Regressing Towards Simpler Prediction Systems

Mobile Edge Computing (MEC) is considered an essential future service for the implementation of 5G networks and the Internet of Things, as it is the best method of delivering computation and communication resources to mobile devices. It is based on the connection of the users to servers located on the edge of the network, which is especially relevant for real-time applications that demand minimal latency. In order to guarantee a resource-efficient MEC (which, for example, could mean improved Quality of Service for users or lower costs for service providers), it is important to consider certain aspects of the service model, such as where to offload the tasks generated by the devices, how many resources to allocate to each user (specially in the wired or wireless device-server communication) and how to handle inter-server communication. However, in the MEC scenarios with many and varied users, servers and applications, these problems are characterized by parameters with exceedingly high levels of dimensionality, resulting in too much data to be processed and complicating the task of finding efficient configurations. This will be particularly troublesome when 5G networks and Internet of Things roll out, with their massive amounts of devices. To address this concern, the best solution is to utilize Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, which enable the computer to draw conclusions and make predictions based on existing data without human supervision, leading to quick near-optimal solutions even in problems with high dimensionality. Indeed, in scenarios with too much data and too many parameters, ML algorithms are often the only feasible alternative. In this paper, a comprehensive survey on the use of ML in MEC systems is provided, offering an insight into the current progress of this research area. Furthermore, helpful guidance is supplied by pointing out which MEC challenges can be solved by ML solutions, what are the current trending algorithms in frontier ML research and how they could be used in MEC. These pieces of information should prove fundamental in encouraging future research that combines ML and MEC.

The aging and multimorbid population and health personnel shortages pose a substantial burden on primary health care. While predictive machine learning (ML) algorithms have the potential to address these challenges, concerns include transparency and insufficient reporting of model validation and effectiveness of the implementation in the clinical workflow. To systematically identify predictive ML algorithms implemented in primary care from peer-reviewed literature and US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and Conformité Européene (CE) registration databases and to ascertain the public availability of evidence, including peer-reviewed literature, gray literature, and technical reports across the artificial intelligence (AI) life cycle. PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Emcare, Academic Search Premier, IEEE Xplore, ACM Digital Library, MathSciNet, AAAI.org (Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence), arXiv, Epistemonikos, PsycINFO, and Google Scholar were searched for studies published between January 2000 and July 2023, with search terms that were related to AI, primary care, and implementation. The search extended to CE-marked or FDA-approved predictive ML algorithms obtained from relevant registration databases. Three reviewers gathered subsequent evidence involving strategies such as product searches, exploration of references, manufacturer website visits, and direct inquiries to authors and product owners. The extent to which the evidence for each predictive ML algorithm aligned with the Dutch AI predictive algorithm (AIPA) guideline requirements was assessed per AI life cycle phase, producing evidence availability scores. The systematic search identified 43 predictive ML algorithms, of which 25 were commercially available and CE-marked or FDA-approved. The predictive ML algorithms spanned multiple clinical domains, but most (27 [63%]) focused on cardiovascular diseases and diabetes. Most (35 [81%]) were published within the past 5 years. The availability of evidence varied across different phases of the predictive ML algorithm life cycle, with evidence being reported the least for phase 1 (preparation) and phase 5 (impact assessment) (19% and 30%, respectively). Twelve (28%) predictive ML algorithms achieved approximately half of their maximum individual evidence availability score. Overall, predictive ML algorithms from peer-reviewed literature showed higher evidence availability compared with those from FDA-approved or CE-marked databases (45% vs 29%). The findings indicate an urgent need to improve the availability of evidence regarding the predictive ML algorithms' quality criteria. Adopting the Dutch AIPA guideline could facilitate transparent and consistent reporting of the quality criteria that could foster trust among end users and facilitating large-scale implementation.

The purpose of this analysis is to assess the use of machine learning (ML) algorithms in the prediction of postoperative outcomes, including complications, recurrence, and death in transsphenoidal surgery. Following Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we systematically reviewed all papers that used at least one ML algorithm to predict outcomes after transsphenoidal surgery. We searched Scopus, PubMed, and Web of Science databases for studies published prior to May 12, 2021. We identified 13 studies enrolling 5,048 patients. We extracted the general characteristics of each study; the sensitivity, specificity, area under the curve (AUC) of the ML models developed as well as the features identified as important by the ML models. We identified 12 studies with 5,048 patients that included ML algorithms for adenomas, three with 1807 patients specifically for acromegaly, and five with 2105 patients specifically for Cushing's disease. Nearly all were single-institution studies. The studies used a heterogeneous mix of ML algorithms and features to build predictive models. All papers reported an AUC greater than 0.7, which indicates clinical utility. ML algorithms have the potential to predict postoperative outcomes of transsphenoidal surgery and can improve patient care. Ensemble algorithms and neural networks were often top performers when compared with other ML algorithms. Biochemical and preoperative features were most likely to be selected as important by ML models. Inexplicability remains a challenge, but algorithms such as local interpretable model–agnostic explanation or Shapley value can increase explainability of ML algorithms. Our analysis shows that ML algorithms have the potential to greatly assist surgeons in clinical decision making.

BackgroundDespite the interest in machine learning (ML) algorithms for analyzing real-world data (RWD) in healthcare, the use of ML in predicting time-to-event data, a common scenario in clinical practice, is less explored. ML models are capable of algorithmically learning from large, complex datasets and can offer advantages in predicting time-to-event data. We reviewed the recent applications of ML for survival analysis using RWD in healthcare.MethodsPUBMED and EMBASE were searched from database inception through March 2023 to identify peer-reviewed English-language studies of ML models for predicting time-to-event outcomes using the RWD. Two reviewers extracted information on the data source, patient population, survival outcome, ML algorithms, and the Area Under the Curve (AUC).ResultsOf 257 citations, 28 publications were included. Random survival forests (N = 16, 57%) and neural networks (N = 11, 39%) were the most popular ML algorithms. There was variability across AUC for these ML models (median 0.789, range 0.6–0.950). ML algorithms were predominately considered for predicting overall survival in oncology (N = 12, 43%). ML survival models were often used to predict disease prognosis or clinical events (N = 27, 96%) in the oncology, while less were used for treatment outcomes (N = 1, 4%).ConclusionsThe ML algorithms, random survival forests and neural networks, are mainly used for RWD to predict survival outcomes such as disease prognosis or clinical events in the oncology. This review shows that more opportunities remain to apply these ML algorithms to inform treatment decision-making in clinical practice. More methodological work is also needed to ensure the utility and applicability of ML models in survival outcomes.

To address the extremely concerning problem of software vulnerability, system security is often entrusted to Machine Learning (ML) algorithms. Despite their now established detection capabilities, such models are limited by design to flagging the entire input source code function as vulnerable, rather than precisely localizing the concerned code lines. However, the detection granularity is crucial to support human operators during software development, ensuring that such predictions reflect the true code semantics to help debug, evaluate, and fix the detected vulnerabilities. To address this issue, recent work made progress toward improving the detector’s localization ability, thus narrowing down the vulnerability detection “window” and providing more fine-grained predictions. Such approaches, however, implicitly disregard the presence of spurious correlations and biases in the data, which often predominantly influence the performance of ML algorithms. In this work, we investigate how detectors comply with this requirement by proposing an explainability-based evaluation procedure. Our approach, defined as Detection Alignment (DA), quantifies the agreement between the input source code lines that most influence the prediction and the actual localization of the vulnerability as per the ground truth. Through DA, which is model-agnostic and adaptable to different detection tasks, not limited to our use case, we analyze multiple learning-based vulnerability detectors and datasets. As a result, we show how the predictions of such models are consistently biased by non-vulnerable lines, ultimately highlighting the high impact of biases and spurious correlations.

The objective of this study is to summarize a proven solution workflow to address the challenges to handle the high volume of well tests daily incorporating information from operational activities, and especially, potential delays and errors in validation impacting other dependent business processes. The proposed solution aims to reduce processing time, minimize human error, and enhance accuracy in well test analysis. Having up-to-date and reliable well test data, engineers can improve engineering workflows, and optimize production. The solution covers data consumption, data preparation, machine learning (ML) solution, cooperating with dependent business processes, deployment and retrain strategy. The ML solution learns from historical well test data with accepted and rejected flag to build a rule-based deterministic ML model to automatically validate and detect the invalid well test with probability. The solution does not only consume structure data but also textual data with natural language processing (NLP), such as well test comments provided by well testing engineers and operational activities in Daily Operational Reports (DORs). Data consumption, operational activities, dependent workflow control are customizable based on different projects. Retrain strategy is based on model prediction accuracy trend and defined during deployment. The solution triggers insights with confidence scores, suggesting acceptance/rejection or review of new well tests. Early detection of possible rejections enables timely actions, including retesting if necessary. The solution was implemented and significantly reduces well test validation time from weeks to hours, enhancing the accuracy of production analysis and optimizations. The data-driven approach offers flexibility and adaptability to meet operation needs, presenting a robust alternative to rule-based validation. By integrating ML and NLP, the solution provides a comprehensive and efficient framework for well test validation, improving decision-making and ensuring compliance with Standard Operation Procedure (SOP). This study introduces a novel approach to well test validation by leveraging ML and NLP. By considering both historical data and manual operational event inputs from engineers, the solution enhances the accuracy and efficiency of the validation process. It contributes to improved production performance analysis, diagnostics, and issue detection. The solution deployment can be customized and adaptable to different data storage and availability, to automate well test validation process in the oil and gas industry.

This study presents a comparative analysis of the classification performance of facial and emotion recognition systems using Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) algorithms. The primary objective of this work is to evaluate the applicability of emotion recognition in fields such as psychotherapy and crime analysis, using the FER-2013 dataset.The study was conducted with ML algorithms such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Decision Trees, and Gradient Boosting, as well as the DL algorithm, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). Supported by the application of feature selection, preprocessing, and feature extraction techniques, the model’s performance was measured using standard metrics such as accuracy, precision, F1-score, and AUC-ROC.The experimental results showed that the highest classification accuracy (46.61%) was achieved with the CNN model. While the ML models generally offered lower accuracy, they provided advantages in terms of computational efficiency in specific scenarios.This study aims to contribute to the literature by providing a comparative analysis of ML and DL algorithms and by highlighting the effect of data preprocessing on performance. The findings set targets for future work, such as real-time system integration and hybrid model development.

The integration of machine learning (ML) algorithms into audit processes represents a significant advancement in the field of auditing, offering substantial benefits in terms of efficiency, accuracy, and risk management. This review examines the transformative potential of ML in auditing, highlighting its key benefits and the challenges that must be addressed to fully leverage its capabilities. Machine learning algorithms, with their ability to analyze large datasets and identify patterns, enhance the accuracy and thoroughness of audits. Traditional auditing methods often rely on sampling and manual checks, which can miss anomalies and fraudulent activities. In contrast, ML algorithms can process entire datasets, uncovering subtle patterns and irregularities that may indicate fraud or errors. This comprehensive analysis reduces the risk of oversight and improves the reliability of audit findings. One of the primary benefits of ML in auditing is its capacity for anomaly detection. ML models can be trained on historical data to understand normal financial behavior and flag deviations that might signify irregularities. This ability to detect anomalies in real-time enables auditors to identify potential issues promptly, reducing the time lag between occurrence and detection of fraud. Predictive analytics, powered by ML, further enhances audit processes by forecasting future risks based on historical data. This proactive approach allows auditors to anticipate and mitigate risks before they materialize, contributing to more robust risk management strategies. Despite these advantages, integrating ML into audit processes presents several challenges. Ensuring data quality and integrity is crucial, as ML algorithms are only as good as the data they analyze. Poor-quality data can lead to inaccurate predictions and conclusions. Additionally, the "black box" nature of some ML algorithms can pose transparency issues, making it difficult for auditors to explain how specific conclusions were reached, which is critical for stakeholder trust and regulatory compliance. Another significant challenge is the potential for algorithmic bias. ML models can inadvertently perpetuate existing biases in the data, leading to unfair or skewed audit outcomes. Continuous monitoring and validation of ML algorithms are necessary to detect and mitigate such biases. In conclusion, while integrating machine learning algorithms into audit processes offers substantial benefits in terms of accuracy, efficiency, and risk management, it also necessitates careful attention to data quality, transparency, and bias mitigation. Addressing these challenges is essential to fully realize the potential of ML in enhancing audit practices. Keywords: Benefits, Challenges, Audit Processes, Algorithms, ML.

Machine learning (ML) algorithms seek to extract the most beneficial information out of the raw data. As mentioned in previous chapters, preprocess data preparation actions might be needed in order to make the data set ready to be fed into the ML algorithms. ML algorithms have gotten the attention of researchers all over the world during the last few decades. In traditional algorithms, the analyst had to define the rules, which was not always accessible or easily possible, in order to obtain the output. ML algorithms develop the models or rules based on the training data set which include input and output data points. ML algorithms try to understand more beneficial information regarding the system based on the training data set. The built model can be tested using the verification data set which does not have any overlap with the training sets. If the model acquires the acceptable performance measures, it can be applied for other cases to perform the prediction process. It should be considered that ML algorithms are not supposed to do the magic. Indeed, they are supposed to explore and analyze the training data, which the human brain is not able to handle that, to develop a predictive model in which its performance is acceptable for the verification data set. Predictive models should be generalized which means performing satisfactorily for both training and verifying data sets.

Machine Learning (ML) technologies have become essential tools, transforming industries and unlocking incredible potential in various fields. ML is now widely used for data-driven decision-making and predictive analytics across fields like healthcare, finance, transportation, and more. However, building and implementing ML models can be complex and time-consuming, often requiring programming proficiency and data science skills. Despite significant progress in ML, non-experts often struggle with selecting algorithms, optimizing models, and deploying ML solutions. This paper conducts a systematic literature review to explore challenges in the area of machine learning based on multiple categories involving features engineering and data extraction, learning model structure and activities, learning-based analysis and visualization, analysis algorithms in data-based systems, machine learning algorithms and systems development, and declarative ML-based prediction. Addressing these challenges underlines the importance of following AutoML and Declarative ML strategies in simplifying the ML process.

SummaryAccurate prediction of the solubility of chemical substances in solvents remains a challenge. The sparsity of high-quality solubility data is recognized as the biggest hurdle in the development of robust data-driven methods for practical use. Nonetheless, the effects of the quality and quantity of data on aqueous solubility predictions have not yet been scrutinized. In this study, the roles of the size and the quality of data sets on the performances of the solubility prediction models are unraveled, and the concepts of actual and observed performances are introduced. In an effort to curtail the gap between actual and observed performances, a quality-oriented data selection method, which evaluates the quality of data and extracts the most accurate part of it through statistical validation, is designed. Applying this method on the largest publicly available solubility database and using a consensus machine learning approach, a top-performing solubility prediction model is achieved.

Accurately predicting the compressive strength of concrete is crucial for ensuring structural integrity, optimizing material usage, and reducing construction costs. Conventional experimental methods, though reliable, are often labour-intensive and time-consuming. To address these limitations, this study investigates the effectiveness of machine learning (ML) algorithms as efficient alternatives for predicting concrete compressive strength. Four ML algorithms—Linear Regression (LR), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), M5 Rule-Based Model, and Support Vector Machines (SVM)—were evaluated based on their predictive performance. A comprehensive dataset comprising 350 concrete samples was prepared, with compressive strength tests conducted in accordance with Indian standard 516. The models were trained on experimental data and were tested using varying data splits of 50%, 40%, 30%, 20%, and 10% to assess their prediction accuracy. Among the evaluated models, the MLP demonstrated superior performance, achieving a correlation coefficient (CC) of 0.98 with a 20% testing split, outperforming the other algorithms. To further validate the predictive capability of the MLP model, multiple linear regression analysis was employed, confirming its robustness and generalization ability. The findings underscore the potential of machine learning techniques, particularly the MLP model, in providing accurate, reliable, and time-efficient predictions of concrete compressive strength. This study contributes to the growing body of research focused on leveraging machine learning for enhanced decision-making in construction material design, ultimately promoting more sustainable and cost-effective construction practices.

Satellite-based aerosol optical property retrieval over land, especially size-related parameters, is challenging. This study proposed a novel two-stage machine learning (ML) algorithm for retrieving aerosol optical depth (AOD), Ångström exponent (AE), fine mode fraction (FMF), and fine mode AOD (FAOD)) over land using MODIS observed reflectance. The new ML algorithm consists of three steps: (1) first, all samples extracted from AERONET measurements were used to train the ML model, (2) then, to reduce the extreme estimation bias of the model, divided low-value and high-value samples were used to train low-value and high-value ML models, respectively, and (3) finally, the three ML models were integrated into the final retrieval based on the weight interpolation. Independent site network validation results show that the new ML algorithm has a Pearson correlation coefficient (R) of 0.894 (0.638, 0.661, 0.865) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.146 (0.258, 0.245, 0.153) for the AOD (AE, FMF, FAOD) retrieval, which significantly outperforms the validation metrics of MODIS operational products, with AOD (AE, FMF, FAOD) RMSE of 0.130-0.156 (0.536-0.569, 0.313, 0.191). The inter-comparison of aerosol products shows that the spatial patterns of AOD, AE, FMF, and FAOD of the new ML algorithm are in good agreement with those of the MODIS and POLDER products. These results illustrate that the new ML algorithm has good performance and transferability and indicate the ability of ML methods to be applied to multispectral instruments (such as MODIS) to retrieve multiple aerosol properties.

Aim: Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) predictive models have been employed widely in clinical settings. Their potential support and aid to the clinician of providing an objective measure that can be shared among different centers enables the possibility of building more robust multicentric studies. This study aimed to propose a user-friendly and low-cost tool for COVID-19 mortality prediction using both an ML and a DL approach. Method: We enrolled 2348 patients from several hospitals in the Province of Reggio Emilia. Overall, 19 clinical features were provided by the Radiology Units of Azienda USL-IRCCS of Reggio Emilia, and 5892 radiomic features were extracted from each COVID-19 patient’s high-resolution computed tomography. We built and trained two classifiers to predict COVID-19 mortality: a machine learning algorithm, or support vector machine (SVM), and a deep learning model, or feedforward neural network (FNN). In order to evaluate the impact of the different feature sets on the final performance of the classifiers, we repeated the training session three times, first using only clinical features, then employing only radiomic features, and finally combining both information. Results: We obtained similar performances for both the machine learning and deep learning algorithms, with the best area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, or AUC, obtained exploiting both clinical and radiomic information: 0.803 for the machine learning model and 0.864 for the deep learning model. Conclusions: Our work, performed on large and heterogeneous datasets (i.e., data from different CT scanners), confirms the results obtained in the recent literature. Such algorithms have the potential to be included in a clinical practice framework since they can not only be applied to COVID-19 mortality prediction but also to other classification problems such as diabetic prediction, asthma prediction, and cancer metastases prediction. Our study proves that the lesion’s inhomogeneity depicted by radiomic features combined with clinical information is relevant for COVID-19 mortality prediction.

The rapid growth of the Internet and information technologies and also the diminution of the price of hardware components like wireless sensors leads to the fast growth in Wireless Sensor Network (WSN). The WSN is a bunch/group of sensors that are located across the area, in order to monitor and determine environmental conditions such as temperature, humidity, vibrations, wind, water levels, pollution levels. WSNs are susceptible to major attacks like Denial of Service (DOS), Wormhole attack, Sinkhole attack, etc. The main threat to the WSN is because of the broadcast nature of the nodes in the network. Therefore, the security of WSNs is the essential part that must be done. Hence, to overcome these problems or threats, we are trying to detect it using AI technology. With the expanding fields of Machine Learning and Deep Learning, we can apply various algorithms in order to classify different types of attacks. Once we detect the attack properly, we can prevent it accordingly. We are using WSN-DS. It has 4 classes of attacks which are Grayhole, Blackhole, TDMA(Scheduling), and Flooding which comes under the category of DOS attacks. In this chapter, we have analysed and compared the accuracies of 5 main machine learning classification algorithms. Also, we have analysed the 1 deep learning algorithm. The ANN (Artificial Neural Network) and 5 machine learning algorithms have been trained on the dataset. Furthermore, we have used K-fold cross-validation to get even more accurate predictions. After analysis of these algorithms, we came to the point that, the Machine Learning algorithms like Random Forest, Support Vector Machines and Deep Learning algorithm, namely, Artificial Neural Network can help us for detecting intrusions in the system or network. This will help researchers in designing their own machine learning model on top of our suggested model.