• Home
  • Search
  • Learning Fire Connectivity: A Convolutional Neural Network for assessing wildfire risk
  • https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu26-21514Copy DOI Icon

Learning Fire Connectivity: A Convolutional Neural Network for assessing wildfire risk

  • Mar 14, 2026
  • Daniel Cendagorta +8 more
Show More
  • Abstract
  • Literature Map
  • Similar Papers
Abstract

Accurate wildfire prediction is becoming increasingly critical as climate change drives warmer and drier conditions worldwide. The complex, non-linear interactions among meteorological factors, fuel characteristics, and landscape structure make wildfire risk a strong candidate for advanced machine learning (ML) approaches that integrate Earth Observation (EO) and climate data. Recent progress on this front has already led to significant improvement on operational systems, such as the ECMWF wildfire forecast, demonstrating clear advantages over traditional, meteorology-only indicators. However, most current ML models are based on single pixel predictions that lack essential spatial context. This limits their ability to capture how static forest connectivity interacts with dynamic fire processes, including spread, intensity, and likelihood of occurrence. To overcome these constraints, we propose a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architecture designed to explicitly learn and exploit the additional predictability from these complex spatial relationships. The model fuses multiscale inputs by processing high-resolution landscape variables (e.g., above-ground biomass, land cover, soil moisture, topography) alongside coarse-resolution meteorological fields. To represent the full spectrum of wildfire risk, we experiment with multiple target variables including probability of burn, fire severity, and fire extent. Through these experiments, the CNN is forced to learn connectivity patterns directly from historical wildfire events. The successful implementation of this approach would constitute a major step toward operational, high-resolution, context-aware wildfire risk mapping, strengthening both early-warning capabilities and long-term resilience planning.

Similar Papers
  • Research Article

Novel Convolution Neural Network for Enhanced Network Attack Pattern Recognition

  • Sep 19, 2025
  • University of Bisha Journal for Basic and Applied Sciences
  • Salahaldeen Duraibi
  • PDF
  • Research Article
  • Citations40

Machine Learning Models for Blood Glucose Level Prediction in Patients With Diabetes Mellitus: Systematic Review and Network Meta-Analysis.

  • Nov 20, 2023
  • JMIR Medical Informatics
  • Kui Liu +9
  • Research Article
  • Citations13

Electroencephalogram-based machine learning models to predict neurologic outcome after cardiac arrest: A systematic review

  • Nov 14, 2023
  • Resuscitation
  • Chao-Chen Chen +6
  • Research Article

Predictive performance of machine learning models in acute ischemic stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

  • Jan 01, 2026
  • Frontiers in neurology
  • Uzma Khanum +4
  • PDF
  • Research Article
  • Citations19

A hybrid CNN and ensemble model for COVID-19 lung infection detection on chest CT scans.

  • Mar 09, 2023
  • PLOS ONE
  • Ahmed A Akl +3
  • Research Article
  • Citations15

SMETool: A web-based tool for soil moisture estimation based on Eo-Learn framework and Machine Learning methods

  • Aug 31, 2022
  • Environmental Modelling & Software
  • Noureddine Jarray +5
  • Abstract

Systematic Review of Machine Learning in Diagnosis of Myeloproliferative Neoplasia

  • Nov 05, 2024
  • Blood
  • Karna Desai +5
  • PDF
  • Research Article
  • Citations18

TinyML Olive Fruit Variety Classification by Means of Convolutional Neural Networks on IoT Edge Devices

  • Dec 01, 2023
  • AgriEngineering
  • Ali M Hayajneh +3
  • Research Article
  • Citations1

O-125 Application of artificial intelligence using big data to devise and train a machine learning model on over 63,000 human embryos to automate time-lapse embryo annotation

  • Jun 29, 2022
  • Human Reproduction
  • A Campbell +5
  • Research Article
  • Citations2

Unravelling emotions: exploring deep learning approaches for EEG-based emotionrecognition with current challenges and future recommendations.

  • Oct 23, 2025
  • Cognitive neurodynamics
  • Abgeena Abgeena +1
  • PDF
  • Research Article
  • Citations24

IMU-Based Fitness Activity Recognition Using CNNs for Time Series Classification.

  • Jan 23, 2024
  • Sensors
  • Philipp Niklas Müller +3
  • Research Article
  • Citations6

Coupling convolutional neural networks with gated recurrent units to model illuminance distribution from light pipe systems

  • Apr 08, 2023
  • Building and Environment
  • Jack Ngarambe +4
  • Research Article

Toward Robust Offensive Language Detection in Urdu YouTube Discourse

  • Jan 02, 2026
  • International Journal of Combinatorial Optimization Problems and Informatics.
  • Fiaz Ahmad +7
  • Research Article
  • Citations30

Analyzing and Explaining Black-Box Models for Online Malware Detection

  • Jan 01, 2023
  • IEEE Access
  • Harikha Manthena +3
  • Research Article

Detection of Alzheimer’s Using Convolutional Neural Network

  • Jan 04, 2026
  • International Journal of Research in Engineering, Science and Management
  • Kolliboni Tejaswini +3
Cactus Communications logo

Copyright 2026 Cactus Communications. All rights reserved.