Suspended sediment load prediction based on soft computing models and Black Widow Optimization Algorithm using an enhanced gamma test.

Recently in urban areas, road traffic noise is one of the primary sources of noise pollution. Variation in noise level is impacted by the synthesis of traffic and the percentage of heavy vehicles. Presentation to high noise levels may cause serious impact on the health of an individual or community residing near the roadside. Thus, predicting the vehicular traffic noise level is important. The present study aims at the formulation of regression, an artificial neural network (ANN) and an adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system (ANFIS) model using the data of observed noise levels, traffic volume, and average speed of vehicles for the prediction of L10 and Leq. Measured noise levels are compared to the noise levels predicted by the experimental model. It is observed that the ANFIS approach is more superior when compared to output given by regression and an ANN model. Also, there exists a positive correlation between measured and predicted noise levels. The proposed ANFIS model can be utilized as a tool for traffic direction and planning of new roads in zones of similar land use pattern.

Hot air drying kinetics of paddy grains during instant controlled pressure drop (ICPD) assisted parboiling process and its impact on the quality and micro-structural properties of milled rice were investigated. Among five mathematical models, Midilli model showed best fitted outcomes for prediction of adequate drying behavior. For the mapping of moisture ratio (MR) as a function of treatment pressure (TP), decompressed state duration (DD) and drying time (DT), artificial neural network (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system (ANFIS) were applied. ANFIS model (5-5-5) with Gaussian membership function demonstrated best performance when contrasted with 3-5-1 ANN architecture. Effective diffusivity of the drying process varied from 2.8 × 10-09 to 7.0 × 10-09 m2/s with the increase of TP and DD. In comparison of quality parameters with the variation of TP and DD, positive impacts on head rice yield (HRY), redness (a*) and yellowness (b*) values and negative consequences on cooking time (CT) and brightness (L*) value were observed. The outcomes additionally uncovered that parboiled rice obtained at 0.6 MPa TP, indicated best quality in terms of improved process performance, HRY, CT, color and micro-structural properties.

Suspended sediment load (SSL) estimation is a required exercise in water resource management. This article proposes the use of hybrid artificial neural network (ANN) models, for the prediction of SSL, based on previous SSL values. Different input scenarios of daily SSL were used to evaluate the capacity of the ANN-ant lion optimization (ALO), ANN-bat algorithm (BA) and ANN-particle swarm optimization (PSO). The Goorganrood basin in Iran was selected for this study. First, the lagged SSL data were used as the inputs to the models. Next, the rainfall and temperature data were used. Optimization algorithms were used to fine-tune the parameters of the ANN model. Three statistical indexes were used to evaluate the accuracy of the models: the root-mean-square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE). An uncertainty analysis of the predicting models was performed to evaluate the capability of the hybrid ANN models. A comparison of models indicated that the ANN-ALO improved the RMSE accuracy of the ANN-BA and ANN-PSO models by 18% and 26%, respectively. Based on the uncertainty analysis, it can be surmised that the ANN-ALO has an acceptable degree of uncertainty in predicting daily SSL. Generally, the results indicate that the ANN-ALO is applicable for a variety of water resource management operations.

Accurate and reliable suspended sediment load (SSL) prediction models are necessary for planning and management of water resource structures. More recently, soft computing techniques have been used in hydrological and environmental modeling. The present paper compared the accuracy of three different soft computing methods, namely, artificial neural networks (ANNs), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), coupled wavelet and neural network (WANN), and conventional sediment rating curve (SRC) approaches for estimating the daily SSL in two gauging stations in the USA. The performances of these models were measured by the coefficient of correlation (R), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (CE), root-mean-square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) to choose the best fit model. Obtained results demonstrated that applied soft computing models were in good agreement with the observed SSL values, while they depicted better results than the conventional SRC method. The comparison of estimation accuracies of various models illustrated that the WANN was the most accurate model in SSL estimation in comparison to other models. For example, in Flathead River station, the determination coefficient was 0.91 for the best WANN model, while it was 0.65, 0.75, and 0.481 for the best ANN, ANFIS, and SRC models, and also in the Santa Clara River, amounts of this statistical criteria was 0.92 for the best WANN model, while it was 0.76, 0.78, and 0.39 for the best ANN, ANFIS, and SRC models, respectively. Also, the values of cumulative suspended sediment load computed by the best WANN model were closer to the observed data than the other models. In general, results indicated that the WANN model could satisfactorily mimic phenomenon, acceptably estimate cumulative SSL, and reasonably predict peak SSL values.

Suspended sediment load prediction modelling based on artificial intelligence methods: The tropical region as a case study

There is a need to develop an accurate and reliable model for predicting suspended sediment load (SSL) because of its complexity and difficulty in practice. This is due to the fact that sediment transportation is extremely nonlinear and is directed by numerous parameters such as rainfall, sediment supply, and strength of flow. Thus, this study examined two scenarios to investigate the effectiveness of the artificial neural network (ANN) models and determine the sensitivity of the predictive accuracy of the model to specific input parameters. The first scenario proposed three advanced optimisers-whale algorithm (WA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and bat algorithm (BA)-for the optimisation of the performance of artificial neural network (ANN) in accurately predicting the suspended sediment load rate at the Goorganrood basin, Iran. In total, 5 different input combinations were examined in various lag days of up to 5 days to make a 1-day-ahead SSL prediction. Scenario 2 introduced a multi-objective (MO) optimisation algorithm that utilises the same inputs from scenario 1 as a way of determining the best combination of inputs. Results from scenario 1 revealed that high accuracy levels were achieved upon utilisation of a hybrid ANN-WA model over the ANN-BA with an RMSE value ranging from 1 to 6%. Furthermore, the ANN-WA model performed better than the ANN-PSO with an accuracy improvement value of 5-20%. Scenario 2 achieved the highest R2 when ANN-MOWA was introduced which shows that hybridisation of the multi-objective algorithm with WA and ANN model significantly improves the accuracy of ANN in predicting the daily suspended sediment load.

Suspended sediment load (SSL) is essential to river and dam engineering. Due to the complexity and stochastic nature of sedimentation, SSL prediction is a challenging task and conventional methods often fail to generate accurate results. Aiming to provide an improved estimation, this paper contributes to a new forecasting framework by integrating the seasonal adjustment (SA) and Bayesian optimization (BOP) into a machine learning (ML) model (denoted as BMS). The SA is used for de-seasonalisation and trend extraction; the BOP is to optimize the ML architecture. The BMS is evaluated using the daily SSL records from the Yangtze River. Its performance is appraised by statistical criteria of Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), correlation coefficient (CC), root mean squared error (RMSE) and mean absolute error (MAE). With the de-noising and hyper-parameter tuning modules, the BMS effectively heightens the accuracy of the standard ML models. The most significant improvement occurs in the Boosting model, with its augments in NSE and CC by 4.3% and 1.6%, and reductions in RMSE and MAE by 24.9% and 24.2%. The BMS gains by comparison even under flood conditions, where it remarkably reduces the errors of the constituent models by up to 47.9% for RMSE and 48.3% for MAE.

Suspended sediment load prediction using non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II

Scale-specific controls of monthly suspended sediment load in a typical inland river

Knowledge of the stage-discharge rating curve is useful in designing and planning flood warnings; thus, developing a reliable stage-discharge rating curve is a fundamental and crucial component of water resource system engineering. Since the continuous measurement is often impossible, the stage-discharge relationship is generally used in natural streams to estimate discharge. This paper aims to optimize the rating curve using a generalized reduced gradient (GRG) solver and the test the accuracy and applicability of the hybridized linear regression (LR) with other machine learning techniques, namely, linear regression-random subspace (LR-RSS), linear regression-reduced error pruning tree (LR-REPTree), linear regression-support vector machine (LR-SVM) and linear regression-M5 pruned (LR-M5P) models. An application of these hybrid models was performed and test to modeling the Gaula Barrage stage-discharge problem. For this, 12-year historical stage-discharge data were collected and analyzed. The 12-year historical daily flow data (m3/s) and stage (m) from during the monsoon season, i.e., June to October only from 03/06/2007 to 31/10/2018, were used for discharge simulation. The best suitable combination of input variables for LR, LR-RSS, LR-REPTree, LR-SVM, and LR-M5P models was identified and decided using the gamma test. GRG-based rating curve equations were found to be as effective and more accurate as conventional rating curve equations. The outcomes from GRG, LR, LR-RSS, LR-REPTree, LR-SVM, and LR-M5P models were compared to observed values of daily discharge based on Nash Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient (NSE), Willmott Index of Agreement (d), Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean bias error (MBE), relative bias in percent (RE), root mean square error (RMSE) Pearson correlation coefficient (PCC) and coefficient of determination (R2). The LR-REPTree model (combination 1: NSE = 0.993, d = 0.998, KGE = 0.987, PCC(r) = 0.997, and R2 = 0.994 and minimum value of RMSE = 0.109, MAE = 0.041, MBE = −0.010 and RE = −0.1%; combination 2; NSE = 0.941, d = 0.984, KGE = 0. 923, PCC(r) = 0. 973, and R2 = 0. 947 and minimum value of RMSE = 0. 331, MAE = 0.143, MBE = −0.089 and RE = −0.9%) performed superior to the GRG, LR, LR-RSS, LR-SVM, and LR-M5P models in all input combinations during the testing period. It was also noticed that the performance of the alone LR and its hybrid models (i.e., LR-RSS, LR-REPTree, LR-SVM, and LR-M5P) was better than the conventional stage-discharge rating curve, including the GRG method.

Backbreak is a rock fracture problem that exceeds the limits of the last row of holes in an explosion operation. Excessive backbreak increases operational costs and also poses a threat to mine safety. In this regard, a new hybrid intelligence approach based on random forest (RF) and particle swarm optimization (PSO) is proposed for predicting backbreak with high accuracy to reduce the unsolicited phenomenon induced by backbreak in open-pit blasting. A data set of 234 samples with six input parameters including special drilling (SD), spacing (S), burden (B), hole length (L), stemming (T) and powder factor (PF) and one output parameter backbreak (BB) is set up in this study. Seven input combinations (one with six parameters, six with five parameters) are built to generate the optimal prediction model. The PSO algorithm is integrated with the RF algorithm to find the optimal hyper-parameters of each model and the fitness function, which is the mean absolute error (MAE) of ten cross-validations. The performance capacities of the optimal models are assessed using MAE, root-mean-square error (RMSE), Pearson correlation coefficient (R2) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Findings demonstrated that the PSO–RF model combining L–S–B–T–PF with MAE of 0.0132 and 0.0568, RMSE of 0.0811 and 0.1686, R2 of 0.9990 and 0.9961 and MAPE of 0.0027 and 0.0116 in training and testing phases, respectively, has optimal prediction performance. The optimal PSO–RF models were compared with the classical artificial neural network, RF, genetic programming, support vector machine and convolutional neural network models and show that the PSO–RF model has superiority in predicting backbreak. The Gini index of each input variable has also been calculated in the RF model, which was 31.2 (L), 23.1 (S), 27.4 (B), 36.6 (T), 23.4 (PF) and 16.9 (SD), respectively.

River suspended sediment modelling using the CART model: A comparative study of machine learning techniques

Prediction of soil temperature (ST) at multiple depths is important for maintaining the physical, chemical, and biological activities in soil for various scientific aspects. The present study was conducted in a semi-arid region of Punjab to predict the daily ST at 5-cm (ST5), 15-cm (ST15), and 30-cm (ST30) soil depths by employing the three-hybrid machine learning (ML) paradigms, i.e. support vector machine (SVM), multilayer perceptron (MLP), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) optimized with slime mould algorithm (SMA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and spotted hyena optimizer (SHO) algorithms. Five scenarios with different input variables were constructed using daily meteorological parameters, and the optimal one was extracted by exploiting the GT (gamma test). The feasibility of the proposed hybrid SVM, MLP, and ANFIS models was inspected based on performance metrics and visual interpretation. According to the results, the SVM-SMA model yields better estimates than other models at 5-cm, 15-cm, and 30-cm soil depths, respectively, for scenario 5 in the validation phase. Furthermore, conferring to the results, the SMA algorithm-based SVM model had lower (higher) values of mean absolute error, root mean square error, and index of scattering (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, coefficient of correlation, and Willmott index of agreement) and proved the better feasibility of SVM models in predicting daily ST at multiple depths on the study site.

Suspended sediment modeling is an important subject for decision‐makers at the catchment level. Accurate and reliable modeling of suspended sediment load (SSL) is important for planning, managing, and designing of water resource structures and river systems. The objective of this study was to develop artificial intelligence‐ (AI‐) based ensemble methods for modeling SSL in Katar catchment, Ethiopia. In this paper, three single AI‐based models, that is, support vector machine (SVM), adaptive neurofuzzy inference system (ANFIS), feed‐forward neural network (FFNN), and one conventional multilinear regression (MLR) modes, were used for SSL modeling. Besides, four different ensemble methods, neural network ensemble (NNE), ANFIS ensemble (AE), weighted average ensemble (WAE), and simple average ensemble (SAE), were developed by combining the outputs of the four single models to improve their predictive performance. The study used two‐year (2016‐2017) discharge and SSL data for training and verification of the applied models. Determination coefficient (DC) and root mean square error (RMSE) were used to evaluate the performances of the developed models. Based on the performance measure results, the ANFIS model provides higher efficiency than the other developed single models. Out of all developed ensemble models, the nonlinear ANFIS model combination method was found to be the most accurate method and could increase the efficiency of SVM, MLR, ANFIS, and FFNN models by 19.02%, 37%, 9.73%, and 16.3%, respectively, at the verification stage. Overall, the proposed ensemble models in general and the AI‐based ensemble in particular provide excellent performance in SSL estimation.

Improving forecasts, particularly the accuracy, efficiency, and precision of time-series forecasts, is becoming critical for authorities to predict, monitor, and prevent the spread of the Coronavirus disease. However, the results obtained from the predictive models are imprecise and inefficient because the dataset contains linear and non-linear patterns, respectively. Linear models such as autoregressive integrated moving average cannot be used effectively to predict complex time series, so nonlinear approaches are better suited for such a purpose. Therefore, to achieve a more accurate and efficient predictive value of COVID-19 that is closer to the true value of COVID-19, a hybrid approach was implemented. Therefore, the objectives of this study are twofold. The first objective is to propose intelligence-based prediction methods to achieve better prediction results called autoregressive integrated moving average-least-squares support vector machine. The second objective is to investigate the performance of these proposed models by comparing them with the autoregressive integrated moving average, support vector machine, least-squares support vector machine, and autoregressive integrated moving average-support vector machine. Our investigation is based on three COVID-19 real datasets, i.e., daily new cases data, daily new death cases data, and daily new recovered cases data. Then, statistical measures such as mean square error, root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error were performed to verify that the proposed models are better than the autoregressive integrated moving average, support vector machine model, least-squares support vector machine, and autoregressive integrated moving average-support vector machine. Empirical results using three recent datasets of known the Coronavirus Disease-19 cases in Malaysia show that the proposed model generates the smallest mean square error, root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error values for training and testing datasets compared to the autoregressive integrated moving average, support vector machine, least-squares support vector machine, and autoregressive integrated moving average-support vector machine models. This means that the predicted value of the proposed model is closer to the true value. These results demonstrate that the proposed model can generate estimates more accurately and efficiently. Compared to the autoregressive integrated moving average, support vector machine, least-squares support vector machine, and autoregressive integrated moving average-support vector machine models, our proposed models perform much better in terms of percent error reduction for both training and testing all datasets. Therefore, the proposed model is possibly the most efficient and effective way to improve prediction for future pandemic performance with a higher level of accuracy and efficiency.