Land cover change detection using focused time delay neural network

AN ASSESSMENT OF SPATIAL VARIATION OF LAND SURFACE CHARACTERISTICS OF MINNA, NIGER STATE NIGERIA FOR SUSTAINABLE URBANIZATION USING GEOSPATIAL TECHNIQUES

Land use and land cover (LULC) change analyses are critical for the sustainable planning and management of natural resources in the face of rapid population growth across the globe. It is believed that LULC changes cause severe environmental challenges such as climate change, biodiversity loss, pollution, alteration to the physical and chemical properties of the soil as well as the destruction of the ozone layer. The main objective of the study was to assess the LULC changes at Hova Farm from 1992 to 2011 using geospatial technologies. Three Landsat images for 1992, 2001, and EMT+ for 2011 were used. The Landsat images had a resolution of 30m by 30m. Five LULC classes of woodland, wooded grassland, cultivated land, bushland and water body were created using the supervised classification maximum likelihood in ENVI 5.0. Field observation and measurements were also used to validate remotely sensed data. The accuracy assessment for the classified maps for 1992, 2001 and 2011 was 88.74%, 86, 67% and 87% respectively. The results indicated that the greatest LULC changes occurred between 1992 and 2001 and was attributed to the fast-track land reform programme and illegal mining activities on the farm. The study recommends the creation of a LULC database for the periodic monitoring and sustainable management of natural resources at both local and national levels in Zimbabwean.

<p>The land use and land cover (LULC) change induces hydrologic variability in a catchment and studying this variability is central to efficient water management practice in a catchment. The assessment of the alteration in hydrological processes due to LULC change and its influence on overall river ecosystem functioning is even more pertinent to developing nations that face the issue of water scarcity and pollution. In this work, we investigate the influence of the LULC change over a period of ~40 years (1970-2013) on the variability of natural or virgin flow in the Ramganga river, a major tributary of the Ganga river, India. For LULC change data, object-based image classification was performed on high-resolution satellite imageries acquired for the Ramganga river basin – CORONA (1970) and LISS IV (2013) images. The natural or virgin flows (i.e., the flow in the river without regulation practices such as construction of dams or barrages) were estimated by performing hydrological modeling using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Initially, the SWAT model was set up, calibrated, and validated for the present flow scenario (i.e. with all management practices present) using LULC data of the year 2013. Natural flows were derived by removing all interventions and keeping agricultural practices only rain-fed. Next, keeping all parameters unchanged, the LULC data of the year 2013 was replaced by the LULC data of the year 1970. This enabled us to study the effects of LULC change on river hydrology between the period 1970-2013. The model showed good agreement between the observed and simulated flows with R<sup>2</sup> values of 0.82 for the calibration period (2002-2014) and 0.68 for the validation period (1990-1999). The Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency values were 0.81 and 0.66 for calibration and validation periods respectively. The comparison of LULC data between the study period (1970 and 2013) reveals that land cover classes of agriculture, built-up, mixed forest, barren land, shrubs and bushes, and water areas were altered by nearly 6%, 102%, -7%, -59%, -75%, and -2% respectively (‘-’ sign indicates decrement in the land cover area). The influence of this LULC change was evident in the results from the hydrological model. For the years 2002-2013 (calibration period), the natural flows estimated using the LULC map of 2013 at the basin outlet were observed to be higher by 3-12% compared to flows estimated using the LULC input of 1970. The estimates of mean monthly flows for the years 2002-2013 at the basin outlet reveal that while the natural flows estimated using the LULC map of 2013 were higher compared to flow estimates using the LULC map of 1970 for most of the months, the flows during the dry months (May-July) were observed to be lower for the former compared to the latter. Our work provides valuable insights into hydrological variability in a major sub-basin of the Ganga river induced due to LULC changes and we advocate that alterations associated with LULC must be incorporated into water management strategies.</p>

Impact of land use and land cover changes on temperature trends over India

Land use and land cover (LULC) changes, driven by urbanization and human activities, play an important role in forest cover dynamics. Understanding the interactions of these factors is essential for addressing environmental impacts and formulating sustainable policies for forest management. This study investigated the effects of urbanization on LULC changes from 2002 to 2022 using support vector machine (SVM) algorithm in East Khasi Hills, Meghalaya, India. Landsat 7 ETM+ imagery from 2002 and Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS imagery from 2013 and 2022 were used in this study. Seven land use classes, dense forest, moderate forest, sand bar, fallow land, settlement, water body, and agriculture were categorized. Dense forest has declined by 33 km2 from 2002 to 2022, indicating persistent deforestation. Moderate forest expanded until 2013 but declined later in 2022, suggesting degradation. Agricultural land increased gradually by 157 km2 from 2002 to 2022, likely due to shifting cultivation and land reclamation. Water bodies exhibited a minor fluctuation, while fallow land declined by 85 km2. Sand bars remained stable, showing only a minor change, suggesting minimal sedimentation effects. The results suggest the gradual expansion of built-up areas by 30 km2, along with the increase in agricultural lands. The predicted LULC changes for 2030 and 2040 indicate ongoing deforestation and rapid expansion of settlements. A comprehensive study with additional data is needed to help policymakers, particularly those responsible for forest management in the East Khasi Hills, to better understand LULC changes and their impact on forest cover dynamics.

Semiarid Tunisia is characterized by agricultural production that is delimited by water availability and degraded soil. This situation is exacerbated by human pressure and the negative effects of climate change. To improve the knowledge of long-term (1980 to 2020) drivers for Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) changes, we investigated the semiarid Rihana region in central Tunisia. A new approach involving Google Earth Engine (GEE) was used to map LULC using Landsat imagery and vegetative indices (NDVI, MSAVI, and EVI) by applying a Random Forest (RF) classifier. A Rapid Participatory Systemic Diagnosis (RPSD) was used to consider the relation between LULC changes and their key drivers. The methodology relied on interviews with the local population and experts. Focus groups were conducted with practicians of the Regueb Agricultural Extension Services, followed by semi-structured interviews with 52 households. Results showed the following: (1) the RF classifier in Google Earth Engine had strong performance across diverse Landsat image types resulting in overall classification accuracy of ≥0.96 and a kappa coefficient ≥0.93; (2) rainfed olive land increased four times during the study period while irrigated agriculture increased substantially during the last decade; rangeland and rainfed annual crops decreased by 58 and 88%, respectively, between 1980 and 2021; (3) drivers of LULC changes are predominately local in nature, including topography, local climate, hydrology, strategies of household, effects of the 2010 revolution, associated increasing demand for natural resources, agricultural policy, population growth, high cost of agricultural input, and economic opportunities. To summarize, changes in LULC in Rihana are an adaptive response to these various factors. The findings are important to better understand ways towards sustainable management of natural resources in arid and semiarid regions as well as efficient methods to study these processes.

The main objective of this research was to evaluate land use and land cover (LULC) change in Battambang province of Cambodia over the last two decades. The LULC maps for 1998, 2003, 2008, 2013 and 2018 were produced from Landsat satellite imagery using the supervised classification technique with the maximum likelihood algorithm. Each map consisted of seven LULC classes: built-up area, water feature, grassland, shrubland, agricultural land, barren land and forest cover. The overall accuracies of the LULC maps were 93%, 82%, 94%, 93% and 83% for 1998, 2003, 2008, 2013 and 2018, respectively. The LULC change results showed a significant increase in agricultural land, and a large decrease in forest cover. Most of the changes in both LULC types occurred during 2003–2008. Overall, agricultural land, shrubland, water features, built-up areas and barren land increased by 287,600 hectares, 58,600 hectares, 8300 hectares, 4600 hectares and 1300 hectares, respectively, while forest cover and grassland decreased by 284,500 hectares and 76,000 hectares respectively. The rate of LULC changes in the upland areas were higher than those in the lowland areas of the province. The main drivers of LULC change identified over the period of study were policy, legal framework and projects to improve economy, population growth, infrastructure development, economic growth, rising land prices, and climate and environmental change. Landmine clearance projects and land concessions resulted in a transition from forest cover and shrubland to agricultural land. Population and economic growth not only resulted in an increase of built-up area, but also led to increasing demand for agricultural land and rising land prices, which triggered the changes of other LULC types. This research provides a long-term and detailed analysis of LULC change together with its drivers, which is useful for decision-makers to make and implement better policies for sustainable land management.

Regular detection of land-use and land-cover (LULC) changes with high accuracy is necessary for natural resources management and sustainable urban planning. The produced LULC maps from Google Earth Engine (GEE) also illustrate the transformation of the LULC for the respective landscape over time. The selected study area, Cottbus City and the Spree-Neisse district in northeastern Germany, has undergone significant development over the past decades due to various factors, including urbanization and industrialization; also, the landscape has been converted in some areas for post-mining activities. Detection of LULC changes that have taken place over the last few decades thus plays a vital role in quantifying the impact of these factors while improving the knowledge of these developments and supporting the city planners or urban management officials before implementing further long-term development initiatives for the future. Therefore, the study aims to (i) detect LULC changes for the time slices 2002 and 2022, testing machine learning (ML) algorithms in supervised and unsupervised classification for Landsat satellite imageries, and (ii) validate the newly produced LULC maps with the available regional database (RDB) from the federal and state statistical offices, Germany, and the Dynamic World (DW) near real-time 10 m global LULC data set powered by artificial intelligence (AI). The results of the Random Forest (RF) and the Smilecart classifiers of supervised classification using Landsat 9 OLI-2/TIRS-2 in 2022 demonstrated a validation accuracy of 88% for both, with Kappa Index (KI) of 83% and 84%, respectively. Moreover, the Training Overall Accuracy (TOA) was 100% for both years. The wekaKMeans cluster of the unsupervised classification also illustrated a similar transformation pattern in the LULC maps. Overall, the produced LULC maps offered an improved representation of the selected region’s various land-cover classes (i.e., vegetation, waterbodies, built areas, and bare ground) in the last two decades (20022 to 2022).

A time series analysis of urbanization induced land use and land cover change and its impact on land surface temperature with Landsat imagery

Spatiotemporal assessment of land use land cover change, driving forces, and consequences using geospatial techniques: The case of Naqamte city and hinterland, western Ethiopia

Deciphering land use and land cover(LULC) change patterns, identifying the variables that act as the major driving forces of change, and predicting possible changes are necessary tools of decision support for policymakers. Estuarine landscapes world over are under extreme pressure of developmental activities because of their resources. The developmental activities lead to unforeseen changes in the traditional land use practices, making it necessary for investigation of the possible outcomes. The present study aims to study the changing pattern of LULC in the East Godavari River Estuarine Ecosystem (EGREE) landscape during 1977-2015 using temporal satellite data and to predict the possible LULC changes by 2029. Cellular Automata-Markov model (CAMM) with and without the multi-criteria evaluator (MCE) and the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) models were used for future LULC prediction. Between 1977 and 2015, mangroves were converted to aquaculture (5.81 km2) on the landward side and were also lost to submergence at the seaward side (15 km2). All of the coastal scrub (69 km2) was lost to beach clearing. Over this period, the aquaculture area rose to 177 km2. The CAMM with MCE was found to yield better predictions. A further rise was predicted in aquaculture (16%), built-up (30%), and Casuarina plantations (28%) by 2029. The study highlighted the LULC change patterns in EGREE,an important estuarine landscape of India. The information generated in this study can act as baseline information for the stakeholders and policy makers in decision-making of developmental projects, land acquisition, and diversion of agricultural land to non-agricultural purposes.

In the last four decades the emergence of new technologies and effects of rapid population growth around the globe have necessitated a tremendous shift by managers and planners on how to tackle land use and land cover (LULC) changes. Geospatial technologies have been used extensively in many areas of the world for generating valuable information on the forest cover, vegetation type, land use change detection and general environmental monitoring. Kiambu County is one of the most affected counties in Kenya by LULC changes due to its proximity to the capital city (Nairobi), good climate, fertile soils and improved infrastructure. This paper analyses the effects of LULC change on food security in Kiambu County and determines the main drivers of LULC changes using geospatial technologies. Landsat Thematic Mapper (TM) and Enhanced Thematic Mapper plus (ETM+) satellite images together with other data-sets were used. Satellite images for the years; 1984, 1993, 2002 and 2013 were applied in the time-series analysis of LULC. Digital image analysis was carried out through supervised classification using ERDAS Imagine 2011 by defining the training sites on the respective images. The classes mapped were agricultural land, forests, built-area/urban, water body, wet land, grassland and bare land/rock area. The overall accuracy was in the range of 89.70% to 90.71%. The results obtained showed that Agricultural land reduced over the whole period of study from 39.69% to 15.75% which is an indication that the County is food insecure considering that the population also grew at similar rates. It is also evident that the built-area/urban increased tremendously over the same period, from 1.88% to 33.50%, showing high demand for houses. A decrease in grassland, Forest, water body and Bare-land/Rocky areas was also observed. The application of geospatial technologies to analyze LULC and related effects was clearly demonstrated.

The extent of coastal rice paddy agricultural land is vulnerable to land use and land cover (LULC) changes to non-agricultural uses due to land degradation, one of which is caused by salinity. This study aims to detect and project LULC changes up to 2031, particularly in coastal rice paddy areas affected by salinity, by comparing LULC in 2017, 2019, and 2021. Sentinel-2 Imagery is used for LULC classification, with recordings selected during the generative phase of rice growth to obtain the most optimal rice paddy area. There are six LULC classifications: water, wetland, low-medium-high vegetation cover, and built-up area. To understand the impact of salinity on crops, several vegetation indices (VIs) such as NDVI, SAVI, EVI, and ARVI are used. The LULC changes classified according to VIs are compared with the MOLUSCE plugin based on artificial neural networkmultilayer perceptron (ANN-MLP) and Cellular Automata (CA). The comparison of VIs results shows that NDVI is better at describing LULC changes due to the influence of salinity, with a kappa value of 0.63 and a Correctness of 72.565. The LULC projection using CA in all VIs indicates that wetland areas are more likely to convert into water bodies, suggesting that high salinity land tends to be unproductive for rice paddies, making it prone to conversion.

This paper investigates the possibility of applying light detection and ranging (LiDAR) point clouds and geographic information system (GIS) analyses for land use and land cover (LULC) change detection, mainly with a view to monitoring uncontrolled forest succession occurring on postagricultural lands. The research was conducted in a part of the administrative district of Milicz (in the central-west area of Poland). The areas of interest were parcels in which agricultural use has been abandoned and forest succession processes have progressed. The airborne laser scanning (ALS) data (acquired in 2007, 2012, and 2015) revealed detailed changes in land cover as a result of the progression in the forest succession process. Using the ALS data, the LULC changes and the progress of secondary forest succession are shown, and the vegetation parameters (LiDAR metrics) are presented.

Fine particulate matter (i.e. particles with diameters smaller than 2.5 microns, PM2.5) has become a critical environmental issue in China. Land use and land cover (LULC) is recognized as one of the most important influence factors, however very fewer investigations have focused on the impact of LULC on PM2.5. The influences of different LULC types and different land use and land cover change (LULCC) types on PM2.5 are discussed. A geographically weighted regression model is used for the general analysis, and a spatial analysis method based on the geographic information system is used for a detailed analysis. The results show that LULCC has a stable influence on PM2.5 concentration. For different LULC types, construction lands have the highest PM2.5 concentration and woodlands have the lowest. The order of PM2.5 concentration for the different LULC types is: construction lands > unused lands > water > farmlands >grasslands > woodlands. For different LULCC types, when high-grade land types are converted to low-grade types, the PM2.5 concentration decreases; otherwise, the PM2.5 concentration increases. The result of this study can provide a decision basis for regional environmental protection and regional ecological security agencies.