Predicting ERP User Satisfaction―an Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) Approach

This study presents an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approach performed to estimate the number of adverse events where the dependent variables are adverse events leading to four types of variables: number of people killed, wounded, hijacked and total number of adverse events. Fourteen infrastructure development projects were selected based on allocated budgets values at different time periods, population density, and previous month adverse event numbers selected as independent variables. Firstly, number of independent variables was reduced by using ANFIS input selection approach. Then, several ANFIS models were performed and investigated for Afghanistan and the whole country divided into seven regions for analysis purposes. Performances of models were assessed and compared based on the mean absolute errors. The difference between observed and estimated value was also calculated within \({\pm }1\) range with values around 90 %. We included multiple linear regression (MLR) model results to assess the predictive power of the ANFIS approach, in comparison to a traditional statistical approach. When the model accuracy was calculated according to the performance metrics, ANFIS showed greater predictive accuracy than MLR analysis, as indicated by experimental results. As a result of this study, we conclude that ANFIS is able to estimate the occurrence of adverse events according to economical infrastructure development project data.

In complex industrial processes (CIPs), due to technical and economic limitations, key performance indicators (KPIs), especially the chemical content-related KPIs, are often difficult to measure in real time, which hinders the propagation of advanced process control technologies. This paper presents a soft sensor-based online KPI inference scheme by a state transition algorithm (STA)-optimized adaptive pre-sparse neuro-fuzzy inference system model, called STA-APSNFIS. It introduces a pre-sparse neural network to the traditional adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model to establish an adaptive pre-sparse neuro-fuzzy inference system (APSNFIS) model to alleviate the adverse effects of data redundancy and noise interference in the detectable process monitoring data, which can effectively reduce the complexity of neuro-fuzzy inference system (NFIS) and speed up its convergence. Successively, to avoid being trapped at a local optimum, the STA-based optimization algorithm is adopted to replace the traditional gradient-based optimization approach to achieve an optimal APSNFIS model. Extensive validation and comparative experiments on nonlinear numeric simulation systems, benchmark Tenessee Eastman (TE) process and a real industrial bauxite flotation process demonstrated that the proposed STA-APSNFIS performed favorably against traditional ANFIS model as well as its variants, e.g., PSO-ANFIS, GA-ANFIS, and some other soft sensor-based KPI inference models.

One of the most important physical properties of the soil is its mechanical strength. Increasing soil mechanical strength will lead to increments in the draft, fuel consumption, work duration and equipment wear, but will follow the reduction in the root growth. Awareness of the soil cone index (as a criterion of the arable soil compaction) in order to production management in connection with the soil physical properties have high importance, especially in precision farming. On the other hand, finding the methods and models that be able to create the best function or model to estimate the soil cone index at the least cost and use of available data are crucial for researchers. The aim of this study was predicting arable soils cone index values by effective parameters on the soil cone index, including bulk density, soil moisture content and soil electrical conductivity by using Fuzzy and neuro-fuzzy systems. In this study, for measurement and determination of the influencing factors on the soil cone index value, the experimental design was the factorial experiment based on a randomized complete block design with five replications. The experimental field had three types of loam, sandy loam and loamy sand soils. The modeling of soil cone index was performed by using effective parameters such as bulk density, moisture content and soil electrical conductivity in the fuzzy and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) systems. For fuzzification of input and output parameters, the linguistic variables, including very low (VL), low (L), medium (M), high (H) and very high (VH) were used. Since determining the type and number of membership functions was conducted experimentally, the triangular membership function for both input and output variables was used due to the high accuracy and convenience in system design. In ANFIS model, 80% and 20% of total data were considered as training and test data, respectively. The numbers of membership functions were selected 5 for each input parameters. ANFIS training was done by the hybrid method. The average of coefficients of determination (R2) were obtained 80.1% and 97.9% for the fuzzy and ANFIS models, respectively. The obtained model through ANFIS presented the high accuracy of 2.54% rather than the fuzzy models with the accuracy of 9.68%. Also in comparison with regression models, ANFIS model has high accuracy and can be used to estimate the soil cone index in agricultural land.

This study describes a sensor system for continuous monitoring of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) emitted from small industrial facilities in urban centers, such as automobile paint facilities and printing facilities. Previously, intermittent measurements were made using expensive flame ionization detector (FID)-type instruments that were impossible to install, resulting in a lack of continuous management. This paper develops a low-cost sensor system for full-time management and consists of multi-sensor systems to increase the spatial resolution in the pipe. To improve the accuracy and reliability of this system, a new reinforced adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (RANFIS) model with enhanced preprocessing based on the adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model is proposed. For this purpose, a smart sensor module consisting of low-cost metal oxide semiconductors (MOSs) and photo-ionization detectors (PIDs) is fabricated, and an operating controller is configured for real-time data acquisition, analysis, and evaluation. In the front part of the RANFIS, interquartile range (IQR) is used to remove outliers, and gradient analysis is used to detect and correct data with abnormal change rates to solve nonlinearities and outliers in sensor data. In the latter stage, the complex nonlinear relationship of the data was modeled using the ANFIS to reliably handle data uncertainty and noise. For practical verification, a toluene evaporation chamber with a sensor system for monitoring was built, and the results of real-time data sensing after training based on real data were compared and evaluated. As a result of applying the RANFIS model, the RMSE of the MQ135, MQ138, and PID-A15 sensors were 3.578, 11.594, and 4.837, respectively, which improved the performance by 87.1%, 25.9%, and 35.8% compared to the existing ANFIS. Therefore, the precision within 5% of the measurement results of the two experimentally verified sensors shows that the proposed RANFIS-based sensor system can be sufficiently applied in the field.

An empirical comparison of conventional techniques, neural networks and the three stage hybrid Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model for credit scoring analysis: The case of Turkish credit card data

Background/Objectives: Nowadays artificial intelligence plays an important role in manufacturing sector. How to utilize that in an effective manner is a key factor of optimization. So identification of optimal modeling tool for effective manufacturing gives an extraordinary output. Methods/Statistical Analysis: This paper develops an Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model with hybrid model to predict the Surface Roughness (SR) of the H13 tool steel work piece of 45 HRC hardness value. The investigation of operation has been done in hard turning using minimal cutting fluid application. Findings: The effect of the different input parameters like cutting force, temperature and vibration has been analyzed. Here the hybrid type of ANFIS model is created with triangular membership function and the observed results indicated that the predicted output surface roughness is almost very close to the actual output obtained in the experimental work.

The energy and draft requirements of a disk plow have been recognized as essential factors when attempting to correctly match it with tractor power. This study examines the possible of using an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approach and its performance compared to a multiple linear regression (MLR) model to determine the energy and draft requirements of a disk plow. A total of 133 data patterns were obtained by conducting experiments in the field and from the literature. Of these 133 data points, 121 were arbitrarily selected and used for training, and the remaining 12 were used for testing the models. The input variables were plowing depth, plowing speed, soil texture index, initial soil moisture content, initial soil bulk density, disk diameter, disk angle, and disk tilt angle, and output variable was draft of the disk plow. Four membership functions were used with ANFIS: a triangular membership function, generalized bell-shaped membership function, trapezoidal membership function, and Gaussian curve membership function. An evaluation of the outcomes of the ANFIS and MLR modeling shows that the triangular membership function performed better than the other functions. When the ANFIS model draft predictions were compared to the measured values, the average relative error was –1.97%. A comparison of the ANFIS model with other approaches showed that the energy and draft requirements of the disk plow could be estimated with satisfactory accuracy. Keywords: ANFIS, MLR, disk plow, draft, tillage DOI: 10.25165/j.ijabe.20201302.4077 Citation: Al-Dosary N M N, Al-Hamed S A, Aboukarima A M. Application of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system to predict draft and energy requirements of a disk plow. Int J Agric & Biol Eng, 2020; 13(2): 198–207.

The blast furnace is a master iron-producing plant of iron and steel factories and affected by several process parameters as well as top gas pressure , which is a key process control phenomenon to maintain stability and operational productivity in such plants. Blast furnace operation is not tolerant to any interruption, unbalanced operations, momentary disturbances or loss of control due to its nature of intensive chemical reactions and heat balance requirements. Consequently, it is crucial to monitor and control top gas system components of the furnace with instrumentation measurements to maintain stable, efficient operation and system safety ongoing. In this study, a novel top gas pressure tracking system is developed using the chronologically obtained live process data of Erdemir BF#2 in Turkey. Eight process parameters are considered as input parameters as per the plant maintenance team's recommendations and soft computing methods, artificial neural networks and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system are employed and a statistical regression tool, autoregressive integrated moving average, is also applied for comparison. Performance and success ratio analysis is carried out using coefficient of determination ( R2), mean absolute percentage error and root mean squared error terms. The best performing model output for the adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system is found to be 0.95, 1.21 and 0.023, and slightly lower performance is obtained for the artificial neural network model with the output values of 0.94, 0.029 and 1.32 against R2, mean absolute percentage error and root mean squared error terms, respectively. The maximum prediction error is found to be 9.85% and 10.2%, and the average prediction error is found to be 1.19% and 1.29% for adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system and ANN models, respectively, for optimum simulations. The proposed neuro-fuzzy-driven top gas pressure prediction system is unique in the literature and should be integrated into existing control systems to improve operational awareness and sustainability or can be used as input guidance for a possible future top gas recovery system.

Lean Six Sigma (LSS) is a manufacturing strategy that aims at improving the firm's competitiveness and operational performance through waste reduction and process variation. Sustainable manufacturing aims at creating manufactured products with minimal negative environmental impacts. In order to facilitate zero defects and improve their sustainable performance, manufacturing firms have started to adopt both LSS and sustainable manufacturing strategies to attain integrated benefits. This article reports a research carried out to analyse the performance of LSS system integrated with sustainability considerations using multi grade fuzzy (MGF) and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approaches. During this research, a performance assessment model was designed. The score based on MGF approach is found to be 6.74 and that of ANFIS approach is 6.51. Based on computation, the case organisation was found to possess 'strong LSS performance with sustainability considerations'. The study could facilitate improvement in LSS performance incorporated with sustainability aspects.

Adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system analysis of mixed convection in a two-sided lid-driven cavity filled with a nanofluid

This paper introduces a new technique for efficient control of traffic flow in congested area. It is done through an optimal prediction of traffic flow, which is an important issue in intelligent transportation systems (ITS). However, the traffic flow is affected by manifold factors including nonlinear behavior of motorists. Therefore, it can be defined as an intensely non-linear time-variant system. As a practical case, the traffic system on a 5-street intersection in the city of Mashhad, Iran is tested. In this work, an innovative input selection adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approach is proposed which is an added- value to the ANFIS prediction system used in this work. ANFIS is a fuzzy system that possesses the self-training neural-network adaptive capability which has been served as an optimal controller proven by many applications. The flexibility of welcoming additional number of parameters plus with training process made ANFIS a good choice for various non-linear applications. The proposed technique has been modeled in MATLAB software and obtained results exhibit that the ANFIS model with the novel effective input determination technique represented promising outcomes. The results were compared with the classical model to support the proposed objectives.

The primary purpose of this study was to apply structural equation modeling (SEM) integrated with an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approach to model the safety culture of the petrochemical industry of Japan. Workers from five companies located in the Chugoku region of Japan completed a paper-based survey distributed by email. SEM and ANFIS methods were integrated in order to identify and model the important factors of the safety culture. The results of SEM indicate that employee attitudes toward safety, coworker’s support, work pressure, and plant safety management systems were significant factors influencing violation behavior, personnel safety motivation, and personnel error behavior. Furthermore, the application of the ANFIS modeling approach showed that employees’ attitude was the most critical predictor of violation behavior and personnel error behavior, while coworkers support was the most critical predictor in modeling personnel safety motivation.

An efficient and accurate prediction of a precise tidal level in estuaries and coastal areas is indispensable for the management and decision-making of human activity in the field wok of marine engineering. The variation of the tidal level is a time-varying process. The time-varying factors including interference from the external environment that cause the change of tides are fairly complicated. Furthermore, tidal variations are affected not only by periodic movement of celestial bodies but also by time-varying interference from the external environment. Consequently, for the efficient and precise tidal level prediction, a neuro-fuzzy hybrid technology based on the combination of harmonic analysis and adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model is utilized to construct a precise tidal level prediction system, which takes both advantages of the harmonic analysis method and the ANFIS network. The proposed prediction model is composed of two modules: the astronomical tide module caused by celestial bodies’ movement and the non-astronomical tide module caused by various meteorological and other environmental factors. To generate a fuzzy inference system (FIS) structure, three approaches which include grid partition (GP), fuzzy c-means (FCM) and sub-clustering (SC) are used in the ANFIS network constructing process. Furthermore, to obtain the optimal ANFIS based prediction model, large numbers of simulation experiments are implemented for each FIS generating approach. In this tidal prediction study, the optimal ANFIS model is used to predict the non-astronomical tide module, while the conventional harmonic analysis model is used to predict the astronomical tide module. The final prediction result is performed by combining the estimation outputs of the harmonious analysis model and the optimal ANFIS model. To demonstrate the applicability and capability of the proposed novel prediction model, measured tidal level samples of Fort Pulaski tidal station are selected as the testing database. Simulation and experimental results confirm that the proposed prediction approach can achieve precise predictions for the tidal level with high accuracy, satisfactory convergence and stability.

The useful life of a power transformer is linked to the integrity of its solid (cellulosic) insulation. The insulation deterioration is time dependent and is influenced by varying temperatures, moisture, oxygen, oil conditions and loading profiles. Accordingly, once the solid insulation state is compromised, its dielectric and mechanical properties are not recoverable. Thus, longevity in service of a power transformer can only be achieved by incessant monitoring and assessing the credibility of its insulation system. The tensile strength of the solid insulation can be indicated by determining the degree of polymerization of the paper. Consequently, the degree of polymerization is a key indicator of the insulation status that correlates well with the transformer remnant life. Since degree of polymerization measurement is an intrusive test involving transformer disassembling, utilities have opted to the use of furans concentration in the oil as a way of determining the degree of polymerization of transformer solid insulation. However, these furans and degree of polymerization correlations are based on mathematical models. This paper introduces an adaptive neuro fuzzy model to estimate the degree of polymerization of a mineral oil-immersed power transformer based on furan content and CO 2 /CO gas concentration ratio in the insulation system. Practical data from numerous power transformers of different lifespans subjected to different operating regimes have been used to validate the accuracy and credibility of the established adaptive neuro fuzzy model. Compared to the conventional models, the results show that the proposed model is effective in estimating the degree of polymerization of transformer solid insulation.

Modeling of dimmable High Power LED illumination distribution using ANFIS on the isolated area