Road accident analysis using random forest algorithm

Globally, wind energy if properly harnessed, could serve as a source of energy generation in Africa. This study compared the performance of two Machine Learning (ML) algorithms (Linear regression and Random Forest) in predicting wind speed in five major cities in Africa (Yaoundé, Pretoria, Nairobi, Cairo and Abuja). Wind data were collected between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2022, using the Solar Radiation Data Archive. The data preprocessing was carried out with 80% of the data used for training and 20% for validation. The performance of these ML algorithms was evaluated using Mean Square Error (MSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and coefficient of determination (R2). The result shows that Nairobi (3.814795 m/s) closely followed by Cairo (3.606453 m/s) has the highest mean wind speed while Yaoundé (1.090512 m/s) has the lowest. Based on the performance metrics used, the two Machine Learning algorithms were competitive. Still, the Linear Regression (LR) algorithm outperformed the Random Forest Algorithm in predicting wind speed in all the selected major African cities. In Yaoundé (RMSE = 0.3892, MAE= 0.3001, MAPE =0.5030), Pretoria (RMSE=1.2339, MAE=0.9480, MAPE=0.7450) Nairobi (RMSE= 0.4223, MAE =0.6499, MAPE =0.1872), Nairobi (RMSE=0.6499, MAE=0.5171, MAPE =0.1872), Cairo (RMSE =1.0909, MAE =0.8544, MAPE =0.3541) and Abuja (RMSE = 0.70245, MAE =0.5441, MAPE= 0.4515) the Linear regression algorithms was found to outperformed Random Forest Regression. Therefore, the Linear regression algorithm is more reliable in predicting wind speed compared with the Random Forest regression.

The recent advance in information technology has created a new era named the Internet of Things (IoT). This new technology allows objects (things) to be connected to the Internet, such as smart TVs, printers, cameras, smartphones, smartwatches, etc. This trend provides new services and applications for many users and enhances their lifestyle. The rapid growth of the IoT makes the incorporation and connection of several devices a predominant procedure. Although there are many advantages of IoT devices, there are different challenges that come as network anomalies. In this research, the current studies in the use of deep learning (DL) in DDoS intrusion detection have been presented. This research aims to implement different Machine Learning (ML) algorithms in WEKA tools to analyze the detection performance for DDoS attacks using the most recent CICDDoS2019 datasets. CICDDoS2019 was found to be the model with best results. This research has used six different types of ML algorithms which are K_Nearest_Neighbors (K-NN), super vector machine (SVM), naïve bayes (NB), decision tree (DT), random forest (RF) and logistic regression (LR). The best accuracy result in the presented evaluation was achieved when utilizing the Decision Tree (DT) and Random Forest (RF) algorithms, 99% and 99%, respectively. However, the DT is better than RF because it has a shorter computation time, 4.53 s and 84.2 s, respectively. Finally, open issues for further research in future work are presented.

Today, one of the top concerns for governments is road safety. There are many safety features built into cars, yet traffic accidents still happen frequently and are unavoidable. To lessen the harm caused by traffic accidents, predicting their causes has become the primary goal. In this situation, it will be beneficial to examine the frequency of accidents so that we can use this information to further aid us in developing strategies to lessen them. From this, we can deduce the connections between traffic accidents, road conditions, and the impact of environmental factors on accident occurrence. In order to construct an accident prediction model, I used machine learning techniques, including the Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Logistic Regression. The development of safety measures and accident prediction will both benefit from these classification systems. Several elements, including weather, vehicle condition, road surface condition, and light condition, can be used to predict road accidents. Three dataset files—accidents, casualties, and vehicles are loaded into this dataset. This allows us to forecast the severity of accidents.

The exploration of internet finance by using neural network

In sustainable and competitive business management, it is crucial for organizations to consider organizational change and transformational leadership in human resource (HR) management to adapt to the changes in their environment. This capability enables large-scale enterprises to maintain their presence in an increasingly competitive environment through enhanced management capacity. Enterprises that adopt transformational leadership in HR management must equip leadership candidates with competencies such as creating a shared vision, providing appropriate role models, encouraging the adoption of group goals, meeting high performance expectations, and providing individual support and the development of intellectual stimulation. By identifying potential leadership candidates using a decision support model, the necessary competencies can be developed through in-service training and experiential learning during their careers. Innovative and effective approaches to identifying leadership candidates can be developed by analyzing complex big data using advanced artificial intelligence (AI) techniques. In this article, a forecast model using machine learning (ML) algorithms for a human resource management career planning approach was developed for the Turkish Post Corporation (PTT) and it was tested to predict potential leadership candidates by analyzing the big data of 5000 employees. The Turkish Post Corporation ML algorithms were applied to 100 randomly selected data points using the k-Nearest Neighbor (kNN), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting (GB), and Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithms to predict the types of titles held by the staff employed at PTT. The kNN, GB, RF, and SVM algorithms achieved accuracy rates of 96%, 91%, 73%, and 41%, respectively. The case study results indicate that promotion decisions in large-scale and rooted enterprises can be effectively modeled using big data and ML algorithms, highlighting significant potential for HR management and leadership development practices in the public sector.

Predictive artificial intelligence (AI) models for the assessment of factors and trends related to disease prevalence, prognosis, and the risk prediction of mortality in the early phases, seem to be effective techniques. Machine learning (ML) algorithms as a branch of AI methods have had a considerable role in controlling and management of COVID-19 and previous pandemics. The present study estimates the mortality risk among COVID-19 patients based on ML algorithms, prediction of outcomes in new cases, and also determines the top significant features related to morality in the patients. In this retrospective research, 7115 patients with confirmed COVID-19 disease were included in the study. The information was collected from 35 different hospitals across Khorasan-Razavi province, Northeast of Iran during 20 February 2020 - 21 June 2021. We employed random forests (RF), decision tree (DT), artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector machines (SVM), logistic regression (LR), and boosted trees (BT) ML algorithms. Our findings indicated that the RF model had better performance in different criteria. The RF algorithm had area under curve (AUC) of 88%, accuracy of 96%, precision of 96%, sensitivity of 99%, and specificity of 80%. Intubation, SpO2, age, time from symptoms, loss of consciousness, reception season, and diabetes were the seven ordered and significant predictors of the risk of COVID-19 patients’ death. RF model can aid in clinical decision-making and limited resource allocation. This model needs to be externally validated in larger populations, more features, and multicenter settings. Received: August 4, 2023Accepted: September 13, 2023

Use of machine learning (ML) and data mining (DM) algorithms has surfaced more often in the recent years for disease risk prediction problems in the healthcare communities. Several traditional feature selection models are combined with the DM and ML algorithms to improve accuracy of the disease risk prediction. In this study, a new Bio-inspired Ensemble Feature Selection (BEFS) model is introduced which is applied with the DM and ML algorithms. In the BEFS model, the most relevant and highly contributing features in the prediction are determined with a bio-inspired algorithm i.e., genetic algorithm, and an ensemble algorithm i.e., random forest algorithm. These important features obtained from the proposed model are then combined in various combinations and applied with the DM and ML algorithms, here logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF), and the results obtained are promising. The experiment is executed using the famous ML language R. To accomplish this objective, the Breast Cancer Wisconsin (Diagnostic) dataset of UCI (University of California, Irvine) ML repository is utilized. In the experimental outcomes, the highest accuracy attained with the BEFS model is 96.49%, the AUC (Area Under Curve) achieved is 96%, and the sensitivity is 98.11%. These results, which greatly improve the disease risk prediction, are higher than several other existing works, while utilizing only six most relevant features out of the thirty two features of the dataset.

A spatially based machine learning algorithm for potential mapping of the hearing senses in an urban environment

Accurate estimation of dew point temperature (T_dew) plays a very important role in the fields of water resource management, agricultural engineering, climatology and energy utilization. However, there are few studies on the applicability of local T_dew algorithms at regional scales. This study evaluated the performance of a new machine learning algorithm, i.e., gradient boosting on decision trees with categorical features support (CatBoost) to estimate daily T_dew using limited local and cross-station meteorological data. The random forests (RF) algorithm was also assessed for comparison. Daily meteorological data from 2016 to 2019, including maximum, minimum and average temperature (T_max, T_min and T_mean), maximum, minimum and average relative humidity (RH_max, RH_min and RH_mean), maximum, minimum and average global solar radiation (Rs_max, Rs_min and Rs_mean) from three weather stations in Hunan of China were used to evaluate the CatBoost and RF algorithms. The results showed that both algorithms achieved satisfactory estimation accuracy at the target stations (on average RMSE = 1.020°C, R²=0.969, MAE = 0.718°C and NRMSE = 0.087) in the absence of complete meteorological parameters (with only temperature data as input). The CatBoost algorithm (on average RMSE = 1.900°C and R²=0.835) was better than the RF algorithm (on average RMSE = 2.214°C and R²=0.828). The accuracy and stability of the CatBoost and RF algorithms were positively correlated with the number of input parameters, and the three-parameter algorithms achieved higher estimation accuracy than the two-parameter algorithms. The developed methodology is helpful to predict T_dew at regional scale.

The effects of a change in permissible blood alcohol concentration limit on involving drink-driving in road accidents

Evapotranspiration (ET) is a vital variable for land‐atmosphere interactions that links surface energy balance, water, and carbon cycles. The in situ techniques can measure ET accurately but the observations have limited spatial and temporal coverage. Modeling approaches have been used to estimate ET at broad spatial and temporal scales, while accurately simulating ET at regional scales remains a major challenge. In this study, we upscale ET from eddy covariance flux tower sites to the regional scale with machine learning algorithms. Five machine learning algorithms are employed for ET upscaling including artificial neural network, Cubist, deep belief network, random forest, and support vector machine. The machine learning methods are trained and tested at 36 flux towers sites (65 site years) across the Heihe River Basin and are then applied to estimate ET for each grid cell (1 km × 1 km) within the watershed and for each day over the period 2012–2016. The artificial neural network, Cubist, random forest, and support vector machine algorithms have almost identical performance in estimating ET and have slightly lower root‐mean‐square error than deep belief network at the site scale. The random forest algorithm has slightly lower relative uncertainty at the regional scale than other methods based on three‐cornered hat method. Additionally, the machine learning methods perform better over densely vegetated conditions than barren land or sparsely vegetated conditions. The regional ET generated from the machine learning approaches captured the spatial and temporal patterns of ET at the regional scale.

Hyperspectral plant phenotyping is a method that has a wide range of applications in various fields, including agriculture, forestry, food processing, medicine and plant breeding. It can be used to obtain a large amount of spectral and spatial information about an object. However, it is important to acknowledge the inherent limitations of this approach, which include the presence of noise and the redundancy of information. The present study aims to assess a novel approach to hyperspectral data preprocessing, namely Random Reflectance (RR), for the classification of plant species. This study employs machine learning (ML) algorithms, specifically Random Forest (RF) and Gradient Boosting (GB), to analyse the performance of RR in comparison to Min–Max Normalisation (MMN) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The testing process was conducted on data derived from the proximal hyperspectral imaging (HSI) of leaves from three different maple species, which were sampled from trees at 7–10-day intervals between 2021 and 2024. The RF algorithm demonstrated a relative increase of 8.8% in the F1-score in 2021, 9.7% in 2022, 11.3% in 2023 and 11.8% in 2024. The GB algorithm exhibited a similar trend: 6.5% in 2021, 13.2% in 2022, 16.5% in 2023 and 17.4% in 2024. It has been demonstrated that hyperspectral data preprocessing with the MMN and PCA methods does not result in enhanced accuracy when classifying species using ML algorithms. The impact of preprocessing spectral profiles using the RR method may be associated with the observation that the synthesised set of spectral profiles exhibits a stronger reflection of the general parameters of spectral reflectance compared to the set of actual profiles. Subsequent research endeavours are anticipated to elucidate a mechanistic rationale for the RR method in conjunction with the RF and GB algorithms. Furthermore, the efficacy of this method will be evaluated through its application in deep machine learning algorithms.

Insufficient road safety level remains a serious problem in Ukraine. The number of people killed in road accidents in 2018 per 100 thousand of population is 9,11, while in the countries of the European Union, on average, this indicator is 5-6 deaths per 100 thousand of population. The growing number of vehicles and road users increases the likelihood of road accidents and, accordingly, the number of the suffered people increases. This regularity can be noted not only in our country, but also in the countries over the world. Method of prospective extrapolation is proposed for the prevention of road accidents which makes it possible to transfer the trends and links connected with the occurrence of road accidents in the past to the current period and for the future. To apply this method, it is necessary to have a qualitative statistical analysis of the road accident data. This provides an opportunity to foresee the occurrence of a particular type of accident, its location and the causes affecting its occurrence. By using the prospective extrapolation method, it is possible to reduce the number of road accidents and the severity of their consequences, including reducing the number of fatal accidents to a minimum.

Background: The guidelines recommend intensive blood pressure control. Randomized trials have focused on the relevance of the systolic blood pressure (SBP) lowering, leaving the safety of the diastolic blood pressure (DBP) reduction unresolved. There are data available which show that low DBP should not stop clinicians from achieving SBP targets; however, registries and analyses of randomized trials present conflicting results. The purpose of the study was to apply machine learning (ML) algorithms to determine, whether DBP is an important risk factor to predict stroke, heart failure (HF), myocardial infarction (MI), and primary outcome in the SPRINT trial database. Methods: ML experiments were performed using decision tree, random forest, k-nearest neighbor, naive Bayesian, multi-layer perceptron, and logistic regression algorithms, including and excluding DBP as the risk factor in an unselected and selected (DBP < 70 mmHg) study population. Results: Including DBP as the risk factor did not change the performance of the machine learning models evaluated using accuracy, AUC, mean, and weighted F-measure, and was not required to make proper predictions of stroke, MI, HF, and primary outcome. Conclusions: Analyses of the SPRINT trial data using ML algorithms imply that DBP should not be treated as an independent risk factor when intensifying blood pressure control.

BackgroundsFalls are currently one of the important safety issues of elderly inpatients. Falls can lead to their injury, reduced mobility and comorbidity. In hospitals, it may cause medical disputes and staff guilty feelings and anxiety. We aimed to predict fall risks among hospitalized elderly patients using an approach of artificial intelligence.Materials and methodsOur working hypothesis was that if hospitalized elderly patients have multiple risk factors, their incidence of falls is higher. Artificial intelligence was then used to predict the incidence of falls of these patients. We enrolled those elderly patients aged >65 years old and were admitted to the geriatric ward during 2018 and 2019, at a single medical center in central Taiwan. We collected 21 physiological and clinical data of these patients from their electronic health records (EHR) with their comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA). Data included demographic information, vital signs, visual ability, hearing ability, previous medication, and activity of daily living. We separated data from a total of 1,101 patients into 3 datasets: (a) training dataset, (b) testing dataset and (c) validation dataset. To predict incidence of falls, we applied 6 models: (a) Deep neural network (DNN), (b) machine learning algorithm extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), (c) Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), (d) Random Forest, (e) Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) and (f) logistic regression.ResultsFrom modeling data of 1,101 elderly patients, we found that machine learning algorithm XGBoost, LightGBM, Random forest, SGD and logistic regression were successfully trained. Finally, machine learning algorithm XGBoost achieved 73.2% accuracy.ConclusionThis is the first machine-learning based study using both EHR and CGA to predict fall risks of elderly. Multiple risk factors of falls in hospitalized elderly patients can be put into a machine learning model to predict future falls for early planned actions. Future studies should be focused on the model fitting and accuracy of data analysis.