Stochastic Characteristics and Optimal Control for a Stochastic Chemostat Model with Variable Yield

Stochastic characteristics of a chemostat model with variable yield

Stochastic bifurcation characteristics and optimal control of giant magnetostrictive film (GMF)-shape memory alloy (SMA) composite plate subjected to in-plane stochastic excitation were studied in this paper. Nonlinear difference item was introduced to interpret the hysteretic phenomena of both GMF and SMA, and then the nonlinear dynamic model of GMF-SMA composite plate subjected to in-plane stochastic excitation was developed. The stochastic stability of the system was analyzed, and the condition of stochastic Hopf bifurcation was discussed. The reliability function of the system was solved from backward Kolmogorov equation, and then the probability density of the first-passage time was obtained. Finally, the stochastic optimal control strategy was obtained in stochastic dynamic programming method. Numerical simulation shows that the stability of the trivial solution varies with bifurcation parameters, and stochastic Hopf bifurcation appears in the process; the reliability of the system is improved by stochastic optimal control, and the first-passage time is delayed. GMF-SMA composite plate combines the advantages of both GMF and SMA, and can reduce vibration through passive control and active control effectively. The results of this paper are helpful to application of GMF-SMA composite plate in engineering fields.

This article examines an economic growth model that expresses the interaction between production, technology stock, and research and development (R&D) investments. The goal of this study is to maximize production. Considering the presence of Gaussian white noises, this model is reformulated as a stochastic optimal control problem, where the R&D investment rate is defined as the control input. We aim to explore the efficiency of Kalman filtering approaches for solving this problem. Here, the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and unscented Kalman filter (UKF) are applied for state estimation. The state equation linearization is made in the EKF, while the unscented transform is taken in the UKF for generating a set of sigma points. These approaches aim to estimate the state dynamics from different perspectives. With these state estimates, two different computational algorithms are proposed, the EKF for state-control (EKF4SC) and UKF for state-control (UKF4SC) algorithms. The optimal control policy is designed to minimize the cost function. For illustration, the model's parameters are considered in the simulation experiment. The simulation results showed that the UKF has higher accuracy in the state estimation with the smallest mean squares of error compared with the EKF. Moreover, the optimal control policy based on the state estimate generated from the UKF could optimize the cost function of the problem. Hence, the results show the efficiency of the algorithms proposed. In conclusion, the application of the Kalman filtering algorithms to the economic growth model is presented. The significance of this study is to provide a stochastic optimal control model for the economic growth problem and to suggest an efficient computational approach for solving this stochastic optimal control problem.

A stochastic chemostat model with an inhibitor and noise independent of population sizes

The stochastic optimal nonlinear control of coupled adjacent building structures is studied based on the stochastic dynamical programming principle and the stochastic averaging method. The coupled structures with control devices under random seismic excitation are first condensed to form a reduced-order structural model for the control analysis. The stochastic averaging method is applied to the reduced model to yield stochastic differential equations for structural modal energies as controlled diffusion processes. Then a dynamical programming equation for the energy processes is established based on the stochastic dynamical programming principle, and solved to determine the optimal nonlinear control law. The seismic response mitigation of the coupled structures is achieved through the structural energy control and the dimension of the optimal control problem is reduced. The seismic excitation spectrum is taken into account according to the stochastic dynamical programming principle. Finally, the nonlinear controlled structural response is predicted by using the stochastic averaging method and compared with the uncontrolled structural response to evaluate the control efficacy. Numerical results are given to demonstrate the response mitigation capabilities of the proposed stochastic optimal control method for coupled adjacent building structures.

A stochastic minimax optimal time-delay state feedback control strategy for uncertain quasi-integrable Hamiltonian systems is proposed. First, a stochastic optimal state feedback control problem of uncertain quasi-integrable Hamiltonian system with time delay in feedback control subjected to Gaussian white noise is formulated. Then, the time-delayed state feedback control forces are approximated by the control forces without time delay and the original problem is converted into a stochastic optimal state feedback control problem of an uncertain system without time delay. After that, by following a procedure based on the stochastic averaging method and stochastic differential game, the worst-case disturbances and the optimal controls are obtained from solving a Hamiltonian–Jacobi–Isaacs (HJI) equation. As an example, the stochastic minimax optimal state feedback control of a Duffing oscillator with parametric disturbances and time-delayed feedback control is worked out in detail to illustrate the procedure and effectiveness of the proposed control strategy.

Previous 20 years data (1982 to 2009) have been collected in order to predict the future temperature pattern of Ogun State. The data were preprocessed and aggregated into annual time series to fit for stochastic characterization and modeling of minimum and maximum. Mann-Kendal non-parametric test, Lo’s long-range dependency test and spectral analysis were done to detect whether there is trend and seasonal component in the time series The best autoregressive AR-model, moving average MA-model and autoregressive moving average ARMA-models were fitted for all parameters considered, with the aid of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), and error terms of FE, MAE, MSE and MAPE. AR, MA and ARMA models of order (2), (3) and (1, 2) and (5), (3) and (5, 3) were found to be the best for predicting maximum and minimum temperatures respectively.ACF, PACF and the Box-Jenkins technique were utilized for model type and order selection. The overall results were promising and the prediction scheme applied in this research could be considered in situations where database is a problem during model development. It is therefore recommended that another research be carry out in the area using another method of modeling to compare the results.Keywords: Stochastic model, stationarity, non-parametric test, minimum and maximum temperature.

Noise-induced bifurcations in the stochastic chemostat model with general nutrient uptake functions

In this paper, we formulate and investigate a two‐microorganism and single nutrient chemostat model with Monod‐Haldane response function and random perturbation. First, for the corresponding deterministic system, we introduce the conditions of the stability of the equilibrium points. Then, using Lyapunov function and Itô’s formula, we investigate the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution of the stochastic chemostat model. Furthermore, we explore and obtain the criterions of the extinction and the permanence for the stochastic model. Finally, numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate our main results.

ABSTRACTIn this paper, we analyse a stochastic chemostat model with distributed delay and degenerate diffusion. We transform the stochastic model with weak kernel case into an equivalent system through the linear chain technique. Since the diffusion matrix is degenerate, the uniform ellipticity condition is not satisfied. The Markov semigroup theory is used to obtain the existence and uniqueness of a stable stationary distribution. We prove the densities of the distributions of the positive solutions can converge in to an invariant density. The existence of a stable stationary distribution implies stochastic persistence of the microorganism.

Symmetry in mathematical models often refers to invariance under certain transformations. In stochastic models, symmetry considerations must also account for the probabilistic nature of inter- actions and events. In this paper, a stochastic vector-borne model with plant virus disease resistance and nonlinear incidence is investigated. By constructing suitable stochastic Lyapunov functions, we show that if the related threshold R0s<1, then the disease will be extinct. By using the reproduction number R0, we establish sufficient conditions for the existence of ergodic stationary distribution to the stochastic model. Furthermore, we explore the results graphically in numerical section and find that random fluctuations introduced in the stochastic model can suppress the spread of the disease, except for increasing plant virus disease resistance and decreasing the contact rate between infected plants and susceptible vectors. The results reveal the correlation between symmetry and stochastic vector-borne models and can provide deeper insights into the dynamics of disease spread and control, potentially leading to more effective and efficient management strategies.

A minimax stochastic optimal semi-active control strategy for stochastically excited quasi-integrable Hamiltonian systems with parametric uncertainty by using magneto-rheological (MR) dampers is proposed. Firstly, the control problem is formulated as an n-degree-of-freedom (DOF) controlled, uncertain quasi-integrable Hamiltonian system and the control forces produced by MR dampers are split into the passive part and the semi-active part. Then the passive part is incorporated into the uncontrolled system. After that, the stochastic optimal semi-active control problem is solved by applying the minimax stochastic optimal control strategy based on the stochastic averaging method and stochastic differential game. The worst-case disturbances and the optimal controls are obtained by the minimax dynamical programming equation with the constraints of disturbance bounds and MR damper dynamics. Finally, the system response and the control performance are evaluated by using Monte Carlo simulation. An example of a two-DOF system with coupling damping and parametric uncertainty under Gaussian white noise excitations is worked out in detail to illustrate the procedure and effectiveness of the proposed control strategy, which is also compared with the clipped linear-quadratic-Gaussian control strategy to show the advantages.

Complete characterization of dynamical behavior of stochastic epidemic model motivated by black-Karasinski process: COVID-19 infection as a case

The asymptotic behavior of a stochastic vaccination model with backward bifurcation

Due to the negative impact of infectious diseases on population growth, it is important to understand the dynamic behavior of such diseases. Mathematical deterministic SIR models are widely used to study the spread of infectious diseases. In real life, there is a lot of randomness and stochasticity such as environmental noise, so using stochastic models is more suitable. Suppose we want to take into account abrupt environmental perturbations, such as epidemics, fires, earthquakes, etc. in the considered models. In that case, we must introduce Poisson noises into the population models for describing such discontinuous systems. The existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution are proved for the system of stochastic differential equations describing a non-autonomous SIR model disturbed by white noise, centered and non-centered Poisson noises. In the deterministic case there is a threshold of the system for an epidemic to occur, so called the basic reproduction number. Depending on the value of the reproduction number there is the disease-free equilibrium, or there is an endemic equilibrium, which implies the disease always remains. In the case of the autonomous stochastic SIR model, we study the asymptotic behavior of the solution to the corresponding system of stochastic differential equations around these points of equilibrium.