Tsunami run-up height forecasting by using artificial neural networks

Public transportation trip flow modeling with generalized regression neural networks

Water consumption of plants is a key parameter for formulating irrigation system, and the precise prediction play a important role in improving the use efficiency of limited water resources. In this experiment, by using the method of artificial neural network and MATLAB DATA PROCESSING SYSTEM combined with the meteorological data of air temperature, relative air humidity, solar radiation, wind speed, soil water content and dew point temperature as the input variable, the author established the artificial neural network system to forecast the seedling water consumption of P.×euramericana cv."74/76", and through the experiments it has been examined that two neural network system models can be applied in forecasting water consumption of seedlings, and the average relative error of Back Propagation (BP) neural network prediction model was 0.07, the General Regression Neural Network (GRNN) prediction model was 0.05, moreover, the latter had good stability, while that of the former was poor. Therefore, we propose that GRNN model can be used in prediction of seedling water consumption. Furthermore, the maximum relative error of GRNN predication model was 0.106, the minimum relative error was 0.015. The GRNN model is superior to the BP neural network model that the former performs a higher forecasting accuracy with relatively shorter time consumption and faster speed in training.

Detecting the different blends of diesel and biodiesel fuels using electronic nose machine coupled ANN and RSM methods

Heat rate of a combined cycle power plant (CCPP) is a parameter that is typically used to assess how efficient a power plant is. In this paper, the CCPP heat rate was predicted using an artificial neural network (ANN) method to support maintenance people in monitoring the efficiency of the CCPP. The ANN method used fuel gas heat input (P1), CO2 percentage (P2), and power output (P3) as input parameters. Approximately 4322 actual operation data are generated from the digital control system (DCS) in a year. These data were used for ANN training and prediction. Seven parameter variations were developed to find the best parameter variation to predict heat rate. The model with one input parameter predicted heat rate with regression R2 values of 0.925, 0.005, and 0.995 for P1, P2, and P3. Combining two parameters as inputs increased accuracy with regression R2 values of 0.970, 0.994, and 0.984 for P1 + P2, P1 + P3, and P2 + P3, respectively. The ANN model that utilized three parameters as input data had the best prediction heat rate data with a regression R2 value of 0.995.

Diesel oil is known to be one of the major petroleum products that can pollute water and soil. Soil pollution caused by petroleum hydrocarbons has substantially impacted the environment, especially in the Middle East. In this study, modeling and optimization of hexadecane removal from soil was performed using two pure cultures of Acinetobacter and Acromobacter and consortium culture of both bacterial species using artificial neural network (ANN) method. Then the best ANN structure was proposed based on mean square error (MSE) as well as correlation coefficient (R) for pure cultures of Acinetobacter and Acromobacter as well as their consortium. The results showed that the correlations between the actual data and the data predicted by ANN (R2) in Acromobacter, Acinetobacter and consortium of both cultures were 0.50, 0.47 and 0.63, respectively. Despite the low correlation between the experimental data and the data predicted by the ANN, the correlation coefficient and the precision of ANN for the consortium was higher. As a result, ANN had desirable precision to predict hexadecan removal by the cobsertium culture of Ochromobater and Acintobacter.

In this study, seismic events in Kula district (Manisa, Turkey) and its vicinity have been investigated and then natural and artificial seismic activities are discriminated. Total of 77 digital vertical component velocity seismograms of seismic activities with M L ≤3.5 magnitude from seismic activity catalogs between 2009 to 2014 recorded by Manisa Kula (KULA) broadband station operated by Bogazici University, Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Resarch Institute Regional Earthquake- Tsunami Monitoring Center (RETMC) were used in this study. The maximum S-wave and maximum P-wave amplitude ratio (Ratio) of vertical component velocity seismograms and power ratio for (1 and 12 sec.) (Complexity-C) and total signal duration (Duration) of the waveform were calculated. The earthquakes and the quarry blasts have been discriminated using linear discriminant function (LDF) and Back Propagation-Feed Forward Neural Networks (BPNNs) that is one of the learning algorithms at the artificial neural networks (ANNs) methods taking correlation between these parameters into consideration. 39 (51%) of the 77 seismic activities were identified as quarry blasts and 38 (49%) of them as earthquakes LDF and ANNs methods have been applied together for the first time for Ratio-C, Ratio-logS and Ratio-duration parameter pairs with the data of Manisa and surroundings, and earthquakes and quarry blasts have been distinguished from each other. LDF and ANNs methods were compared for each pair of parameters. Both of two methods are successful but the ANNs method has higher accuracy percentage values than LDF method when there is sufficient number of data. The accuracy percentages are different for a pair of Ratio versus C, for a pair of Ratio versus logS and for a pair of Ratio versus duration, respectively.

Towards a better indoor positioning system: A location estimation process using artificial neural networks based on a semi-interpolated database

Forecasts of future events are required in many of the activities associated with the planning and operation of the components of a water resource system. For the hydrologic component, there is a need for both short- and long-term forecasts of river flow events in order to optimize the system or to plan for future expansion or reduction. This paper presents the comparison of different artificial neural network (ANN) techniques in short- and long-term continuous and intermittent daily streamflow forecasting. The studies in modelling the intermittent series are quite limited because of the complexity of fitting models in to these series. The available conventional models necessitate the adjustment of numerous parameters for calibration. Three different ANN techniques, namely, feed-forward back propagation (FFBP), generalized regression neural networks, and radial basis function-based neural networks (RBF) are applied to continuous and intermittent river flow data of two Turkish rivers for short-range and long-range forecasting studies. The k-fold partitioning method is employed for preparing the ANN training data successfully. In general, the forecasting performance of RBF is found to be superior to the other two ANN techniques and a time series model in terms of the selected performance criteria. It was observed that the FFBP method had some drawbacks such as a local minima problem and negative flow generation.

The relativistic mean field (RMF) model with a small number of adjusted parameters has been used successfully in the last thirty years for predictions of various ground-state nuclear properties of nuclei. In this model, Dirac and Klein–Gordon like equations obtained from application of variation principle on phenomenological Lagrangian density are solved iteratively for calculations of nuclear properties of nuclei. For this purpose, parameters such as masses of considered mesons, nucleon–meson coupling constants, and self-couplings of mesons are needed and they are fitted from experimental data. Some parameter sets for RMF model introduced to correct predictions of nuclear properties of nuclei cover nuclidic chart. Besides Artificial Neural Network (ANN) method is used successfully in many field of science as in nuclear physics. ANN is known as a very powerful tool that are used when standard techniques fail to estimate the correlation between the variables. In the present study, ANN method has been employed to check its understanding capability of relations between RMF model parameters and their predictions on the ground-state binding energies of some spherical nuclei. Understanding capability of ANN method for these relations of considered nuclei has been found well. Based on this success, new non-linear parameter set for RMF model called DEFNE by us have been produced by using ANN method. Furthermore, predictions of RMF model with DEFNE parameter set for ground-state binding energies and charge radii of nuclei cover nuclidic chart have been found as in agreement with the available experimental data.

The estimation of monthly mean significant wave heights by using artificial neural network and regression methods

Visibility can be interpreted as the largest distance of an object that can be recognized or detected under a bright environment that can be used as an environmental indicator for weather conditions and air pollution. The accuracy of the classical approach of visibility calculation, in which meteorological laws and image feature extraction from digital images are used, depends on the quality and noise disturbances of the image. Therefore, artificial intelligence (AI) and digital image approaches have been proposed for visibility estimation in the past. Image features for the whole digital image are generated by pre-trained convolutional neural networks, and the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is designed for correlation between image features and visibilities. Instead of using the information of the whole digital images, past research has been proposed to identify effective subregions from which image features are generated. A generalized regression neural network (GRNN) was designed to correlate the image features with the visibilities. Past research results showed that this method is more accurate than the classical approach of using handcrafted features. However, the selection of effective subregions of digital images is not fully automated and is based on manual selection by expert judgments. In this paper, we proposed an automatic effective subregion selection method using landmark object extraction techniques. Image features are generated from these LMO subregions, and the ANN is designed to approximate the mapping between LMO regions’ feature values and visibility values. The experimental results show that this approach can minimize the reductant information for ANN training and improve the accuracy of visibility estimation as compared to the single image approach.

This paper employs an artificial neural network (ANN) method to achieve an approximate solution [Formula: see text] of the one-dimensional fractional Rayleigh–Stokes equation with boundary and initial conditions. ANN is a machine learning branch that aims to minimize the loss function, which closely approaches the solution of mathematics equations. By combining the ANN output with the initial and boundary conditions, we can achieve an adequate approximation for this fractional equation. The study utilizes a multi-layer feed-forward neural network algorithm and error backpropagation method with unsupervised learning to minimize the loss function and parameter alteration (weights and biases). The accuracy and effectiveness of the ANN technique were demonstrated through several examples. This method can approximate solutions of the Rayleigh–Stokes equation for more than 10,000 points with considerable accuracy in a short time. A comparison of the results achieved with other existing techniques indicates that the ANN method provides a more appropriate approximation.

Flood is one of the common types of natural disaster in Indonesia, we need a system that can predict the arrival of the flood is important for the Indonesian people, especially people who live a certain area of the river flow. Some parameters that can be used to predict the flood are water level and rainfall around the river. Modeling system to predict the flood must have the prediction results as accurate as possible in order to produce a good system in predicting floods. Therefore, in this study proposed method of artificial neural network to analyze flood prediction ability by using artificial neural network In this study case using artificial neural network Radial Basis Function. Radial Basis Function is a model of artificial neural network architecture consisting of three layers of which are the input layer, hidden layer, and output layer. The data used for the training and testing process are data of water level and rainfall data in 2015 in Dayeuhkolot. Prediction results in the training and testing process resulted in MAPE values are 0.047% and 1.05% for water level data and 4.97% and 29.1% for rainfall data with combination of hidden node = 35, learning rate = 0.2 and Spread constant = 1.1 with the target epoch maximum termination of 5000 epoch.

In the present paper, we have employed the application of artificial neural networks (ANN) to predict effective heat storage coefficient (HSC) of building materials. First we prepared a database to train and test the models developed here. Two types of architectures from different networks are developed, one with three inputs and the other with four inputs mixed architecture combining an ANN with a theoretical model developed by us previously. These ANN models are built, trained and tested by the feed forward back propagation algorithm, to obtain the effective properties of building materials from the properties of their constituents. Feed forward back propagation neural network structure has been developed, which includes an input layer, a hidden layer and an output layer. The number of neurons in the input layer is equal to the number of input parameters and the number of neurons in the output layer is equal to the output parameters. A good agreement has been found between the predicted values using ANN and the experimental results reported in the literature.

The economic crisis could take place all over again. It can be prevented and overcome by forecasting economic conditions. The common way to forecast economic conditions is to measure economic growth using inflation-adjusted Gross Domestic Product (GDP) or real GDP. Economic growth gives information about how well the economy performed. Prediction using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is commonly used. ANN is a computational system inspired by the works of a human brain. The difference between ANN and other computational method is that ANN can solve highly complex and nonlinear problems. Interest in using ANN for forecasting has led to a tremendous surge in research activities in the past decade. ANN provides great prediction result and better accuracy compared to other methods for non-linear variable relations. This research purpose is to predict the Indonesian economic growth by using macroeconomic variables as a good reflection of the economic condition. Prediction with ANN has 95.81% of forecast accuracy and 4.19% of forecast error with the best ANN configuration using 2N+1 formula. Based on accuracy, the ANN method using macroeconomic indicators such as consumption, investment, government expenditure, gross export and gross import is the best way to forecast economic growth.