- Research Article
3
- 10.3138/infor.52.3.97
Modelling Investment Optimization on Smallholder Farms through Multiple Criteria Decision Making and Goal Programming: A Case Study from Ethiopia
- Aug 01, 2014
- INFOR: Information Systems and Operational Research
- William Seitz + 1 more +1
We use data from the Ethiopia Rural Household Survey and the Ethiopian Central Statistics Agency to demonstrate a set of techniques for estimating optimal investment allocation in smallholder farming. The approaches treat farming tasks, constraints, and investments as a portfolio problem, characterized by multiple competing objectives. We formulate several versions of the multi-objective problem and solve them in three alternative ways; 1) using a scalarized Markowitz portfolio optimization, 2) using a weighted goal programming model, and 3) a multi-horizon goal programming model, estimating all model parameters using real data. The main benefit of the goal programming formulation is the possibility to simplify in a single criterion problem complex situations in which the Decision Maker (DM) faces a trade-off between two or more objectives. We discuss the importance of portfolio allocations for smallholder farmers in minimizing risk and increasing return, and discuss how these approaches provide a framework that can be extended to practical applications in smallholder farming.
Read more