preventing freezes or reducing their effect using gait monitoring and assistive devices. This review presents and assesses the state of the art of FOG detection and prediction using wearable sensors, with the intention of providing guidance on current knowledge, and identifying knowledge gaps that need to be filled and challenges to be considered in future studies. This review searched the Scopus, PubMed, and Web of Science databases to identify studies that used wearable sensors to detect or predict FOG episodes in Parkinson’s disease. Following screening, 74 publications were included, comprising 68 publications detecting FOG, seven predicting FOG, and one in both categories. Details were extracted regarding participants, walking task, sensor type and body location, detection or prediction approach, feature extraction and selection, classification method, and detection and prediction performance. The results showed that increasingly complex machine-learning algorithms combined with diverse feature sets improved FOG detection. The lack of large FOG datasets and highly person-specific FOG manifestation were common challenges. Transfer learning and semi-supervised learning were promising for FOG detection and prediction since they provided person-specific tuning while preserving model generalization.

An analytical review of predictive methods for delivery delays in supply chains

A number of methods for predicting levels of solvent accessibility or accessible surface area (ASA) of amino acid residues in proteins have been developed. These methods either predict regularly spaced states of relative solvent accessibility or an analogue real value indicating relative solvent accessibility. While discrete states of exposure can be easily obtained by post prediction assignment of thresholds to the predicted or computed real values of ASA, the reverse, that is, obtaining a real value from quantized states of predicted ASA, is not straightforward as a two-state prediction in such cases would give a large real valued errors. However, prediction of ASA into larger number of ASA states and then finding a corresponding scheme for real value prediction may be helpful in integrating the two approaches of ASA prediction. We report a novel method of obtaining numerical real values of solvent accessibility, using accumulation cutoff set and support vector machine. This so-called SVM-Cabins method first predicts discrete states of ASA of amino acid residues from their evolutionary profile and then maps the predicted states onto a real valued linear space by simple algebraic methods. Resulting performance of such a rigorous approach using 13-state ASA prediction is at least comparable with the best methods of ASA prediction reported so far. The mean absolute error in this method reaches the best performance of 15.1% on the tested data set of 502 proteins with a coefficient of correlation equal to 0.66. Since, the method starts with the prediction of discrete states of ASA and leads to real value predictions, performance of prediction in binary states and real values are simultaneously optimized.

Collision causal discovery and real-time prediction of freeway tunnels: A novel dual-task approach

Air pollution is a critical global environmental issue, further exacerbated by rapid industrialization and urbanization. Accurate prediction of air pollutant concentrations is essential for effective pollution prevention and control measures. The complex nature of pollutant data is influenced by fluctuating meteorological conditions, diverse pollution sources, and propagation processes, underscores the crucial importance of the spatial and temporal feature extraction for accurately predicting air pollutant concentrations. To address the challenges of data redundancy and diminished long-term prediction accuracy observed in previous studies, this paper presents an innovative approach to predict air pollutant concentrations leveraging advanced data analysis and deep learning methods. The proposed approach, termed KSC-ConvLSTM, integrates the k-nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm, spatio-temporal attention (STA) mechanism, the residual block, and convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM) neural network. The KNN algorithm adaptively selects highly correlated neighboring domains, while the residual block, enhanced with the STA mechanism, extracts spatial features from the input data. ConvLSTM further processes the output from STA-ConvNet to capture high-dimensional temporal and spatial features. The effectiveness of the KSC-ConvLSTM approach was validated through predictions of PM2.5 concentrations in Beijing and its surrounding urban agglomeration. The experimental results indicate that the KSC-ConvLSTM approach outperforms benchmark approaches in single-step, multi-step, and trend prediction. It demonstrates superior fitting accuracy and predictive performance. Quantitatively, the proposed KSC-ConvLSTM approach reduces the root mean square error (RMSE) by 4.216–8.458 for prediction averages of 1–12 h of PM2.5 in Beijing, compared with the benchmark approach. The findings show that the KSC-ConvLSTM approach shows considerable potential for predicting, preventing, and controlling air pollution.

Chaotic time series prediction has been paid intense attention in recent years due to its important applications. Herein, we present a single-node photonic reservoir computing approach to forecasting the chaotic behavior of external cavity semiconductor lasers using only observed data. In the reservoir, we employ a semiconductor laser with delay as the sole nonlinear physical node. By investigating the effect of the reservoir meta-parameters on the prediction performance, we numerically demonstrate that there exists an optimal meta-parameter space for forecasting optical-feedback-induced chaos. Simulation results demonstrate that using our method, the upcoming chaotic time series can be continuously predicted for a time period in excess of 2 ns with a normalized mean squared error lower than 0.1. This proposed method only utilizes simple nonlinear semiconductor lasers and thus offers a hardware-friendly approach for complex chaos prediction. In addition, this work may provide a roadmap for the meta-parameter selection of a delay-based photonic reservoir to obtain optimal prediction performance.

IG-ENT:A innovative ensemble approach for the flow prediction of main steam system in thermal power plant