The coupling machine learning for microstructural evolution and rolling force during hot strip rolling of steels

For the various climatic zones of India, machine learning (ML) models are created in the current work to forecast monthly-average diffuse solar radiation (DSR). The long-term solar radiation data are taken from Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), Pune, provided for 21 cities that span all of India’s climatic zones. The diffusion coefficient and diffuse fraction are the two groups of ML models with dual input parameters (sunshine ratio and clearness index) that are built and compared (each category has seven models). To create ML models, two well-known ML techniques, random forest (RF) and k-nearest neighbours (KNN), are used. The proposed ML models are compared with well-known models that are found in the literature. The ML models are ranked according to their overall and within predictive power using the Global Performance Indicator (GPI). It is discovered that KNN models generally outperform RF models. The results reveal that in diffusion coefficient models perform well than diffuse fraction models. Moreover, functional form 2 is the best followed by form 6. The ML models created here can be effectively used to accurately forecast DSR in various climates.

Propofol is a widely used sedative-hypnotic agent for critically-ill patients requiring invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Despite its clinical benefits, propofol is associated with increased risks of hypertriglyceridemia. Early identification of patients at risk for propofol-associated hypertriglyceridemia is crucial for optimizing sedation strategies and preventing adverse outcomes. Machine learning (ML) models offer a promising approach for predicting individualized patient risks of propofol-associated hypertriglyceridemia. We propose the development of a ML model aimed at predicting the risk of propofol-associated hypertriglyceridemia in ICU patients receiving IMV. The study will utilize retrospective data from four Mayo Clinic sites. Nested cross-validation (CV) will be employed, with a 10-fold inner CV loop for model tuning and selection as well as an outer loop using leave-one-site-out CV for external validation. Feature selection will be conducted using Boruta and LASSO-penalized logistic regression. Data preprocessing steps include missing data imputation, feature scaling, and dimensionality reduction techniques. Six ML algorithms will be tuned and evaluated. Bayesian optimization will be used for hyperparameter selection. Global model explainability will be assessed using permutation importance, and local model explainability will be assessed using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). The proposed ML model aims to provide a reliable and interpretable tool for clinicians to predict the risk of propofol-associated hypertriglyceridemia in ICU patients. The final model will be deployed in a web-based clinical risk calculator. The model development process and performance measures obtained during nested cross-validation will be described in a study publication to be disseminated in a peer-reviewed journal. The proposed study has received ethics approval from the Mayo Clinic Institutional Review Board (IRB #23-007416). Robust external validation using a nested cross-validation (CV) framework will help assess the generalizability of models produced from the modeling pipeline across different hospital settings.A diverse set of machine learning (ML) algorithms and advanced hyperparameter tuning techniques will be employed to identify the most optimal model configuration.Integration of feature explainability will enhance the clinical applicability of the ML models by providing transparency in predictions, which can improve clinician trust and encourage adoption.Reliance on retrospective data may introduce biases due to inconsistent or erroneous data collection, and the computational intensity of the validation approach may limit replication and future model expansion in resource-constrained settings.

Couplings connect the spinning shafts of driving and driven machines in the industry. A coupling guard encloses the coupling to protect personnel from the high-speed rotating coupling. The American Petroleum Institute API publishes standards that restrict the overheating of the coupling guards due to windage caused by the spinning shaft. Based on the most recent version of API 671, the peak temperature for the coupling guard should not exceed 60 °C. This paper proposes a machine learning (ML) model and an empirical formula to predict the maximum guard temperature and power loss. The ML models use a database obtained from simulated computational fluid dynamics (CFD) cases for different coupling guards under various conditions. Also, the paper provides validation for the CFD models with experimental tests for different cases. The proposed ML model uses eight different input parameters to predict temperature and power loss. The model shows an accurate prediction for a varied number of CFD cases. The performance of the generated model has been verified with the experimental results. Also, an empirical formula has been created using the same database from CFD results. The results show that the ML model has better prediction accuracy than the empirical formula for predicting peak temperature and power loss for all cases.

PurposeAtherosclerosis plays a significant role in the initiation of coronary artery aneurysms (CAA). Although the treatment options for this kind of vascular disease are developing, there are challenges and limitations in both selecting and applying sufficient medical solutions. For surgical interventions, that are novel therapies, non-invasive specific patient-based studies could lead to obtaining more promising results. Despite medical and pathological tests, these pre-surgical investigations require special biomedical and computer-aided engineering techniques. In this study, a machine learning (ML) model is proposed for the non-invasive detection of atherosclerotic CAA for the first time.MethodsThe database for study was collected from hemodynamic analysis and computed tomography angiography (CTA) of 80 CAAs from 61 patients, approved by the Institutional Review Board (IRB). The proposed ML model is formulated for learning by a one-class support vector machine (1SVM) that is a field of ML to provide techniques for outlier and anomaly detection.ResultsThe applied ML algorithms yield reasonable results with high and significant accuracy in designing a procedure for the non-invasive diagnosis of atherosclerotic aneurysms. This proposed method could be employed as a unique artificial intelligence (AI) tool for assurance in clinical decision-making procedures for surgical intervention treatment methods in the future.ConclusionsThe non-invasive diagnosis of the atherosclerotic CAAs, which is one of the vital factors in the accomplishment of endovascular surgeries, is important due to some clinical decisions. Although there is no accurate tool for managing this kind of diagnosis, an ML model that can decrease the probability of endovascular surgical failures, death risk, and post-operational complications is proposed in this study. The model is able to increase the clinical decision accuracy for low-risk selection of treatment options.

Total organic carbon (TOC) is important geochemical data for evaluating the hydrocarbon generation potential of source rocks. TOC is commonly measured experimentally using cutting and core samples. The coring process and experimentation are always expensive and time-consuming. In this study, we evaluated the use of three machine learning (ML) models and two multiple regression models to predict TOC based on well logs. The well logs involved gamma rays (GR), deep resistivity (RT), density (DEN), acoustic waves (AC), and neutrons (CN). The ML models were developed based on random forest (RF), extreme learning machine (ELM), and back propagation neural network (BPNN). The source rock of Paleocene Yueguifeng Formation in Lishui–Jiaojiang Sag was taken as a case study. The number of TOC measurements used for training and testing were 50 and 27. All well logs and selected well logs (including AC, CN, and DEN) were used as inputs, respectively, for comparison. The performance of each model has been evaluated using different factors, including R2, MAE, MSE, and RMSE. The results suggest that using all well logs as input improved the TOC prediction accuracy, and the error was reduced by more than 30%. The accuracy comparison of ML and multiple regression models indicated the BPNN was the best, followed by RF and then multiple regression. The worst performance was observed in the ELM models. Considering the running time, the BPNN model has higher prediction accuracy but longer running time in small-sample regression prediction. The RF model can run faster while ensuring a certain prediction accuracy. This study confirmed the ability of ML models for estimating TOC using well logs data in the study area.

Machine learning (ML) models provide more choices to patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) to more properly manage blood glucose (BG) levels. However, because of numerous types of ML algorithms, choosing an appropriate model is vitally important. In a systematic review and network meta-analysis, this study aimed to comprehensively assess the performance of ML models in predicting BG levels. In addition, we assessed ML models used to detect and predict adverse BG (hypoglycemia) events by calculating pooled estimates of sensitivity and specificity. PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Explore databases were systematically searched for studies on predicting BG levels and predicting or detecting adverse BG events using ML models, from inception to November 2022. Studies that assessed the performance of different ML models in predicting or detecting BG levels or adverse BG events of patients with DM were included. Studies with no derivation or performance metrics of ML models were excluded. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies tool was applied to assess the quality of included studies. Primary outcomes were the relative ranking of ML models for predicting BG levels in different prediction horizons (PHs) and pooled estimates of the sensitivity and specificity of ML models in detecting or predicting adverse BG events. In total, 46 eligible studies were included for meta-analysis. Regarding ML models for predicting BG levels, the means of the absolute root mean square error (RMSE) in a PH of 15, 30, 45, and 60 minutes were 18.88 (SD 19.71), 21.40 (SD 12.56), 21.27 (SD 5.17), and 30.01 (SD 7.23) mg/dL, respectively. The neural network model (NNM) showed the highest relative performance in different PHs. Furthermore, the pooled estimates of the positive likelihood ratio and the negative likelihood ratio of ML models were 8.3 (95% CI 5.7-12.0) and 0.31 (95% CI 0.22-0.44), respectively, for predicting hypoglycemia and 2.4 (95% CI 1.6-3.7) and 0.37 (95% CI 0.29-0.46), respectively, for detecting hypoglycemia. Statistically significant high heterogeneity was detected in all subgroups, with different sources of heterogeneity. For predicting precise BG levels, the RMSE increases with a rise in the PH, and the NNM shows the highest relative performance among all the ML models. Meanwhile, current ML models have sufficient ability to predict adverse BG events, while their ability to detect adverse BG events needs to be enhanced. PROSPERO CRD42022375250; https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/display_record.php?RecordID=375250.

Over the past few decades, the construction industry has been suffering from project delays. It remains a recognized challenge to accurately predict the actual project’s progress, despite the vast amount of field data and scheduling methods available. In this paper, four different machine learning (ML) models including K-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector regression (SVR), gradient boosting trees (GBT), and artificial neural network (ANN) were used for forecasting the construction duration of work areas. Field data were collected, including progress, workload, labor, weather, planned days, and location, as inputs and construction days as output for each work area to develop the models. A simple and widely used baseline model was used to confirm the accuracy and generalization capability of ML models. The comparison of the results revealed that ANN and GBT models produced significantly superior results. Additionally, the GBT model is substantially more computationally efficient. In conclusion, the GBT model could be successfully and effectively applied to improve the prediction of construction duration. The proposed ML models could be utilized as a decision support tool for construction project managers to adjust construction site resource allocation.

This study focuses on using various machine learning (ML) models to evaluate the shear behaviors of ultra-high-performance concrete (UHPC) beams reinforced with glass fiber-reinforced polymer (GFRP) bars. The main objective of the study is to predict the shear strength of UHPC beams reinforced with GFRP bars using ML models. We use four different ML models: support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (R.F.), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The experimental database used in the study is acquired from various literature sources and comprises 54 test observations with 11 input features. These input features are likely parameters related to the composition, geometry, and properties of the UHPC beams and GFRP bars. To ensure the ML models' generalizability and scalability, random search methods are utilized to tune the hyperparameters of the algorithms. This tuning process helps improve the performance of the models when predicting the shear strength. The study uses the ACI318M-14 and Eurocode 2 standard building codes to predict the shear capacity behavior of GFRP bars-reinforced UHPC I-shaped beams. The ML models' predictions are compared to the results obtained from these building code standards. According to the findings, the XGBoost model demonstrates the highest predictive test performance among the investigated ML models. The study employs the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis to assess the significance of each input parameter in the ML models' predictive capabilities. A Taylor diagram is used to statistically compare the accuracy of the ML models. This study concludes that ML models, particularly XGBoost, can effectively predict the shear capacity behavior of GFRP bars-reinforced UHPC I-shaped beams.

In order to reduce the rolling force and the roll wear, the lubricants have been used in hot sheet rolling of steel, but the lubrication behavior at the interface between roll and workpiece in hot steel rolling have never been well understood. On the other hand, hot rolling process with high reduction in thickness have been developed to produce the ultra-fine grained steels. The high reduction in hot rolling causes some troubles such as the increase of the rolling force, the occurrence of friction pick up and so on. To solve these problems, the lubrication behavior at the interface between roll and workpiece in hot steel rolling must be quantitatively understood. In this paper, the coefficients of friction were measured by using the newly developed simulation testing machine for hot rolling. The effects of lubricant factors such as the compositions and the viscosity of the base oil and the additive agents on the coefficient of friction were investigated. From these experimental results, the lubrication behavior at the interface between roll and workpiece was investigated and the lubrication mechanism was proposed.

Systematic literature review of machine learning based software development effort estimation models

Accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) plays a vital role in irrigation and water resource planning. The Penman–Monteith method recommended by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO PM56) is widely used and considered a standard to calculate ETo. However, FAO PM56 cannot be used with limited meteorological variables, so it is compulsory to choose an alternative model for ETo estimation, which requires fewer variables. This study built ten machine learning (ML) models based on multi-function, neural network, and tree-based structure against the FAO PM56 method. For this purpose, time series temperature data on a monthly scale are only used to train ML models. The developed ML models were applied to estimate ETo at different test stations and the obtained results were compared with the FAO PM56 method to verify and validate their performance in ETo estimation for the selected stations. In addition, multiple statistical indicators, including root-mean-square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and correlation coefficient (r) were calculated to compare the performance of each ML model on ETo estimation. Among the applied ML models, the ETo tree boost (TB) ML model outperformed the other ML models in estimating ETo in diverse climatic conditions based on statistical indicators (R2, NSE, r, RMSE, and MAE). Moreover, the observed R2, NSE, and r were the highest for the TB ML model, while RMSE and MAE were found to be the lowest at the study sites compared to other applied ML models. Lastly, ETo point data yielded from the TB ML model was used in an interpolation process to create monthly and annual ETo maps. Based on the ETo maps, this study suggests mainly a focus on areas with high ETo values and proper irrigation scheduling of crops to ensure water sustainability.

Aim: The majority of machine learning (ML) models in healthcare are built on retrospective data, much of which is collected without explicit patient consent for use in artificial intelligence (AI) and ML applications. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate whether clinicians and scientific researchers themselves consent to provide their own data for the training of ML models. Materials and Methods: This survey was conducted through an anonymous online survey, utilizing platforms such as Telegram, LinkedIn, and Viber. The target audience comprised specific international groups, primarily Russian, German, and English-speaking, of clinicians and scientific researchers. These participants ranged in their levels of expertise and experience, from beginners to veterans. The survey centered on a singular, pivotal question: “Do You Consent to the Use of Your Biological and Private Data for Training Machine Learning and AI Models?” Respondents had the option to choose from three responses: “Yes” and “No”. Results: The survey was conducted in January 2024. A total of 119 unique and verified individuals participated in the survey. The results revealed that only 50% of respondents (63 persons) expressed consent to provide their own data for the training of ML and AI models. Conclusion: In the development of ML and AI models, particularly open-source ones, it is crucial to ascertain whether participants are willing to provide their private data. While ML algorithms can transform the nature of data, it is important to remember that the primary owner of this data is the individual. Our findings show that in 50% of the cases, even participants from scientific research and clinical backgrounds – individuals typically accountable for ensuring data quality in AI and ML model development – do not consent to the use of their data in AI and ML settings. This highlights the need for more stringent consent processes and ethical considerations in the utilization of personal data in AI and ML research.

The dynamic, static and metadynamic recrystallization behavior of austenitic stainless steel during hot rolling was analyzed. In this approach, each of those recrystallization behaviors is described by appropriate kinetics equations. The critical strain for dynamic recrystallization was determined so that a distinction could be made between static and metadynamic recrystallization; then the amounts of strain accumulation compared with the critical strain each pass. The effects of grain size on the fraction recrystallized and of the latter on the flow stress were evaluated for each type recrystallization behavior. In this way, the dependence of the mean flow stress (MFS) on temperature could be analyzed in terms of the extent and nature of the prior or concurrent recrystallization mechanisms. Finally, an example is given of an industrial process in which DRX/MDRX can play an important role. More grain refinement can be achieved by increasing the strain rate, decreasing the interruption time and lowering the temperature of deformation.

12074 Background: Skeletal-related events (SREs) are detrimental clinical events in bone metastasis from advanced cancer, defined by pathologic fracture, spinal cord compression, and inevitable surgical or radiational intervention to the bone. Given their negative impact on quality of life and prognosis and interpatient heterogeneity in the SRE risk, accurate identification of patients with high SRE risk is critical. Methods: The patient-level data from three randomized clinical trials that administered zoledronic acid (ZA) to patients with bone-metastatic breast cancer, castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC), and other types of cancer were analyzed. (N = 460, 452, and 315, respectively) Machine learning (ML) models to predict SREs within 18 months (breast cancer), 12 months (CRPC), and 9 months (other cancers) were developed based on more than 40 baseline clinical and laboratory data. Seven ML algorithms and five feature selection methods were utilized to develop multiple models. The ML model with the best performance was identified based on the F1 score and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) for each cancer type and interrogated for important features with Shapley additive explanations. Lastly, the ML models’ ability to stratify patients by the cumulative SRE risk was evaluated by calculating hazard ratio (HR) with Cox-proportional hazards models. Results: Among the multiple ML models developed with different algorithms and feature selection methods, the model developed utilizing the random forests algorithm and the Boruta method for selecting features demonstrated the best performance in all types of cancer (F1 0.70, 0.67, and 0.67, and AUC-ROC 0.72, 0.68, and 0.73 for breast cancer, CRPC, and other cancers, respectively). In the ML model for breast cancer, performance status (PS), history of SRE, serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP), history of anti-neoplastic surgery, radiation therapy, and pathologic fracture were included as important features. Serum ALP, albumin, sodium, Gleason scores, and geographic regions were shown to be relevant in the CRPC model. For other cancers, serum ALP, albumin, total protein, phosphorus, red blood cell count, white blood cell count, visceral metastases, and history of arthritis were incorporated in the ML model. The ML model prediction successfully stratified the patients for cumulative SRE risk in all three cohorts. (HR with 95% confidence interval: 2.43 [1.86 – 3.18], 1.92 [1.51 – 2.45], and 3.06 [2.29 – 4.09] for breast cancer, CRPC, and other types of cancer, respectively). Conclusions: ML models incorporating baseline clinical and laboratory data can identify patients with bone metastasis on ZA harboring a high SRE risk.

Machine learning-based water quality prediction using octennial in-situ Daphnia magna biological early warning system data