STATISTICAL INFERENCE AND PREDICTION FOR THE GOMPERTZ DISTRIBUTION BASED ON MULTIPLY TYPE-I CENSORED DATA

This study introduces a robust Bayesian framework for simple-step stress accelerated life testing. For modeling lifetime characteristics, this study adopts the Xgamma distribution as the principal life model. Bayesian parameter estimation is conducted using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method under three distinct loss functions: the squared error loss function, generalized entropy loss function, and linear exponential loss function. The resulting Bayesian estimators are analyzed and compared with those obtained through the classical maximum likelihood estimation method. Finally, the proposed methods are illustrated with the analysis of two real data sets.

Reliability analysis is the key to evaluate software’s quality. Since the early 1970s, the Power Law Process, among others, has been used to assess the rate of change of software reliability as time-varying function by using its intensity function. The Bayesian analysis applicability to the Power Law Process is justified using real software failure times. The choice of a loss function is an important entity of the Bayesian settings. The analytical estimate of likelihood-based Bayesian reliability estimates of the Power Law Process under the squared error and Higgins-Tsokos loss functions were obtained for different prior knowledge of its key parameter. As a result of a simulation analysis and using real data, the Bayesian reliability estimate under the Higgins-Tsokos loss function not only is robust as the Bayesian reliability estimate under the squared error loss function but also performed better, where both are superior to the maximum likelihood reliability estimate. A sensitivity analysis resulted in the Bayesian estimate of the reliability function being sensitive to the prior, whether parametric or non-parametric, and to the loss function. An interactive user interface application was additionally developed using Wolfram language to compute and visualize the Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimates of the intensity and reliability functions of the Power Law Process for a given data.

In this article analysis of a simple step‐stress accelerated life test is considered under progressive type‐II censoring. A cumulative exposure model is considered when the latent lifetimes of test units follow the Gompertz distribution with different shape parameters and a common scale parameter. We explore the study by estimating all unknown parameters using classical and Bayesian techniques. The model parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods. Subsequently, interval estimates are derived based on the observed Fisher information matrix. Bayesian estimates are obtained using squared error and linear exponential loss functions. Subsequently highest posterior density intervals are also constructed. We examine the efficiency of all estimators through simulation studies. Finally, we provide a real‐life example in support of the considered model.

Dynamic cumulative residual (DCR) entropy is a valuable randomness metric that may be used in survival analysis. The Bayesian estimator of the DCR Rényi entropy (DCRRéE) for the Lindley distribution using the gamma prior is discussed in this article. Using a number of selective loss functions, the Bayesian estimator and the Bayesian credible interval are calculated. In order to compare the theoretical results, a Monte Carlo simulation experiment is proposed. Generally, we note that for a small true value of the DCRRéE, the Bayesian estimates under the linear exponential loss function are favorable compared to the others based on this simulation study. Furthermore, for large true values of the DCRRéE, the Bayesian estimate under the precautionary loss function is more suitable than the others. The Bayesian estimates of the DCRRéE work well when increasing the sample size. Real-world data is evaluated for further clarification, allowing the theoretical results to be validated.

The Bayesian approach offers a flexible, interpretable and powerful framework for statistical analysis, making it a valuable tool to help in making optimal decisions under uncertainty. It incorporates prior knowledge or beliefs about the parameters, which can lead to more accurate and informative results. Also, it offers credible intervals as a measure of uncertainty, which are often more interpretable than confidence intervals. Hence, the Bayesian approach is utilized to estimate the parameters, reliability function, hazard rate function and reversed hazard rate function of a new competing risks model. A squared error loss function as a symmetric loss function and a linear exponential loss function as an asymmetric loss function are employed to derive the Bayesian estimators. Credible intervals of the parameters, reliability function, hazard rate function and reversed hazard rate function are obtained. Predicting future observations is important in many fields, from finance and weather forecasting to healthcare and engineering. Thus, two-sample prediction (as a special case of the multi-sample prediction) for future observation is considered. An adaptive Metropolis algorithm is applied to conduct a simulation study to evaluate the performance of the Bayes estimates and predictors. Moreover, two applications of medical and engineering data sets are used to test and validate the theoretical results, ensuring that they are accurate, applicable to real-world scenarios and contribute to the understanding of the world and inform decision-making.

In this paper, we propose maximum likelihood estimators and Bayes estimators of parameters of exponentiated Pareto distribution under general Entropy loss function and squared error loss function for Progressive type-II censored data with binomial removals. The maximum likelihood estimators and corresponding Bayes estimators are compared in terms of their risks based on simulated samples from exponentiated Pareto distribution.

In this paper, we developed linear exponential (LINEX) loss function by emerging weights to produce weighted linear exponential (WLINEX) loss function. Then we utilized WLINEX to derive scale parameter and reliability function of the Weibull distribution based on record values when the shape parameter is known. After, we estimated scale parameter and reliability function of Weibull distribution by using maximum likelihood (ML) estimation and by several Bayes estimations. The Bayes estimates were obtained with respect to symmetric loss function (squared error loss (SEL)), asymmetric loss function (LINEX) and asymmetric loss function (WLINEX). The ML and the different Bayes estimates are compared via a Monte Carlo simulation study. The result of simulation mentioned that the proposed WLINEX loss function is promising and can be used in real environment especially at the case of underestimate where it revealed better performance than LINEX loss function for estimating scale parameter.

This article investigates the estimation of the parameters for power hazard function distribution and some lifetime indices such as reliability function, hazard rate function, and coefficient of variation based on adaptive Type-II progressive censoring. From the perspective of frequentism, we derive the point estimations through the method of maximum likelihood estimation. Besides, delta method is implemented to construct the variances of the reliability characteristics. Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques are proposed to construct the Bayes estimates. To this end, the results of the Bayes estimates are obtained under squared error and linear exponential loss functions. Also, the corresponding credible intervals are constructed. A simulation study is utilized to assay the performance of the proposed methods. Finally, a real data set of COVID-19 mortality rate is analyzed to validate the introduced inference methods.

In this article we consider statistical inferences about the unknown parameters of the inverse Weibull distribution based on progressively first-failure censoring using Bayesian procedures. The Bayes estimators are obtained based on both the symmetric and asymmetric (Linex, General Entropy and Precautionary) loss functions. There are no explicit forms for the Bayes estimators; therefore, we propose the Lindley’s approximation method to compute the Bayes estimators. A comparison between these estimators and the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is provided by using extensive simulation and two criteria, namely, the bias and the mean squared error. It is concluded that the approximate Bayes estimators outperform the MLEs most of the time. Real life data example is provided to illustrate our proposed estimators.

Bayesian estimators of Gini index and a Poverty measure are obtained in case of Pareto distribution under censored and complete setup. The said estimators are obtained using two noninformative priors, namely, uniform prior and Jeffreys’ prior, and one conjugate prior under the assumption of Linear Exponential (LINEX) loss function. Using simulation techniques, the relative efficiency of proposed estimators using different priors and loss functions is obtained. The performances of the proposed estimators have been compared on the basis of their simulated risks obtained under LINEX loss function.

In this paper, Bayes estimators of the parameter of Maxwell distribution have been derived along with maximum likelihood estimator. The non-informative priors; Jeffreys and the extension of Jeffreys prior information has been considered under two different loss functions, the squared error loss function and the modified squared error loss function for comparison purpose. A simulation study has been developed in order to gain an insight into the performance on small, moderate and large samples. The performance of these estimators has been explored numerically under different conditions. The efficiency for the estimators was compared according to the mean square error MSE. The results of comparison by MSE show that the efficiency of Bayes estimators of the shape parameter of the Maxwell distribution decreases with the increase of Jeffreys prior constants. The results also show that values of Bayes estimators are almost close to the maximum likelihood estimator when the Jeffreys prior constants are small, yet they are identical in some certain cases. Comparison with respect to loss functions show that Bayes estimators under the modified squared error loss function has greater MSE than the squared error loss function especially with the increase of r.

In this article, we propose Maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) and Bayes estimators of parameters of Poisson-exponential distribution (PED) under General entropy loss function (GELF) and Squared error loss function (SELF) for Progressive type-II censored data with binomial removals (PT-II CBRs). The MLEs and corresponding Bayes estimators are compared in terms of their risks based on simulated samples from PED. The proposed methodology is illustrated on a real dataset of ovarian cancer.

This paper addresses the problem of Bayesian wavelet estimating the mean vector of multivariate normal distribution under a multivariate normal prior distribution based on linear and nonlinear exponential balanced loss functions. The covariance matrix of multivariate normal distribution is considered known. Bayes estimators of mean vector parameter of multivariate normal distribution are achieved. Then two soft shrinkage wavelet threshold estimators based on Stein’s unbiased risk estimate (SURE) and Bayes estimators are provided. Finally, the performance of the soft shrinkage wavelet estimators was checked through simulation study and Electrical Grid Stability Simulated data set. Simulation and real data results showed the better performance of SURE thresholds based on linear and nonlinear exponential balanced loss functions compared to other classical wavelet methods. Also, they showed better performance for SURE threshold based on nonlinear exponential balanced loss function in multivariate normal distribution with small dimensions.

Statistical inference based on lower record values for the inverse Weibull distribution under the modified loss function

The objective of this study is to examine the properties of Bayes estimators of the shape parameter of the Power Function Distribution (PFD-I), by using two different prior distributions for the parameter θ and different loss functions that were compared with the maximum likelihood estimators. In many practical applications, we may have two different prior information about the prior distribution for the shape parameter of the Power Function Distribution, which influences the parameter estimation. So, we used two different kinds of conjugate priors of shape parameter θ of the Power Function Distribution (PFD-I) to estimate it. The conjugate prior function of the shape parameter θ was considered as a combination of two different prior distributions such as gamma distribution with Erlang distribution and Erlang distribution with exponential distribution and Erlang distribution with non-informative distribution and exponential distribution with the non-informative distribution. We derived Bayes estimators for shape parameter θ of the Power Function Distribution (PFD-I) according to different loss functions such as the squared error loss function (SELF), the weighted error loss function (WSELF) and modified linear exponential (MLINEX) loss function (MLF), with two different double priors. In addition to the classical estimation (maximum likelihood estimation). We used simulation to get the results of this study, for different cases of the shape parameter of the Power Function Distribution used to generate data for different samples sizes.