Modeling CO2 Emission of Middle Eastern Countries Using Intelligent Methods

این مطالعه به منظور بررسی پیش بینی شاخص های عملکرد تولیدی در مرغان تخم گذار با استفاده از شبکه های عصبی مصنوعی و رگرسیون غیرخطی چندگانه انجام شد. بررسی بر روی اطلاعات چهار دوره متوالی پرورش در یک واحد پرورش مرغ تخم گذار صورت گرفت. روش های داده-کاوی شامل رگرسیون خطی و غیر خطی، شبکه عصبی پرسپترون سه لایه، شبکه عصبی پرسپترون چهار لایه و شبکه عصبی با تابع پایه ای شعاعی بود. در این مدل ها از متغیرهای سن گله، میزان خوراک مصرفی و فصل تولید به عنوان متغیر پیشگو و شاخص های عملکرد تولیدی شامل درصد تخم-گذاری، وزن توده ای تخم مرغ تولیدی و ضریب تبدیل غذایی به عنوان متغیر پاسخ استفاده شد. نتایج نهایی رگرسیون های خطی نشان داد که برای تمامی متغیرهای وابسته مورد مطالعه متغیر مستقل سن گله معنی دار می باشد. بنابراین رگرسیون غیر خطی شاخص های عملکرد تولیدی در مقابل سن برای مقایسه با شبکه های عصبی مختلف مورد بررسی قرار گرفت و برای مقایسه کلیه مدل ها از ضریب تعیین (R2) و میانگین قدر مطلق خطا (MAE) استفاده شد. نتایج نشان داد بین شبکه های عصبی مصنوعی مختلف مورد مطالعه، شبکه با تابع پایه ای شعاعی بهتر از سایر مدل های در پیش‌بینی شاخص های عملکرد تولیدی مرغان تخم گذار عمل می کند.

Radial basis function (RBF) network can be viewed as a fuzzy rule base with specified membership functions and fuzzy inference operations. However, there is a trade-off between the approximation performance of RBF network and the number of hidden neurons. To tackle this problem, this paper proposes a dynamic RBF (DRBF) network with a constructive learning. This DRBF network not only can create the new hidden neurons, but also can prune the insignificant hidden neurons. Then, an adaptive dynamic RBF fuzzy neural control (ADRFNC) system, including a neural controller and a saturation compensator, is developed. The neural controller uses a DRBF network to on-line mimic an ideal controller and the saturation compensator is designed to dispel the approximation error introduced by the neural controller. Finally, the proposed ADRFNC system is applied to a chaotic circuit and a DC motor control system. Simulation and experimental results show the proposed ADRFNC system can achieve a favorable tracking performance when the controller’s parameters have been learned and the network structure has been constructed by the proposed learning algorithm.

Nowadays , nonlinear time series and artificial neural networks (ANN) models are used for forecasting in the field of business, agriculture and soon. Recent studies have shown, ANN have been successfully used for forecasting of financial and agriculture data series The classical methods used for time series prediction like Box-Jenkins or ARIMA assumes that there is a linear relationship between inputs and outputs. ANN have more advantages that can approximate to model both linear and nonlinear structures in time series, they are not able to handling both structures equally well. The autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and two ANN models namely, Radial basis function neural networks (RBFNN), and Elman recurrent neural networks (ERNN) methods were applied to Hyderabad airport traffic data. The data obtained for 15 years from 2002–2003 to 2016–2017 about domestic and international passenger of International Airport of Hyderabad, India. In this research paper, we compared the performances of ARIMA, RBFNN and ERNN were based on three measures: mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and root mean square error (RMSE). The results showed that RBFNN obtained the smallest MAE, MAPE and RMSE in both the modeling and forecasting processes. The performances of the three models ranked in ascending order were: ARIMA, ERNN and the RBFNN model. Keywords: T ime series, forecasting, artificial neural networks, ARIMA models, radial basis function neural networks, and Elman recurrent neural networks Cite this Article R. Ramakrishna, Berhe Aregay, Tewodros Gebregergs. The Comparison in Time Series Forecasting of Air Traffic Data by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model, Radial Basis Function and Elman Recurrent Neural Networks. Research & Reviews: Journal of Statistics . 2018; 7(3): 75–90p.

Fast computation of RBF coefficients using FFT

The evolution of machine learning (ML) algorithms provides researchers and engineers with state-of-the-art tools to dynamically model complex relationships. The design and operation of municipal solid waste (MSW) management systems require accurate estimation of generation rates. In this study, we applied rapid, non-linear and non-parametric data driven ML algorithms independently, multi-layer perceptron artificial neural network (MLP-ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) models to predict annual MSW generation rates in Bahrain. Models were trained and tested with MSW generation data for period of 1997-2019. The population, gross domestic product, annual tourist numbers, annual electricity consumption and total annual CO2 emissions were selected as explanatory variables and incorporated into developed models. The zero score normalization (ZSN) and minimum maximum normalization (MMN) methods were utilized to improve the quality of data and subsequently enhances the performance of ML algorithms. Statistical metrics were employed to discriminate performance of MLP-ANN and SVR models. The linear, polynomial, radial basis function (RBF) and sigmoid kernel functions were investigated to find the optimal SVR model. Results showed that RBF-SVR model with R2 value of 0.97% and 4.82% and absolute forecasting error (AFE) for the period of 2008 and 2019 exhibits superior prediction and robustness in comparison to MLP-ANN. The efficacy of MLP-ANN model was also reasonably successful with R2 value of 0.94. It was shown that MMN pre-processing generated optimal MLP-ANN model while ZSN pre-processing produced optimal RBF-SVR model. This work also highlights the importance of application of ML modelling approaches to plan and implement their roadmap for waste management systems by policymakers.

We discuss the application of a radial basis function (RBF) network to the channel equalization problem. In particular, the purpose of the paper is to improve the previously developed RBF equalizer with training using K-means and LMS methods; reducing the RBF network size by considering a lesser number of RBF centers, and developing new techniques for determining channel order which is required to specify the structure of an RBF equalizer. A linear regression model was used for estimating the channel order. The basic idea of reducing the network size is to select the centers, based on the channel lag. This work includes the comparison of the limits of mean square error (MSE) convergence of both a linear equalizer and an RBF equalizer.

This research investigated and optimized the separation of carbon dioxide (CO2) from natural gas in an adsorption column filled with grafted-beam nanofiber adsorbent. The main purpose of using ANN and RSM models in this manuscript is to compare these two methods in predicting the CO2 adsorption capacity. In other words, it was made to find a suitable model that has the highest agreement with the experimental data. Also, the other purpose of using the RSM model is to detect the optimized empirical conditions. Moreover, two common ANN models are applied in this work, including a multilayer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF). The novelties of this work are explained as follows: (1) detecting the optimized synthesis factors of NF-PAN/PUGMA sorbent which possess the highest CO2 adsorption capacity with the help of response surface methodology (RSM), (2) studying the simultaneous interaction of synthesis parameters on the CO2 adsorption capacity with the help of both RSM and artificial neural networks (ANNs), (3) testing two types of ANN models including multilayer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF) to predict the effect of monomer volume percentage and irradiation dose on the CO2 adsorption capacity. Indeed, finding the best model (ANN or RSM) can help engineers in practical applications predict CO2 adsorption capacity using NF-PAN/PUGMA under different conditions without incurring high-priced chemical materials, electricity, or human resources. The validation results were examined using correlation coefficients (R2) of RSM, RBF, and MLP models. The correlation coefficients for the RSM, RBF, and MLP models were 0.9910, 0.9949, and 0.9968, respectively. Additionally, the average absolute relative deviation (AARD) values for the RBF and MLP models were 0.00046512 and 0.00045511, respectively, indicating that the MLP model is better than the RBF model. To identify the optimal network structure, the trial-and-error method was conducted for MLP and RBF models. The number of neurons was found at 12 and 45 for MLP and RBF, respectively. The optimized effective parameters were obtained using RSM: 25.80% GMA, 66.45% amine, and an irradiation intensity of 28kGy.

Background: Implicit surface is a kind of surface modeling tool, which is widely used in point cloud reconstruction, deformation and fusion due to its advantages of good smoothness and Boolean operation. The most typical method is the surface reconstruction with Radial Basis Functions (RBF) under normal constraints. RBF has become one of the main methods of point cloud fitting because it has a strong mathematical foundation, an advantage of computation simplicity, and the ability of processing nonuniform points. Objective: Techniques and patents of implicit surface reconstruction interpolation with RBF are surveyed. Theory, algorithm, and application are discussed to provide a comprehensive summary for implicit surface reconstruction in RBF and Hermite Radial Basis Functions (HRBF) interpolation. Methods: RBF implicit surface reconstruction interpolation can be divided into RBF interpolation under the constraints of points and HRBF interpolation under the constraints of points and corresponding normals. Results: A total of 125 articles were reviewed, in which more than 30% were related to RBF in the last decade. The continuity properties and application fields of the popular global supported radial basis functions and compactly supported radial basis functions are analyzed. Different methods of RBF and HRBF implicit surface reconstruction are evaluated, and the challenges of these methods are discussed. Conclusion: In future work, implicit surface reconstruction via RBF and HRBF should be further studied in fitting accuracy, computation speed, and other fundamental problems. In addition, it is a more challenging but valuable research direction to construct a new RBF with both compact support and improved fitting accuracy.

Radial basis function (RBF) methods have been actively developed in the last decades. RBF methods are global methods which do not require the use of specialized points and that yield high order accuracy if the function is smooth enough. Like other global approximations, the accuracy of RBF approximations of discontinuous problems deteriorates due to the Gibbs phenomenon, even as more points are added. In this paper we show that it is possible to remove the Gibbs phenomenon from RBF approximations of discontinuous functions as well as from RBF solutions of some hyperbolic partial differential equations. Although the theory for the resolution of the Gibbs phenomenon by reprojection in Gegenbauer polynomials relies on the orthogonality of the basis functions, and the RBF basis is not orthogonal, we observe that the Gegenbauer polynomials recover high order convergence from the RBF approximations of discontinuous problems in a variety of numerical examples including the linear and nonlinear hyperbolic partial differential equations. Our numerical examples using multi-quadric RBFs suggest that the Gegenbauer polynomials are Gibbs complementary to the RBF multi-quadric basis.

Three learning phases for radial-basis-function networks

Radial basis function (RBF) network based channel equalisers have a close relationship with Bayesian schemes. Decision feedback is introduced in the design of the RBF equaliser in order to reduce its computational complexity. The RBF decision feedback equaliser (DFE) was found to give similar performance to the conventional mean square error (MSE) DFE over Gaussian channels using various quadrature amplitude modulation (QAM) schemes, while requiring a lower feedforward and feedback order. Over Rayleigh-fading channels similar findings were valid for binary modulation, while for higher order modems the RBF based DFE requires increased feedforward and feedback orders in order to outperform the conventional MSE DFE scheme.

This paper proposes a generic criterion that defines the optimum number of basis functions for radial basis function (RBF) neural networks. The generalization performance of an RBF network relates to its prediction capability on independent test data. This performance gives a measure of the quality of the chosen model. An RBF network with an overly restricted basis gives poor predictions on new data, since the model has too little flexibility. By contrast, an RBF network with too many basis functions also gives poor generalization performance since it is too flexible and fits too much of the noise on the training data. Bias and variance are complementary quantities, and it is necessary to assign the number of basis function optimally in order to achieve the best compromise between them. In this paper we use Stein's unbiased risk estimator to derive an analytical criterion for assigning the appropriate number of basis functions. Two cases of known and unknown noise have been considered and the efficacy of this criterion in both situations is illustrated experimentally. The paper also shows an empirical comparison between this method and two well known classical methods, cross validation and the Bayesian information criterion, BIC.

When radial basis functions (RBFs) are made increasingly flat, the interpolation error typically decreases steadily until some point when Runge-type oscillations either halt or reverse this trend. Because the most obvious method to calculate an RBF interpolant becomes a numerically unstable algorithm for a stable problem in the case of near-flat basis functions, there will typically also be a separate point at which disastrous ill-conditioning enters. We introduce here a new method, RBF-QR, which entirely eliminates such ill-conditioning, and we apply it in the special case when the data points are distributed over the surface of a sphere. This algorithm works even for thousands of node points, and it allows the RBF shape parameter to be optimized without the limitations imposed by stability concerns. Since interpolation in the flat RBF limit on a sphere is found to coincide with spherical harmonics interpolation, new insights are gained as to why the RBF approach (with nonflat basis functions) often is the more accurate of the two methods.

This works establish a link between certain fuzzy controllers and radial basis function networks. We deal with the two soft computing techniques and compare them from the approximation capability point of view. The fact that the approximation behaviour of these systems are similar establishes the ground of analysing their possible functional equivalence. We show that certain fuzzy systems can be considered as radial basis function (RBF) approximation scheme, having the same transfer function. This allows to implement those fuzzy systems by RBF networks, and hence, establishing a learning algorithm for them and improving their approximation capabilities. We also points out that the classes of the corresponding fuzzy system can be generalized to some extent if we use general basis function with weighted norm.

In this paper, we propose to add Grey prediction model GM(1,2) into the self-tuning Neuro-PID controller based on radial basis function (RBF) algorithm to improve the performance of the controller. Initially, the prediction of system output by the simple GM(1,2) model is added to the RBF algorithm as one of the inputs to enhance the performance of RBF neural network system identifier. The output of this GM(1,2)-RBF on-line learning system model is subsequently used to establish a set of updating algorithms for the gains of self-tuning PID controller. The detailed description of the proposed system structure and the design algorithm is given in this paper. The proposed auto-tuning PID controller via GM(1,2)-RBF algorithm is put into tests by Matlab simulations and motor speed control experiments by using Lab VIEW. The system responses of self-tuning PID controller based on GM(1,2)-RBF and RBF are compared. Both simulations and motor test results confirm that the proposed self-tuning PID controller based on GM(1,2)-RBF performs better than the one based on RBF.