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  • Long-term exposure to air pollution and mortality due to chronic kidney disease – results from the multicentre ELAPSE-study
  • https://doi.org/10.1289/isee.2023.vo-042Copy DOI Icon

Long-term exposure to air pollution and mortality due to chronic kidney disease – results from the multicentre ELAPSE-study

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Abstract

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Air pollution has been shown to be associated with cause-specific mortality. However, mortality due to chronic kidney disease (CKD) is understudied despite the kidney being a central organ of detoxification. We investigated the association of mortality due to CKD with long-term exposure to air pollution in the Effects of Low-Level Air Pollution: A Study in Europe (ELAPSE). METHOD: We included five population-based cohorts from four European countries from the pooled ELAPSE cohort which were linked to data from local mortality registries. CKD-death was defined as ICD10 codes N18-N19 or corresponding ICD9 codes. Mean annual exposure at home address was determined with Europe-wide hybrid land use regression models for particulate matter ≤2.5µm (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide(NO2), black carbon (BC) and ozone (O3) with a spatial resolution of 100m x 100m. Cox regression models were adjusted for age (time-axis), cohort and sex (both as strata), calendar year of recruitment, smoking status, marital status, employment status and neighbourhood mean income. Dose-response was investigated with splines, threshold and subset analyses. RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up time of 20.4 years, 313 of 289,564 persons died from CKD. Associations were observed for all pollutants, positive for PM2.5 (hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.31 (1.03-1.66) per 5µg/m3 increase), BC (1.26 (1.03-1.53) per 0.5×10− 5/m), NO2 (1.13 (0.93-1.38) per 10µg/m3) and negative for O3 (0.71 (0.54-0.93) per 10µg/m3). Results were robust when additionally adjusting for smoking intensity and duration, BMI, education or residential greenness. Exclusion of the large Austrian cohort, that contributed 226 cases, lead to null associations. Dose-response analysis showed no evidence for a threshold. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest a possible association of air pollution with mortality from CKD. Results were robust to other model specifications but susceptible to cohort selection. Therefore, further even larger studies are needed to confirm our results.

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