Novelty Detection and Analysis with a Βeta-DVAE Network

The expectation maximisation (EM) algorithm is an iterative maximum likelihood procedure often used for estimating the parameters of a mixture model. Theoretically, increases in the likelihood function are guaranteed as the algorithm iteratively improves upon previously derived parameter estimates. The algorithm is considered to converge when all parameter estimates become stable and no further improvements can be made to the likelihood value. However, to reduce computational time, it is often common practice for the algorithm to be stopped before complete convergence using heuristic approaches. In this paper, we consider various stopping criteria and evaluate their effect on fitting Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) to patient length of stay (LOS) data. Although the GMM can be successfully fitted to positively skewed data such as LOS, the fitting procedure often requires many iterations of the EM algorithm. To our knowledge, no previous study has evaluated the effect of different stopping criteria on fitting GMMs to skewed distributions. Hence, the aim of this paper is to evaluate the effect of various stopping criteria in order to select and justify their use within a patient spell classification methodology. Results illustrate that criteria based on the difference in the likelihood value and on the GMM parameters may not always be a good indicator for stopping the algorithm. In fact we show that the values of the difference in the variance parameters should be used instead, as these parameters are the last to stabilise. In addition, we also specify threshold values for the other stopping criteria.

The accurate modeling of uncertain variables, such as wind power and load uncertainty, is an essential foundation for the planning operation and scheduling decisions in power systems. Currently, Gaussian mixture model (GMM) and Dirichlet process mixture model (DPMM) are the primary techniques used to characterize uncertainties in power systems, which are commonly solved by expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. However, for the massive data of uncertain variables, the algorithm encounters challenges in accurately obtaining GMM and DPMM with a lower time consumption. To address this issue, we propose a method for GMM uncertainty modeling in power systems considering the mutual assistance of latent variables. Specifically, the GMM of uncertain variables is first constructed, and the conditional probability is employed to characterize the mutual assistance of latent variables. Then, an improved EM algorithm is developed to obtain the optimal GMM parameters, in which the expectation step (E-step) and maximization step (M-step) of the algorithm are revised using the conditional probability. Importantly, the closed-form solutions for GMM parameters are rederived in the revised E-step and M-step. Finally, the proposed uncertainty modeling method is compared with the traditional GMM and DPMM on actual wind power and load data from Australia. The proposed method performs the efficiency and accuracy in characterizing uncertainty.

In a distribution power network, the load model has no certain pattern or predicted behaviour due to large range of data and changes in energy consumption for end-user consumers. Thus, a powerful analysis based on probabilistic structure is required. For this paper Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) has been used. GMM is a powerful probability model that allows different types of load distributions to be presented as a combination of several Gaussian distributions. The parameters of GMM is unknown for large random data such as real load data and these parameters can be identified by Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. This paper presents a method to evaluate probabilistic load data concerning the time-evolution of any type of distribution load for any duration of time. The proposed method is explained through generated load data of 100 residential houses for duration of one year.

Salient object detection in a real-time environment demands high accuracy with less computation time. It is a changeling task to investigate a saliency model which improves saliency detection accuracy as well as reduces computation time. In this paper, we propose a hybrid model that improves detection accuracy with low computational time. The input image is simplified and clustered at multiple scales using SLIC and K-means clustering algorithms respectively. Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) is developed on various color components of the digital image at multiple scales. The parameters of GMM are learnt using Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm. The spatial variance of each color component is determined using GMM parameters and hence object position is estimated. Further, spatial variance of color components and object position is exploited to compute saliency map at a scale level. Afterwards, all the saliency maps generated across various scales are linearly combined to produce the final saliency map. The performance of the proposed model is compared in terms of Precision, Recall, F-Measure, Area under the Curve (AUC), Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Extensive experiments on six publicly available datasets viz. MSRA10K, DUT-OMRON, ECSSD, PASCAL-S, SED2, and THUR15K show that the proposed model outperforms or comparable against 11 state-of-the-art methods of the last decade. The key features of the proposed method are object completeness and efficiency in terms of computational time.

In this paper, the Gaussian mixture model (GMM) is introduced to implement channel multipath clustering. The GMM incorporates the covariance structure and the mean information of the channel multipaths, thus it can effectively reveal the similarity of the channel multipaths. First, the expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm is utilized to search for the posterior estimation of the GMM parameters. Then, the variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm is employed to optimize the GMM parameters to enhance the searching ability of EM and further to determine the optimal number of Gaussian distributions without resorting to cross-validation. Finally, a compact index (CI) is proposed to validate the clustering results reasonably. Thanks to the proposed CI, it is possible to find a close relationship among the GMM clustering mechanism, the multipath propagation characteristics and the CI evaluation index. Experiments with synthetic data and outdoor-to-indoor (O2I) channel data are presented to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

We present a novel approach for prediction of satellite image frame that uses a fuzzy rule based framework. The input-output membership functions for the premise and consequent parts of the rules are derived using a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM). The weights of the fuzzy rules are represented as the prior probabilities of the respective Gaussian components. For obtaining the predictive fuzzy model, the GMM parameters are estimated via EM algorithm using a spatiotemporal representation of image sequence or video clips. Minimum Description Length (MDL) criterion is used to obtain a suitable predictive fuzzy model. The resulting model is successfully applied on a sequence of satellite images of tropical cyclone, Nargis, that made landfall in Myanmar on May 2, 2008. The quality of the predicted image is assessed using two criteria. The proposed approach is found to predict image frame successfully.

In this paper we seek a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) of an n-variate probability density function. Usually the parameters of GMMs are determined in the original n-dimensional space by optimizing a maximum likelihood (ML) criterion. A practical deficiency of this method of fitting GMMs is its poor performance when dealing with high-dimensional data since a large sample size is needed to match the accuracy that is possible in low dimensions. We propose a method for fitting the GMM based on the projection pursuit strategy. This GMM is highly constrained and hence its ability to model structure in subspaces is enhanced, compared to a direct ML fitting of a GMM in high dimensions. Our method is closely related to recently developed independent factor analysis (IFA) mixture models. The comparisons with ML fitting of GMM in n-dimensions and IFA mixtures show that the proposed method is an attractive choice for fitting GMMs using small sizes of training sets.

Condition assessment of cables by pattern recognition of vehicle-induced cable tension ratio

Segmentation of clusters by template rotation expectation maximization

The Expectation-Maximization algorithm is a very popular approach for estimating the parameters of Gaussian mixture models (GMMs). A known issue with GMM estimation is its sensitivity to outliers, which can lead to poor estimation performance depending on the dataset under consideration. A common approach to deal with this issue is robust estimation, which typically consists of reducing the influence of the outliers on the estimators by weighting the impact of some samples of the dataset considered as outliers. In an unsupervised context, it is difficult to know which sample from the database corresponds to a normal observation. To that extent, we propose to use within the EM algorithm an outlier detection step that attributes an anomaly score to each sample of the database in an unsupervised way. A modified Bayesian Information Criterion is also introduced to efficiently select the appropriate amount of outliers contained in a dataset. The proposed method is tested on a benchmark remote sensing dataset coming from the UCI Machine Learning Repository. The experimental results show the interest of the proposed robustification when compared to other benchmark imputation procedures.

Intelligent vehicles need reliable information about the environment in order to operate with total safety. In this paper we propose a flexible multi-module architecture for a multi-target detection and tracking system (MTDTS) complemented with a Bayesian object classification layer based on finite Gaussian mixture models (GMM). The GMM parameters are estimated by an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm, hence finite-component models were generated based on feature-vectors extracted from object's classes during the training stage. Using the joint mixture Gaussian pdf modelled for each class, a Bayesian approach is used to distinct the object's categories (persons, tree-trunks/posts, and cars) in a semi-structured outdoor environment based on data from a laser range finder (LRF). Experiments using real data scan confirm the robustness of the proposed architecture. This paper investigates a particular problem: detection, tracking and classification of objects in cybercars-like outdoor environments

The traditional Expectation-Maximization (EM) training of Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) is essentially a batch mode procedure which requires the multiple data samples with the sufficient size to update the model parameters. This severely limits the deployment and adaptation of GMM in many real-time online systems since the newly observed data samples are expected to be incorporated into the system upon available via retraining the model. This paper presents a new online incremental EM training procedure of GMM, which aims to perform the EM training incrementally and so can adapt GMM online sample by sample. The proposed method is extended on two kinds of EM algorithms for GMM, namely, Split-and-Merge EM and the traditional EM. Experiments on both the synthetic data and a speech processing task show the advantages and efficiency of the new method.

A view-based statistical system for multi-view face detection and pose estimation

In this paper, an image stabilization method based on the adaptive Gaussian mixture model (GMM) is presented in order to smooth down the airborne image vibration. Firstly, the projection algorithm is adopted for the motion estimation; secondly, GMM parameter is obtained after analyzing characteristics of the first n images; finally, a stable image sequence is achieved after GMM motion filter operates on the motion parameter. The experimental results show that the method has the advantage of fast speed and effectively smooth unwanted vibration of image sequences.

How to use historical data of public smart card to predict user behaviour attracts a lot of attention. This paper aims at modelling travel patterns and predicting future travel behaviour of metro system smart card holders. We apply Gaussian mixture model (GMM) on time series to model user behaviour. We propose a new method based on the perplexity for finite GMM and use expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm to estimate parameters of GMM. In order to predict the future travel behaviour, we introduce the Gaussian process regression (GPR) to define distributions over GMM, which can not only tell the probability of travelling at a certain moment but also tell the reliability of the prediction. Experimental results show that our whole system in the centre of GMM and GPR can effectively mine the hidden knowledge of historical data of smart card, and thus model the travel patterns and predict future travel behaviour.