Libor Market Models with stochastic volatility and CMS spread option pricing

Fast and Accurate Pricing and Hedging of Long-Dated CMS Spread Options

LIBOR Market Model with Stochastic Volatility

Bermudan Swaptions in the LIBOR Market Model

In the more classical models for equities and interest rates evolution, constant volatility is usually assumed. However, in practice the volatilities are not constant in financial markets and different models allowing a varying local or stochastic volatility also appear in the literature. Particularly, here we consider the SABR model that has been first introduced in a paper by Hagan and coworkers, where an asymptotic closed-form formula for the implied volatility of European plain-vanilla options with short maturities is proposed. More recently, different works (Mercurio and Morini, Modeling Interest Rates: Advances in Derivatives Pricing, Risk Books 2009; Hagan and Lesniewski, LIBOR market model with SABR style stochastic volatility. Working Paper. http://lesniewski.us/papers/working/SABRLMM.pdf, 2008; Rebonato, A time-homogeneous SABR-consistent extension of the LMM. Risk, 2008) have extended the use of SABR model in the context of LIBOR market models for the evolution of forward rates (SABR-LMM). One drawback of these models in practice comes from the increase of computational cost, mainly due to the growth of model parameters to be calibrated. Additionally, sometimes either it is not always possible to compute an analytical approximation for the implied volatility or its expression results to be very complex, so that numerical methods (for example, Monte Carlo in the calibration process) have to be used. In this work we mainly review some recently proposed global optimization techniques based on Simulated Annealing (SA) algorithms and its implementation on Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) in order to highly speed up the calibration and pricing of different kinds of options and interest rate derivatives. Finally, we present some examples corresponding to real market data.KeywordsSABR volatility modelsSABR/LIBOR market modelsParallel simulated annealingGPUs

Pricing of interest rate derivatives, such as CMS spread or mid-curve options, depends on the modelling of the underlying single rates. For flexibility and realism, these rates are often described in the framework of stochastic volatility models. In this paper we allow rates to be modelled within a class of general stochastic volatility models, which includes the SABR, ZABR, free SABR and Heston models. We provide a versatile technique called Effective Markovian Projection, which allows a tractable model to be found that mimics the distribution of the more complex models used to price multi-rate derivatives. Three different numerical approaches are outlined and applied to relevant examples from practice. Finally, a new method that involves moment-matching of Johnson distributions is applied to facilitate closed-form pricing formulas.

In this paper, we propose a fractional stochastic volatility jump-diffusion model which extends the Bates(1996) model. Where we model the volatility as a fractional process. Extensive empirical studies show that the distributions of the logarithmic returns of financial asset usually exhibit properties of self-similarity and long-range dependence and since the fractional Brownian motion has these two important properties, it has the ability to capture the behavior of underlying asset price. Further incorporating jumps into the stochastic volatility framework gives further freedom to financial mathematicians to fit both the short and long end of the implied volatility surface. We propose a stochastic model which contains both fractional and jump process. Then we price options using Monte Carlo simulations along with a variance reduction technique(antithetic variates). We use market data from the S&P 500 index and we compare our results with the Heston and Bates model using error measures. The results show our model greatly outperforms previous models in terms of estimation accuracy.

Solving SABR in Exact Form and Unifying it with LIBOR Market Model

Stochastic volatility of underlying assets has been shown to affect significantly the price of many financial derivatives. In particular, a fast mean-reverting factor of the stochastic volatility plays a major role in the pricing of options. This paper deals with the interest rate model dependence of the stochastic volatility impact on defaultable interest rate derivatives. We obtain an asymptotic formula of the price of defaultable bonds and bond options based on a quadratic term structure model and investigate the stochastic volatility and default risk effects and compare the results with those of the Vasicek model.

A new variant of the LIBOR market model is implemented and calibrated simultaneously to both at-the-money and out-of-the-money caps and swaptions. This model is a two-factor version of a new class of the almost Markovian LIBOR market models with properties long sought after: (i) the almost Markovian parameterization of the LIBOR market model volatility functions is unique and asymptotically exact in the limit of a short time horizon up to a few years, (ii) only minimum plausible assumptions are required to derive the implemented volatility parameterization, (iii) the calibration yields very good results, (iv) the calibration is almost immediate, (v) the implemented LIBOR market model has a related short-rate model. Numerical results for the two-factor case show that the volatility functions for the LIBOR market model can be imported into its short-rate model cousin without adjustment.

American options with stochastic dividends and volatility: A nonparametric investigation

Complete Analytical Solution of the American Style Option Pricing with Constant and Stochastic Volatilities: A Probability Density Function Approach

This paper investigates a two-factor affine model for the credit spreads on corporate bonds. The first factor can be interpreted as the level of the spread and the second factor is the volatility of the spread. The riskless interest rate is modeled using a standard two-factor affine model, thus leading to a four-factor model for corporate yields. This approach allows us to model the volatility of corporate credit spreads as stochastic, and also allows us to capture higher moments of credit spreads. We use an extended Kalman filter approach to estimate our model on corporate bond prices for 108 firms. The model is found to be successful at fitting actual corporate bond credit spreads, resulting in a significantly lower root mean square error than a standard alternative model both in sample and out of sample. In addition, key properties of actual credit spreads such as the stochastic volatility of the credit spreads and the positive skewness of the credit spread distribution are better captured by the model.

This paper considers the introduction of stock options in an (dynamically) incomplete securities market made up of a riskless bond and the stock. The stock price follows a geometric Brownian motion with constant drift. However, there is incomplete information about the unknown stochastic volatility. The option price is determined by a uniform-price auction. Thus an option pricing formula results from the interaction of market participants relying on private information on the unknown stochastic volatility under an explicit market structure. This paper incorporates market microstructure considerations into an extended Black-Scholes model with incomplete information on the underlying volatility. It relies on the growing importance of auctionlike trading rules in financial markets.

In this paper we show that in the lognormal discrete-time stochastic volatility model with predictable conditional expected returns, the conditional expected value of the discounted payo of a European call option is infinite. Our empirical illustration shows that the characteristics of the predictive distributions of the discounted payos, obtained using Monte Carlo methods, do not indicate directly that the expected discounted payos are infinite.

This thesis presents our study on using the hybrid stochastic-local volatility model for option pricing. Many researchers have demonstrated that stochastic volatility models cannot capture the whole volatility surface accurately, although the model parameters have been calibrated to replicate the market implied volatility data for near at-the-money strikes. On the other hand, the local volatility model can reproduce the implied volatility surface, whereas it does not consider the stochastic behaviour of the volatility. To combine the advantages of stochastic volatility (SV) and local volatility (LV) models, a class of stochastic-local volatility (SLV) models has been developed. The SLV model contains a stochastic volatility component represented by a volatility process and a local volatility component represented by a so-called leverage function. The leverage function can be roughly seen as a ratio between local volatility and conditional expectation of stochastic volatility. The difficulty of implementing the SLV model lies in the calibration of the leverage function. In the thesis, we first review the fundamental theories of stochastic differential equations and the classic option pricing models, and study the behaviour of the volatility in the context of FX market. We then introduce the SLV model and illustrate our implementation of the calibration and pricing procedure. We apply the SLV model to exotic option pricing in the FX market and compare pricing results of the SLV model with pure local volatility and pure stochastic volatility models. Numerical results show that the SLV model can match the implied volatility surface very well as well as improve the pricing performance for barrier options. In addition, we further discuss some extensions of the SLV project, such as parallelization potential for accelerating option pricing and pricing techniques for window barrier options. Although the SLV model we use in the thesis is not entirely new, we contribute to the research in the following aspects: 1) we investigate the hybrid volatility modeling thoroughly from theoretical backgrounds to practical implementations; 2) we resolve some critical issues in implementing the SLV model such as developing a fast and stable numerical method to derive the leverage function; and 3) we build a robust calibration and pricing platform under the SLV model, which can be extended for practical uses.