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Predicting memory in preclinical AD from resting‐state functional connectivity

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Abstract

Abstract BackgroundEmerging research suggests that patterns of brain functional connectivity can be used to predict clinical features and disease states. Individuals across the Alzheimer’s Continuum exhibit alterations in connectivity across various brain networks (Contreras et al., 2019). However, less is known about functional changes during the preclinical stage and whether those changes are associated with cognitive test performance. This study sought to identify functional connectivity characteristics that track with episodic memory, one of the earliest cognitive changes observed in the disease course (Mortamais et al., 2017), among cognitively unimpaired older adults with and without brain amyloid deposition.Method n = 51) and ‐negative group (AB‐, n = 89). Resting‐state data were submitted to a pipeline for creating individual‐specific functional parcellations that account for variability in brain topology (Wang et al., 2015). Functional connectivity was used to predict demographically‐adjusted memory factor scores (Besser et al., 2018; Kiselica et al., 2020) in each group. Predictive models were generated using ridge regression and 50 iterations of 10‐fold cross‐validation. Prediction accuracies (i.e., Spearman rank correlations between predicted and observed scores) from the median performing models are reported.ResultMedian prediction accuracy was r s = 0.40 (IQR = .063) in the AB+ group and r s = 0.11 (IQR = .059) in the AB‐ group. Although the two groups did not differ on memory scores, the resulting networks were topologically distinct (Fig. 1). Qualitative visual review showed that the AB+ networks were predominantly comprised of inter‐network connections, whereas the networks in the AB‐ group appeared more circumscribed. In the AB+ group, the majority of connections predicting better memory were frontoparietal inter‐network connections, a pattern suggestive of compensatory hyper‐connectivity.ConclusionIndividual‐specific patterns of resting‐state functional connectivity can be used to predict episodic memory in the preclinical stages of the Alzheimer’s Continuum. These results suggest that the presence of beta‐amyloid is associated with less network segregation, potentially reflecting early disease‐related network disruption even prior to the emergence of clinical symptoms.

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