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  • https://doi.org/10.33545/26647710.2024.v6.i2a.76Copy DOI Icon

Predictive modeling for injury prevention in athletes using artificial intelligence

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Abstract

This study aimed to develop and evaluate predictive models for injury prevention in athletes using advanced artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. The research focused on harnessing AI to identify injury risk factors, predict potential injuries, and ultimately enhance athlete safety and performance. We initiated the study by collecting extensive data from 500 athletes over a two-year period, amassing more than 1,000,000 data points. The dataset included diverse variables such as physiological metrics (heart rate, VO2 max), biomechanical data (joint angles, muscle activation patterns), training loads (frequency, intensity, and duration), historical injury records, and environmental conditions (temperature, humidity). Data preprocessing involved cleaning datasets to remove noise, addressing 5% of missing values through mean imputation, and normalizing data to a consistent range. We then employed a suite of AI techniques for predictive modeling. Random Forests and Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) were used for their robustness in handling diverse data types and providing initial performance benchmarks. More complex models, including Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) with LSTM units, were applied for time-series data analysis to capture temporal patterns in training and injury data. We divided the data into training (60%), validation (20%), and test (20%) sets, and used 10-fold cross-validation to ensure model reliability. Our results demonstrated high efficacy in predicting injury risks. The Random Forest model achieved an accuracy of 0.89, while the GBM model attained an AUC-ROC score of 0.92, indicating excellent discriminatory power. CNNs and RNNs achieved mean squared errors of 0.015 and 0.012 on the validation set, respectively. In practical applications, including a partnership with the FC Barcelona Innovation Hub, our models contributed to a 20% reduction in injury rates and showed a correlation coefficient of 0.75 between predicted risks and actual injuries. Continuous learning mechanisms improved the models’ predictive accuracy by 5% over six months. Thus this study validated that AI-driven predictive modeling is a powerful tool for injury prevention in athletes. By integrating sophisticated AI techniques with comprehensive data analysis, we developed models that significantly enhanced injury prevention strategies. The practical applications and positive outcomes from the study underscore the transformative potential of AI in sports medicine, offering a new standard for creating safer and more effective athletic training environments.

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