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  • https://doi.org/10.46632/jdaai/4/1/34Copy DOI Icon

SPSS For Disaster Prediction: A Machine Learning and Statistical Perspective

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Abstract

Disaster risk management is a critical area of study, as effective preparedness and response strategies can significantly reduce the impact of hazardous events. This research evaluates key disaster response parameters, including Risk Score, Preparedness Level, Response Time, Economic Impact, and Casualty Risk, using statistical analysis. By identifying correlations and patterns among promoting improvements disaster resilience and mitigation efforts. Research Significance: This study is significant as it provides an evidence-based method to disaster preparedness and response evaluation. By analyzing key risk factors and preparedness indicators, the findings help policymakers, emergency responders, and infrastructure planners develop more effective risk reduction strategies. The research also highlights how different environmental and infrastructural conditions influence response efficiency. Methodology: The research employs SPSS statistical analysis, utilizing methods such as, regression analysis, and ANOVA—these methods help determine the relationships between evaluation parameters and assess their collective impact on disaster response effectiveness. Alternative Influencing Factors: In addition to the primary evaluation parameters, the study considers several alternative influencing factors that may impact disaster preparedness and response, including: Disaster Type (e.g., natural vs. man-made disasters) Location Type (urban vs. rural areas) Weather Conditions (floods, storms, droughts, etc.) Ground Stability (earthquake-prone areas, landslide risks) Warning System Availability (early warning mechanisms, public alert systems) Infrastructure Readiness (emergency shelters, transportation networks, healthcare facilities) Evaluation Parameters: The key parameters assessed in this study include: Risk Score: Measures the overall level of risk associated with a disaster event. Preparedness Level: Evaluates the extent of readiness before a disaster occurs. Response Time: Assesses the efficiency of emergency response efforts. Economic Impact: Estimates the financial and infrastructural losses caused by disasters. Casualty Risk: Analyzes the potential for injuries or fatalities due to a disaster. Results: The analysis reveals a strong correlation among preparedness indicators, with Principal Component Analysis (PCA) showing that over 91% of the total variance is explained by a single component. This suggests that disaster response factors are highly interdependent. Regression and ANOVA results further confirm the statistical significance of these parameters in predicting disaster outcomes. The study emphasizes the need for enhanced early warning systems, robust infrastructure, and efficient response mechanisms to mitigate disaster risks.

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